Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CHANTAL-13
in Haiti, Cuba, Jamaica, Dominican Republic, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
08 Jul 2013 21 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • JRC
Impact Single TC
    Impact based on all weather systems in the area

    Impact

      Tropical Cyclone CHANTAL-13 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

      Meteorological source GDACS
      Exposed countries Haiti, Cuba, Jamaica, Dominican Republic, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
      Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
      Maximum wind speed 111 km/h
      Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (11 Jul 20:00 UTC)
      Vulnerability High (Haiti)

      GDACS Score

      GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
      For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
        Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
      Current 111 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
      Overall 111 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

      Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

      TOP

      Wind

        111 km/h Current Max.

        Up to 17.5 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

        Impact Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
          Tropical Storm or higher          		 Population in
          Cat 1. or higher          		 Countries
          Green 1 08 Jul 2013 03:00 101 No people No people Haiti, Cuba, United States, Dominican Republic, Bahamas, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          Orange 2 08 Jul 2013 09:00 101 No people No people Haiti, Cuba, United States, Dominican Republic, Bahamas, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          Green 3 08 Jul 2013 15:00 111 No people No people Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, United States, Bahamas, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          Green 4 08 Jul 2013 21:00 111 No people No people Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas, Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico

          Bulletin Timeline

            Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
            (SSHS)             		Max winds
            (km/h)             		Population in
            Cat.1 or higher             		Population in
            Tropical Storm
            or higher             		Location (lat, lon) Countries
            green
            		 1 7/8/2013 3:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 9.8, -47.2
            green
            		 2 7/8/2013 9:00:00 AM Tropical storm 64 no people no people 10.4, -49.5
            green
            		 3 7/8/2013 3:00:00 PM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 10.9, -51.7
            green
            		 4 7/8/2013 9:00:00 PM Tropical storm 74 no people no people 11.8, -53.9
            green
            		 4 7/9/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 84 no people 910000 people 13, -57.3 Barbados, Dominica, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
            green
            		 4 7/9/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 93 no people 570000 people 14.6, -61.7 Dominica, Saint Lucia, Martinique
            green
            		 4 7/10/2013 6:00:00 AM Tropical storm 101 no people 5.3 million people 16.2, -66 Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico
            green
            		 4 7/10/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 111 no people 16.5 million people 17.8, -69.6 Dominican Republic, Haiti, Cuba, Bahamas
            green
            		 4 7/11/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical storm 84 no people 340000 people 21, -74.5 Cuba, Bahamas
            green
            		 4 7/12/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 24.3, -76.6 Bahamas
            green
            		 4 7/13/2013 6:00:00 PM Tropical depression 56 no people no people 26.7, -78 Bahamas
            **
            Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO
            Actual track of the current bulletin
            The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
            Download:



            Exposed population - AoIs

            Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

            Provinces

            Country Region Province
            Dominican Republic Monte Cristi
            Dominican Republic Puerto Plata
            Haiti Nord-Ouest
            Cuba Guantanamo
            Cuba Holguin
            Haiti Artibonite
            Haiti Centre
            Haiti Nord-Est
            Haiti Nord
            Haiti Ouest
            Haiti Sud-Est
            Dominican Republic Dajabon
            Dominican Republic Espaillat
            Dominican Republic Salcedo
            Dominican Republic Santiago
            Dominican Republic Santiago Rodrigu
            Dominican Republic Valverde
            Dominican Republic Baoruco
            Dominican Republic Barahona
            Dominican Republic Independencia
            Dominican Republic La Estrelleta
            Dominican Republic Pedernales
            Dominican Republic San Juan
            Dominican Republic Azua
            Dominican Republic La Vega
            Dominican Republic Monsenor Novel
            Dominican Republic Peravia
            Dominican Republic Distrito Nacional
            Dominican Republic Duarte
            Dominican Republic Hato Major
            Dominican Republic Monte Plata
            Dominican Republic Maria Trinidad S
            Dominican Republic Samana
            Dominican Republic San Cristobal
            Dominican Republic Santo Domingo
            Dominican Republic Sanchez Ramirez
            Dominican Republic El Seibo
            Dominican Republic La Altagracia
            Dominican Republic La Romana
            Dominican Republic San Pedro de Macor¡s
            Bahamas Bahamas
            Barbados Barbados
            Dominica Dominica
            Saint Lucia St. Lucia
            Martinique Martinique
            Saint Vincent and the Grenadines St. Vincent & the Grenadines
            Puerto Rico Mayag?ez

