Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CEBILE-18
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CEBILE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 89 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (08 Feb 12:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge GDACS score
HWRF Current 89 km/h 0.3 m 0.5
HWRF Overall 89 km/h 0.3 m 0.5


Impact Timeline

Legend
people affected <=10000
people affected >10000 and <100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Feb 2018 00:00 226 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Feb 2018 06:00 231 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 02 Feb 2018 12:00 217 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Feb 2018 18:00 221 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 03 Feb 2018 00:00 193 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Feb 2018 06:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 04 Feb 2018 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 05 Feb 2018 00:00 163 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 05 Feb 2018 06:00 143 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 05 Feb 2018 12:00 121 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 05 Feb 2018 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 06 Feb 2018 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 06 Feb 2018 06:00 110 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 06 Feb 2018 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 06 Feb 2018 18:00 81 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 07 Feb 2018 00:00 93 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 07 Feb 2018 06:00 85 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 07 Feb 2018 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 07 Feb 2018 18:00 81 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 08 Feb 2018 00:00 109 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 08 Feb 2018 06:00 73 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 08 Feb 2018 12:00 89 - - - - - - -





Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2018 12:00 UTC (final)

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Point Marianne, British Indian Ocean Territory. This height is estimated for 08 Feb 2018 12:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Feb 2018 12:00 UTC (final)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Feb 2018 12:15 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.3
08 Feb 2018 12:15 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.3
11 Feb 2018 01:00 La Roche Godon French Southern and Antarctic Lands  0.1

Calculation folder at this link