Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SAGAR-18
in Somalia, Ethiopia, Yemen
20 May 2018 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SAGAR-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 0 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (21 May 01:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Somalia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 0 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF Overall 0 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

-4 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 20 May 2018 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 May 2018 00:00 89 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 16 May 2018 12:00 70 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 May 2018 00:00 93 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 May 2018 12:00 106 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 May 2018 00:00 106 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 May 2018 12:00 87 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 May 2018 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 May 2018 12:00 85 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 20 May 2018 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 20 May 2018 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 May 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 16 May 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 17 May 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 May 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 May 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 May 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 19 May 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 19 May 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 20 May 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Midi, Yemen. This height is estimated for 21 May 2018 01:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 May 2018 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 May 2018 01:45 Midi Yemen  0.2
21 May 2018 01:45 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.2
21 May 2018 01:45 Al Madasikah Yemen  0.2
20 May 2018 20:30 Dagabta Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 04:30 Qawz al Ja'afirah Saudi Arabia  0.2
21 May 2018 04:30 Mansiyah Saudi Arabia  0.2
21 May 2018 04:15 Fugwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
21 May 2018 04:00 Farasan Saudi Arabia  0.2
20 May 2018 00:30 Qishn Yemen  0.2
21 May 2018 04:00 Jizan Saudi Arabia  0.2
21 May 2018 03:45 Al Karbus Saudi Arabia  0.2
21 May 2018 03:45 Al Madaya Saudi Arabia  0.2
21 May 2018 04:30 Bu Tawq Saudi Arabia  0.2
21 May 2018 08:00 Sheib Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 08:00 Wekiro Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 08:00 Harat Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 04:45 Khatib Saudi Arabia  0.2
21 May 2018 04:45 Sajid Saudi Arabia  0.2
21 May 2018 04:15 Haima Saudi Arabia  0.2
21 May 2018 04:15 Humr Saudi Arabia  0.2
21 May 2018 09:15 Habrenta Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 09:15 Macanille Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 09:15 Croto Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 09:15 Delemme Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 01:15 Al Luyhayyah Yemen  0.2
21 May 2018 09:15 Port Smyth Eritrea  0.2
20 May 2018 22:45 Nocra Eritrea  0.2
20 May 2018 22:45 Jimhil Eritrea  0.2
20 May 2018 22:45 Cumbeiba Eritrea  0.2
20 May 2018 22:45 Debealuwa Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 09:30 Emberemi Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 09:30 Mitsiwa Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 13:00 Mersa Fatma Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 13:00 Rasa Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 03:45 Al Jazirah Yemen  0.2
21 May 2018 03:45 Al 'Urj Yemen  0.2
21 May 2018 02:45 Gulbub Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 09:00 Hargigo Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 09:00 Nauret Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 05:00 Sair Saudi Arabia  0.2
21 May 2018 02:45 Mersa Kuba Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 03:45 Jabanah Yemen  0.2
20 May 2018 23:15 Sahelia Eritrea  0.2
21 May 2018 00:30 Sayfaf Yemen  0.2
21 May 2018 00:30 Al Khawbah Yemen  0.2
21 May 2018 00:45 Kamaran Yemen  0.1
21 May 2018 00:45 Qurayyah Yemen  0.1
21 May 2018 00:45 Ibn Abbas Yemen  0.1
21 May 2018 00:30 Doleh Eritrea  0.1
21 May 2018 02:15 Gabbi Hu Eritrea  0.1
20 May 2018 11:30 Qandala Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 11:30 Botiala Somalia  0.1
21 May 2018 04:00 Al Hudaydah Yemen  0.1
21 May 2018 11:30 Alela Eritrea  0.1
21 May 2018 11:30 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
21 May 2018 11:30 Aylu Eritrea  0.1
21 May 2018 11:15 Badeda Eritrea  0.1
20 May 2018 00:15 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 00:15 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
21 May 2018 04:00 Al Ghulayfiqah Yemen  0.1
20 May 2018 00:15 Geeri Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 00:15 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 09:30 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
21 May 2018 04:00 Buyut al Muhamirah Yemen  0.1
20 May 2018 10:15 Ceelaayo Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 10:15 Bender Siyaada Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 01:30 Saqr Yemen  0.1
22 May 2018 11:00 Tabut Yemen  0.1
22 May 2018 11:00 Hayrut Yemen  0.1
22 May 2018 11:00 Nishtun Yemen  0.1
20 May 2018 00:00 Berbera Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 09:30 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
21 May 2018 05:30 Diwalu Eritrea  0.1
21 May 2018 03:30 Al Fazah Yemen  0.1
21 May 2018 05:45 Mora Eritrea  0.1
20 May 2018 11:45 Maydh Somalia  0.1
21 May 2018 05:15 Horena Eritrea  0.1
20 May 2018 10:45 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
21 May 2018 05:15 Miida Eritrea  0.1
21 May 2018 05:15 Sahli Eritrea  0.1
20 May 2018 07:15 Itab Yemen  0.1
21 May 2018 05:00 Tio Eritrea  0.1
21 May 2018 04:30 Babaiu Eritrea  0.1
21 May 2018 12:15 Marero Somalia  0.1
21 May 2018 12:15 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
21 May 2018 12:15 Aantaara Somalia  0.1
21 May 2018 03:30 Al Butays Yemen  0.1
20 May 2018 11:15 Anteral Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 00:00 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 09:30 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.1
20 May 2018 09:30 Jarub Yemen  0.1
22 May 2018 13:45 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
20 May 2018 10:15 Caluula Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 10:15 Boho Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 10:15 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 10:15 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
20 May 2018 04:30 Ascira Somalia  0.1
21 May 2018 03:45 Hawra Eritrea  0.1
20 May 2018 10:00 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
22 May 2018 10:00 Hais Somalia  0.1
22 May 2018 01:45 Zulumah Yemen  0.1
22 May 2018 01:45 Burum Yemen  0.1
22 May 2018 01:45 Fuwwah Yemen  0.1
22 May 2018 01:45 Al Mukalla Yemen  0.1
21 May 2018 03:30 Abacheri Eritrea  0.1
20 May 2018 00:45 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
20 May 2018 00:45 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
20 May 2018 22:15 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
20 May 2018 22:15 Maushij Yemen  0.1
20 May 2018 00:00 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
22 May 2018 00:30 Al Juwaibiyat Yemen  0.1
22 May 2018 00:30 Al-Raiyan Yemen  0.1
21 May 2018 12:15 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
20 May 2018 22:15 Jirdan Yemen  0.1
21 May 2018 03:30 Sheburur Eritrea  0.1
21 May 2018 03:45 Debba Eritrea  0.1
20 May 2018 07:45 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
21 May 2018 09:15 Karmu Eritrea  0.1
21 May 2018 09:15 Idi Eritrea  0.1
21 May 2018 09:15 Halaba Eritrea  0.1
20 May 2018 10:30 Saylac Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 04:45 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 04:45 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 09:15 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 02:00 Bereeda Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 00:15 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 00:15 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
20 May 2018 00:15 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
21 May 2018 09:30 Beraisole Eritrea  0.1
22 May 2018 11:45 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
22 May 2018 11:45 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
22 May 2018 11:45 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
22 May 2018 11:45 'Adan Yemen  0.1
20 May 2018 03:15 As Sufal Yemen  0.1
20 May 2018 10:00 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
20 May 2018 10:00 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
20 May 2018 00:30 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
20 May 2018 00:30 Maallah Yemen  0.1
20 May 2018 01:00 Tooxin Somalia  0.1