Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SELMA-17
in El Salvador, Honduras

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Original Message :

WTPN31 PHNC 282200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20E (SELMA) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 14.1N 88.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N 88.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 14.7N 88.6W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
282200Z POSITION NEAR 14.3N 88.8W.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20E (SELMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1901 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
//


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 282031 RRA
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SELMA ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
400 PM CDT SAT OCT 28 2017

...SELMA DEGENERATES TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA...
....STILL EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS AND FLASH FLOODS
THROUGH SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.3N 88.8W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM NNE OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SELMA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 88.8 WEST. THE
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 5
MPH (7 KM/H), AND THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION
TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH (45 KM/H) WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB (29.74 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: SELMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 5 INCHES OVER EL SALVADOR, SOUTHERN GUATEMALA, AND SOUTHERN
HONDURAS THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE ISOLATED FLASH
FLOODS, ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

WIND: GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER EL SALVADOR
TODAY, BUT ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BY TONIGHT.


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 281604

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 28.10.2017

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18L ANALYSED POSITION : 20.1N 83.3W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL182017

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 28.10.2017 0 20.1N 83.3W 1005 31
0000UTC 29.10.2017 12 22.3N 81.8W 1002 33
1200UTC 29.10.2017 24 25.2N 78.5W 999 38
0000UTC 30.10.2017 36 30.2N 73.8W 991 43
1200UTC 30.10.2017 48 36.8N 68.2W 985 58
0000UTC 31.10.2017 60 47.8N 66.5W 976 52
1200UTC 31.10.2017 72 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SELMA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.4N 88.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202017

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 28.10.2017 0 13.4N 88.6W 1006 26
0000UTC 29.10.2017 12 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 29.9N 39.3W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 01.11.2017 84 30.7N 38.5W 1006 34
1200UTC 01.11.2017 96 30.5N 41.0W 1002 40
0000UTC 02.11.2017 108 30.0N 41.7W 1000 39
1200UTC 02.11.2017 120 30.3N 43.2W 1000 35
0000UTC 03.11.2017 132 31.1N 45.2W 1000 34
1200UTC 03.11.2017 144 31.5N 47.6W 1000 34


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 281604


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 281604

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 28.10.2017

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18L ANALYSED POSITION : 20.1N 83.3W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL182017

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 28.10.2017 20.1N 83.3W WEAK
00UTC 29.10.2017 22.3N 81.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.10.2017 25.2N 78.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 30.10.2017 30.2N 73.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 30.10.2017 36.8N 68.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 31.10.2017 47.8N 66.5W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 31.10.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SELMA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.4N 88.6W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202017

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 28.10.2017 13.4N 88.6W WEAK
00UTC 29.10.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 29.9N 39.3W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 01.11.2017 30.7N 38.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
12UTC 01.11.2017 30.5N 41.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 02.11.2017 30.0N 41.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 02.11.2017 30.3N 43.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 03.11.2017 31.1N 45.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 03.11.2017 31.5N 47.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 281604


Original Message :

WTPZ45 KNHC 281443
TCDEP5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SELMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
1000 AM CDT SAT OCT 28 2017

THE SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER OF SELMA CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND
OVER SAN SALVADOR SINCE MAKING LANDFALL JUST A COUPLE OF HOURS
AGO. CONVENTIONAL IMAGERY, RADAR DATA, AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
INDICATE THAT SELMA HAS WEAKENED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND THE
INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 30 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.
FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST TODAY, AND SELMA SHOULD QUICKLY
DISSIPATE OVER THE SIERRA MADRE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT. SELMA SHOULD
TURN NORTHEASTWARD SOON AND CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL MOTION UNTIL
DISSIPATION TONIGHT, AND THE GLOBAL MODELS REMAIN IN AGREEMENT IN
THIS FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.

THE PRIMARY THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH SELMA IS HEAVY RAINFALL WITH 2
TO 5 INCHES THAT COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS IN HIGHER TERRAIN OVER
PORTIONS OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA. GUSTY WINDS TO
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TODAY.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/1500Z 13.7N 88.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
12H 29/0000Z 14.4N 87.6W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
24H 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED

..
FORECASTER ROBERTS


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 281443 RRA
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SELMA ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
1000 AM CDT SAT OCT 28 2017

...SELMA EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS AND FLASH FLOODS
THROUGH SUNDAY...
.....TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 88.5W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM E OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

THE GOVERNMENT OF EL SALVADOR HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF EL SALVADOR.

THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SELMA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 88.5 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH (13 KM/H). A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TODAY, AND THIS MOTION SHOULD
CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY WITH DISSIPATION
BY TONIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB (29.71 INCHES).


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 281443
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Selma Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202017
1000 AM CDT Sat Oct 28 2017

...SELMA EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS AND FLASH FLOODS
THROUGH SUNDAY...
...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 88.5W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM E OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of El Salvador has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning along the Pacific coast of El Salvador.

The government of Guatemala has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Watch along the Pacific coast of Guatemala.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warning in effect.

Interests in western Honduras should monitor the progress of Selma.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Selma
was located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 88.5 West. The
depression is moving toward the northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h). A
turn toward the northeast is forecast today, and this motion should
continue until dissipation tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts. Weakening is expected through today with dissipation
by tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Selma is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 5 inches over El Salvador, southern Guatemala, and southern
Honduras through Sunday. This rainfall could cause isolated flash
floods, especially in mountainous terrain.

