Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19
in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IDAI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Exposed population 1.9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 222 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.3 m (14 Mar 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge GDACS score
GDACS Current 213 km/h 0.6 m 1.5
GDACS Overall 222 km/h 2.3 m 1.5

Wind

213 km/h Current

Up to 860000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Orange 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 213 6.6 million 870 thousand Mozambique

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon)
GREEN
1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 100000 people no people -17, 40.2
GREEN
1 09 Mar 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 74 100000 people no people -17.1, 40.9
GREEN
1 10 Mar 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -17.3, 41.5
GREEN
1 10 Mar 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -17.6, 41.8
GREEN
1 11 Mar 2019 06:00 Category 2 167 190000 people no people -17.9, 41.4
GREEN
1 12 Mar 2019 06:00 Category 3 204 2.1 million people no people -18.3, 39.8
ORANGE
1 13 Mar 2019 06:00 Category 4 213 6 million people 860000 people -18.8, 37.4
GREEN
1 14 Mar 2019 06:00 Category 3 185 no people no people -19.3, 34.1
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Mozambique

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Zambezia Mozambique 3.4 million people
Sofala Mozambique 1.4 million people
Manica Mozambique 870000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Chinde INE unknown 0 441 km
Luabo LBM unknown 0 459 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Vila Do Chinde Mozambique 428 km
Chinde MZINE Mozambique 434 km

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year Distance
Bue Maria Pungoe -99 636 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

2.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.3m in Chofandicho, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 14 Mar 2019 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (147 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 24 of 15 Mar 2019 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Mar 2019 21:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  2.3
14 Mar 2019 21:00 Panaca Mozambique  2.3
14 Mar 2019 22:00 Damiao Mozambique  2.2
14 Mar 2019 22:00 Nhangau Mozambique  2.2
14 Mar 2019 22:00 Chamba Mozambique  2.2
14 Mar 2019 22:00 Beira Mozambique  2.2
14 Mar 2019 22:00 Manica Mozambique  2.0
14 Mar 2019 22:00 Nova Sofala Mozambique  1.7
14 Mar 2019 19:00 Tama Mozambique  1.4
14 Mar 2019 22:00 Chiloane Mozambique  1.1
14 Mar 2019 18:00 Jonja Mozambique  1.1
14 Mar 2019 06:00 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.6
14 Mar 2019 06:00 Amado Mozambique  0.6
14 Mar 2019 16:00 Bingue Mozambique  0.5
14 Mar 2019 20:00 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.4
14 Mar 2019 09:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.4
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.4
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.4
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.4
14 Mar 2019 20:00 Jo Mozambique  0.4
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Boanamary Madagascar  0.4
14 Mar 2019 15:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.4
14 Mar 2019 15:00 Machesse Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2019 00:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.3
14 Mar 2019 20:00 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2019 00:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Katsepy Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Onara Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Marovazha Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.3
14 Mar 2019 20:00 Laisse Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Majunga Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.3
10 Mar 2019 00:00 Amboaboaka Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2019 12:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.3
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Barra Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2019 08:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2019 07:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.3
10 Mar 2019 00:00 Matahibory Madagascar  0.3
10 Mar 2019 00:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.3
12 Mar 2019 03:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.3
12 Mar 2019 03:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.3
12 Mar 2019 01:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 01:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 01:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 07:00 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 07:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 00:00 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 22:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ankinganomby Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Antonibe Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Ocone Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 02:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 22:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 22:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 22:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 22:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 22:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 22:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 00:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 22:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 17:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.2
14 Mar 2019 23:00 Natalia Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Anjiajia Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Pebane Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 17:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Caramaca Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ampombilava Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Andriana Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambatoxavavy Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Andrafia Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 19:00 Masokoamena Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 00:00 Ampasitsilavitra Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Moebase Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 01:00 Marofototra Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 01:00 Voalavo Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 01:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 00:00 Mailakapasy Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Carramali Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Mutadua Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Ampitilova Madagascar  0.2
14 Mar 2019 21:00 Caulino Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Napito Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Natiquinde Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Antsianitia Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Larde Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Mocareja Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
14 Mar 2019 19:00 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 19:00 Afonso Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 19:00 Catine Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Coropoa Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:00 Bajone Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 00:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
14 Mar 2019 21:00 Asneira Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 00:00 Tsianinkiro Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Andranira Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 03:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 19:00 Manometimay Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 19:00 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 19:00 Morondava Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 19:00 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 19:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 19:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.1
14 Mar 2019 22:00 Castigo Mozambique  0.1
14 Mar 2019 13:00 Mariano Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 21:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 20:00 Anjajavy Madagascar  0.1
14 Mar 2019 21:00 Vilanculos Mozambique  0.1