Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for DORIAN-19
in Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
28 Aug 2019 09 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone DORIAN-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
    Exposed population 2.7 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 296 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (28 Aug 20:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (The Bahamas)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 157 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 296 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      157 km/h Current Max.

      Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 139 920 thousand No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico
        Green 2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 139 8.1 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
        Green 3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 130 8.9 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
        Green 4 25 Aug 2019 09:00 120 9.5 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Martinique, Dominican Republic
        Green 5 25 Aug 2019 15:00 120 9.3 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominican Republic, Haiti
        Orange 6 25 Aug 2019 21:00 111 11.8 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominican Republic, Haiti
        Green 7 26 Aug 2019 03:00 120 10.3 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas
        Green 8 26 Aug 2019 09:00 120 8.6 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
        Orange 9 26 Aug 2019 15:00 130 10.5 million 650 thousand Dominican Republic
        Orange 10 26 Aug 2019 21:00 130 8.7 million 390 thousand Dominican Republic
        Orange 11 27 Aug 2019 03:00 120 9.9 million 330 thousand Dominican Republic
        Green 12 27 Aug 2019 09:00 111 13.3 million No people Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Bahamas, United States
        Green 13 27 Aug 2019 15:00 111 11.5 million No people Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Bahamas, United States
        Green 14 27 Aug 2019 21:00 111 8.5 million No people Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Bahamas, United States
        Green 15 28 Aug 2019 03:00 130 8.4 million No people Martinique, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saint Lucia, Puerto Rico, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Bahamas, United States
        Green 16 28 Aug 2019 09:00 157 7 million No people Virgin Islands, U.S., Virgin Islands, British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Bahamas, United States

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.4, -47.9
          GREEN
          		 2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.7, -49.1
          GREEN
          		 3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.9, -50.4
          GREEN
          		 4 25 Aug 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 11, -51.6
          GREEN
          		 5 25 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 11.2, -52.9
          GREEN
          		 6 25 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.5, -54.2
          GREEN
          		 7 26 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.7, -55.3
          GREEN
          		 8 26 Aug 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 11.9, -56.4
          GREEN
          		 9 26 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 290000 people 12.3, -57.7 Barbados
          GREEN
          		 10 26 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 370000 people 12.7, -58.8 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          GREEN
          		 11 27 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 680000 people 13.2, -59.7 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          GREEN
          		 12 27 Aug 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 260000 people 13.5, -60.7 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          GREEN
          		 13 27 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.2, -61.8 Martinique
          GREEN
          		 14 27 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 15.3, -62.5
          GREEN
          		 15 28 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 16, -63
          GREEN
          		 16 28 Aug 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 1.1 million people 16.8, -63.9 Puerto Rico
          GREEN
          		 16 28 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 3.3 million people 17.9, -65.3 Puerto Rico
          GREEN
          		 16 29 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 19.5, -66.8
          GREEN
          		 16 29 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 21.4, -68.2
          GREEN
          		 16 30 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 23.3, -69.6
          GREEN
          		 16 31 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 1 148 no people 15000 people 26.1, -73 Bahamas
          GREEN
          		 16 01 Sep 2019 06:00 Category 2 157 no people 3.2 million people 27.7, -77.1 United States
          GREEN
          		 16 02 Sep 2019 06:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 29, -80 United States
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Palmas del Mar, Puerto Rico. This height is estimated for 28 Aug 2019 20:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (193 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 15 of 28 Aug 2019 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Palmas del Mar Puerto Rico  0.4
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Buena Vista Puerto Rico  0.4
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Bajandas Puerto Rico  0.4
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Punta Santiago Puerto Rico  0.4
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Playa de Humacao Puerto Rico  0.4
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Aguas Claras Puerto Rico  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Ceiba Puerto Rico  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Campamento Punta Lima Puerto Rico  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Daguao Puerto Rico  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Naguabo Puerto Rico  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Estacion Botija Puerto Rico  0.3
          01 Sep 2019 03:00 Red Bay The Bahamas  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Playa de Guayanes Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 19:00 Luis M. Cintron Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Roosevelt Roads Puerto Rico  0.2
          01 Sep 2019 03:00 Norman Castle The Bahamas  0.2
          01 Sep 2019 03:00 Blackwood Village The Bahamas  0.2
          01 Sep 2019 03:00 Cedar Harbor The Bahamas  0.2
          01 Sep 2019 03:00 Cooper's Town The Bahamas  0.2
          01 Sep 2019 03:00 Fox Town The Bahamas  0.2
          01 Sep 2019 03:00 Nicolls Town The Bahamas  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Doraville Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Dorado Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Toa Baja Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Ingenio Puerto Rico  0.2
          01 Sep 2019 03:00 Pelican Point The Bahamas  0.2
          01 Sep 2019 03:00 High Rocks The Bahamas  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Convento Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Isidra Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Las Croabas Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Tierras Nuevas Poniente Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Garrochales Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Barceloneta Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 La Boca Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 La Luisa Puerto Rico  0.2
          01 Sep 2019 02:00 Hard Bargain The Bahamas  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Arenas Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Loiza Aldea Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Suarez Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Palo Seco Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Catano Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Caparra Hills Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Nemesio Canales Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Baldrich Puerto Rico  0.2