WIND: Tropical storm force wind gusts are likely over El Salvador
today, but are expected to diminish by tonight.

SURF: Swells generated by Selma are affecting portions of the
coasts of Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions today. Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


Original Message :

WTPZ25 KNHC 281442
TCMEP5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SELMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
1500 UTC SAT OCT 28 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF EL SALVADOR HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF EL SALVADOR.

THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 88.5W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 60SE 45SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 88.5W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 88.8W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 14.4N 87.6W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 88.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 281142 RRA
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SELMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
700 AM CDT SAT OCT 28 2017

...SELMA MAKES LANDFALL JUST SOUTHEAST OF SAN SALVADOR...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 88.9W
ABOUT 20 MI...34 KM ESE OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
.. ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
.. PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SELMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 88.9 WEST. SELMA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH (15 KM/H), AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, SELMA
SHOULD QUICKLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA BY TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 281142
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Selma Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202017
700 AM CDT Sat Oct 28 2017

...SELMA MAKES LANDFALL JUST SOUTHEAST OF SAN SALVADOR...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 88.9W
ABOUT 20 MI...34 KM ESE OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Pacific coast of Guatemala

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

Interests in western Honduras should monitor the progress of Selma.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Selma was
located near latitude 13.6 North, longitude 88.9 West. Selma is
moving toward the north near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general
motion is expected through today. On the forecast track, Selma
should quickly weaken and dissipate over Central America by tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Rapid weakening is expected through today with dissipation
by tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km),
primarily to the east and southeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Selma is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 5 inches over El Salvador, southern Guatemala, and southern
Honduras through Sunday. This rainfall could cause isolated flash
floods, especially in mountainous terrain.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are likely occurring within the
warning area. Tropical storm conditions, primarily in gusts, are
possible within the watch area early this morning. Winds should
diminish by late morning in the warning and watch areas.

SURF: Swells generated by Selma are affecting portions of the
coasts of Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions today. Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Roberts


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 280837 RRA
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SELMA ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
400 AM CDT SAT OCT 28 2017

...SELMA SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN A FEW HOURS...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 88.8W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSE OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
.. ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
.. PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SELMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 88.8 WEST. SELMA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH (11 KM/H), AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK SELMA SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN EL SALVADOR DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS AND DISSIPATE OVER CENTRAL AMERICA BY TONIGHT.


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 280837
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Selma Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202017
400 AM CDT Sat Oct 28 2017

...SELMA SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN A FEW HOURS...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 88.8W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSE OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Pacific coast of Guatemala

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

Interests in western Honduras should monitor the progress of Selma.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Selma was
located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 88.8 West. Selma is
moving toward the north-northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this
general motion is expected during the next day. On the forecast
track Selma should make landfall in El Salvador during the next few
hours and dissipate over Central America by tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is anticipated before landfall, with
rapid weakening expected thereafter.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km),
primarily to the east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Selma is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 5 inches over El Salvador, southern Guatemala and southern
Honduras through Sunday. This rainfall could cause isolated flash
floods, especially in mountainous terrain.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area soon. Tropical storm conditions, primarily in gusts, are
possible within the watch area by Saturday morning.

SURF: Swells generated by Selma are affecting portions of the
coasts of Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake


Original Message :

WTPZ25 KNHC 280837
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM SELMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
0900 UTC SAT OCT 28 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 88.8W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 88.8W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 88.9W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 13.8N 88.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 88.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 280538 RRA
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SELMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
100 AM CDT SAT OCT 28 2017

...SELMA EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL THIS MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 88.9W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SSE OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
.. ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
.. PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SELMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 88.9 WEST. SELMA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH (11 KM/H), AND THAT GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK, THE CENTER OF SELMA IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE
COAST OF EL SALVADOR THIS MORNING.


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 280538
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Selma Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202017
100 AM CDT Sat Oct 28 2017

...SELMA EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL THIS MORNING...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.6N 88.9W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SSE OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Pacific coast of Guatemala

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

Interests in western Honduras should monitor the progress of Selma.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Selma was
located near latitude 12.6 North, longitude 88.9 West. Selma is
moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and that general
motion is expected during the next 12 to 24 hours. On the forecast
track, the center of Selma is expected to make landfall along the
coast of El Salvador this morning.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast before Selma reaches
the coast. Rapid weakening is forecast after landfall, and Selma is
expected to dissipate over the mountains of Central America by
early Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Selma is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 6 inches over El Salvador, southern Guatemala, southern
Honduras and far western Nicaragua through Sunday. Isolated maximum
amounts of 10 inches are possible in El Salvador and southern
Guatemala. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods
and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area overnight, making outside preparations
difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions are possible
within the watch area by early Saturday.

