Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GORDON-18
in United States

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.




Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 051432
TCDAT2

Tropical Depression Gordon Discussion Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
1000 AM CDT Wed Sep 05 2018

Surface observations and WSR-88D Doppler radar data indicate that
Gordon continues to weaken as it passes near Jackson, Mississippi,
and the initial intensity has been reduced to a possibly generous
25 kt. Additional weakening is expected as the cyclone moves farther
inland, and it is expected to decay to a remnant low pressure area
in about 48 h. The remnant low is then expected to become
extratropical as it merges with a frontal zone over the central
United States by Saturday. Although Gordon has weakened, the threat
of heavy rainfall and flooding will continue for the next few days.

The initial motion estimate is 320/12. Gordon should continue
northwestward with a decrease in forward speed during the next 48 h
as it moves along the southwestern side of a mid-level ridge. After
that, the cyclone or its remnants are expected to turn northward and
northeastward as it recurves into the westerlies. The new forecast
track is similar to the previous one. However, during the first
48 h it lies to the east of the various consensus models due to a
westward shift in the guidance since the last advisory.

This will be the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Gordon. Future information on Gordon can be found
in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center
beginning at 4 PM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT2, WMO header WTNT32
KWNH, and on the web at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.

Key Messages:

1. Even though Gordon is weakening, heavy rainfall will continue to
affect the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama, central
Mississippi, Arkansas, Missouri, southern Iowa and Illinois, with
isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches possible. This rainfall will
cause flash flooding across portions of these areas.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/1500Z 32.3N 90.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
12H 06/0000Z 33.3N 91.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
24H 06/1200Z 33.9N 92.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
36H 07/0000Z 34.5N 93.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
48H 07/1200Z 35.3N 93.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 08/1200Z 37.0N 93.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 09/1200Z 39.5N 90.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 10/1200Z 43.0N 84.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
Forecaster Beven


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 051431
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Gordon Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
1000 AM CDT Wed Sep 05 2018

...GORDON CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL
DAYS...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.3N 90.2W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM W OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For more information on Gordon, please see products issued by your
local National Weather Service office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Gordon
was located near latitude 32.3 North, longitude 90.2 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A
northwestward motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected
over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of
Gordon will move across the lower Mississippi Valley today and
tonight. A turn toward the north-northwest and north is forecast to
occur on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with
higher gusts. Additional weakening is expected as Gordon moves
farther inland. Jackson, Mississippi, recently reported a wind gust
of 35 mph (55 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 8 inches over the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama,
central Mississippi, Arkansas, Missouri, southern Iowa and Illinois,
with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches through early Saturday.
This rainfall will cause flash flooding across portions of these
areas.

WIND: Wind gusts to tropical storm force could occur in showers
and thunderstorms associated with Gordon today.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible through this evening over
Mississippi and western Alabama.

STORM SURGE: Water levels along the northern Gulf of Mexico coast
will gradually subside later today.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Gordon. Future information on Gordon can be found in
Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning
at 4 PM CDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT2, WMO header WTNT32 KWNH, and
on the web at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.

$$
Forecaster Beven


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 051431
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072018
1500 UTC WED SEP 05 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ON GORDON...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 90.2W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N 90.2W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N 89.8W

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 33.3N 91.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 33.9N 92.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 34.5N 93.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 35.3N 93.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 37.0N 93.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 39.5N 90.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 43.0N 84.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N 90.2W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON GORDON. FUTURE INFORMATION ON GORDON CAN BE FOUND IN
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER BEGINNING
AT 2100 UTC, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT2, WMO HEADER WTNT32 KWNH, AND
ON THE WEB AT HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 051142
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Gordon Intermediate Advisory Number 12A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
700 AM CDT Wed Sep 05 2018

...GORDON WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.0N 89.9W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SSE OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Gordon
was located near latitude 32.0 North, longitude 89.9 West. Gordon
is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A
northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected
over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of
Gordon will move across the lower Mississippi Valley today. A turn
toward the north-northwest and north is forecast to occur on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
with higher gusts in a few squalls near the center. Additional
weakening is expected as Gordon moves farther inland.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: Water levels along the northern Gulf of Mexico coast
will gradually subside this morning.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 8 inches over the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama,
southern and central Mississippi, northeastern Louisiana, Arkansas,
Missouri, southern Iowa and Illinois, with isolated maximum amounts
of 12 inches through early Saturday. This rainfall will cause flash
flooding across portions of these areas.

WIND: Wind gusts to tropical storm force could occur near the
center of Gordon during the next few hours.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible today and tonight over
Mississippi and western Alabama.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven


Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 050854
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Gordon Discussion Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
400 AM CDT Wed Sep 05 2018

Gordon is moving farther inland and continues to weaken. Surface
synoptic observations suggest that the cyclone is now of, at most,
minimal tropical storm strength. These tropical-storm-force winds
may be occurring over a small inland area near the center.
Continued weakening is expected, and Gordon should become a
tropical depression later this morning.

Gordon continues moving northwestward, with an initial motion
estimate of 325/12. The cyclone should continue on a northwestward
heading with a decrease in forward speed, along the southwestern
periphery of a mid-level ridge, for the next couple of days. Later
in the period, Gordon's remnant is forecast to turn northward
and northeastward with increasing forward speed as it approaches
the mid-latitude westerlies north of 40N. the official forecast
track is close to the latest dynamical model consensus, TVCA.

All coastal watches and warnings associated with Gordon are being
discontinued at this time.


Key Messages:

1. Heavy rainfall from Gordon will affect the western Florida
Panhandle, southwest Alabama, southern and central Mississippi,
northeastern Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri, southern Iowa and
Illinois, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches through early
Saturday. This rainfall will cause flash flooding across portions
of these areas.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/0900Z 31.5N 89.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 05/1800Z 32.4N 90.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
24H 06/0600Z 33.4N 91.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
36H 06/1800Z 34.1N 92.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
48H 07/0600Z 34.8N 93.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 08/0600Z 36.7N 93.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 09/0600Z 39.0N 91.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 10/0600Z 42.0N 86.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
Forecaster Pasch


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 050854
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Advisory Number 12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
400 AM CDT Wed Sep 05 2018

...GORDON MOVING FARTHER INLAND AND WEAKENING...
...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.5N 89.5W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NW OF HATTIESBURG MISSISSIPPI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning from the mouth of the Pearl River to
Okaloosa-Walton County Line is discontinued.

The Storm Surge Warning from Pascagoula Mississippi to Dauphin
Island is discontinued.

