Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MATMO-19/BULBUL-19
in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, Viet Nam
29 Oct 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MATMO-19/BULBUL-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Taiwan, Vietnam
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (30 Oct 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.3 m 119 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 169 km/h 1.9 m 570 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

169 km/h

Up to 70 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormTaiwan, Vietnam68,254
+
Taiwan46,759 
Vietnam21,495 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Oct 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - Taiwan, Vietnam
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmVietnam392,917 
100-250 mmVietnam, China, Laos11,647,390
+
Vietnam11,156,137 
China467,337 
Laos23,916 
50-100 mmVietnam, China, Laos, Burma, Cambodia, Philippines, India, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Indonesia18,249,445
+
Vietnam13,535,614 
China2,203,154 
Laos273,778 
Burma4,981 
Cambodia101,555 
Philippines219,095 
India1,226,321 
Sri Lanka541,980 
Malaysia109,963 
Indonesia33,004 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Oct 2019 18:00 437 12 million
- - - Vietnam, China, Laos, Burma, Cambodia, Philippines, India, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Nanad, Philippines. This height is estimated for 30 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Nanad Philippines  0.3
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Buenavista Philippines  0.3
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Sabang Philippines  0.3
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Marofinas Philippines  0.3
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Caruray Philippines  0.3
29 Oct 2019 20:00 Song Cau Vietnam  0.3
29 Oct 2019 20:00 Tuo Nham Vietnam  0.3
29 Oct 2019 20:00 Dan Phu Vietnam  0.3
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Hoi An Vietnam  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 An Thach Vietnam  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Cat Son Phuong Vietnam  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Mui Lay Vietnam  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Giem Ha Trung Vietnam  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Dong Ha Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 20:00 Ap Vinh Trieu Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 20:00 Nha Trang Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 20:00 Kin-hon Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 20:00 Vinh Hoi Vietnam  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Sipitang Malaysia  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Mesapol Malaysia  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Weston Malaysia  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Kampong Suasa Malaysia  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Kpg Menumbok Malaysia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 22:15 Xom Da Me Vietnam  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Thon My Thuy Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Ke Ga Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Binh Sum Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Phan Thiet Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Hai Long Vietnam  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Kpg Ganggarak Malaysia  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Victoria Malaysia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 20:00 Ca Cong Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 20:00 Chanh Giao Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 21:30 Ninh Hoa Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 21:30 Cat Lo Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 21:30 Dong Hai Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 21:30 Ninh Phuoc Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 21:30 Bai Tre Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 21:30 Dam Mon Ha Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:15 Bundu Malaysia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:15 Kampong Kekansa Malaysia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:15 Kuala Penyu Malaysia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:15 Binsulok Malaysia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:15 Kampong Madang Pimping Malaysia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:15 Bongawan Malaysia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 22:45 Kimania Malaysia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 22:45 Kampong Java Malaysia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 22:30 An Cu Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Ap Quan Nam Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Da Nang Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Mui Da Nang Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:15 Papar Malaysia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 19:30 Tuy Hoa Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 20:15 Thon Hoa Diem Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 20:15 Ap Gio Ta Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 20:15 Cam Ranh Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 20:15 Ap Binh Ba Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:45 The Chi Tay Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:45 Kampong Lambidan Malaysia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:45 Kpg Manggis Malaysia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:45 Thai Duong Thuong Vietnam  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Batang Philippines  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Damipac Philippines  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Ugnisan Philippines  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Bonongan Philippines  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Bogtong Philippines  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Carigmalan Philippines  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Concepcion Philippines  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Kiwit Philippines  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Culion Philippines  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Bataguanan Philippines  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Bancuan Philippines  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 San Nicolas Philippines  0.2
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Thon Lac Nghie Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Phan Rang Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Thon Son Hai Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Kampong Baharu Malaysia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Kampong Gaya Malaysia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Kota Kinabalu Malaysia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Kampong Nounton Malaysia  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:30 An Thuan Vietnam  0.2
29 Oct 2019 23:30 Thon Thai Duong Ha Vietnam  0.2
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Xom Lap Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:30 Thon My Khanh Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Kampong Rampayan Malaysia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Inanam Malaysia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:15 Ha Tru Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Culasian Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Capayas Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Danleg Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Santa Teresita Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Dumaran Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Bacao Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Madoldolon Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Banglen Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Taloto Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Bohol Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:00 Jiangjing China  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:00 Haikou China  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:00 Longtian China  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:00 Gangtou China  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:00 San Shah China  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:00 Chiang-t'ien China  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:30 Tuy Phong Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:30 Ap Vinh Hao Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:30 Ky Tan Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:30 An Hai Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Calauag Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Bantulan Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:45 Hoa Da Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:45 Ap Hoi Tam Vietnam  0.1
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Inandeng Philippines  0.1
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Alimanguan Philippines  0.1
30 Oct 2019 00:00 San Miguel Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:30 Duc Pho Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:45 Hameau Mo Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:30 Thon Tri Thuy Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:30 Thon Thai An Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:00 Tuyet iem Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:00 Thanh Thuy Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:45 Phu Xuan Ha Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:45 Ly Nhon Thon Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:45 Dong Hoi Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:45 Cua Thon Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:45 Ap Thien Ai Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Phu Bai Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:00 La Son Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Phung Chinh Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Thon Phu An Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:15 Phu Loc Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:15 Mui Chon Dong Vietnam  0.1
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Barton Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:30 Kankan Malaysia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:30 Kampong Muhong Malaysia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:30 Kampong Kalong Darat Malaysia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:30 Kumbatang Malaysia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:30 Langkon Malaysia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:30 Kampong Radus Malaysia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:30 Tandek Malaysia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:30 Taritapan Malaysia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:30 Kpg Mempakad Malaysia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:15 Pekan Muara Brunei Darussalam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Kampong Panandawan Malaysia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Kpg Mansud Malaysia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:15 Ninh Ma Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Totobach Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Anepahan Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Iwahig Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Malamig Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Irahuan Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Bacungan Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Tagburos Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:00 Gulang-gulang Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:00 Taytay Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:45 Van Ninh Vietnam  0.1
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Pancol Philippines  0.1
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Igan Barrio Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Guanjing China  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Qingfeng China  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Pingtan China  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:00 An Lac Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:00 Dien Truong Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:00 Baheli Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:00 Tapul Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:00 Nacidoc Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:00 Maruyogon Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Bobosawen Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Dalayauan Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 22:30 Tinintinan Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:45 Salvacion Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:45 Decalachao Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:15 Buenavista Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:15 Borac Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Ap Binh Chau Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Pho Tri Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Ham Tan Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 23:00 Lagi Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:30 Alfonso XIII Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:30 Quezon Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:30 Iwahig Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:30 Birong Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:30 Berong Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:30 Dong'ao China  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:30 Hele China  0.1
29 Oct 2019 22:45 Tenghilan Malaysia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Binaluan Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:30 Kiem Long Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:30 Ba Don Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 21:30 Tho Ngoa Vietnam  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Calmung Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Pagauanen Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Bebeladan Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 El Nido Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Manlalec Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Barotuan Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Oton Philippines  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Palalong Philippines  0.1
30 Oct 2019 00:00 Kudat Malaysia  0.1
29 Oct 2019 20:45 Apurauan Philippines  0.1