SURF: Swells generated by Selma are affecting portions of the
coasts of Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 280406

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 28.10.2017

TROPICAL STORM 18L ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N 84.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL182017

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 28.10.2017 0 17.7N 84.5W 1007 23
1200UTC 28.10.2017 12 19.5N 83.3W 1006 28
0000UTC 29.10.2017 24 23.3N 81.0W 1003 31
1200UTC 29.10.2017 36 26.0N 78.9W 999 35
0000UTC 30.10.2017 48 30.5N 74.0W 991 46
1200UTC 30.10.2017 60 37.9N 68.6W 986 60
0000UTC 31.10.2017 72 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL STORM SELMA ANALYSED POSITION : 12.3N 89.1W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202017

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 28.10.2017 0 12.3N 89.1W 1004 29
1200UTC 28.10.2017 12 13.5N 88.5W 1008 24
0000UTC 29.10.2017 24 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 30.0N 39.3W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 01.11.2017 96 31.3N 38.3W 1007 33
1200UTC 01.11.2017 108 31.7N 40.4W 1006 38
0000UTC 02.11.2017 120 29.5N 43.4W 1002 35
1200UTC 02.11.2017 132 29.3N 42.8W 997 43
0000UTC 03.11.2017 144 30.2N 44.0W 993 44

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 12.7N 119.1W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 03.11.2017 144 13.0N 119.0W 1008 21


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 280405


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 280405

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 28.10.2017

TROPICAL STORM 18L ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N 84.5W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL182017

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 28.10.2017 17.7N 84.5W WEAK
12UTC 28.10.2017 19.5N 83.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.10.2017 23.3N 81.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.10.2017 26.0N 78.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 30.10.2017 30.5N 74.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 30.10.2017 37.9N 68.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 31.10.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

TROPICAL STORM SELMA ANALYSED POSITION : 12.3N 89.1W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202017

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 28.10.2017 12.3N 89.1W WEAK
12UTC 28.10.2017 13.5N 88.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 29.10.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 30.0N 39.3W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 01.11.2017 31.3N 38.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
12UTC 01.11.2017 31.7N 40.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 02.11.2017 29.5N 43.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 02.11.2017 29.3N 42.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 03.11.2017 30.2N 44.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 12.7N 119.1W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 03.11.2017 13.0N 119.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 280405


Original Message :

WTPZ45 KNHC 280235 RRA
TCDEP5

TROPICAL STORM SELMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
1000 PM CDT FRI OCT 27 2017

SELMA HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS. THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED
BETWEEN A SMALL CURVED BAND TO ITS SOUTHEAST AND WEAKENING
CONVECTION TO THE WEST. RECENT MICROWAVE DATA CONFIRMED THAT SELMA
IS A COMPACT SYSTEM, AND THE ASSOCIATED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED TO EXTEND NO MORE THAN 40 N MI FROM THE CENTER. THE
INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 35 KT, IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST
DVORAK CLASSIFICATION FROM TAFB.

SATELLITE FIXES INDICATE THAT SELMA HAS MOVED NORTHWARD TO
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS, AND THE STORM
LIES A LITTLE TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS NHC TRACK PREDICTION. A
GENERAL NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT, AND THAT SHOULD
BRING THE CENTER OF SELMA NEAR THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR BY SATURDAY
MORNING. THE NEW NHC TRACK FORECAST HAS SHIFTED TO THE EAST BASED
ON THE INITIAL POSITION AND MOTION, AND IT LIES CLOSE TO THE
CONSENSUS MODELS.

LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY WHILE SELMA APPROACHES THE
COAST. ONCE THE STORM MOVES INLAND, RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
AND THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE OVER THE RUGGED TERRAIN OF
CENTRAL AMERICA BY SATURDAY NIGHT.

THE PRIMARY THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH SELMA IS HEAVY RAINFALL, WITH
ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF EL
SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA. THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/0300Z 12.3N 89.0W 35 KT 40 MPH


Original Message :

WTPZ45 KNHC 280235
TCDEP5

Tropical Storm Selma Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202017
1000 PM CDT Fri Oct 27 2017

Selma has not become any better organized during the past several
hours. The center of the tropical storm is partially exposed
between a small curved band to its southeast and weakening
convection to the west. Recent microwave data confirmed that Selma
is a compact system, and the associated tropical-storm-force winds
are estimated to extend no more than 40 n mi from the center. The
initial intensity is held at 35 kt, in agreement with the latest
Dvorak classification from TAFB.

Satellite fixes indicate that Selma has moved northward to
north-northeastward during the past 6 to 12 hours, and the storm
lies a little to the east of the previous NHC track prediction. A
general northward motion is expected overnight, and that should
bring the center of Selma near the coast of El Salvador by Saturday
morning. The new NHC track forecast has shifted to the east based
on the initial position and motion, and it lies close to the
consensus models.

Little change in strength is likely while Selma approaches the
coast. Once the storm moves inland, rapid weakening is expected
and the system will likely dissipate over the rugged terrain of
Central America by Saturday night.

The primary threat associated with Selma is heavy rainfall, with
accumulations possibly as high as 10 inches over portions of El
Salvador and Guatemala. This rainfall could cause life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/0300Z 12.3N 89.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 28/1200Z 13.4N 89.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...NEAR THE COAST
24H 29/0000Z 14.3N 88.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 280235 RRA
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SELMA ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
1000 PM CDT FRI OCT 27 2017

...SELMA MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR...
...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL BY EARLY SATURDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 89.0W
ABOUT 100 MI...155 KM S OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
. ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
. PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SELMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 89.0 WEST. SELMA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH (11 KM/H) AND THAT GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 280235
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Selma Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202017
1000 PM CDT Fri Oct 27 2017

...SELMA MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE COAST OF EL SALVADOR...
...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL BY EARLY SATURDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.3N 89.0W
ABOUT 100 MI...155 KM S OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Pacific coast of Guatemala

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24
hours.

