Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KROSA-19
in Japan, Russian Federation, Korea, Republic of

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KROSA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Japan, Russian Federation, Korea, Republic of
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 185 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (14 Aug 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 130 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 185 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

130 km/h Current Max.

Up to 110000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 05 Aug 2019 18:00 130 3 thousand 3 thousand
Green 2 06 Aug 2019 00:00 130 3 thousand 3 thousand
Green 3 06 Aug 2019 06:00 139 3 thousand 3 thousand
Green 4 06 Aug 2019 12:00 139 10 thousand 3 thousand
Green 5 06 Aug 2019 18:00 139 560 thousand 3 thousand Japan
Green 6 07 Aug 2019 00:00 157 10 thousand 3 thousand
Green 7 07 Aug 2019 06:00 148 10 thousand Few people
Green 8 07 Aug 2019 12:00 148 10 thousand 3 thousand
Green 9 07 Aug 2019 18:00 157 10 thousand Few people
Green 10 08 Aug 2019 00:00 148 50 thousand Few people Japan
Green 11 08 Aug 2019 06:00 185 3 thousand Few people
Green 12 08 Aug 2019 12:00 185 90 thousand Few people Japan
Green 13 08 Aug 2019 18:00 176 3 thousand Few people
Green 14 09 Aug 2019 00:00 167 2.3 million Few people Japan
Green 15 09 Aug 2019 06:00 157 1.3 million No people Japan
Green 16 09 Aug 2019 12:00 157 3.3 million No people Japan
Green 17 09 Aug 2019 18:00 139 25.8 million 230 thousand Japan
Green 18 10 Aug 2019 00:00 130 45.3 million 110 thousand Japan

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 05 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 17.1, 144.3
GREEN
2 06 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.9, 143.7
GREEN
3 06 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 18.6, 143.1
GREEN
4 06 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 19, 142.3
GREEN
5 06 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 19.6, 142.1
GREEN
6 07 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people <1000 people 20.6, 141.6
GREEN
7 07 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people <1000 people 21.2, 141.3
GREEN
8 07 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people <1000 people 21.6, 141.1
GREEN
9 07 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 no people <1000 people 21.8, 140.8
GREEN
10 08 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 1 139 no people <1000 people 22, 140.5
GREEN
11 08 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 3 185 no people <1000 people 22.1, 140.6
GREEN
12 08 Aug 2019 12:00 Category 3 185 no people 1100 people 22.2, 140.8
GREEN
13 08 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 2 176 no people 1100 people 22, 141
GREEN
14 09 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 2 167 no people 1100 people 22, 141.1
GREEN
15 09 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 2 157 no people 1200 people 22, 141.2
GREEN
16 09 Aug 2019 12:00 Category 2 157 no people 2700 people 22.2, 141.4
GREEN
17 09 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 139 no people 2800 people 22.3, 141.4
GREEN
18 10 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 1 130 no people 2800 people 22.7, 141.5
GREEN
18 10 Aug 2019 12:00 Category 1 120 no people 2800 people 23.2, 140.9
GREEN
18 11 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 2800 people 23.6, 140.1
GREEN
18 11 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 2800 people 24.2, 138.9
GREEN
18 12 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 4800 people 25, 137.6
GREEN
18 13 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 1 120 no people 2.9 million people 26.8, 134.9 Japan
GREEN
18 14 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 1 130 110000 people 45.3 million people 29.1, 133.4 Japan
GREEN
18 15 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 31.9, 132.9 Japan
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan

Provinces

Region Province Country
Kyushu Japan
Shikoku Japan

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Shimizu Japan
Tosa-Shimizu Japan
Saga Japan
Sukumo JPSUK Japan

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Oryuzako, Japan. This height is estimated for 14 Aug 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (128 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 18 of 10 Aug 2019 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Oryuzako Japan  0.2
10 Aug 2019 20:00 Higashi Japan  0.2
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Kisaki Japan  0.2
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Sakai Japan  0.2
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Hirayama Japan  0.2
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Hirota Japan  0.2
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Hamada Japan  0.2
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Osaki Japan  0.2
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Miyazaki Japan  0.2
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Tachibandori Japan  0.2
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Haruguchi Japan  0.2
10 Aug 2019 17:00 Ishinomura Japan  0.2
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Niinauri Japan  0.2
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Meitsu Japan  0.2
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Aburatsu Japan  0.2
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Takanabe Japan  0.2
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Uwae Japan  0.2
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Takesaki Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Udo Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Imazu Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Kanda Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Yukuhashi Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Karijuku Japan  0.1
11 Aug 2019 21:00 Oki Japan  0.1
11 Aug 2019 21:00 Hyogidaira Japan  0.1
12 Aug 2019 05:00 Omura Japan  0.1
12 Aug 2019 05:00 Ogigaura Japan  0.1
12 Aug 2019 05:00 Sakaiura Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Sumiyoshi Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Kurazami Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Nishinoomote Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Kerisaki Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Komakino Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Osaki Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Yakenota Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Yokoyama Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Hayama Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Takabo Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Buzen Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Higashiyoshitomi Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Nakatsu Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Tsunemi Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Tsuno Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Mimitsu Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Kaminaka Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Shimo-Nishime Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Mitariyama Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Miza Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Fukagawa Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Hamatsuwaki Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Takenokawa Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Makigawa Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Takeyano Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Onasu Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Jusamban Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Nijuban Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Nakayama Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Jurokuban Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Masuda Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Kunigami Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Kunikami Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Anjo Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Tachiyama Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Ono Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Azako Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Minato Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Miyanoura Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Higashi Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Nagasu Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Hashitsu Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Igatan Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Shimonaka Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Shimama Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Ushino Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Nishino Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Ikenohira Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Shimo-Tashima Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Nakamura Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Ambo Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Funayuki Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Bungo-Takada Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Takedatsu Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Taketazu Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Shimonoseki Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Moji Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Shiida Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Ube Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Tokonami Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Kurosaki Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Tomai Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Nobeoka Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Taina Japan  0.1
12 Aug 2019 12:00 Minami-daito Japan  0.1
12 Aug 2019 12:00 Minamimura Japan  0.1
12 Aug 2019 12:00 Kyuto Japan  0.1
12 Aug 2019 12:00 Kita-daito Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Noma Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Odaira Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Yanagihara Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Guniwa Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Anno Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Iseki Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Shoiiura Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Hirauchi Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Kojima Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Onoaida Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Haro Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Mugyu Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Honjo Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Miyanoura Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Takada Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Yasuoka Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Chofu Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Kagawa Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Tabe Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Habu Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Ajisu Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Shimogo Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Izashiki Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Misaki Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Tosa-Shimizu Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Shimoda Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Irino Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Nada Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Kadogawa Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Shibushi Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Miyanoura Japan  0.1
14 Aug 2019 00:00 Naruto Japan  0.1