Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MATMO-19/BULBUL-19
in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, Viet Nam
08 Nov 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MATMO-19/BULBUL-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Bangladesh, India
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.0 m (09 Nov 23:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 104 km/h 2.0 m 157 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 169 km/h 1.9 m 570 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

169 km/h

Up to 39.5 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1India18,539 
Tropical StormBangladesh, India39,504,337
+
Bangladesh22,396,147 
India17,108,190 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 06:00 94 -
- - - - - Vietnam
GREEN 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Vietnam
GREEN 5 30 Oct 2019 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Vietnam
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 31 Oct 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 31 Oct 2019 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 01 Nov 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 01 Nov 2019 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 02 Nov 2019 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 02 Nov 2019 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Nov 2019 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 03 Nov 2019 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 03 Nov 2019 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 21 03 Nov 2019 18:00 68 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 22 04 Nov 2019 00:00 79 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 23 04 Nov 2019 06:00 68 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 24 04 Nov 2019 12:00 68 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 25 04 Nov 2019 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Taiwan, Philippines
GREEN 26 05 Nov 2019 00:00 72 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 27 05 Nov 2019 06:00 76 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 28 05 Nov 2019 12:00 65 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 29 05 Nov 2019 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 06 Nov 2019 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 06 Nov 2019 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 06 Nov 2019 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 06 Nov 2019 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 34 07 Nov 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 35 07 Nov 2019 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 36 07 Nov 2019 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 37 07 Nov 2019 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 38 08 Nov 2019 00:00 133 20 thousand
- - - - Bangladesh, India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmBangladesh, India6,273,624
+
Bangladesh3,624,103 
India2,649,521 
100-250 mmBangladesh, India58,098,323
+
Bangladesh34,514,281 
India23,584,042 
50-100 mmBangladesh, India, Burma51,477,447
+
Bangladesh33,842,074 
India15,848,274 
Burma1,787,099 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Oct 2019 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 06:00 135 1.8 million
- - - - Vietnam
Blue 4 30 Oct 2019 12:00 139 290 thousand
- - - - Vietnam, Laos
Blue 5 30 Oct 2019 18:00 106 3 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 00:00 77 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Laos
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 06:00 62 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Laos
Blue 8 31 Oct 2019 12:00 69 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 9 31 Oct 2019 18:00 139 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 00:00 159 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 06:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 01 Nov 2019 12:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 01 Nov 2019 18:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 00:00 54 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 06:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 02 Nov 2019 12:00 37 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 02 Nov 2019 18:00 75 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 18 03 Nov 2019 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 03 Nov 2019 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 03 Nov 2019 12:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 03 Nov 2019 18:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 04 Nov 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 04 Nov 2019 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 04 Nov 2019 12:00 139 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 25 04 Nov 2019 18:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 05 Nov 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 05 Nov 2019 06:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 05 Nov 2019 12:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 05 Nov 2019 18:00 157 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 06 Nov 2019 00:00 45 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 06 Nov 2019 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 06 Nov 2019 12:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 06 Nov 2019 18:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 34 07 Nov 2019 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 35 07 Nov 2019 06:00 287 - - - - - - -
Blue 36 07 Nov 2019 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 37 07 Nov 2019 18:00 231 - - - - - - -
Blue 38 08 Nov 2019 00:00 458 64.4 million
- - - Bangladesh, India, Burma




