Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KELVIN-18
in Australia
18 Feb 2018 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KELVIN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 142 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (18 Feb 09:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 142 km/h 1.2 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 142 km/h 1.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

142 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Feb 2018 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Australia407 
Tropical StormAustralia18,438 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Feb 2018 06:00 67 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 16 Feb 2018 12:00 74 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 16 Feb 2018 18:00 98 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Feb 2018 00:00 91 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 17 Feb 2018 06:00 88 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 17 Feb 2018 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 17 Feb 2018 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Feb 2018 00:00 129 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 18 Feb 2018 06:00 142 Few people
- - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 18 Feb 2018 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Feb 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 16 Feb 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 16 Feb 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Feb 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 17 Feb 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 17 Feb 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 17 Feb 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 18 Feb 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 18 Feb 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

1.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.2m in Thangoo, Australia. This height is estimated for 18 Feb 2018 09:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Feb 2018 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 Feb 2018 09:30 Thangoo Australia  1.2
18 Feb 2018 09:30 Broome Australia  1.0
18 Feb 2018 09:30 Waterbank Australia  0.8
18 Feb 2018 09:30 Kennedys Cottage Australia  0.7
18 Feb 2018 07:30 Pardoo Australia  0.5
18 Feb 2018 07:45 Condon Australia  0.4
18 Feb 2018 21:15 Derby Australia  0.4
18 Feb 2018 09:45 Port Hedland Australia  0.3
18 Feb 2018 09:30 Pender Australia  0.3
19 Feb 2018 14:30 Fannie Bay Australia  0.2
19 Feb 2018 14:30 Parap Australia  0.2
19 Feb 2018 14:30 Darwin Australia  0.2
19 Feb 2018 14:30 Nightcliff Australia  0.2
19 Feb 2018 14:30 Ludmilla Australia  0.2
19 Feb 2018 14:30 Bagot Australia  0.2
19 Feb 2018 14:30 Leanyer Australia  0.2
19 Feb 2018 14:30 Berrimah Australia  0.2
18 Feb 2018 08:30 Esperance Australia  0.2
18 Feb 2018 08:30 Doombup Australia  0.2
18 Feb 2018 06:15 Denison Australia  0.2
18 Feb 2018 06:15 Port Denison Australia  0.2
18 Feb 2018 06:15 Dongara Australia  0.2
18 Feb 2018 07:00 Kollan I Australia  0.2
18 Feb 2018 11:45 Karratha Australia  0.2
18 Feb 2018 06:30 Drummond Cove Australia  0.2
18 Feb 2018 06:30 Popes Landing Australia  0.2
18 Feb 2018 06:30 Waggrakine Australia  0.2
19 Feb 2018 14:00 Larrakeyah Australia  0.2
18 Feb 2018 19:15 Dampier Australia  0.2
19 Feb 2018 13:45 The Palms Australia  0.2
19 Feb 2018 13:45 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.2
18 Feb 2018 07:15 Kalbarri Australia  0.2
18 Feb 2018 19:45 Segintong Indonesia  0.2
18 Feb 2018 21:45 Setiroek Indonesia  0.2
18 Feb 2018 06:30 Geraldton Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 06:30 Horrocks Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 15:30 Matarape Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 15:30 Baja Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 13:30 Bula Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 13:30 Bolifar Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 06:30 Dalyellup Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 06:30 Bunbury Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 06:30 Binningup Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 06:30 Myalup Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 06:30 Picton Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 06:30 Eaton Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 06:30 Burragenup Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 06:30 Australind Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 21:00 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 03:00 Langadai Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 03:00 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 03:00 Berangas Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 03:00 Soengaibali Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 07:00 Gregory Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 07:00 Lynton Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 11:15 Wickham Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 11:15 Point Samson Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 11:15 Cossack Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 16:15 Surutanga Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 16:15 Bua Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 16:15 Boesak Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 16:15 Lura Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 16:15 Bassiang Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 06:00 Wonnerup Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 06:00 Ludlow Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 10:45 Batunong Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 10:45 Loholoho Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 10:45 Lanipa Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 10:45 Pakoee Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 10:45 Pakue Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 10:45 Lelewao Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 10:45 Kamesi Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 08:15 Ritabel Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 08:15 Namralan Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 08:15 Watidal Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 18:30 Jerdacuttup Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 12:00 Waeplou Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 12:00 Djiku Merasa Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 12:00 Namlea Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 07:00 Wailutu Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 07:00 Temin Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 07:00 Bukrane Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 07:00 Koreare Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 01:15 Kilbawar Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 01:15 Waru Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 01:15 Kufar Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 10:45 Tjilalang Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 16:00 Masara Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 16:00 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 16:00 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 16:00 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 16:00 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 16:00 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 16:00 Koroni Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 16:00 Lebo Indonesia  0.1
20 Feb 2018 14:15 Manglusi Indonesia  0.1
20 Feb 2018 14:15 Watmuri Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 03:15 Waha Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 03:15 Tano Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 03:15 Lagole Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 03:15 Bante Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 15:45 Pamandali Indonesia  0.1
20 Feb 2018 16:45 Sidoardjo Indonesia  0.1
20 Feb 2018 02:00 Asaoede Indonesia  0.1
20 Feb 2018 02:00 Loki Indonesia  0.1
20 Feb 2018 02:00 Kaibobo Indonesia  0.1
20 Feb 2018 02:00 Piru Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 16:00 Kalipang Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 16:00 Lemanbang Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 16:00 Tambakbaja Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 06:45 Greenough Australia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 18:15 Hopetoun Australia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 05:00 Semisir Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 15:30 Lakara Indonesia  0.1
20 Feb 2018 15:30 Bayeman Indonesia  0.1
20 Feb 2018 15:30 Probolinggo Indonesia  0.1
20 Feb 2018 15:30 Gending Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 16:00 Toroboeloe Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 05:15 Semaras Indonesia  0.1
20 Feb 2018 16:30 Pasuruan Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 18:00 Wawalalindu Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 18:00 Molawe Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 18:00 Tinobu Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 18:00 Molore Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 18:00 Taponggaja Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 18:00 Belalo Indonesia  0.1
18 Feb 2018 18:00 Kokapi Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 04:00 Sape Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 04:00 Toronaroe Indonesia  0.1
19 Feb 2018 04:00 Badjo Indonesia  0.1
21 Feb 2018 05:00 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.1