The Storm Surge Watch from east of Dauphin Island to Navarre is
discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located near latitude 31.5 North, longitude 89.5 West. Gordon is
moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A northwestward
motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will
move across the lower Mississippi Valley through Wednesday. A turn
toward the north-northwest and north is forecast to occur on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with
higher gusts in a few squalls near the center. Gordon is likely to
weaken to a tropical depression later this morning.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: Water levels along the northern Gulf of Mexico coast
will gradually subside this morning.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 8 inches over the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama,
southern and central Mississippi, northeastern Louisiana, Arkansas,
Missouri, southern Iowa and Illinois, with isolated maximum amounts
of 12 inches through early Saturday. This rainfall will cause flash
flooding across portions of these areas.

WIND: Winds to tropical storm force in a few squalls could
occur near the center of Gordon during the next couple of hours.

TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible today and tonight over
Mississippi and western Alabama.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 050853
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072018
0900 UTC WED SEP 05 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO
OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE IS DISCONTINUED.

THE STORM SURGE WARNING FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO DAUPHIN
ISLAND IS DISCONTINUED.

THE STORM SURGE WATCH FROM EAST OF DAUPHIN ISLAND TO NAVARRE IS
DISCONTINUED.


SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 89.5W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 89.5W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 88.9W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 32.4N 90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 33.4N 91.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 34.1N 92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 34.8N 93.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 36.7N 93.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 39.0N 91.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 42.0N 86.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N 89.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 050603 CCA
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Intermediate Advisory Number 11A...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
100 AM CDT Wed Sep 05 2018

...CENTER OF GORDON MOVING OVER LAND JUST WEST OF THE
ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER...

Corrected Tropical Storm Warning

SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.8N 88.8W
ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM W OF MOBILE ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Warning from the mouth of the Pearl River to the
Alabama-Florida Border is changed to a Tropical Storm Warning.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Pascagoula Mississippi to Dauphin Island

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* East of Dauphin Island to Navarre

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Pearl River to Okaloosa-Walton County Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located near latitude 30.8 North, longitude 88.8 West. Gordon is
moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A northwestward
motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will
move across the lower Mississippi Valley through Wednesday. A turn
toward the north-northwest and north is forecast to occur on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts. Continued rapid weakening is expected while the
system moves over land, and Gordon is forecast to become a tropical
depression later this morning.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center. A wind gust to 43 mph (69 km/h) was recently
reported at Mobile Airport.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Mississippi River to Pascagoula...1 to 3 ft.
Pascagoula to the Alabama/Florida Border including Mobile Bay...2 to
4 ft.
Alabama/Florida Border to Navarre, Florida...1 to 3 ft.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 8 inches over the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama,
southern and central Mississippi, northeastern Louisiana, and
southern Arkansas, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches
through late Thursday. This rainfall will cause flash flooding
across portions of these areas.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue during the next few
hours within portions of the warning area.

TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible near the coasts of
Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 050558
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Intermediate Advisory Number 11A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
100 AM CDT Wed Sep 05 2018

...CENTER OF GORDON MOVING OVER LAND JUST WEST OF THE
ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.8N 88.8W
ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM W OF MOBILE ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Warning from the mouth of the Pearl River to the
Alabama-Florida Border is discontinued.


SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Pascagoula Mississippi to Dauphin Island

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* East of Dauphin Island to Navarre

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Alabama-Florida Border to Okaloosa-Walton County Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located near latitude 30.8 North, longitude 88.8 West. Gordon is
moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A northwestward
motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will
move across the lower Mississippi Valley through Wednesday. A turn
toward the north-northwest and north is forecast to occur on
Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts. Continued rapid weakening is expected while the
system moves over land, and Gordon is forecast to become a tropical
depression later this morning.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center. A wind gust to 43 mph (69 km/h) was recently
reported at Mobile Airport.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Mississippi River to Pascagoula...1 to 3 ft.
Pascagoula to the Alabama/Florida Border including Mobile Bay...2 to
4 ft.
Alabama/Florida Border to Navarre, Florida...1 to 3 ft.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 8 inches over the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama,
southern and central Mississippi, northeastern Louisiana, and
southern Arkansas, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches
through late Thursday. This rainfall will cause flash flooding
across portions of these areas.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue during the next few
hours within portions of the warning area.

TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible near the coasts of
Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


Original Message :

WTNT62 KNHC 050331
TCUAT2

Tropical Storm Gordon Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
1030 PM CDT Tue Sep 04 2018

...CENTER OF GORDON MAKES LANDFALL JUST WEST OF THE
ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER...

National Weather Service Doppler radar indicates that Gordon made
landfall around 1015 PM CDT (0315 UTC) just west of the
Alabama-Mississippi border with estimated maximum sustained winds of
70 mph (110 km/h).


SUMMARY OF 1015 PM CDT...0315 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.4N 88.4W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM E OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brown/Pasch


Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 050258
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Gordon Discussion Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
1000 PM CDT Tue Sep 04 2018

Aircraft and radar imagery shows that the center of Gordon is
making landfall just west of the Alabama-Mississippi border. The
radar imagery has shown an increase in convection around the center
within the past couple of hours, and Doppler velocities have
increased to 65-75 kt at about 2500 feet. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter
aircraft has measured peak 700-mb flight-level winds of 63 kt.
These data support an initial intensity of 60 kt. A NOAA Coastal
Marine Observing site on Dauphin Island, Alabama has recently
reported sustained winds of 49 kt with a gust to 63 kt. Once the
center moves inland, Gordon should rapidly weaken and it is
forecast to become a tropical depression on Wednesday morning.

Gordon moved a little right of the previous forecast track this
evening, but the most recent aircraft fixes suggest the center has
jogged back toward the left. The longer-term motion estimate is
315/12 kt. A large deep-layer ridge located over the eastern
United States is forecast to steer Gordon northwestward at a slower
forward speed during the next couple of days. After that time, the
cyclone should turn northward, then northeastward around the
western periphery of the ridge. The updated NHC track is again
close to a blend of the various consensus aids, but is a little
right of previous forecast for the first 24-36 hours, primarily due
to the slightly more eastward initial position.

Key Messages:

1. Gordon is expected to bring life-threatening storm surge and
hurricane conditions to portions of the central Gulf Coast, where a
Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect. The highest
storm surge is expected along the coasts of Mississippi and Alabama
from Biloxi to Dauphin Island tonight and early Wednesday. Tropical
storm conditions and storm surge will also affect portions of the
western Florida Panhandle.

