Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THREE-19
Off-shore
19 Mar 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone THREE-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (16 Mar 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 65 km/h 0.2 m 521 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 65 km/h 0.2 m 521 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 19 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 15 Mar 2019 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 15 Mar 2019 06:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Mar 2019 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Mar 2019 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 16 Mar 2019 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 16 Mar 2019 06:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 16 Mar 2019 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Mar 2019 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 17 Mar 2019 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 17 Mar 2019 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 17 Mar 2019 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 17 Mar 2019 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 18 Mar 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 18 Mar 2019 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 18 Mar 2019 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 18 Mar 2019 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 19 Mar 2019 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 19 Mar 2019 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 19 Mar 2019 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmPhilippines154 
250-500 mmPhilippines, Malaysia667,018
+
Philippines637,457 
Other countries04 
Malaysia29,557 
100-250 mmPhilippines, Malaysia, Indonesia3,717,999
+
Philippines3,509,807 
Other countries539 
Malaysia151,654 
Indonesia55,999 
50-100 mmPhilippines, Malaysia, Indonesia11,861,345
+
Philippines10,678,512 
Other countries70 
Malaysia894,480 
Indonesia288,283 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 15 Mar 2019 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 15 Mar 2019 06:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 15 Mar 2019 12:00 228 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Mar 2019 18:00 293 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 16 Mar 2019 00:00 334 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Mar 2019 06:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Mar 2019 12:00 438 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Mar 2019 18:00 231 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 17 Mar 2019 00:00 364 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 17 Mar 2019 06:00 437 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 17 Mar 2019 12:00 277 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 17 Mar 2019 18:00 413 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 18 Mar 2019 00:00 319 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 18 Mar 2019 06:00 362 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 18 Mar 2019 12:00 381 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 18 Mar 2019 18:00 246 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 19 Mar 2019 00:00 273 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 19 Mar 2019 06:00 324 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 19 Mar 2019 12:00 328 150 thousand
- - - Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Calaya, Philippines. This height is estimated for 16 Mar 2019 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Mar 2019 16:00 Calaya Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:00 Barcelona Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:00 Valencia Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:00 Pulupandan Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:00 Pontevedra Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:00 Sum-ag Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:00 Jaro Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:00 Avila Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:00 Bacolod Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:00 Talisay Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:15 Silay Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:45 Talisay Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 16:30 Saravia Philippines  0.2
15 Mar 2019 05:30 Kuala Balingian Malaysia  0.2
15 Mar 2019 05:30 Kuala Tatau Malaysia  0.2
16 Mar 2019 17:00 Anilao Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 17:00 Banate Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 17:00 Barotac Viejo Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 17:00 Culasi Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 17:00 Estado Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 17:00 Victorias Philippines  0.2
15 Mar 2019 05:00 Bintulu Malaysia  0.2
16 Mar 2019 17:15 Punta Buri Philippines  0.2
16 Mar 2019 17:00 Ajuy Philippines  0.1
16 Mar 2019 17:00 Concepcion Philippines  0.1
16 Mar 2019 17:15 Cadiz Viejo Philippines  0.1
16 Mar 2019 17:15 Catapud Philippines  0.1
15 Mar 2019 09:30 Nunukan Indonesia  0.1
15 Mar 2019 09:30 Mentadak Malaysia  0.1
15 Mar 2019 09:30 Kpg Sungai Pendak Malaysia  0.1
16 Mar 2019 17:00 San Dionisio Philippines  0.1
15 Mar 2019 09:30 Djoeata Indonesia  0.1
15 Mar 2019 09:30 Lingkas Indonesia  0.1
15 Mar 2019 09:30 Tarakan Indonesia  0.1
15 Mar 2019 09:30 Peningki Indonesia  0.1
16 Mar 2019 17:15 Cadiz Philippines  0.1
16 Mar 2019 13:45 Montiflor Philippines  0.1
16 Mar 2019 13:45 Balasan Philippines  0.1
16 Mar 2019 13:45 Carles Philippines  0.1
16 Mar 2019 13:45 Binon-an Philippines  0.1
16 Mar 2019 13:45 Estancia Philippines  0.1
16 Mar 2019 13:45 Gabi Philippines  0.1
20 Mar 2019 04:15 Kankan Malaysia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 04:15 Kampong Muhong Malaysia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 04:15 Kampong Kalong Darat Malaysia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 04:15 Kumbatang Malaysia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 04:15 Langkon Malaysia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 04:15 Kampong Radus Malaysia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 04:15 Tandek Malaysia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 04:15 Taritapan Malaysia  0.1
20 Mar 2019 04:15 Kpg Mempakad Malaysia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 08:45 Narandong Malaysia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 08:45 Taburan Malaysia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 08:15 Beluran Malaysia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 08:15 Kampong Kolapis Malaysia  0.1
19 Mar 2019 08:15 Kampong Samawang Malaysia  0.1