Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for VAYU-19 in , India, Pakistan from 10 Jun 2019 12:00 UTC to 15 Jun 2019 12:00 UTC

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GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VAYU-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	, India, Pakistan
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	176 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.9 m (17 Jun 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	83 km/h	1.9 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	176 km/h	1.9 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

83 km/h Current Max.

Up to 45.5 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	10 Jun 2019 12:00	83	15.2 million	No people	India, Pakistan
2	10 Jun 2019 18:00	139	9.2 million	20 thousand	India
3	11 Jun 2019 00:00	167	38.2 million	930 thousand	India
4	11 Jun 2019 06:00	167	55.8 million	6.6 million	India
5	11 Jun 2019 12:00	176	41 million	3.5 million	India
6	11 Jun 2019 18:00	176	33.1 million	4.5 million	India
7	12 Jun 2019 00:00	176	14.5 million	1.6 million	India
8	12 Jun 2019 06:00	176	12.9 million	490 thousand	India
9	12 Jun 2019 12:00	176	12.1 million	No people	India, Pakistan
10	12 Jun 2019 18:00	157	4.7 million	No people	India
11	13 Jun 2019 00:00	167	4.6 million	No people	India
12	13 Jun 2019 06:00	167	11.5 million	No people	India
13	13 Jun 2019 12:00	176	11.7 million	No people	India
14	13 Jun 2019 18:00	176	12.5 million	No people	India
15	14 Jun 2019 00:00	167	13.4 million	No people	India, Pakistan
16	14 Jun 2019 06:00	157	13.2 million	No people	India, Pakistan
17	14 Jun 2019 12:00	139	16.2 million	No people	India, Pakistan
18	14 Jun 2019 18:00	139	13 million	No people	India, Pakistan
19	15 Jun 2019 00:00	148	13.3 million	No people	India, Pakistan
20	15 Jun 2019 06:00	139	17.9 million	No people	India, Pakistan
21	15 Jun 2019 12:00	83	45.5 million	No people	India, Pakistan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	10 Jun 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	13.4, 70.8
2	10 Jun 2019 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	13.9, 70.7
3	11 Jun 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	6100 people	14.7, 70.6	India
4	11 Jun 2019 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	2.6 million people	15.2, 70.9	India
5	11 Jun 2019 12:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	16, 70.8
6	11 Jun 2019 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	16.5 million people	17.1, 70.7	India
7	12 Jun 2019 00:00	Category 2	157	no people	1.9 million people	17.9, 70.3	India
8	12 Jun 2019 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	5.6 million people	18.4, 70	India
9	12 Jun 2019 12:00	Category 2	167	no people	7.6 million people	19.1, 69.8	India
10	12 Jun 2019 18:00	Category 2	157	no people	4.4 million people	19.6, 69.6	India
11	13 Jun 2019 00:00	Category 2	157	no people	4.2 million people	20.2, 69.3	India
12	13 Jun 2019 06:00	Category 2	167	no people	11.5 million people	20.5, 69.2	India
13	13 Jun 2019 12:00	Category 2	176	no people	11.2 million people	20.8, 69	India
14	13 Jun 2019 18:00	Category 2	176	no people	4.7 million people	20.8, 68.8	India
15	14 Jun 2019 00:00	Category 2	167	no people	3.3 million people	20.9, 68.5	India
16	14 Jun 2019 06:00	Category 2	157	no people	780000 people	20.8, 68.1	India
17	14 Jun 2019 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	4.4 million people	20.8, 68.3	India
18	14 Jun 2019 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	1.3 million people	20.7, 68	India
19	15 Jun 2019 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	810000 people	20.6, 67.6	India
20	15 Jun 2019 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	91000 people	20.6, 67.2	India
21	15 Jun 2019 12:00	Category 1	130	no people	57000 people	20.7, 66.4	India
21	16 Jun 2019 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	190000 people	21, 65.9	India
21	16 Jun 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	1 million people	21.5, 66.3	India
21	17 Jun 2019 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	22.4 million people	22.1, 67.1	India
21	17 Jun 2019 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	40.6 million people	22.8, 68.1	India
21	18 Jun 2019 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	24.2, 71	India