2. Heavy rainfall from Gordon will affect the western Florida
Panhandle, southwest Alabama, southern and central Mississippi,
northeastern Louisiana, and southern Arkansas, where totals could
reach as high as 12 inches. This rainfall will cause flash flooding
in portions of these areas.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/0300Z 30.3N 88.4W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 05/1200Z 31.5N 89.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
24H 06/0000Z 32.7N 90.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
36H 06/1200Z 33.5N 92.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
48H 07/0000Z 34.3N 92.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 08/0000Z 36.0N 93.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 09/0000Z 38.3N 92.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 10/0000Z 41.0N 88.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 050256
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
1000 PM CDT Tue Sep 04 2018

...CENTER OF GORDON MAKING LANDFALL JUST WEST OF THE
ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.3N 88.4W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM ESE OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SSW OF MOBILE ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

All warnings and watches west of the mouth of the Pearl River have
been discontinued. The Storm Surge Warning west of Biloxi has
also been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Biloxi Mississippi to Dauphin Island

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* East of Dauphin Island to Navarre

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama-Florida Border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Alabama-Florida Border to Okaloosa-Walton County Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located near latitude 30.3 North, longitude 88.4 West. Gordon is
moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A
northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is
expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the
center of Gordon will move inland across the lower Mississippi
Valley through Wednesday. A turn toward the north-northwest
and north is forecast to occur on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Rapid weakening is forecast after Gordon moves inland, and
Gordon is forecast to become a tropical depression on Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center. A NOAA Coastal Marine Observing site on Dauphin
Island, Alabama has measured a sustained wind of 57 mph (91 km/h)
with a gust to 72 mph (117 km/h). A wind gust of 61 mph (98 km/h)
was recently observed at the Pensacola Naval Air Station.

The latest minimum central pressure estimated from NOAA Hurricane
Hunter aircraft data is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Mississippi River to Biloxi...1 to 3 ft.
Biloxi to the Alabama/Florida Border including Mobile Bay...2 to
4 ft.
Alabama/Florida Border to Navarre, Florida...1 to 3 ft.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 8 inches over the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama,
southern and central Mississippi, northeastern Louisiana, and
southern Arkansas, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches
through late Thursday. This rainfall will cause flash flooding
across portions of these areas.

WIND: Tropical storm and hurricane conditions will continue to
spread onshore during the next several hours within portions of the
warning area.

TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible tonight near the
coasts of Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 050255
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072018
0300 UTC WED SEP 05 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ALL WARNINGS AND WATCHES WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER HAVE
BEEN DISCONTINUED. THE STORM SURGE WARNING WEST OF BILOXI HAS
ALSO BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BILOXI MISSISSIPPI TO DAUPHIN ISLAND

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EAST OF DAUPHIN ISLAND TO NAVARRE

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL
NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW
EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 88.4W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 45SE 0SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.3N 88.4W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 87.9W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 31.5N 89.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 32.7N 90.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 33.5N 92.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 34.3N 92.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 36.0N 93.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 38.3N 92.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 41.0N 88.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.3N 88.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 042355
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Intermediate Advisory Number 10A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
700 PM CDT Tue Sep 04 2018

...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS SPREADING ONSHORE ALONG THE ALABAMA
AND WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COASTLINES...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.7N 87.9W
ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM SE OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM S OF MOBILE ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Shell Beach to Dauphin Island

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* West of Shell Beach to the Mouth of the Mississippi River
* East of Dauphin Island to Navarre

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama-Florida Border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West of the Mouth of the Pearl River to the Mouth of the
Mississippi River, including Lake Pontchartrain
* Alabama-Florida Border to Okaloosa-Walton County Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located by NOAA Doppler weather radars and a NOAA Hurricane
Hunter aircraft near latitude 29.7 North, longitude 87.9 West.
Gordon is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). A
northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is
expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the
center of Gordon will make landfall along the north-central Gulf
Coast within the hurricane warning area this evening or tonight, and
then move inland over the lower Mississippi Valley through
Wednesday. A gradual turn toward the north-northwest and north is
forecast to occur on Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gordon could still become a hurricane before landfall occurs
along the north-central Gulf Coast. Rapid weakening is forecast
after Gordon moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center. A NOAA buoy located about 10 miles south of Orange
Beach, Alabama has recently reported sustained winds of 54 mph
(86 km/h) with a gust to 60 mph (97 km/h). A NOAA Coastal Marine
Observing site on Dauphin Island, Alabama has measured a sustained
wind of 45 mph (72 km/h) with a gust to 54 mph (87 km/h). A wind
gust to 39 mph (63 km/h) was recently reported at Gulf Shores,
Alabama.

The latest minimum central pressure estimated from NOAA
reconnaissance aircraft data is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Pearl River to Dauphin Island...3 to 5 ft.
Navarre Florida to Dauphin Island, including Mobile Bay...2 to 4 ft.
Mouth of the Pearl River to the Mouth of Mississippi River...2 to 4
ft.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 8 inches over the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama,
southern and central Mississippi, northeastern Louisiana, and
southern Arkansas, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches
through late Thursday. This rainfall will cause flash flooding
across portions of these areas.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread onshore
during the next several hours within portions of the warning area,
with hurricane conditions forecast by this evening in the hurricane
warning area.

TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible through tonight
near the coasts of Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 042051
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Gordon Discussion Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
400 PM CDT Tue Sep 04 2018

Gordon has been undergoing another convective bursting phase during
the past few hours, with a sharp increase in Doppler velocity
values noted between 9,000-12,000 ft. Some peak velocity values
have been in excess of 80 kt, but average values have been around
65-67 kt, which supports an advisory intensity of 60 kt. Another
reconnaissance mission will be conducted in Gordon in a few hours,
which provide additional intensity and pressure data.

The initial motion estimate is 310/13 kt. There remains no
significant change to the previous NHC forecast track or reasoning.
The new model guidance has shifted slightly to the east, but not
enough to make any appreciable changes to the previous forecast
track. As a result, Gordon is expected to move northwestward toward
the Mississippi coastline, and the cyclone will make landfall in
that area around 0300 UTC. After landfall, steering currents are
still expected to weaken, causing Gordon to slow down considerably.
The slower forward speed, which will be near 5 kt at times, will act
to enhance the heavy rainfall potential. By Friday, a mid- to
upper-level trough and a cold front are forecast to cause a break
int the subtropical ridge, allowing Gordon to turn northward on
Friday, and move northeastward on Saturday. Gordon's remnant
circulation is expected to merge with a cold front by Sunday. The
new official track forecast is close to a blend of the consensus
models HCCA, FSSE, and TVCA,

Gordon still has another 6 hours or so over warm waters near 30C,
which in combination with an upper-level environment of diffluent
southeasterly upper-level flow and increased surface convergence due
to land interaction will provide a brief window of opportunity for
Gordon to reach hurricane strength before landfall. Once Gordon
moves inland, the small circulation is expected to spin down
quickly, with Gordon becoming a remnant low by 48 hours.

