Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SEBASTIEN-19
in Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SEBASTIEN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (20 Nov 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Portugal)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 102 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 130 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

102 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 19 Nov 2019 15:00 83 No people No people
Green 2 19 Nov 2019 21:00 102 No people No people

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 19 Nov 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 20.1, -58.7
GREEN
2 19 Nov 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 20.6, -59.7
GREEN
2 20 Nov 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 21.3, -60.7
GREEN
2 20 Nov 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 22.6, -61.9
GREEN
2 21 Nov 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 24.2, -61
GREEN
2 21 Nov 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 26, -58.9
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in The Settlement, British Virgin Islands. This height is estimated for 20 Nov 2019 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (25 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 19 Nov 2019 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Nov 2019 23:00 The Settlement British Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Spanish Town British Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Pacham Town British Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Adelphi Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Neltjeberg Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Cabritaberg Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Barrett Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Charlotte Amalie Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Enighed Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Bellevue Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Mandal Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Bolongo Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Donoe Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Benner Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Contant Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Adrian Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Fish Bay Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Belle Vue British Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Annaberg Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Bordeaux Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Calabash Boom Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Hermitage Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 East End Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Road Town British Virgin Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 22:00 Codrington Antigua and Barbuda  0.1