Interests in western Honduras should monitor the progress of Selma.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Selma was
located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 89.0 West. Selma is
moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h) and that general
motion is expected during the next 12 to 24 hours. On the forecast
track, the center of Selma is expected to make landfall along the
coast of El Salvador Saturday morning.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast before Selma reaches
the coast. Rapid weakening is forecast after landfall, and Selma is
expected to dissipate over the mountains of Central America by
Saturday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Selma is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 6 inches over El Salvador, southern Guatemala, southern
Honduras and far western Nicaragua through Sunday. Isolated maximum
amounts of 10 inches are possible in El Salvador and southern
Guatemala. This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods
and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area overnight, making outside preparations
difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions are possible
within the watch area by early Saturday.

SURF: Swells generated by Selma are affecting portions of the
coasts of Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


Original Message :

WTPZ25 KNHC 280235
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM SELMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
0300 UTC SAT OCT 28 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 89.0W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 75SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 89.0W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 89.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 13.4N 89.1W...NEAR COAST
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 14.3N 88.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 89.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 272348 RRA
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SELMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
700 PM CDT FRI OCT 27 2017

...SELMA HOLDING STEADY IN STRENGTH WHILE MOVING CLOSER TO THE
COAST OF EL SALVADOR...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.0N 89.3W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM S OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
.. ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
.. PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SELMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 89.3 WEST. SELMA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH (11 KM/H), AND THAT GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 272348
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Selma Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202017
700 PM CDT Fri Oct 27 2017

...SELMA HOLDING STEADY IN STRENGTH WHILE MOVING CLOSER TO THE
COAST OF EL SALVADOR...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.0N 89.3W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM S OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Pacific coast of Guatemala

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24
hours.

Interests in western Honduras should monitor the progress of Selma.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Selma was
located near latitude 12.0 North, longitude 89.3 West. Selma is
moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and that general
motion is expected during the next day or so. On the forecast
track, the center of Selma is forecast to make landfall along the
coast of El Salvador or Guatemala on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast before Selma reaches
the coast of Central America. Rapid weakening is forecast after
landfall, and Selma is expected to dissipate over the mountains of
Central America Saturday night or early Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Selma is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 6 inches over El Salvador, southern Guatemala, southern
Honduras and far western Nicaragua over the next couple of days.
Isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches are possible in El Salvador
and southern Guatemala. This rainfall could cause life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area by early Saturday, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions
are possible within the watch area by early Saturday.

SURF: Swells generated by Selma are beginning to affect portions
of the coasts of Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


Original Message :

WTPZ45 KNHC 272035 RRA
TCDEP5

TROPICAL STORM SELMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
400 PM CDT FRI OCT 27 2017

THE CENTER OF SELMA BECAME EXPOSED SHORTLY AFTER THE ISSUANCE OF THE
PREVIOUS ADVISORY, HOWEVER, DEEP CONVECTION HAS REDEVELOPED NEAR AND
JUST SOUTH OF THE CENTER THIS AFTERNOON. THE SYSTEM IS FEELING THE
AFFECTS OF MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR AND DOES NOT APPEAR TO HAVE
STRENGTHENED. SUBJECTIVE DVORAK T-NUMBERS FROM BOTH TAFB AND SAB
ARE 2.0 (30 KT), HOWEVER, THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED AT
35 KT IN AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERNIGHT ASCAT DATA. UNFORTUNATELY,
THE ASCAT SATELLITES DID NOT PASS OVER THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TODAY.

SATELLITE AND MICROWAVE FIXES SHOW THAT SELMA HAS TURNED MORE
POLEWARD AND IS NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OR 345/6 KT. A
LARGE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WHICH SHOULD CAUSE SELMA TO TURN
NORTHWARD LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. THE 12Z TRACK GUIDANCE HAS COME
INTO BETTER AGREEMENT AND BRINGS SELMA ONSHORE IN EL SALVADOR
OR EASTERN GUATEMALA ON SATURDAY, AND LITTLE CHANGE WAS MADE TO THE
PREVIOUS NHC FORECAST TRACK.

MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, AND LITTLE OVERALL
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. SELMA SHOULD
RAPIDLY WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL AMERICA
SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE PRIMARY THREAT ASSOCIATED WITH SELMA
IS HEAVY RAINFALL, WITH TOTALS POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 10 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF EL SALVADOR AND GUATEMALA. THIS RAINFALL COULD


Original Message :

WTPZ45 KNHC 272035
TCDEP5

Tropical Storm Selma Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202017
400 PM CDT Fri Oct 27 2017

The center of Selma became exposed shortly after the issuance of the
previous advisory, however, deep convection has redeveloped near and
just south of the center this afternoon. The system is feeling the
affects of moderate northeasterly shear and does not appear to have
strengthened. Subjective Dvorak T-numbers from both TAFB and SAB
are 2.0 (30 kt), however, the initial intensity is maintained at
35 kt in agreement with the overnight ASCAT data. Unfortunately,
the ASCAT satellites did not pass over the tropical cyclone today.