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.0m in Kalipur, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 09 Nov 2019 23:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Kalipur Bangladesh  2.0
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Bara Patharghata Bangladesh  2.0
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Jnanpara Bangladesh  2.0
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Chhota Nishanbaria Chak Bangladesh  2.0
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Dhalua Bangladesh  2.0
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Bara Bagi Bangladesh  2.0
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Chhota Bagi Bangladesh  2.0
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Mahipur Bangladesh  2.0
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Chandkhali Bangladesh  2.0
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Burir Char Bangladesh  2.0
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Kachupatra Bangladesh  2.0
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Arpangasia Bangladesh  2.0
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Bara Baliatali Bangladesh  2.0
09 Nov 2019 23:45 Kalapara Bangladesh  2.0
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Bara Pata Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Dakshin Char Fasson Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Char Pyarimohan Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Char Annadaprasad Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Chandpur Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Char Lakshmi Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Kanchanpur Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Rabipur Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Char Faizuddin Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Char Krishnaprasad Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Char Manpura Bangladesh  1.6
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Bamnia Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Charparbati Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Munshir Hat Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Tulatali Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Char Fakura Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Char Chandia Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Bara Ahmadpur Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Banskhali Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Bariakhali Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Akbar Hat Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Dhalapara Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Jafarnagar Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Barabkunda Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Bansbaria Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Sandwip Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Ghoshbagh Bangladesh  1.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Kumira Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Chandhuri Hat Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Hatia Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Khaser Hat Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Nalchira Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 06:45 Ewazbalia Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Nayamasti Bangladesh  1.2
10 Nov 2019 01:15 Jahajmara Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 01:15 Maijchara Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 01:15 Sagaria Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Bhatiari Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Dakhin Kattali Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Dakhin Patenga Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Chittagong Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Char Lakshia Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Gahira Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Janali Hat Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Kalapul Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Khankhanabad Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Anowara Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 07:00 Noapara Bangladesh  0.8
10 Nov 2019 14:30 Char Algi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 14:30 Char Gazi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 14:30 Char Ramiz Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 14:30 Dasher Hat Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 14:30 Char Ishwar Ray Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 14:45 Char Bedama Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:00 Char Chandra Prasad Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:00 Chandpur Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:00 Char Kali Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:00 Pangasia Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:00 Harni Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:00 Goal Bhaor Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:00 Char Medua Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:00 South Dighaldi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:00 Kalupura Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:00 Char Munsi Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:00 Hazari Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:00 Hazipur Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:00 Jagannathpur Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:00 Char Lawrence Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:00 Char Falcon Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:30 Sakusia Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:30 Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 13:30 Char Kadira Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 14:00 Baga Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 14:00 Miar Hat Bangladesh  0.7
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Ali Akbardeil Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Dhurung Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Magnama Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Napura Bangladesh  0.5
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Uttar Nalbila Bangladesh  0.5
09 Nov 2019 02:30 Rasalpur India  0.4
09 Nov 2019 02:30 Chandipur India  0.4
10 Nov 2019 07:15 Dhalghata Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Kalarmarchara Bangladesh  0.4
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Saflapur Bangladesh  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Alanbya Myanmar  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Kawbein Myanmar  0.4
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Amavasyakhali Bangladesh  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Damathat Myanmar  0.4
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Zokali Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Taungxun Myanmar  0.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Ghatibhanga Bangladesh  0.3
10 Nov 2019 07:30 Coxs Bazar Bangladesh  0.3
09 Nov 2019 16:30 Geonkhali India  0.3
09 Nov 2019 16:30 Nurpur India  0.3
09 Nov 2019 16:30 Diamond Harbor India  0.3
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Budin Myanmar  0.3
09 Nov 2019 00:30 Hukitala India  0.3
08 Nov 2019 02:00 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Kadaik Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Donwun Myanmar  0.3
09 Nov 2019 00:30 Satabhaya India  0.3
08 Nov 2019 01:45 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 02:15 Mahameik Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 02:00 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.3
08 Nov 2019 02:30 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 02:30 Khindan Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Kelatali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Khurushkul Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Fasiakhali Bangladesh  0.2
08 Nov 2019 00:00 Darein Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 00:00 Paung Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Pechardwip Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Jaliapalong Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Dhoapalong Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Inani Bangladesh  0.2
08 Nov 2019 00:00 Munaing Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 00:00 Tagukana Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 00:00 Kawpamagon Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 18:00 Nuliasahi India  0.2
08 Nov 2019 18:00 Nuagan India  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Monakhali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 07:45 Silkhali Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Bardeil Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Whaikhyang Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Dakshim Nhila Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Atikhalipara Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Teknaf Bangladesh  0.2
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Kyunbouk Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Sabaigon Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Ale Kalaywa Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 09:30 Kanyinchaung Myanmar  0.2
10 Nov 2019 08:00 Tumbru Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 20:30 Akechaungwa Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 20:30 Ase Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 20:30 Tawgyaik Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 20:30 Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 20:30 Pyapon Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 20:30 Apaung Myanmar  0.2
08 Nov 2019 18:15 Kakinada India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 00:30 Konarak India  0.1
10 Nov 2019 09:15 Nyaunggyaung Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Barisal Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Aicha Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 03:15 At Hazar Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Bisarad Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Bisarikati Charkhanda Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Bageswari Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Mahisha Gagaria Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Chandkati Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 03:15 Bazemahal Bangladesh  0.1
08 Nov 2019 00:00 Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 00:45 Balighai India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 20:00 Dawnvein Myanmar  0.1
10 Nov 2019 08:45 Dakhinpara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 08:45 Jaliapara Bangladesh  0.1
10 Nov 2019 08:45 Zawmadat Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 08:15 Alandaing Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 08:15 Hseikma Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 03:00 Kyaikkami Myanmar  0.1
09 Nov 2019 13:00 Chetpauk Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 21:15 Anin Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 21:15 Thinbawzeik Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 23:45 Puri India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 10:45 Kayindaung Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 08:30 Kadonkani Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 08:30 Yegyawgyi Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 08:30 Ama Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 19:45 Saluzeik Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 19:45 Thingangyi Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 19:45 Seikkyi Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 19:45 Thingangon Myanmar  0.1
08 Nov 2019 19:45 Kyauktazi Myanmar  0.1