Key Messages:

1. Gordon is expected to bring life-threatening storm surge and
hurricane conditions to portions of the central Gulf Coast, where a
Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect. The highest
storm surge is expected along the coasts of Mississippi and Alabama
from the Mouth of the Pearl River to Dauphin Island tonight and
early Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions and storm surge will also
affect portions of the western Florida Panhandle.

2. Heavy rainfall from Gordon will affect the western Florida
Panhandle, southwest Alabama, southern and central Mississippi,
northeastern Louisiana, and southern Arkansas, where totals could
reach as high as 12 inches. This rainfall will cause flash flooding
in portions of these areas.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/2100Z 29.4N 87.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 05/0600Z 30.7N 89.3W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND
24H 05/1800Z 32.2N 90.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
36H 06/0600Z 33.2N 91.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
48H 06/1800Z 34.0N 93.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 07/1800Z 35.7N 94.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 08/1800Z 38.1N 93.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 09/1800Z 41.0N 89.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
Forecaster Stewart


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 042041
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
400 PM CDT Tue Sep 04 2018

...GORDON STRENGTHENS A LITTLE AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE NORTH-CENTRAL
GULF COAST...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 87.8W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SE OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM S OF MOBILE ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued west of the Mouth
of the Mississippi River, including Lake Maurepas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Shell Beach to Dauphin Island

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* West of Shell Beach to the Mouth of the Mississippi River
* East of Dauphin Island to Navarre

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama-Florida Border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West of the Mouth of the Pearl River to the Mouth of the
Mississippi River, including Lake Pontchartrain
* Alabama-Florida Border to Okaloosa-Walton County Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located by NOAA Doppler weather radars near latitude 29.4 North,
longitude 87.8 West. Gordon is moving toward the northwest near 15
mph (24 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue until
landfall occurs tonight along the north-central Gulf coast. A
northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected
after landfall, with a gradual turn toward the north-northwest and
north forecast to occur on Friday. On the forecast track, the center
of Gordon will make landfall along the north-central Gulf Coast
within the hurricane warning area this evening or tonight, and then
move inland over the lower Mississippi Valley through Wednesday.

Data from NOAA Doppler weather radars indicate that maximum
sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with
higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is still possible, and
Gordon could become a hurricane before landfall occurs along the
north-central Gulf Coast this evening. Rapid weakening is forecast
after Gordon moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Mouth of the Pearl River to Dauphin Island...3 to 5 ft.
Navarre Florida to Dauphin Island, including Mobile Bay...2 to 4 ft.
Mouth of the Pearl River to the Mouth of Mississippi River...2 to 4
ft.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 8 inches over the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama,
southern and central Mississippi, northeastern Louisiana, and
southern Arkansas, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches
through late Thursday. This rainfall will cause flash flooding
across portions of these areas.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will spread onshore within portions
of the warning area during the next few hours, with hurricane
conditions expected by this evening in the hurricane warning area.

TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible through tonight
near the coasts of Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 042040
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072018
2100 UTC TUE SEP 04 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF THE MOUTH
OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...INCLUDING LAKE MAUREPAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SHELL BEACH TO DAUPHIN ISLAND

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF SHELL BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
* EAST OF DAUPHIN ISLAND TO NAVARRE

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN
* ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL
NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW
EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 87.8W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 20SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 87.8W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 87.3W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 30.7N 89.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 32.2N 90.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 33.2N 91.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 34.0N 93.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 35.7N 94.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 38.1N 93.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 41.0N 89.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N 87.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 041746
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Intermediate Advisory Number 9A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
100 PM CDT Tue Sep 04 2018

...OUTER RAINBANDS PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS ALONG THE
COAST OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.9N 87.3W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SSE OF MOBILE ALABAMA
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM SE OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Shell Beach to Dauphin Island

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* West of Shell Beach to the Mouth of the Mississippi River
* East of Dauphin Island to Navarre

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama-Florida Border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West of the Mouth of the Pearl River to Grand Isle, including Lake
Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas
* Alabama-Florida Border to Okaloosa-Walton County Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located near latitude 28.9 North, longitude 87.3 West. Gordon is
moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue until landfall occurs tonight along
the north-central Gulf coast. A northwestward motion with some
decrease in forward speed is expected after landfall, with a gradual
turn toward the north-northwest and north forecast to occur on
Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will move across
the northern Gulf of Mexico today, and will approach the north-
central Gulf Coast within the hurricane warning area late this
afternoon or evening, and move inland over the lower Mississippi
Valley tonight and early Wednesday.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected later today, and
Gordon is forecast to be a hurricane when it makes landfall along
the north-central Gulf Coast. Rapid weakening is forecast after
Gordon moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The minimum central pressure is estimated to be 1001 mb (29.56
inches) based on recent reconnaissance aircraft data.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Shell Beach to Dauphin Island...3 to 5 ft.
Navarre Florida to Dauphin Island, including Mobile Bay...2 to 4 ft.
Shell Beach to the Mouth of Mississippi River...2 to 4 ft.
Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border...1 to
2 ft.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 8 inches over the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama,
southern and central Mississippi, northeastern Louisiana, and
southern Arkansas, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches
through late Thursday. This rainfall will cause flash flooding
across portions of these areas.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin this
afternoon within portions of the warning area, with hurricane
conditions expected by this evening in the hurricane warning
area.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible this afternoon through
tonight near the coasts of Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida
Panhandle.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 041450
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Gordon Discussion Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
1000 AM CDT Tue Sep 04 2018

After an earlier disruption of the inner-core convection due to some
southerly wind shear, Gordon has since developed a band of deep
convection very near the well-defined center noted in both NOAA
GOES-16 high-resolution satellite imagery and coastal NOAA WSR-88D
Doppler radars. In addition, there has been a significant increase
in lightning activity during the past couple of hours in the inner
core, and Doppler radar velocities have increased to more than 45 kt
at 25,000 ft in the band of convection near the center. NOAA and Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft further indicate that Gordon
has maintained a small radius of maximum winds (RMW) of 10-15 nmi,
and that SFMR surface winds of 53-55 kt exist in the northeastern
quadrant. These data support an intensity of 55 kt.