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
India
Pakistan

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Gujarat	India
Sind	Pakistan
Rajasthan	India

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Porbandar	Gujarat	India	City	140000 people
Mangrol	Gujarat	India	City	56000 people
Veraval	Gujarat	India	City	140000 people
Upleta	Gujarat	India	City	56000 people
Jamnagar	Gujarat	India	City	450000 people
Junagadh	Gujarat	India	City	170000 people
Dhoraji	Gujarat	India	City	81000 people
Bhuj	Gujarat	India	City	130000 people
Jetpur	Gujarat	India	City	120000 people
Gandhi Dam	Gujarat	India	City	-
Karachi	Sindh	Pakistan	Major city	10.2 million people
Gondal	Gujarat	India	City	100000 people
Rajkot	Gujarat	India	City	760000 people
Amreli	Gujarat	India	City	99000 people
Kundla	Gujarat	India	City	76000 people
Mahuva	Gujarat	India	City	73000 people
Dhrangadhra	Gujarat	India	City	72000 people
Surendranagar	Gujarat	India	City	180000 people
Patan	Gujarat	India	City	110000 people
Mahesana	Gujarat	India	City	100000 people
Siddhapur	Gujarat	India	City	54000 people
Disa	Gujarat	India	City	84000 people
Visnagar	Gujarat	India	City	67000 people
Palanpur	Gujarat	India	City	110000 people
Barmer	Rajasthan	India	City	84000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Porbandar	PBD	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4500
Raedhanpur		61				0
Keshod	IXK	52	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4500
Govardhanpur	JGA	21	Mil.	Paved	No	8200
Rudra Mata	BHJ	82	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200
Kandla	IXY	29	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5000
Sharea Faisal		9				0
Diu	DIU	14				0
Rudra Mata	KHI	30	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10500
Wateji		44				0
Rajkot	RAJ	134	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5400
Khorewah		5				0
Talhar	BDN	15				0
Deesa		145	Civ.	Paved	No	2800
Abu Road		266				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Dwarkar	INDWA	India
Okha	INOKH	India
Porbandar	INPBD	India
Jakhau	INJAK	India
Mandvi	INMDV	India
Mangrol	INMGR	India
Vadinar	INVAD	India
Keti Badar		Pakistan
Sika	INSIK	India
Sikka	INSIK	India
Veraval	INVVA	India
Mundra	INMUN	India
Lakhpat		India
Bedi	INBED	India
Muldwarka		India
Karachi Harbor		Pakistan
Port Muhammad Bin Qasim	PKBQM	Pakistan
Karachi	PKKHI	Pakistan
Kandla	INIXY	India
Diu	INDIU	India
Hanstal Creek		India
Navalakhi	INNAV	India
Pipavav Bandar		India

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
	Bhadar	Bhadar	1964
Kalri Lake			n/a

