The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the
regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected
by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the
forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down.
This report is for advisory number 24 of tropical cyclone FABIO-18 issued at 6 Jul 2018 12:00:00 (GDACS Event ID 1000465). However, the calculation for advisory number is not completed. Therefore, the latest available calculation is shown. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation.
Summary
| Population affected by cyclone-strength winds (>120km/h): | No People |
| Saffir-Simpson Category: | Tropical storm |
| Maximum sustained wind speed: | 109 Km/h |
| he maximum Storm surge height is: | 
1.0m
in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico.
|
Storm surge
View animation and affected locations in an interactive map: open
 Storm surge maximum height ( Source: JRC) |
 Max windspeed ( Source: GFS) |
Evolution
| Legend |
| people affected <=10000 |
| people affected >10000 and <100000 |
| people affected >100000 |
| Calculation | Alert color | Date (UTC) | Wind speed | Population affected
winds(>120km/h) | TS | CAT. 1 | CAT. 2 | CAT. 3 | CAT. 4 | CAT. 5 | Countries |
| 1 | | 20180630.18 | 168 km/h (104 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | |
| 2 | | 20180701.00 | 158 km/h (98 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | |
| 3 | | 20180701.06 | 197 km/h (122 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | |
| 4 | | 20180701.12 | 210 km/h (130 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | |
| 5 | | 20180701.18 | 201 km/h (124 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | |
| 6 | | 20180702.00 | 170 km/h (105 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | |
| 7 | | 20180702.06 | 184 km/h (114 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | |
| 8 | | 20180702.12 | 63 km/h (39 mph) | No people | | | | | | | Mexico |
| 9 | | 20180702.18 | 155 km/h (96 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | |
| 10 | | 20180703.00 | 64 km/h (40 mph) | No people | | | | | | | United States, Mexico |
| 11 | | 20180703.06 | 64 km/h (40 mph) | No people | | | | | | | United States, Mexico |
| 12 | | 20180703.12 | 61 km/h (38 mph) | No people | | | | | | | Mexico |
| 13 | | 20180703.18 | 166 km/h (103 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | |
| 14 | | 20180704.00 | 61 km/h (38 mph) | No people | | | | | | | Mexico |
| 15 | | 20180704.06 | 143 km/h (88 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | |
| 16 | | 20180704.12 | 145 km/h (90 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | |
| 17 | | 20180704.18 | 140 km/h (87 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | |
| 18 | | 20180705.00 | 121 km/h (75 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | |
| 19 | | 20180705.06 | 109 km/h (68 mph) | No people | | | | | | | |
Affected locations
| Date |
Name |
Country |
Alert |
Storm surge height (m)
|
| 03 Jul 2018 22:45:00 |
El Golfo de Santa Clara
|
Mexico |
|
1.0m
|
| 03 Jul 2018 22:30:00 |
El Tornillal
|
Mexico |
|
0.9m
|
| 03 Jul 2018 22:30:00 |
San Felipe
|
Mexico |
|
0.8m
|
| 03 Jul 2018 22:15:00 |
La Choya
|
Mexico |
|
0.7m
|
| 03 Jul 2018 22:15:00 |
Puerto Penasco
|
Mexico |
|
0.7m
|
| 03 Jul 2018 21:00:00 |
Rancho Bahia
|
Mexico |
|
0.4m
|
| 03 Jul 2018 22:00:00 |
Puertecitos
|
Mexico |
|
0.4m
|
| 03 Jul 2018 21:15:00 |
Molino
|
Mexico |
|
0.4m
|
| 03 Jul 2018 21:15:00 |
Molino Lacy
|
Mexico |
|
0.4m
|
| 03 Jul 2018 20:15:00 |
Puerto Libertad
|
Mexico |
|
0.4m
|
| 02 Jul 2018 05:15:00 |
La Paz
|
Mexico |
|
0.4m
|
| 02 Jul 2018 05:15:00 |
Rosario
|
Mexico |
|
0.4m
|
| 03 Jul 2018 04:00:00 |
El Desemboque
|
Mexico |
|
0.3m
|
| 03 Jul 2018 04:00:00 |
Cabo Tepoca
|
Mexico |
|
0.3m
|
Locations affected by Storm surge (15 of 313)
Calculation based on advisory number of 05 Jul 2018 12:00.
(Simulation using minute resolution)
See full locations list (RSS)
More information
The atmospheric forcing included in the storm surge model are the pressure drop and the wind-water friction.
The effects of the short waves induced by the wind (wave setup) and the precipitations are not yet implemented in the model.
For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.