Satellite and microwave fixes show that Selma has turned more
poleward and is now moving north-northwestward or 345/6 kt. A
large mid-latitude trough is forecast to move over the Gulf of
Mexico tonight and Saturday which should cause Selma to turn
northward later today or tonight. The 12Z track guidance has come
into better agreement and brings Selma onshore in El Salvador
or eastern Guatemala on Saturday, and little change was made to the
previous NHC forecast track.

Moderate to strong northeasterly shear is expected to remain over
the tropical cyclone during the next 24 hours, and little overall
change in strength is expected before landfall. Selma should
rapidly weaken and dissipate over the mountains of Central America
Saturday night or Sunday.

It should be noted that the primary threat associated with Selma
is heavy rainfall, with totals possibly as high as 10 inches
over portions of El Salvador and Guatemala. This rainfall could
cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/2100Z 11.7N 89.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 28/0600Z 12.5N 89.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 28/1800Z 13.6N 89.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
36H 29/0600Z 14.8N 89.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 272034 RRA
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SELMA ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
400 PM CDT FRI OCT 27 2017

...SELMA EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF EL
SALVADOR OR GUATEMALA ON SATURDAY...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.7N 89.4W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
.. ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
.. PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SELMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST. SELMA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH (11 KM/H), AND THE
CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH BY EARLY SATURDAY.


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 272034
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Selma Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202017
400 PM CDT Fri Oct 27 2017

...SELMA EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF EL
SALVADOR OR GUATEMALA ON SATURDAY...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.7N 89.4W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Pacific coast of Guatemala

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24
hours.

Interests in western Honduras should monitor the progress of Selma.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Selma was
located near latitude 11.7 North, longitude 89.4 West. Selma is
moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and the
cyclone is expected to turn toward the north by early Saturday.
On the forecast track, the center of Selma is forecast to make
landfall along the coast of El Salvador or Guatemala on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast before Selma reaches the
coast of Central America. Rapid weakening is forecast after
landfall and Selma is expected to dissipate over the mountains of
Central America Saturday night or early Sunday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Selma is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 6 inches over El Salvador, southern Guatemala, southern
Honduras and far western Nicaragua over the next couple of days.
Isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches are possible in El Salvador
and southern Guatemala. This rainfall could cause life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area by early Saturday, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions
are possible within the watch area by early Saturday.

SURF: Swells generated by Selma are forecast to affect portions
of the coasts of Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala
later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTPZ25 KNHC 272034 RRA
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM SELMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
2100 UTC FRI OCT 27 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
. ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
.. PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 89.4W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 60SE 60SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 89.4W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 89.4W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 12.5N 89.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 13.6N 89.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 14.8N 89.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.


Original Message :

WTPZ25 KNHC 272034
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM SELMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
2100 UTC FRI OCT 27 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 89.4W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 60SE 60SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 89.4W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 89.4W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 12.5N 89.7W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 13.6N 89.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 14.8N 89.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 89.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 271736 RRA
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SELMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
100 PM CDT FRI OCT 27 2017

...SELMA TURNS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.4N 89.5W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM S OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
.. ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
.. PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
TO 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SELMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST. SELMA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H), AND THE
CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH BY EARLY SATURDAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF SELMA WILL APPROACH THE COAST


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 271736
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Selma Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202017
100 PM CDT Fri Oct 27 2017

...SELMA TURNS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.4N 89.5W
ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM S OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Pacific coast of Guatemala

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 to 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24
to 36 hours.

Interests in western Honduras should monitor the progress of Selma.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Selma was
located near latitude 11.4 North, longitude 89.5 West. Selma is
moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h), and the
cyclone is expected to turn toward the north by early Saturday.
On the forecast track, the center of Selma will approach the coast
of El Salvador or Guatemala on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Slight strengthening is forecast before Selma reaches the
coast of Central America.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Selma is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 6 inches over El Salvador, southern Guatemala, southern
Honduras and far western Nicaragua over the next couple of days.
Isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches are possible in El Salvador
and southern Guatemala. This rainfall could cause life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area by early Saturday, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions
are possible within the watch area by early Saturday.

SURF: Swells generated by Selma are forecast to affect portions
of the coasts of Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala
later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 271605

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 27.10.2017

TROPICAL STORM SELMA ANALYSED POSITION : 10.3N 89.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202017

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 27.10.2017 0 10.3N 89.4W 1003 38
0000UTC 28.10.2017 12 12.0N 88.9W 1000 44
1200UTC 28.10.2017 24 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 23.4N 81.2W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 29.10.2017 36 23.4N 81.2W 1001 36
1200UTC 29.10.2017 48 25.5N 78.7W 998 36
0000UTC 30.10.2017 60 29.8N 74.0W 994 43
1200UTC 30.10.2017 72 35.2N 68.5W 990 54
0000UTC 31.10.2017 84 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 34.8N 75.1W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 30.10.2017 60 37.5N 73.2W 983 53
1200UTC 30.10.2017 72 46.5N 73.5W 984 37
0000UTC 31.10.2017 84 52.8N 75.7W 980 41
1200UTC 31.10.2017 96 54.8N 77.1W 967 51
0000UTC 01.11.2017 108 POST-TROPICAL