The initial motion estimate is now toward the northwest at a
slightly slower forward, or 305/13 kt. There is basically no change
to the previous NHC forecast track reasoning. Reconnaissance fixes
continue to fall along the previous forecast track, and the latest
model guidance remains tightly packed and on top of the previous
NHC forecast. As a result, there is high confidence that Gordon will
make landfall along the north-central Gulf of Mexico coast in about
18 hours. After landfall, steering currents are forecast to weaken,
resulting in Gordon slowing down considerably, which will enhance
the heavy rainfall potential. By Friday, an approaching cold front
and associated mid-/upper-level trough are expected to break down
the subtropical ridge, allowing Gordon to turn northward and
eventually turn northeastward on Saturday and merge with the cold
front. The new official track forecast is near the model consensus
and essentially on top of the previous NHC track.

The aforementioned inner-core changes that have been occurring could
be a harbinger that Gordon is finally starting to intensify. Intense
lightning activity inside the small RMW is an indication of strong
updrafts, which can enhance the strengthening process. Although the
GFS and ECMWF models continue to forecast northwesterly shear of
10-15 kt, the explicit upper-level wind fields in the GFS, ECMWF,
and UKMET models indicate that the 200-mb flow is forecast to become
southeasterly and diffluent across Gordon in the next 12 h or so,
which would act to enhance the development of inner-core convection.
As result, the official intensity forecast maintains continuity and
shows Gordon becoming a hurricane before landfall, which is above
the guidance through that time. Once Gordon moves inland, the small
circulation should spin down fairly quickly, and that portion of the
forecast closely follows the various consensus-model intensity
guidance. By 120 h, Gordon's circulation is expected to merge with a
cold front over the Mississippi Valley region.

Key Messages:

1. Gordon is expected to bring life-threatening storm surge and
hurricane conditions to portions of the central Gulf Coast where a
Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect. Residents
in these areas should listen to advice from their local officials.

2. Heavy rainfall from Gordon will affect the western Florida
Panhandle, southwest Alabama, southern and central Mississippi,
much of eastern Louisiana, and southern Arkansas, where totals could
reach as high as 12 inches. This rainfall will cause flash flooding
in portions of these areas.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/1500Z 28.5N 86.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 05/0000Z 29.8N 88.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 05/1200Z 31.5N 90.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
36H 06/0000Z 32.8N 91.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
48H 06/1200Z 33.7N 92.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
72H 07/1200Z 35.4N 94.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 08/1200Z 37.7N 93.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 09/1200Z 40.9N 90.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
Forecaster Stewart


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 041438
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
1000 AM CDT Tue Sep 04 2018

...OUTER RAINBANDS PRODUCING SQUALLY WEATHER ALONG THE COAST OF THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
...GORDON EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT AS A HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.5N 86.8W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued west of Grand
Isle, Louisiana.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Shell Beach to Dauphin Island

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* West of Shell Beach to the Mouth of the Mississippi River
* East of Dauphin Island to Navarre

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama-Florida Border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West of the Mouth of the Pearl River to Grand Isle, including Lake
Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas
* Alabama-Florida Border to Okaloosa-Walton County Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located near latitude 28.5 North, longitude 86.8 West. Gordon is
moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue until landfall occurs tonight along
the north-central Gulf coast. A northwestward motion with some
decrease in forward speed is expected after landfall, with a gradual
turn toward the north-northwest and north forecast to occur on
Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will move across
the northern Gulf of Mexico today, and will approach the north-
central Gulf Coast within the hurricane warning area late this
afternoon or evening, and move inland over the lower Mississippi
Valley tonight and early Wednesday.

Reports from NOAA and Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance
aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph
(100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected today,
and Gordon is forecast to be a hurricane when it makes landfall
along the north-central Gulf Coast. Rapid weakening is forecast
after Gordon moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center. NOAA Buoy 42039, located north of Gordon's center,
recently reported a sustained wind of 43 mph (69 km/h) and a gust
to 49 mph (80 km/h).

The minimum central pressure recently reported by a NOAA
reconnaissance aircraft was 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Shell Beach to Dauphin Island...3 to 5 ft.
Navarre Florida to Dauphin Island, including Mobile Bay...2 to 4 ft.
Shell Beach to the Mouth of Mississippi River...2 to 4 ft.
Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border...1 to
2 ft.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 8 inches over the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama,
southern and central Mississippi, southeastern and northeastern
Louisiana, and southern Arkansas, with isolated maximum amounts of
12 inches through late Thursday. This rainfall will cause flash
flooding across portions of these areas.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin this
afternoon within portions of the warning area, with hurricane
conditions expected by this evening in the hurricane warning
area.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible this afternoon through
tonight near the coasts of Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida
Panhandle.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 041437
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072018
1500 UTC TUE SEP 04 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF GRAND
ISLE LOUISIANA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SHELL BEACH TO DAUPHIN ISLAND

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF SHELL BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
* EAST OF DAUPHIN ISLAND TO NAVARRE

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
* ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL
NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW
EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 86.8W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 50SE 20SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 86.8W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 86.2W

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 29.8N 88.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 31.5N 90.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 32.8N 91.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 33.7N 92.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 35.4N 94.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 37.7N 93.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 40.9N 90.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N 86.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 041150
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Intermediate Advisory Number 8A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
700 AM CDT Tue Sep 04 2018

...GORDON MOVING STEADILY TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...
...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.1N 86.2W
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...25 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Shell Beach to Dauphin Island

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* West of Shell Beach to the Mouth of the Mississippi River
* East of Dauphin Island to Navarre

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama-Florida Border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West of the Mouth of the Pearl River to east of Morgan City,
Louisiana, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas
* Alabama-Florida Border to Okaloosa-Walton County Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located near latitude 28.1 North, longitude 86.2 West. Gordon is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (25 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in
forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast
track, the center of Gordon will move across the eastern Gulf of
Mexico today, and will approach the north-central Gulf Coast within
the warning area late this afternoon or evening, and move inland
over the lower Mississippi Valley tonight or early Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is expected today, and Gordon is forecast
to be a hurricane when it makes landfall along the north-central
Gulf Coast. Rapid weakening is expected after Gordon moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center. NOAA Buoy 42039, located north of Gordon's center,
recently reported a sustained wind of 43 mph (69 km/h) and a gust
to 49 mph (80 km/h).

