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Green Tropical Cyclone alert in China, Japan for HAIKUI-12 from 03/08/2012 06:00 UTC to 08/08/2012 00:00 UTC
Storm surge for tropical cyclone HAIKUI-12
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Orange alert for storm surge impact in China

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down.

This report is for advisory number 2 of tropical cyclone HAIKUI-12 issued at 3 Aug 2012 0:00:00 (GDACS Event ID 31677). However, the calculation for advisory number is not completed. Therefore, the latest available calculation is shown. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation.

Summary

Current impact estimate:

  • Population affected by cyclone-strength winds (>120km/h): No people affected
  • Saffir-Simpson Category: Category 1
  • Maximum sustained wind speed: 121 km/h
  • The maximum Storm surge height is  2.0m in Dinggang, China. This height is estimated for 08 Aug 2012 04:00:00.

Evolution

Previous calculations: see calculation for advisory number 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21

Show forecast grid

Storm surge

View animation and affected locations in an interactive map: open

Storm surge maximum height
Storm surge maximum height (Source: JRC)
Storm surge animation
Storm surge animation (Source: JRC)

Affected locations

Date Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Aug 2012 04:00:00 Dinggang China  2.0m
08 Aug 2012 04:00:00 Chunfu'an China  2.0m
08 Aug 2012 04:00:00 Chen-wu-tien China  2.0m
08 Aug 2012 04:00:00 Chi-hsu China  2.0m
08 Aug 2012 04:00:00 Chu-ch'iao-chen China  2.0m
08 Aug 2012 04:00:00 Ancheng China  2.0m
08 Aug 2012 04:00:00 Chang-chia-li China  2.0m
08 Aug 2012 04:00:00 Hsi-hui-tsui China  2.0m
08 Aug 2012 04:00:00 Chengpu China  2.0m
07 Aug 2012 19:00:00 Danmen China  1.9m
08 Aug 2012 05:00:00 Chaoyang China  1.8m
08 Aug 2012 03:00:00 Lo-chia-chuang China  1.7m
08 Aug 2012 03:00:00 Songxia China  1.7m
08 Aug 2012 02:00:00 Chou-hung-ch'iu China  1.7m
Locations affected by Storm surge (15 of 909)
Calculation based on advisory number 21 of 07 Aug 2012 18:00:00.
(Simulation using 2 minute resolution)

See full locations list (RSS)

More information

The atmospheric forcing included in the storm surge model are the pressure drop and the wind-water friction. The effects of the short waves induced by the wind (wave setup) and the precipitations are not yet implemented in the model. The model has been validated mainly in areas of shallow water (Caribbean, Bay of Bengal). Results in other basins may be inaccurate.

For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.