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 31.5N 39.2W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 31.10.2017 96 32.2N 37.8W 1004 34
0000UTC 01.11.2017 108 34.4N 36.8W 1000 40
1200UTC 01.11.2017 120 34.1N 39.8W 997 42
0000UTC 02.11.2017 132 33.6N 40.8W 994 49
1200UTC 02.11.2017 144 33.2N 43.6W 995 38


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 271605


Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 271605

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 27.10.2017

TROPICAL STORM SELMA ANALYSED POSITION : 10.3N 89.4W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP202017

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 27.10.2017 10.3N 89.4W WEAK
00UTC 28.10.2017 12.0N 88.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 28.10.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 23.4N 81.2W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 29.10.2017 23.4N 81.2W WEAK
12UTC 29.10.2017 25.5N 78.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 30.10.2017 29.8N 74.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 30.10.2017 35.2N 68.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 31.10.2017 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 34.8N 75.1W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 30.10.2017 37.5N 73.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
12UTC 30.10.2017 46.5N 73.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 31.10.2017 52.8N 75.7W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 31.10.2017 54.8N 77.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
00UTC 01.11.2017 POST-TROPICAL

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 31.5N 39.2W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 31.10.2017 32.2N 37.8W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY
00UTC 01.11.2017 34.4N 36.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
12UTC 01.11.2017 34.1N 39.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 02.11.2017 33.6N 40.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 02.11.2017 33.2N 43.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 271605


Original Message :

WTPZ45 KNHC 271438 RRA
TCDEP5

TROPICAL STORM SELMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
1000 AM CDT FRI OCT 27 2017

SELMA IS A SHEARED TROPICAL CYCLONE. EARLY MORNING VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGES AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOW THAT THE CENTER
IS LOCATED NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN EDGE OF A SMALL, BUT PERSISTENT
CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE LATEST SUBJECTIVE DVORAK INTENSITY
ESTIMATES ARE STILL BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH, BUT THE INITIAL
INTENSITY REMAINS AT 35 KT, IN AGREEMENT WITH THE EARLIER
SCATTEROMETER DATA.

RECENT SATELLITE AND MICROWAVE FIXES INDICATE THAT SELMA IS MOVING
NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 4 KT. A WEAK RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TODAY AS A LARGE MID-LATITUDE
TROUGH MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS PATTERN SHOULD CAUSE
SELMA TO TURN NORTHWARD TOWARD THE PACIFIC COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA
TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY. HOWEVER, THERE IS A LARGE SPREAD IN THE
GUIDANCE REGARDING THE SHARPNESS OF THE TURN. THE UKMET SHOWS AN
IMMEDIATE NORTHWARD OR NORTHEASTWARD MOTION AND IS ALONG THE RIGHT
SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. ON THE OPPOSITE SIDE OF THE ENVELOPE
ARE THE GFS, HWRF, AND HMON, WHICH DEPICT A LONGER NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AND BRING SELMA INLAND NEAR WESTERN GUATEMALA.
THE NHC FORECAST IS CLOSEST TO THE ECMWF AND HFIP CORRECTED
CONSENSUS MODELS, WHICH ARE A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE MULTI-MODEL
CONSENSUS. GIVEN THE LARGE UNCERTAINTY IN THE TRACK FORECAST, THE
GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
ENTIRE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA.

THE SHEAR OVER SELMA APPEARS TO BE A LITTLE STRONGER THAN INITIALLY


Original Message :

WTPZ45 KNHC 271438
TCDEP5

Tropical Storm Selma Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202017
1000 AM CDT Fri Oct 27 2017

Selma is a sheared tropical cyclone. Early morning visible
satellite images and recent microwave imagery show that the center
is located near the northeastern edge of a small, but persistent
cluster of deep convection. The latest subjective Dvorak intensity
estimates are still below tropical storm strength, but the initial
intensity remains at 35 kt, in agreement with the earlier
scatterometer data.

Recent satellite and microwave fixes indicate that Selma is moving
northwestward at about 4 kt. A weak ridge to the north of the
tropical cyclone is forecast to weaken today as a large mid-latitude
trough moves into the Gulf of Mexico. This pattern should cause
Selma to turn northward toward the Pacific coast of Central America
tonight and early Saturday. However, there is a large spread in the
guidance regarding the sharpness of the turn. The UKMET shows an
immediate northward or northeastward motion and is along the right
side of the guidance envelope. On the opposite side of the envelope
are the GFS, HWRF, and HMON, which depict a longer north-
northwestward motion and bring Selma inland near western Guatemala.
The NHC forecast is closest to the ECMWF and HFIP corrected
consensus models, which are a little to the right of the multi-model
consensus. Given the large uncertainty in the track forecast, the
government of Guatemala has issued a tropical storm watch for the
entire Pacific coast of Guatemala.

The shear over Selma appears to be a little stronger than initially
expected, and the SHIPS guidance does not show any decrease in this
shear during the next day or so. As a result, only slight
strengthening is indicted before landfall, and the NHC forecast is
close to the various consensus models. Since the system is small,
it is expected to weaken and dissipate very quickly after it moves
inland over the high terrain of Central America.