The minimum central pressure recently reported by NOAA and Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft was 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Shell Beach to Dauphin Island, Alabama...3 to 5 ft.
Navarre Florida to Dauphin Island, including Mobile Bay...2 to 4 ft.
Shell Beach to the Mouth of Mississippi River...2 to 4 ft.
Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border...1 to
2 ft.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 8 inches over the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama,
southern and central Mississippi, southeastern and northeastern
Louisiana, and southern Arkansas, with isolated maximum amounts of
12 inches through late Thursday. This rainfall will cause flash
flooding across portions of these areas.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin this
afternoon within portions of the warning area, with hurricane
conditions expected by this evening in the hurricane warning
area.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible this afternoon through
tonight near the coasts of Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida
Panhandle.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 040846
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Advisory Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
400 AM CDT Tue Sep 04 2018

...GORDON CONTINUES HEADING FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...
...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.7N 85.7W
ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Shell Beach to Dauphin Island

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* West of Shell Beach to the Mouth of the Mississippi River
* East of Dauphin Island to Navarre

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama-Florida Border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West of the Mouth of the Pearl River to east of Morgan City,
Louisiana, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas
* Alabama-Florida Border to Okaloosa-Walton County Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located near latitude 27.7 North, longitude 85.7 West. Gordon is
moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in
forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast
track, the center of Gordon will move across the eastern Gulf of
Mexico today, and will approach the north-central Gulf Coast within
the warning area late this afternoon or evening, and move inland
over the lower Mississippi Valley tonight or early Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is expected today, and Gordon is forecast to
be a hurricane when it makes landfall along the north-central Gulf
Coast. Rapid weakening is expected after Gordon moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Shell Beach to Dauphin Island, Alabama...3 to 5 ft.
Navarre Florida to Dauphin Island, including Mobile Bay...2 to 4 ft.
Shell Beach to the Mouth of Mississippi River...2 to 4 ft.
Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border...1 to
2 ft.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 8 inches over the western Florida Panhandle, southwest Alabama,
southern and central Mississippi, southeastern and northeastern
Louisiana, and southern Arkansas, with isolated maximum amounts of
12 inches through late Thursday. This rainfall will cause flash
flooding across portions of these areas.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin this
afternoon within portions of the warning area, with hurricane
conditions expected by this evening in the hurricane warning
area.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible this afternoon through
tonight near the coasts of Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida
Panhandle.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 040847
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Gordon Discussion Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
400 AM CDT Tue Sep 04 2018

Gordon has changed little in organization on geostationary
satellite images or on the WSR-88D radar presentation over the past
several hours. The storm has a small CDO with convective banding
features primarily over the eastern semicircle of the circulation.
Overall the cloud pattern is indicative of moderate westerly shear
over the system, likely associated with an upper-level trough near
the central Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane
Hunter aircraft investigated Gordon a few hours ago and reported
maximum SFMR-measured surface winds of 54 kt. On this basis the
intensity had been adjusted to 55 kt, which is somewhat above the
latest Dvorak estimates. It is assumed that the shear will not be
strong enough to inhibit at least some strengthening before
landfall, so the tropical cyclone is still forecast to become a
hurricane later today. The official forecast, prior to landfall, is
close to the latest LGEM intensity guidance, and near the upper end
of the guidance suite. Gordon should weaken rapidly after landfall
in the lower Mississippi Valley region.

The motion continues west-northwestward, or 300/15 kt. There is
little or no change to the NHC track prediction or forecast
reasoning from the previous advisory. Gordon is expected to move
along the southwestern periphery of a mid-level high pressure area
and make landfall along the north-central Gulf of Mexico coast
within 24 hours. After landfall, the cyclone is forecast to move
northwestward, along the western side of the high, at a reduced
forward speed. Late in the forecast period Gordon, or its
post-tropical remnant, should turn northward to north-northeastward
as it approaches the mid-latitude westerlies. The official track
forecast is near the model consensus and very close to the previous
NHC track.

Key Messages:

1. Gordon is expected to bring life-threatening storm surge and
hurricane conditions to portions of the central Gulf Coast where a
Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect. Residents
in these areas should listen to advice from their local officials.
All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion, as tropical storm conditions are expected to arrive in
the warning areas this afternoon.

2. Heavy rainfall from Gordon will affect the western Florida
Panhandle, southern Alabama, southern Mississippi and Louisiana,
where totals could reach as high as 12 inches. This rainfall could
cause flash flooding.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/0900Z 27.7N 85.7W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 04/1800Z 29.0N 87.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 05/0600Z 30.7N 89.6W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND
36H 05/1800Z 32.2N 91.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
48H 06/0600Z 33.4N 92.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
72H 07/0600Z 34.9N 94.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 08/0600Z 37.0N 94.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 09/0600Z 40.0N 92.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Pasch


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 040845
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072018
0900 UTC TUE SEP 04 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SHELL BEACH TO DAUPHIN ISLAND

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF SHELL BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
* EAST OF DAUPHIN ISLAND TO NAVARRE

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY...
LOUISIANA... INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
* ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...
PLEASE
SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION.
PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 85.7W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 85.7W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 85.0W

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 29.0N 87.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 30.7N 89.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 32.2N 91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 33.4N 92.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 34.9N 94.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 37.0N 94.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 40.0N 92.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N 85.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 040544
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Intermediate Advisory Number 7A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
200 AM EDT Tue Sep 04 2018

...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE FINDS GORDON A LITTLE STRONGER...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.3N 85.0W
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Shell Beach to Dauphin Island

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* West of Shell Beach to the Mouth of the Mississippi River
* East of Dauphin Island to Navarre

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama-Florida Border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West of the Mouth of the Pearl River to east of Morgan City,
Louisiana, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas
* Alabama-Florida Border to Okaloosa-Walton County Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located near latitude 27.3 North, longitude 85.0 West. Gordon is
moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in
forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast
track, the center of Gordon will move across the eastern Gulf of
Mexico today, and will approach the north-central Gulf Coast within
the warning area late this afternoon or evening, and move inland
over the lower Mississippi Valley on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected today,
and Gordon is forecast to be a hurricane when it makes landfall
along the north-central Gulf Coast. Rapid weakening is expected
after Gordon moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force reconnaissance
aircraft is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Shell Beach to Dauphin Island, Alabama...3 to 5 ft.
Navarre Florida to Dauphin Island, including Mobile Bay...2 to 4 ft.
Shell Beach to the Mouth of Mississippi River...2 to 4 ft.
Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border...1 to
2 ft.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 8 inches over southwest Alabama, southern and central
Mississippi, southeastern and northeastern Louisiana, and southeast
Arkansas, with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches through late
Thursday. This rainfall may cause flash flooding.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin this
afternoon within portions of the warning area, with hurricane
conditions expected by this evening in the hurricane warning
area.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 040247
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Gordon Discussion Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
1100 PM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018

WSR-88D radar data from Tampa shows that the small inner core of
Gordon has lost some organization during the past few hours, and
GOES-16 satellite imagery and recent aircraft fixes indicate that
the low-level center is located near the southwestern edge of the
main convective mass. This suggests that there may be some light to
moderate westerly shear affecting the cyclone. The Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft recently measured peak 850-mb
flight-level winds of 57 kt, and SFMR winds of 50-55 kt. A blend
of these data yields an initial wind speed estimate of 50 kt.

