Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CEBILE-18
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CEBILE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 74 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (08 Feb 10:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 74 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 74 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5


Impact Timeline

Legend
people affected <=10000
people affected >10000 and <100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 03 Feb 2018 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 03 Feb 2018 06:00 152 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 03 Feb 2018 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 03 Feb 2018 18:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 04 Feb 2018 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 04 Feb 2018 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 04 Feb 2018 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 04 Feb 2018 18:00 150 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 05 Feb 2018 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 05 Feb 2018 06:00 143 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 05 Feb 2018 12:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 05 Feb 2018 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 06 Feb 2018 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 06 Feb 2018 06:00 110 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 06 Feb 2018 12:00 102 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 06 Feb 2018 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 07 Feb 2018 00:00 123 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 07 Feb 2018 06:00 121 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 07 Feb 2018 12:00 124 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 07 Feb 2018 18:00 91 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 08 Feb 2018 00:00 82 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 08 Feb 2018 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 08 Feb 2018 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 08 Feb 2018 18:00 80 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 09 Feb 2018 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 09 Feb 2018 06:00 84 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 09 Feb 2018 12:00 74 - - - - - - -





Exposed population

Non exposed population based on the bulletin of 09 Feb 2018 12:00 UTC (final)

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Point Marianne, British Indian Ocean Territory. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2018 10:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Feb 2018 12:00 UTC (final)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2018 10:30 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.3
08 Feb 2018 10:30 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.3
02 Feb 2018 16:45 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.2

Calculation folder at this link