It should be noted that the primary threat associated with Selma
is heavy rainfall, with totals possibly as high as 10 inches
over portions of El Salvador and Guatemala. This rainfall could
cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/1500Z 11.1N 89.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 28/0000Z 11.8N 89.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 28/1200Z 13.0N 90.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 29/0000Z 14.2N 89.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
48H 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 271438 RRA
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SELMA ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
1000 AM CDT FRI OCT 27 2017

...SELMA MOVING NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF GUATEMALA...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.1N 89.5W
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM S OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
. ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
. PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
TO 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SELMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST. SELMA IS


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 271438
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Selma Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202017
1000 AM CDT Fri Oct 27 2017

...SELMA MOVING NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF GUATEMALA...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.1N 89.5W
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM S OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Guatemala has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for
the Pacific coast of Guatemala.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Pacific coast of Guatemala

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 to 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24
to 36 hours.

Interests in western Honduras should monitor the progress of Selma.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Selma was
located near latitude 11.1 North, longitude 89.5 West. Selma is
moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h) and the cyclone is
expected to turn toward the north by early Saturday. On the
forecast track, the center of Selma will approach the coast of El
Salvador or Guatemala on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slight strengthening is forecast before Selma reaches the coast
of Central America.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Selma is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 6 inches over El Salvador, southern Guatemala, southern
Honduras and far western Nicaragua over the next couple of days.
Isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches are possible in El Salvador
and southern Guatemala. This rainfall could cause life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area by early Saturday, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions
are possible within the watch area by early Saturday.

SURF: Swells generated by Selma are forecast to affect portions
of the coasts of Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala
later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTPZ25 KNHC 271437 RRA
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM SELMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
1500 UTC FRI OCT 27 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
. ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
. PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
TO 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 89.5W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 60SE 60SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 89.5W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 89.4W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 11.8N 89.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 13.0N 90.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.


Original Message :

WTPZ25 KNHC 271437
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM SELMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
1500 UTC FRI OCT 27 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
TO 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 89.5W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 60SE 60SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 89.5W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 89.4W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 11.8N 89.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 13.0N 90.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 14.2N 89.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N 89.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 271133 RRA
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SELMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
700 AM CDT FRI OCT 27 2017

...SELMA MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.8N 89.6W
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM S OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
. ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN GUATEMALA AND WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SELMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST. SELMA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H) AND THE CYCLONE IS
EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH BY EARLY SATURDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF SELMA WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF EL
SALVADOR ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH (65 KM/H) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
SO BEFORE SELMA MAKES LANDFALL.


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 271133
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Selma Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202017
700 AM CDT Fri Oct 27 2017

...SELMA MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.8N 89.6W
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM S OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

Interests in southeastern Guatemala and western Honduras should
monitor the progress of Selma.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Selma was
located near latitude 10.8 North, longitude 89.6 West. Selma is
moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h) and the cyclone is
expected to turn toward the north by early Saturday. On the
forecast track, the center of Selma will approach the coast of El
Salvador on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some increase in strength is forecast over the next day or
so before Selma makes landfall.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Selma is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 6 inches over El Salvador, southern Guatemala, southern
Honduras and far western Nicaragua over the next couple of days.
Isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches are possible in El Salvador
and southern Guatemala. This rainfall could cause life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area by early Saturday, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.

SURF: Swells generated by Selma are forecast to affect portions
of the coasts of Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala
later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTPZ45 KNHC 270854 RRA
TCDEP5

TROPICAL STORM SELMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
400 AM CDT FRI OCT 27 2017

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME MORE
CONCENTRATED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS IN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE
OF THE LOW OVER THE FAR EASTERN PART OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC.
SCATTEROMETER DATA FROM OVERNIGHT ALSO INDICATE THAT THE LOW HAS
BECOME WELL DEFINED, WITH WINDS OF ABOUT 35 KT. THUS, ADVISORIES ARE
BEING INITIATED ON TROPICAL STORM SELMA. THIS IS A RARE LOCATION
FOR A TROPICAL STORM TO FORM IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC, AND THIS IS THE
ONLY THE SECOND TROPICAL STORM TO FORM ON RECORD EAST OF 90W THAT
DIDN'T COME FROM AN ATLANTIC CYCLONE (THE FIRST WAS ALMA 2008).

A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO IS CAUSING
THE STORM TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. HOWEVER, THIS PATTERN IS
FORECAST TO CHANGE QUICKLY AS THE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN DUE TO A LARGE
MID-LATITUDE TROUGH DROPPING INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS PATTERN SHOULD STEER SELMA TOWARD THE NORTH
OVER THE WEEKEND, ALTHOUGH THE MODELS ARE IN RATHER POOR AGREEMENT
ON EXACTLY WHEN THAT TURN OCCURS. TO COMPLICATE MATTERS, THERE IS
ALSO SOME CHANCE OF INTERACTION WITH THE CARIBBEAN DISTURBANCE AL93,
WITH THE MODELS SHOWING THE MOST INTERACTION, SUCH AS THE UKMET OR
ECMWF, HAVING TRACKS ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.
THE GFS-BASED GUIDANCE SHOWS LITTLE INTERACTION AND SHOWS A TRACK
MORE TOWARD GUATEMALA. THE NHC FORECAST SPLITS THE DIFFERENCE
BETWEEN THE MODEL CONSENSUS AND THE ECMWF, AND IS JUST EAST OF THE
LATEST NOAA-CORRECTED CONSENSUS, NECESSITATING A TROPICAL STORM


