Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KELVIN-18
in Australia

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Original Message :

WTXS51 PGTW 171500 RRA
WARNING ATCG MIL 10S SIO 180217132902
2018021712 10S KELVIN 006 01 125 03 SATL 045
T000 192S 1207E 045 R034 085 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 196S 1214E 050 R050 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R034
130 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 204S 1220E 040 R034 120 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 216S 1224E 035
T048 229S 1225E 030
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (KELVIN) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (KELVIN) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171200Z --- NEAR 19.2S 120.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S 120.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 19.6S 121.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT


Original Message :

WTXS51 PGTW 171500
WARNING ATCG MIL 10S SIO 180217132902
2018021712 10S KELVIN 006 01 125 03 SATL 045
T000 192S 1207E 045 R034 085 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 196S 1214E 050 R050 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 204S 1220E 040 R034 120 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 216S 1224E 035
T048 229S 1225E 030
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (KELVIN) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (KELVIN) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171200Z --- NEAR 19.2S 120.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S 120.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 19.6S 121.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 20.4S 122.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 21.6S 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 22.9S 122.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
171500Z POSITION NEAR 19.3S 120.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10S (KELVIN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 116 NM
SOUTHWEST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 172100Z, 180300Z, 180900Z AND 181500Z.//
1018021212 106S1343E 15
1018021218 108S1341E 15
1018021300 110S1338E 15
1018021306 113S1334E 15
1018021312 119S1330E 15
1018021318 131S1315E 20
1018021400 134S1300E 20
1018021406 139S1292E 20
1018021412 143S1282E 20
1018021418 147S1270E 25
1018021500 152S1261E 25
1018021506 162S1256E 20
1018021512 169S1247E 25
1018021518 172S1231E 25
1018021600 173S1222E 25
1018021606 180S1214E 30
1018021612 184S1210E 35
1018021618 185S1206E 35
1018021700 188S1202E 40
1018021706 190S1204E 40
1018021712 192S1207E 45


Original Message :

WTXS31 PGTW 171500 RRA
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (KELVIN) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (KELVIN) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171200Z --- NEAR 19.2S 120.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S 120.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 19.6S 121.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 20.4S 122.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY


Original Message :

WTXS31 PGTW 171500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (KELVIN) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (KELVIN) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171200Z --- NEAR 19.2S 120.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S 120.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z --- 19.6S 121.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 20.4S 122.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 21.6S 122.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 22.9S 122.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
171500Z POSITION NEAR 19.3S 120.9E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10S (KELVIN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 116 NM
SOUTHWEST OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED
ON A 171033Z 91GHZ SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWING THE DEEP
CONVECTION AROUND THE LLCC WITH CONVECTIVE BANDS TO THE EAST AND
SOUTH. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK
INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.0 (45 KNOTS) FROM KNES AND A 171033Z
SATCON ESTIMATE OF 43 KNOTS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS
FAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5 TO 10 KNOTS) ALONG WITH STRONG
POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
REMAIN VERY FAVORABLE, RANGING FROM 29 TO 30 DEGREES CELSIUS. TC
10S WILL SLOWLY TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD WHILE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) LOCATED TO THE EAST. TC 10S WILL MAKE
LANDFALL IN NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA SHORTLY BEFORE TAU 12 WITH AN
INTENSITY OF 50 KNOTS. TC 10S WILL THEN CONTINUE TO TRACK
SOUTHEASTWARD, EVENTUALLY SOUTHWARD AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN IN
INTENSITY. TC 10S WILL DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY TAU 48. DYNAMIC MODEL
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT INDICATING A
SOUTHEASTWARD AND THEN SOUTHWARD TRACK. BASED ON IMPROVED MODEL
AGREEMENT THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 172100Z, 180300Z, 180900Z AND 181500Z.//