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

1.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.9m in Asarsa, India. This height is estimated for 17 Jun 2019 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (196 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 21 of 15 Jun 2019 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 Jun 2019 08:00	Asarsa	India	1.9
	17 Jun 2019 08:00	Tankari	India	1.9
	17 Jun 2019 07:00	Wadgam	India	1.9
	17 Jun 2019 08:00	Kambhat	India	1.7
	17 Jun 2019 08:00	Muler	India	1.7
	17 Jun 2019 08:00	Kavi	India	1.7
	17 Jun 2019 08:00	Sarod	India	1.7
	17 Jun 2019 08:00	Harinagar	India	1.6
	17 Jun 2019 08:00	Dahej	India	1.4
	17 Jun 2019 07:00	Ghogha	India	1.3
	17 Jun 2019 08:00	Olpad	India	1.2
	17 Jun 2019 07:00	Surat	India	1.1
	17 Jun 2019 07:00	Bhagva	India	1.1
	17 Jun 2019 06:00	Mahuva	India	1.1
	17 Jun 2019 07:00	Mahuver	India	1.0
	17 Jun 2019 07:00	Jalalpur	India	1.0
	17 Jun 2019 07:00	Damka	India	1.0
	17 Jun 2019 06:00	Kotada	India	1.0
	17 Jun 2019 22:00	Navlakhi	India	0.9
	17 Jun 2019 17:00	Suthri	India	0.9
	17 Jun 2019 21:00	Tuna	India	0.9
	17 Jun 2019 06:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.9
	14 Jun 2019 00:00	Bhogat	India	0.8
	17 Jun 2019 20:00	Navinal	India	0.8
	17 Jun 2019 06:00	Jafarabad	India	0.8
	17 Jun 2019 20:00	Mundra	India	0.8
	17 Jun 2019 20:00	Jambura	India	0.7
	17 Jun 2019 18:00	Mandvi	India	0.7
	12 Jun 2019 20:00	Rohisa	India	0.7
	12 Jun 2019 20:00	Dharabandar	India	0.7
	17 Jun 2019 20:00	Sika	India	0.7
	17 Jun 2019 15:00	Udvada	India	0.7
	17 Jun 2019 20:00	Bhadia	India	0.7
	13 Jun 2019 08:00	Shil	India	0.7
	13 Jun 2019 08:00	Veraval	India	0.7
	13 Jun 2019 08:00	Somnath	India	0.7
	17 Jun 2019 20:00	Jhankhar	India	0.7
	12 Jun 2019 20:00	Delvada	India	0.7
	12 Jun 2019 20:00	Nawabandar	India	0.7
	17 Jun 2019 15:00	Daman	India	0.6
	17 Jun 2019 20:00	Salaya	India	0.6
	13 Jun 2019 08:00	Mangrol	India	0.6
	13 Jun 2019 08:00	Sutrapada	India	0.6
	13 Jun 2019 08:00	Chorwad	India	0.6
	17 Jun 2019 15:00	Maroli	India	0.6
	13 Jun 2019 08:00	Lodhwa	India	0.6
	13 Jun 2019 08:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.6
	12 Jun 2019 20:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.6
	17 Jun 2019 06:00	Bordi	India	0.6
	17 Jun 2019 06:00	Umbargam	India	0.6
	17 Jun 2019 05:00	Gholvad	India	0.6
	17 Jun 2019 17:00	Aramda	India	0.6
	17 Jun 2019 19:00	Chudeswar	India	0.6
	13 Jun 2019 03:00	Kodinar	India	0.6
	13 Jun 2019 08:00	Gorser	India	0.6
	17 Jun 2019 15:00	Tarapur	India	0.6
	17 Jun 2019 05:00	Malyan	India	0.5
	17 Jun 2019 18:00	Gadechi	India	0.5
	17 Jun 2019 14:00	Palghar	India	0.5
	17 Jun 2019 14:00	Mahim	India	0.5
	13 Jun 2019 13:00	Ratia	India	0.5
	17 Jun 2019 18:00	Okha	India	0.5
	17 Jun 2019 13:00	Trombay	India	0.5
	13 Jun 2019 13:00	Adodar	India	0.5
	17 Jun 2019 12:00	Mumbai	India	0.5
	13 Jun 2019 12:00	Porbandar	India	0.5
	17 Jun 2019 14:00	Shirgaon	India	0.5
	17 Jun 2019 14:00	Boisar	India	0.5
	17 Jun 2019 12:00	Nalasopara	India	0.5
	17 Jun 2019 12:00	Agashi	India	0.5
	17 Jun 2019 13:00	Dongri	India	0.5
	17 Jun 2019 13:00	Vasai	India	0.5
	17 Jun 2019 15:00	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.5
	17 Jun 2019 15:00	Navghar	India	0.5
	17 Jun 2019 13:00	Uran	India	0.4
	17 Jun 2019 13:00	Malad	India	0.4
	14 Jun 2019 01:00	Miyani	India	0.4
	17 Jun 2019 13:00	Asumumbay	India	0.4
	13 Jun 2019 21:00	Lamba	India	0.4
	17 Jun 2019 13:00	Mandve	India	0.3
	12 Jun 2019 09:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.3
	12 Jun 2019 09:00	Revadanda	India	0.3
	12 Jun 2019 09:00	Murud	India	0.3
	14 Jun 2019 08:00	Dwarka	India	0.3
	17 Jun 2019 13:00	Alibag	India	0.3
	12 Jun 2019 09:00	Srivardhan	India	0.3
	12 Jun 2019 06:00	Bankot	India	0.3
	12 Jun 2019 06:00	Kelshi	India	0.3
	14 Jun 2019 08:00	Madhi	India	0.3
	12 Jun 2019 09:00	Guhagar	India	0.3
	12 Jun 2019 09:00	Anjanwel	India	0.3
	10 Jun 2019 16:00	Manamelkudi	India	0.3
	10 Jun 2019 16:00	Ammapatam	India	0.3
	10 Jun 2019 21:00	Shirali	India	0.3
	10 Jun 2019 21:00	Bhatkal	India	0.3
	11 Jun 2019 03:00	Belekeri	India	0.3
	11 Jun 2019 03:00	Ankola	India	0.3
	10 Jun 2019 21:00	Bainduru	India	0.3
	12 Jun 2019 09:00	Boria	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 19:00	Quilandi	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 21:00	Chittadi	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 21:00	Kundapura	India	0.2
	12 Jun 2019 09:00	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 02:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 02:00	Marmagao	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 21:00	Gokarn	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 21:00	Kumta	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 21:00	Manki	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 21:00	Mavalli	India	0.2