Original Message :

WTPZ45 KNHC 270854
TCDEP5

Tropical Storm Selma Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202017
400 AM CDT Fri Oct 27 2017

Satellite images indicate that deep convection has become more
concentrated over the past several hours in the western semicircle
of the low over the far eastern part of the eastern Pacific.
Scatterometer data from overnight also indicate that the low has
become well defined, with winds of about 35 kt. Thus, advisories are
being initiated on Tropical Storm Selma. This is a rare location
for a tropical storm to form in the eastern Pacific, and this is the
only the second tropical storm to form on record east of 90W that
didn't come from an Atlantic cyclone (the first was Alma 2008).

A weak ridge of high pressure over southeastern Mexico is causing
the storm to move slowly northwestward. However, this pattern is
forecast to change quickly as the ridge breaks down due to a large
mid-latitude trough dropping into the Gulf of Mexico during the
next 24 hours. This pattern should steer Selma toward the north
over the weekend, although the models are in rather poor agreement
on exactly when that turn occurs. To complicate matters, there is
also some chance of interaction with the Caribbean disturbance AL93,
with the models showing the most interaction, such as the UKMET or
ECMWF, having tracks on the eastern side of the guidance envelope.
The GFS-based guidance shows little interaction and shows a track
more toward Guatemala. The NHC forecast splits the difference
between the model consensus and the ECMWF, and is just east of the
latest NOAA-corrected consensus, necessitating a Tropical Storm
Warning for El Salvador. This is a low confidence forecast due to
the large spread in the guidance and a Tropical Storm Watch or
Warning could be required for portions of the coast of Guatemala
later today.

Selma has a day or so of very warm waters and light-to-moderate
shear in its path. These conditions should promote strengthening,
and the NHC intensity forecast is consistent with the bulk of the
models. It should be emphasized, however, that the most significant
hazard expected with Selma is heavy rainfall. Up to 10 inches of
rain are possible over El Salvador and southern Guatemala, which
could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/0900Z 10.7N 89.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 27/1800Z 11.3N 89.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 28/0600Z 12.5N 90.0W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 28/1800Z 13.7N 89.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
48H 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 270850 RRA
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SELMA ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
400 AM CDT FRI OCT 27 2017

...SELMA HAS FORMED, TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR EL
SALVADOR...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.7N 89.5W
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM S OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

THE GOVERNMENT OF EL SALVADOR HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM THE GUATEMALA/EL SALVADOR
BORDER EASTWARD TO THE EL SALVADOR/HONDURAS BORDER.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
.. ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN GUATEMALA AND WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SELMA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST. SELMA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH (7 KM/H) AND THE CYCLONE IS
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE NORTH BY EARLY SATURDAY. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF SELMA WILL BE APPROACHING THE


Original Message :

WTPZ35 KNHC 270850
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Selma Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202017
400 AM CDT Fri Oct 27 2017

...SELMA HAS FORMED, TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR EL
SALVADOR...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.7N 89.5W
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM S OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of El Salvador has issued a Tropical Storm Warning
for the entire coast of El Salvador from the Guatemala/El Salvador
border eastward to the El Salvador/Honduras border.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Entire coast of El Salvador

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

Interests in southeastern Guatemala and western Honduras should
monitor the progress of Selma.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Selma was
located near latitude 10.7 North, longitude 89.5 West. Selma is
moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h) and the cyclone is
expected to gradually turn toward the north by early Saturday. On
the forecast track, the center of Selma will be approaching the
coast of El Salvador on Saturday.

Satellite data indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph
(65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some increase in strength is
forecast over the next day or so before Selma makes landfall.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Selma is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
3 to 6 inches of El Salvador, southern Guatemala, southern Honduras
and far western Nicaragua over the next couple of days. Isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches are possible in El Salvador and
southern Guatemala. This rainfall could cause life-threatening
flash floods and mudslides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area by early Saturday, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.

SURF: Swells generated by Selma are forecast to affect portions
of the coasts of Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala
later today. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake


Original Message :

WTPZ25 KNHC 270849 RRA
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM SELMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
0900 UTC FRI OCT 27 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF EL SALVADOR HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM THE GUATEMALA/EL SALVADOR
BORDER EASTWARD TO THE EL SALVADOR/HONDURAS BORDER.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
. ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN GUATEMALA AND WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 89.5W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 89.5W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 89.3W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 11.3N 89.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 12.5N 90.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 13.7N 89.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED


Original Message :

WTPZ25 KNHC 270849
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM SELMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202017
0900 UTC FRI OCT 27 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF EL SALVADOR HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR FROM THE GUATEMALA/EL SALVADOR
BORDER EASTWARD TO THE EL SALVADOR/HONDURAS BORDER.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHEASTERN GUATEMALA AND WESTERN HONDURAS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF SELMA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 89.5W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N 89.5W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 89.3W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 11.3N 89.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 12.5N 90.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 13.7N 89.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N 89.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE