Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FERNAND-19
in Mexico
04 Sep 2019 09 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone FERNAND-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 102 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (04 Sep 14:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 83 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 102 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      83 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 1.9 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 03 Sep 2019 09:00 74 110 thousand No people Mexico
        Green 2 03 Sep 2019 15:00 74 150 thousand No people Mexico
        Green 3 03 Sep 2019 21:00 83 970 thousand No people Mexico
        Green 4 04 Sep 2019 03:00 102 1.5 million No people Mexico
        Green 5 04 Sep 2019 09:00 83 1.9 million No people Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 03 Sep 2019 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.5, -94.3
          GREEN
          		 2 03 Sep 2019 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 23.6, -94.9
          GREEN
          		 3 03 Sep 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 25000 people 23.4, -95.9 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 4 04 Sep 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.2 million people 23.2, -96.4 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 5 04 Sep 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 1.8 million people 23.1, -96.8 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 5 04 Sep 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1.9 million people 23.5, -97.9 Mexico
          GREEN
          		 5 05 Sep 2019 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 24, -99.2 Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Mexico

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Tamaulipas Mexico
          Veracruz Mexico
          San Luis Potosi Mexico
          Nuevo Leon Mexico

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Tampico Tamaulipas Mexico Major city 310000 people
          Cuauhtemoc Tamaulipas Mexico City 5600 people
          Pánuco Veracruz Mexico City 34000 people
          Abasolo Tamaulipas Mexico City 6700 people
          Ciudada Mante Tamaulipas Mexico City -
          Ciudad Victoria Tamaulipas Mexico Major city -
          Linares Nuevo León Mexico City 57000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          La Pesca 5 0
          Gen Francisco J Mina International TAM 24 Civ. Paved Yes 8300
          Rancho Marina Vieja 30 0
          Carvajal 7 0
          Ebano 50 0
          Nuevo Dolores 146 0
          Xicotencatl 115 0
          La Retama Southwest 608 0
          Ciudad Victoria CVM 235 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
          Cuauhtemoc MMC 104 Civ. Unpaved No 3900
          San Fernando 49 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Altamira Mexico
          Ciudad Madero Mexico
          Tampico MXTAM Mexico

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Animas Guayalejo 1978
          San Lorenzo El Sauz 1982
          Adjuntas Vincente Guerrero Soto la Marina 1971
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

          TOP

          StormSurge

          0.6 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in San Jose de los Leones, Mexico. This height is estimated for 04 Sep 2019 14:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (140 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 5 of 04 Sep 2019 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          04 Sep 2019 14:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.6
          04 Sep 2019 16:00 La Pesca Mexico  0.6
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Palacios United States  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 16:00 Los Pericos Mexico  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 20:00 Nadeau United States  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 20:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 20:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 20:00 Texas City United States  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 20:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 20:00 Virginia Point United States  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 20:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 20:00 Fort Travis United States  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 20:00 Flake United States  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 20:00 Elmgrove United States  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 20:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 20:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.5
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Aransas Pass United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Estes United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Shell Ridge United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Spanish Village United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 Holly Beach United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 Port Isabel United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Rockport United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Copano Village United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Fulton United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Mustang Beach United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Port Aransas United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 High Island United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 14:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Hoskins United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Freeport United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Mims United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Hoskins United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Port Morris United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Patton United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Quintana United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Surfside United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Caplen United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Gilchrist United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Constance Beach United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Holly Beach United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 16:00 Yarborough United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Sea Isle United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Cameron United States  0.4
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Matagorda United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Chinquapin United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Galveston United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 14:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Gulf Park United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Oak Grove United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 South Padre Island United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Grand Chenier United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 14:00 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 Boca Chica United States  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 09:00 El Tular Mexico  0.3
          04 Sep 2019 21:00 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Balantanche Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 12:00 La Presita Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 16:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 13:00 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 21:00 Celestum Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 09:00 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 09:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 09:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 21:00 Sisal Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 21:00 Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 West Point United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 13:00 La Mata Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 22:00 Seybaplaya Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Leeville United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Hilda United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Gautier United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Grand Ecaille United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Boothville United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Duvic United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Breton United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 22:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 22:00 Champoton Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 22:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Port Fourchon United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Pascagoula United States  0.2
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Noham Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 San Pedro Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 07:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 La Majada Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Chelem Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Progreso Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 04:00 Pixoy Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 23:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Sunrise United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Buras United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Calderas Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Majahual Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Chabihau Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Cerrito Mexico  0.1
          05 Sep 2019 05:00 Chisahcab Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 08:00 El Naranjal Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Grand Isle United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Ostrica United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 18:00 Neptune United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 15:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 22:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Bayou La Batre United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Coden United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 17:00 Nelson United States  0.1
          04 Sep 2019 19:00 Fort Jackson United States  0.1