	12 Jun 2019 09:00	Mirya	India	0.2
	12 Jun 2019 09:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	12 Jun 2019 08:00	Adiura	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 20:00	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 20:00	Mulki	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 20:00	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 20:00	Bekal	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 20:00	Chervattur	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 08:00	Agacaim	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 02:00	Honavar	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 20:00	Udipi	India	0.2
	12 Jun 2019 08:00	Purnagad	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 02:00	Majali	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Madayipara	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Madayi	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Chirakkal	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Tellicherry	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Mahe	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 20:00	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 20:00	Kumbla	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 16:00	Kottaippattanam	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 02:00	Karwar	India	0.2
	12 Jun 2019 08:00	Purangad	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 20:00	Devgarh	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 20:00	Pural	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 02:00	Advota	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 02:00	Chaudi	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Edakkad	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Badagara	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 20:00	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 14:00	Achra	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Valapattanam	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Azhikkal	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Cannanore	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 19:00	Payyoli	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 20:00	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Beypore	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 14:00	Vengurla	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 14:00	Terekhol	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 14:00	Chopdem	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 08:00	Anjuna	India	0.2
	12 Jun 2019 08:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 18:00	Alleppey	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 19:00	Chaliyam	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 19:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 19:00	Tanur	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 07:00	Madgaon	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 02:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 14:00	Malvan	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Ponnani	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Veliyangod	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Kadikkad	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Manattala	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Chavakkad	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Guruvayur	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Chaughat	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Talikkulam	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Mattancheri	India	0.2
	11 Jun 2019 14:00	Panaji	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Pappinivatti	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Cochin	India	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.2
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Ambalapulai	India	0.1
	10 Jun 2019 14:00	Karaikal	India	0.1
	10 Jun 2019 14:00	Accarapatam	India	0.1
	10 Jun 2019 18:00	Tondi	India	0.1
	10 Jun 2019 14:00	Nagappattinam	India	0.1
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Turavur	India	0.1
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Haripad	India	0.1
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Kayankulam	India	0.1
	10 Jun 2019 18:00	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.1
	17 Jun 2019 02:00	Point Pedro	Sri Lanka	0.1
	10 Jun 2019 15:00	Karunagapalli	India	0.1
	16 Jun 2019 18:00	Malan	Pakistan	0.1
	17 Jun 2019 02:00	Abu Dhabi	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	10 Jun 2019 14:00	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.1
	16 Jun 2019 13:00	Ras Muari	Pakistan	0.1
	16 Jun 2019 13:00	Goth Haji Muhammad	Pakistan	0.1
	16 Jun 2019 13:00	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1