Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen
alertimage

Green alert for storm surge impact based on HWRF source

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down.

This report is for advisory number 18 of tropical cyclone LUBAN-18 issued at 12 Oct 2018 6:00:00 (GDACS Event ID 1000518). However, the calculation for advisory number is not completed. Therefore, the latest available calculation is shown. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation.

Summary

Population affected by cyclone-strength winds (>120km/h):No People
Saffir-Simpson Category: Tropical storm
Maximum sustained wind speed: 71 Km/h
Maximum Storm surge height is:  0.6m in Bargaal, Somalia.

Storm surge

View animation and affected locations in an interactive map: open

Storm surge maximum height
Storm surge maximum height (Source: JRC)
Max windspeed
Max windspeed (Source: HWRF)

Evolution

Legend
people affected <=10000
people affected >10000 and <100000
people affected >100000


Calculation Alert color Date (UTC) Wind speed Population affected
winds(>120km/h)
TS CAT. 1 CAT. 2 CAT. 3 CAT. 4 CAT. 5 Countries
1
GREEN
20181008.00 113 km/h (70 mph) No people
2
GREEN
20181008.06 134 km/h (83 mph) No people affected
3
GREEN
20181008.12 122 km/h (76 mph) No people affected
4
GREEN
20181008.18 113 km/h (70 mph) No people
Oman
5
GREEN
20181009.00 154 km/h (96 mph) No people affected
Oman
6
GREEN
20181009.06 158 km/h (98 mph) No people affected
7
GREEN
20181009.12 157 km/h (97 mph) No people affected
Oman
8
GREEN
20181009.18 134 km/h (83 mph) No people affected
Oman, Yemen
9
GREEN
20181010.00 118 km/h (73 mph) No people
Oman, Yemen
10
GREEN
20181010.06 137 km/h (85 mph) No people affected
Oman, Yemen
11
GREEN
20181010.12 137 km/h (85 mph) No people affected
Oman, Yemen
12
GREEN
20181010.18 149 km/h (92 mph) No people affected
Oman, Yemen
13
GREEN
20181011.00 137 km/h (85 mph) No people affected
Oman, Yemen
14
GREEN
20181011.06 129 km/h (80 mph) No people affected
Oman, Yemen
15
GREEN
20181012.00 139 km/h (86 mph) Few people affected
Oman, Yemen
16
GREEN
20181012.06 140 km/h (87 mph) 2 thousand
Oman, Yemen, Somalia
17
GREEN
20181012.12 139 km/h (86 mph) 2 thousand
Oman, Yemen
18
GREEN
20181012.18 133 km/h (82 mph) 4 thousand
Oman, Yemen, Somalia
19
GREEN
20181013.00 133 km/h (82 mph) Few people affected
Oman, Yemen
20
GREEN
20181013.06 126 km/h (78 mph) Few people affected
Oman, Yemen
21
GREEN
20181013.12 122 km/h (75 mph) Few people affected
Oman, Yemen
22
GREEN
20181013.18 105 km/h (65 mph) No people
Yemen, Oman
23
GREEN
20181014.00 90 km/h (56 mph) No people
Saudi Arabia, Oman, Yemen
24
GREEN
20181014.06 71 km/h (44 mph) No people
Iran, Yemen

Affected locations

Date Name Country Alert Storm surge height (m)
08 Oct 2018 08:45:00 Bargaal Somalia  0.6m
12 Oct 2018 05:00:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.5m
14 Oct 2018 02:30:00 Tabut Yemen  0.5m
14 Oct 2018 02:30:00 Hayrut Yemen  0.5m
14 Oct 2018 02:30:00 Nishtun Yemen  0.5m
14 Oct 2018 00:30:00 Bereeda Somalia  0.3m
14 Oct 2018 00:30:00 Tooxin Somalia  0.3m
08 Oct 2018 11:30:00 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.3m
12 Oct 2018 15:15:00 Boho Somalia  0.3m
12 Oct 2018 15:15:00 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.3m
11 Oct 2018 15:00:00 Lakba Oman  0.3m
11 Oct 2018 15:00:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.3m
11 Oct 2018 15:00:00 Lakabi Oman  0.3m
11 Oct 2018 15:00:00 Qaysad Oman  0.3m
Locations affected by Storm surge (15 of 455)
Calculation based on advisory number of 14 Oct 2018 06:00.
(Simulation using minute resolution)

See full locations list (RSS)

More information

The atmospheric forcing included in the storm surge model are the pressure drop and the wind-water friction. The effects of the short waves induced by the wind (wave setup) and the precipitations are not yet implemented in the model.

  • Interactive map: open

For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.