          01 Sep 2019 01:00 Crown Haven The Bahamas  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 19:00 Fajardo Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 19:00 Culebra Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 19:00 San Ildefonso Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Yabucoa Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Comunas Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Candelero Arriba Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Rio Abajo Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Campo Alegre Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Coto Norte Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Sandin Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Los Naranjos Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Sabana Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Ceiba Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Brenas Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Camino Delmar Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Islote Puerto Rico  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 01:00 Sam Lord's Castle Barbados  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Camporico Virgin Islands  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Bettys Hope Virgin Islands  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Butler Bay Virgin Islands  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Hams Bay Virgin Islands  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Jolly Hill Virgin Islands  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Annaly Virgin Islands  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Carlton Virgin Islands  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Allandale Virgin Islands  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Fountain Virgin Islands  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 North Star Virgin Islands  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Upper Love Virgin Islands  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Negro Bay Virgin Islands  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Hermitage Virgin Islands  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Hacienda Arcadia Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Emajagua Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Vieques Puerto Rico  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Saint Lawrence Gap Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Oistins Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Gibbons Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Holetown Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Bridgetown Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Collins Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Bathsheba Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Speightstown Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Mullins Bay Barbados  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 San Antonio Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Sabana Seca Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Enramada Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Las Palmas Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Jardines de Caparra Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Guaynabo Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Vietnam Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Puerta de Tierra Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Condado Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 San Juan Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Punta Las Marias Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Campamento Pinones Puerto Rico  0.1
          01 Sep 2019 03:00 Hope Estate The Bahamas  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Playa Fortuna Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Luquillo Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Hato Candal Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Palmer Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Coqui Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 San Felipe Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Villodas Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Recio Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Maunabo Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 El Negro Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Rio Grande Puerto Rico  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 12:00 Anbre St. Lucia  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 11:00 Soufriere St. Lucia  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 12:00 Castries St. Lucia  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 12:00 Cap Estate St. Lucia  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Belvedere Virgin Islands  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Bethlehem Old Work Virgin Islands  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Libanon Hill Virgin Islands  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Anguilla Virgin Islands  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Clairmont Virgin Islands  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Clifton Hill Virgin Islands  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Bonne Esperance Virgin Islands  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Montpellier Virgin Islands  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Diamond Virgin Islands  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Jerusalem and Figtree Hill Virgin Islands  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Bellevue Virgin Islands  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Annas Hope Virgin Islands  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Christiansted Virgin Islands  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 16:00 Bugbyhole Virgin Islands  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Margarita Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Green Hills Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Corazon Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Arroyo Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Buena Vista Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Extension Vista Mar Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Arecibo Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Jarealito Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 San Vicente Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Ramos Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Jobos Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Reunion Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Central Aguirre Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Guayama Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Jauca Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Bizarreta Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Playita Cortada Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Las Ollas Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Santa Isabel Puerto Rico  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 11:00 Bosquet d'Or St. Lucia  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Palmas Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Providencia Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Lamboglia Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Levittown Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Biascoechea Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Parque Isla Verde Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Palomar Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Lechuga Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Carrizales Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Corcovado Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Las Cunetas Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Barranca Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 02:00 Quebradillas Puerto Rico  0.1
          01 Sep 2019 02:00 Marsh Harbour The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 23:00 Hope Town The Bahamas  0.1
          01 Sep 2019 00:00 Great Guana Cay The Bahamas  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Playita Machete Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Esperanza Puerto Rico  0.1
          01 Sep 2019 03:00 Hutchinson Island South United States  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 10:00 Vieux Fort St. Lucia  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 19:00 Esperanza Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Isabel Segunda Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Santa Maria Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Vieques Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Patillas Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Palo Seco Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 El Banco Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 El Morro Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Manuel A Perez Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Country Club Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Carolina Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Membrillo Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Alianza Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Camuy Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Hatillo Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Higuillales Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Domingo Ruiz Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 02:00 Isabela Puerto Rico  0.1
          01 Sep 2019 00:00 Wilson City The Bahamas  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Las Ochenta Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Salinas Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Pastillo Puerto Rico  0.1
          01 Sep 2019 00:00 Crossing Rocks The Bahamas  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 03:00 Cacandee Settlement Trinidad and Tobago  0.1