A UW/CIMSS shear analysis and the SHIPS model indicates that there
is about 10-15 kt of westerly shear over the system. The SHIPS
guidance shows a slight relaxation of the shear during the next
12-18 hours while the system moves over the warm waters of the Gulf
of Mexico, which should allow for some strengthening. However,
Gordon is a small tropical cyclone and subtle changes in shear
(both up and down) can result in fairly quick intensity changes for
systems like this. The NHC intensity forecast assumes that shear
will not be prohibitive and that Gordon will become a hurricane
before reaching the northern Gulf coast. The NHC intensity
forecast is close to the SHIPS guidance through 24 hours, then
follows the HFIP corrected consensus after landfall which shows
Gordon weakening rapidly over land.

Gordon is moving west-northwestward at about 15 kt. The tropical
storm is expected to maintain a west-northwestward to northwestward
heading during the next few days while it moves around the
southwestern portion of a large deep-layer ridge centered over the
Mid-Atlantic states. After that time, the cyclone should decelerate
as it moves around the western periphery of the ridge. The track
guidance continues to be tightly clustered through 72 h, and no
significant changes were required to the previous NHC track
forecast.

Key Messages:

1. Gordon is expected to bring life-threatening storm surge and
hurricane conditions to portions of the central Gulf Coast where a
Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect. Residents
in these areas should listen to advice from their local officials.
All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion, as tropical storm conditions are expected to arrive in
the warning areas Tuesday afternoon.

2. Heavy rainfall from Gordon will affect southern Alabama, southern
Mississippi and Louisiana, where totals could reach as high as 8
inches. This rainfall could cause flash flooding.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/0300Z 26.9N 84.3W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 04/1200Z 28.3N 86.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 05/0000Z 30.0N 88.6W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 05/1200Z 31.6N 90.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
48H 06/0000Z 32.9N 91.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
72H 07/0000Z 34.6N 93.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
96H 08/0000Z 36.5N 94.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 09/0000Z 39.5N 93.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 040246
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Advisory Number 7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
1100 PM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018

...GORDON MOVING QUICKLY ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.9N 84.3W
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Shell Beach to Dauphin Island

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* West of Shell Beach to the Mouth of the Mississippi River
* East of Dauphin Island to Navarre

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama-Florida Border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West of the Mouth of the Pearl River to east of Morgan City,
Louisiana, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas
* Alabama-Florida Border to Okaloosa-Walton County Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located near latitude 26.9 North, longitude 84.3 West. Gordon is
moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). A
west-northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in
forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast
track, the center of Gordon will move across the eastern Gulf of
Mexico tonight and Tuesday, and will approach the north-central Gulf
Coast within the warning area late Tuesday afternoon or evening, and
move inland over the lower Mississippi Valley on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is expected during the next 24 hours, and
Gordon is forecast to be a hurricane when it makes landfall along
the north-central Gulf Coast. Rapid weakening is expected after
Gordon moves inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Shell Beach to Dauphin Island, Alabama...3 to 5 ft.
Navarre Florida to Dauphin Island, including Mobile Bay...2 to 4 ft.
Shell Beach to the Mouth of Mississippi River...2 to 4 ft.
Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border...1 to
2 ft.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce additional rain
accumulations around 1 inch, with isolated heavier amounts
through Tuesday over the northwestern Bahamas and south
Florida. Isolated maximum storm-total amounts of 7 inches are
possible.

Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 8
inches over southwest Alabama, southern and central Mississippi,
southeastern and northeastern Louisiana, and southeast Arkansas,
with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches through late Thursday.

This rainfall may cause flash flooding.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin Tuesday
afternoon within portions of the warning area, with hurricane
conditions expected by Tuesday evening in the hurricane warning
area.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 040246
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072018
0300 UTC TUE SEP 04 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SHELL BEACH TO DAUPHIN ISLAND

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF SHELL BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
* EAST OF DAUPHIN ISLAND TO NAVARRE

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY...
LOUISIANA... INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
* ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL
NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW
EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 84.3W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 84.3W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.7N 83.4W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 28.3N 86.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 30.0N 88.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 31.6N 90.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 32.9N 91.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 34.6N 93.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 36.5N 94.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 39.5N 93.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 84.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 040031 CCA
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Intermediate Advisory Number 6A...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
800 PM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018

Corrected to remove erroneous text in the Watch/Warning section.

...GORDON STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM FLORIDA...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.7N 83.4W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM W OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning for the southwest coast of Florida has
been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Shell Beach to Dauphin Island

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* West of Shell Beach to the Mouth of the Mississippi River
* East of Dauphin Island to Navarre

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama-Florida Border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West of the Mouth of the Pearl River to east of Morgan City,
Louisiana, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas
* Alabama-Florida Border to Okaloosa-Walton County Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located by NOAA Doppler weather radar and an Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 26.7 North, longitude 83.4
West. Gordon is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28
km/h) and a west-northwestward to northwestward motion is expected
over the next 72 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Gordon
will move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico tonight and Tuesday, and
will approach the north-central Gulf Coast within the warning area
late Tuesday or Tuesday night, and move inland over the lower
Mississippi Valley on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h)
with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next
36 hours, and Gordon is expected to be a hurricane when it makes
landfall along the north-central Gulf Coast.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on reports from NOAA
and Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is 1003 mb (29.62
inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Shell Beach to Dauphin Island, Alabama...3 to 5 ft.
Navarre Florida to Dauphin Island, including Mobile Bay...2 to 4 ft.
Shell Beach to the Mouth of Mississippi River...2 to 4 ft.
Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border...1 to
2 ft.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 4 inches over the northwestern Bahamas, Florida Keys, and South
Florida through early Tuesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches
are possible over the southern Florida peninsula.

Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 6
inches over southern Alabama, southern and central Mississippi, and
southeastern and northeastern Louisiana, with isolated maximum
amounts of 8 inches through late Thursday.

