Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FERNAND-19
in Mexico
03 Sep 2019 21 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone FERNAND-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 102 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (05 Sep 07:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 83 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 102 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      83 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 970000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 03 Sep 2019 09:00 74 110 thousand No people Mexico
        Green 2 03 Sep 2019 15:00 74 150 thousand No people Mexico
        Green 3 03 Sep 2019 21:00 83 970 thousand No people Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 03 Sep 2019 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.5, -94.3
          GREEN
          		 2 03 Sep 2019 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.6, -94.9
          GREEN
          		 3 03 Sep 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 25000 people 23.4, -95.9 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 3 04 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 280000 people 23.4, -96.5 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 3 04 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 660000 people 23.7, -97.5 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 3 05 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 780000 people 24.2, -98.4 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 3 05 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 25, -99.4 Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mexico

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Tamaulipas Mexico
          Nuevo Leon Mexico

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Cuauhtemoc Tamaulipas Mexico City 5600 people
          Abasolo Tamaulipas Mexico City 6700 people
          Ciudad Victoria Tamaulipas Mexico Major city -
          Linares Nuevo León Mexico City 57000 people
          Montemorelos Nuevo León Mexico City 38000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          La Pesca 5 0
          Carvajal 7 0
          Rancho Marina Vieja 30 0
          El Mezquite 5 0
          Nuevo Dolores 146 0
          San Fernando 49 0
          La Retama Southwest 608 0
          Ciudad Victoria CVM 235 Civ. Paved Yes 7200

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Altamira Mexico

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Adjuntas Vincente Guerrero Soto la Marina 1971
          Cerro Prieto Pablillo 1982
          El Cuchillo San Juan 1994
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.8 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Port O'Connor, United States. This height is estimated for 05 Sep 2019 07:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (165 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 03 Sep 2019 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.8
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Palacios United States  0.8
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Nadeau United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Texas City United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Virginia Point United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Fort Travis United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Flake United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Elmgrove United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Spanish Village United States  0.7
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Estes United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 06:00 Matagorda United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 06:00 Chinquapin United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Hoskins United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Freeport United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Mims United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Hoskins United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Port Morris United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Rockport United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Copano Village United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Fulton United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Patton United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 High Island United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 06:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 06:00 Port Aransas United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 06:00 Quintana United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 06:00 Surfside United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 06:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.6
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Sea Isle United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Caplen United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Gilchrist United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Gulf Park United States  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 21:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 22:00 La Pesca Mexico  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 21:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 06:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 06:00 Galveston United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 06:00 Yarborough United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Holly Beach United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 02:00 Port Isabel United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Constance Beach United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Holly Beach United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Cameron United States  0.5
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 05:00 South Padre Island United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Oak Grove United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 16:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 01:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 16:00 Boca Chica United States  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 01:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.4
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 12:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 13:00 Los Pericos Mexico  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 11:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 11:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 11:00 Champoton Mexico  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 13:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 06:00 El Tular Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 05:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 West Point United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 11:00 Celestum Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 11:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Leeville United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Grand Ecaille United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Duvic United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Breton United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 14:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 12:00 Sisal Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Hilda United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Gautier United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Majahual Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 04:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Grand Isle United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 16:00 Calderas Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 04:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 04:00 El Roble Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 04:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Sunrise United States  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Buras United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 08:00 La Presita Mexico  0.2
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Pascagoula United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 16:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 06:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 06:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 06:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 04:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 12:00 Chelem Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 12:00 Progreso Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 12:00 Pixoy Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 13:00 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 13:00 Chabihau Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 13:00 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 11:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 11:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 04:00 La Majada Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Ostrica United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Neptune United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 11:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 14:00 Noham Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 12:00 La Mata Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 04:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 04:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Fort Jackson United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 05:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 13:00 Cerrito Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 13:00 Chisahcab Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Dauphin Island United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Fort Gaines United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Boothville United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 12:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 13:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 13:00 Rio Lagartos Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Port Fourchon United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Heron Bay United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Alabama Port United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Fort Morgan United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 03:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Cedar Grove United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Gasque United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Magnolia Springs United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Oyster Bay United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Bon Secaur United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Oak United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 08:00 Gulf Shores United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 05:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 18:00 El Cuyo Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Bayou La Batre United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Coden United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Nelson United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Gulf Highlands United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Swift United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Romar Beach United States  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 07:00 Miffin United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 05:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 05:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 05:00 Condega Honduras  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 05:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 14:00 Santeneja Belize  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 12:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.1