The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the
regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected
by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the
forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down.
This report is for advisory number 14 of tropical cyclone MANGKHUT-18 issued at 10 Sep 2018 6:00:00 (GDACS Event ID 1000498). However, the calculation for advisory number is not completed. Therefore, the latest available calculation is shown. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation.
Summary
| Population affected by cyclone-strength winds (>120km/h): | No People |
| Saffir-Simpson Category: | Tropical storm |
| Maximum sustained wind speed: | 86 Km/h |
| he maximum Storm surge height is: | 
2.2m
in Nanping, China.
|
Storm surge
View animation and affected locations in an interactive map: open
 Storm surge maximum height ( Source: JRC) |
 Max windspeed ( Source: ECMWF) |
Evolution
| Legend |
| people affected <=10000 |
| people affected >10000 and <100000 |
| people affected >100000 |
| Calculation | Alert color | Date (UTC) | Wind speed | Population affected
winds(>120km/h) | TS | CAT. 1 | CAT. 2 | CAT. 3 | CAT. 4 | CAT. 5 | Countries |
| 1 | | 20180906.12 | 0 km/h (0 mph) | No people | | | | | | | |
| 2 | | 20180907.00 | 108 km/h (67 mph) | No people | | | | | | | Taiwan |
| 3 | | 20180907.12 | 112 km/h (69 mph) | No people | | | | | | | |
| 4 | | 20180908.00 | 133 km/h (83 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | Northern Mariana Islands, Guam |
| 5 | | 20180908.12 | 143 km/h (89 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | Taiwan, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam |
| 6 | | 20180909.00 | 169 km/h (105 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | Taiwan, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam |
| 7 | | 20180909.12 | 191 km/h (118 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | Northern Mariana Islands, Guam |
| 8 | | 20180910.00 | 178 km/h (110 mph) | Few people affected | | | | | | | Taiwan, China, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam |
| 9 | | 20180910.12 | 201 km/h (125 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | Taiwan, China, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam |
| 10 | | 20180911.00 | 186 km/h (115 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | China |
| 11 | | 20180911.12 | 188 km/h (116 mph) | No people affected | | | | | | | China, Philippines |
| 12 | | 20180912.00 | 214 km/h (133 mph) | 160 thousand | | | | | | | China, Philippines |
| 13 | | 20180912.12 | 194 km/h (120 mph) | 20 thousand | | | | | | | Philippines |
| 14 | | 20180913.00 | 182 km/h (113 mph) | Few people affected | | | | | | | China, Hong Kong, Philippines |
| 15 | | 20180913.12 | 183 km/h (113 mph) | 150 thousand | | | | | | | Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Macau, Philippines, China, Philippines |
| 16 | | 20180914.00 | 196 km/h (121 mph) | 230 thousand | | | | | | | China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Macau, Vietnam, Philippines, Hong Kong, China, Macau, Philippines |
| 17 | | 20180914.12 | 198 km/h (123 mph) | 530 thousand | | | | | | | China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Macau, Vietnam, Philippines, China, Hong Kong, Macau, Philippines |
| 18 | | 20180915.00 | 146 km/h (91 mph) | 50 thousand | | | | | | | China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Macau, Philippines, China, Hong Kong |
| 19 | | 20180915.12 | 134 km/h (83 mph) | Few people affected | | | | | | | China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Macau, Philippines |
| 20 | | 20180916.00 | 132 km/h (82 mph) | Few people affected | | | | | | | China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Macau, China, Hong Kong |
| 21 | | 20180916.12 | 86 km/h (54 mph) | No people | | | | | | | China, Hong Kong, Macau |
Affected locations
| Alert |
Date (UTC) |
Name |
Country |
Storm surge height (m)
|
|
16 Sep 2018 08:30 |
Nanping
|
China |
2.2 |
|
|
16 Sep 2018 08:30 |
Maogang
|
China |
2.2 |
|
|
16 Sep 2018 08:30 |
Macau
|
Macau (China) |
2.2 |
|
|
16 Sep 2018 08:30 |
Taipa
|
Macau (China) |
2.2 |
|
|
16 Sep 2018 08:30 |
Coloane
|
Macau (China) |
2.2 |
|
|
16 Sep 2018 08:30 |
Heung chau
|
China |
2.2 |
|
|
16 Sep 2018 06:15 |
Tai Po Industrial Estate
|
Hong Kong (China) |
2.0 |
|
|
16 Sep 2018 06:15 |
Fung Yuen
|
Hong Kong (China) |
2.0 |
|
|
16 Sep 2018 06:15 |
Dabu
|
Hong Kong (China) |
2.0 |
|
|
16 Sep 2018 06:15 |
Sha Tau Kok
|
China |
2.0 |
|
|
16 Sep 2018 06:15 |
Cheung Kang
|
Hong Kong (China) |
2.0 |
|
|
16 Sep 2018 06:15 |
Imtin
|
China |
2.0 |
|
|
16 Sep 2018 06:15 |
Yau Ma Po
|
Hong Kong (China) |
2.0 |
|
|
16 Sep 2018 06:15 |
Sai Kung
|
Hong Kong (China) |
2.0 |
Locations affected by Storm surge (15 of 2277)
Calculation based on advisory number of 16 Sep 2018 12:00.
(Simulation using minute resolution)
See full locations list (RSS)
More information
The atmospheric forcing included in the storm surge model are the pressure drop and the wind-water friction.
The effects of the short waves induced by the wind (wave setup) and the precipitations are not yet implemented in the model.
For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.