            Populated places

            Name Region Province Country City class Population
            Fort-de-France Martinique Capital 89000 people
            Castries Castries St. Lucia Capital 13000 people
            Port-au-Prince Ouest Haiti Capital 1.2 million people
            Santo Domingo Distrito Nacional Dominican Republic Capital 2.2 million people
            Roseau Saint George Dominica Capital 17000 people
            Bridgetown Saint Michael Barbados Capital 97000 people
            Monte Cristi Monti Cristi Dominican Republic City 17000 people
            Puerto Plata Puerto Plata Dominican Republic City 120000 people
            Cap-Haïtien Nord Haiti City 120000 people
            Imbert Puerto Plata Dominican Republic City 7900 people
            Lucas Evangelista de Peña Monti Cristi Dominican Republic City -
            Limbé Nord Haiti City 32000 people
            Pepillo Salcedo Monti Cristi Dominican Republic City 3800 people
            Gros Morne Artibonite Haiti City -
            Mao Valverde Dominican Republic City 47000 people
            Quanaminthe Nord-Est Haiti City -
            Dajabón Dajabón Dominican Republic City 16000 people
            Santiago Rodríguez Santiago Rodríguez Dominican Republic City -
            Santiago Santiago Dominican Republic City 550000 people
            Gonaïves Artibonite Haiti City 74000 people
            Loma de Cabrera Dajabón Dominican Republic City 6600 people
            Moca Espaillat Dominican Republic City 62000 people
            San Francisco de Macorís Duarte Dominican Republic City 130000 people
            La Vega La Vega Dominican Republic City 100000 people
            Pimentel Duarte Dominican Republic City 9500 people
            Hinche Centre Haiti City 18000 people
            Saint-Marc Artibonite Haiti City 65000 people
            Cotuí Sánchez Ramírez Dominican Republic City 53000 people
            Bonao Monsenor Novel Dominican Republic City 73000 people
            Constanza La Vega Dominican Republic City 29000 people
            San Juan San Juan Dominican Republic City -
            San José de Ocoa San José de Ocoa Dominican Republic City -
            Pétionville Ouest Haiti City 91000 people
            Neiba Baoruco Dominican Republic City -
            Azua Azua Dominican Republic City 59000 people
            Bajos de Haina San Cristóbal Dominican Republic City 67000 people
            San Cristóbal San Cristóbal Dominican Republic City 110000 people
            Vicente Noble Barahona Dominican Republic City 11000 people
            Duvergé Independencia Dominican Republic City 9800 people
            Baní Peravia Dominican Republic City 58000 people
            Cabral Barahona Dominican Republic City 12000 people
            Barahona Barahona Dominican Republic City 76000 people
            Nagua María Trinidad Sánchez Dominican Republic City 34000 people
            Sánchez Samaná Dominican Republic City 13000 people
            Sabana de la Mar Hato Major Dominican Republic City 14000 people
            El Valle Hato Major Dominican Republic City -
            Monte Plata Monte Plata Dominican Republic City 15000 people
            Hato Mayor Hato Major Dominican Republic City 36000 people
            El Seibo El Seíbo Dominican Republic City 23000 people
            Higüey La Altagracia Dominican Republic City 66000 people
            Consuelo San Pedro de Macorís Dominican Republic City 27000 people
            San Pedro de Macorís San Pedro de Macorís Dominican Republic City 160000 people
            Boca Chica Santo Domingo Dominican Republic City -
            Andrés Santo Domingo Dominican Republic City -
            La Romana La Romana Dominican Republic City 210000 people
            Baracoa Guantánamo Cuba City 47000 people

            Critical infrastructure

            Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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            Rainfall

            Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

            ...

            TOP

            StormSurge

            0.3 m

            The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in El Toro, Cuba. This height is estimated for 11 Jul 2013 20:00 UTC .

            The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

            Locations affected by Storm surge (29 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 11 of 10 Jul 2013 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

            Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
            11 Jul 2013 20:00 El Toro Cuba  0.3
            11 Jul 2013 19:00 Jucaro Cuba  0.2
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Cap Estate St. Lucia  0.2
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Le Vauclin Martinique  0.2
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Castries St. Lucia  0.2
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Fonds Panier Martinique  0.2
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Sainte-Anne Martinique  0.2
            11 Jul 2013 19:00 Playa Santa Maria Cuba  0.2
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Les Anses dArlets Martinique  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Anbre St. Lucia  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 15:00 Hyacinthe Martinique  0.1
            11 Jul 2013 21:00 Tunas de Zaza Cuba  0.1
            11 Jul 2013 20:00 El Caney Cuba  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Collins Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Bathsheba Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Speightstown Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Mullins Bay Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Fort-de-France Martinique  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Soufriere St. Lucia  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Bosquet d'Or St. Lucia  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Sam Lord's Castle Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Holetown Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 15:00 Sainte Pierre Martinique  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Saint Lawrence Gap Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Oistins Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 11:00 Gibbons Barbados  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Lero Martinique  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 14:00 Vieux Fort St. Lucia  0.1
            09 Jul 2013 15:00 Basse-Pointe Martinique  0.1