These rainfall amounts may cause flash flooding.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin Tuesday
afternoon within portions of the warning area, with hurricane
conditions expected by Tuesday evening in the hurricane warning
area.

TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible through tonight
across the southern and west-central Florida Peninsula.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 032349
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
800 PM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018

...GORDON STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM FLORIDA...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.7N 83.4W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM W OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning for the southwest coast of Florida has
been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Shell Beach to Dauphin Island
late Tuesday or Tuesday night
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* West of Shell Beach to the Mouth of the Mississippi River
* East of Dauphin Island to Navarre

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama-Florida Border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West of the Mouth of the Pearl River to east of Morgan City,
Louisiana, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas
* Alabama-Florida Border to Okaloosa-Walton County Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located by NOAA Doppler weather radar and an Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 26.7 North, longitude 83.4
West. Gordon is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28
km/h) and a west-northwestward to northwestward motion is expected
over the next 72 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Gordon
will move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico tonight and Tuesday,
and will approach the north-central Gulf Coast within the warning
area late Tuesday or Tuesday night, and move inland over the lower
Mississippi Valley on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h)
with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next
36 hours, and Gordon is expected to be a hurricane when it makes
landfall along the north-central Gulf Coast.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on reports from NOAA
and Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is 1003 mb (29.62
inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Shell Beach to Dauphin Island, Alabama...3 to 5 ft.
Navarre Florida to Dauphin Island, including Mobile Bay...2 to 4 ft.
Shell Beach to the Mouth of Mississippi River...2 to 4 ft.
Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border...1 to
2 ft.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 4 inches over the northwestern Bahamas, Florida Keys, and South
Florida through early Tuesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches
are possible over the southern Florida peninsula.

Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 6
inches over southern Alabama, southern and central Mississippi, and
southeastern and northeastern Louisiana, with isolated maximum
amounts of 8 inches through late Thursday.

These rainfall amounts may cause flash flooding.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin Tuesday
afternoon within portions of the warning area, with hurricane
conditions expected by Tuesday evening in the hurricane warning
area.

TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible through tonight
across the southern and west-central Florida Peninsula.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown


Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 032052
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Gordon Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
500 PM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018

Data from an earlier Air Force Reserve reconnaissance mission, along
with Doppler velocity data from the Miami radar, indicate that
Gordon has strengthened a little more, with some these data
supporting an intensity of about 50 kt. However, since the earlier
5-n mi-diameter eye has eroded and inner-core convection has become
somewhat ragged, the initial intensity remains 45 kt.

The initial motion estimate is 300/15 kt. The latest model guidance
is still in excellent agreement on Gordon maintaining a west-
northwestward to northwestward motion for the next 48-72 hours right
up until landfall as a strong ridge to the north of the cyclone is
forecast to remain locked in place over the southeastern U.S. and
mid-Atlantic states. Although the guidance has shifted slightly back
to the left, no appreciable changes were made to the previous
forecast track since the models have been 'windshield-wipering' back
and forth over the past 24 hours. The new NHC track forecast is
similar to or a little north of the latest consensus models.

Overall, Gordon's presentation in both radar and satellite imagery
has steadily improved since the previous advisory. Although the
inner-core structure has eroded somewhat, outer banding features
have improved and now extend as far north as central and northern
Florida. The GFS- and ECMWF-based SHIPS intensity models continue to
indicate that westerly to northwesterly wind shear of 10-15 kt is
expected to affect Gordon for the next 36 hours, a flow pattern that
would generally hinder development. However, the global models'
upper-level wind fields show Gordon remaining near or underneath a
synoptic-scale upper-level anticyclone, a more favorable pattern
that supports at least steady strengthening. Since Gordon will be
moving over very warm sea-surface temperatures of about 30 C, the
cyclone is forecast to reach hurricane strength in 24-36 hours, just
before landfall. For that reason, a Hurricane Warning has been
issued for portions of the central Gulf Coast. The NHC intensity
forecast is a little above the previous advisory, and is close to a
blend of the consensus models HCCA, FSSE, and IVCN.

Key Messages:

1. Gordon is expected to bring life-threatening storm surge and
hurricane conditions to portions of the central Gulf Coast where a
Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect. Residents
in these areas should listen to advice from their local officials.
All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion, as tropical storm conditions are expected to arrive in
the warning areas Tuesday afternoon or evening.

2. Heavy rainfall from Gordon will affect southern Alabama, southern
Mississippi and Louisiana, where totals could reach as high as 8
inches. This rainfall could cause flash flooding.

3. Rainfall will continue across portions of South Florida and the
Florida Keys through early Tuesday, where totals could reach as high
as 8 inches.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/2100Z 26.2N 82.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
12H 04/0600Z 27.3N 84.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 04/1800Z 28.9N 87.2W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 05/0600Z 30.6N 89.3W 65 KT 75 MPH...INLAND
48H 05/1800Z 32.1N 91.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
72H 06/1800Z 34.1N 93.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
96H 07/1800Z 35.5N 94.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 08/1800Z 38.2N 94.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Stewart


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 032038
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
500 PM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018

...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST AND STORM SURGE WARNING EXTENDED EASTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.2N 82.6W
ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM WSW OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA
ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Storm Surge Warning has been extended eastward to Dauphin
Island, Alabama.

A Hurricane Warning has been issued from the Mouth of the Pearl
River to the Alabama-Florida Border. This warning replaces the
Hurricane Watch and Tropical Storm Warning for this area.

The Tropical Storm Warning for the Upper Florida Keys and from
Golden Beach to Chokoloskee, including Florida Bay, has been
discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Shell Beach to Dauphin Island

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* West of Shell Beach to the Mouth of the Mississippi River
* East of Dauphin Island to Navarre

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama-Florida Border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach
* West of the Mouth of the Pearl River to east of Morgan City,
Louisiana, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas
* Alabama-Florida Border to Okaloosa-Walton County Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located by NOAA Doppler weather radars near latitude 26.2 North,
longitude 82.6 West. Gordon is moving toward the west-northwest near
17 mph (28 km/h) and a west-northwestward to northwestward motion is
expected over the next 72 hours. On the forecast track, the center
of Gordon will move farther away from the southwestern coast of
Florida early this evening, and move across the eastern Gulf of
Mexico tonight and Tuesday. The center of Gordon will approach the
central Gulf Coast within the warning area late Tuesday or Tuesday
night, and move inland over the lower Mississippi Valley on
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 36 hours, and
Gordon is expected to be a hurricane when it makes landfall along
the central Gulf Coast.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches)
based on earlier reports from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance
aircraft.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Shell Beach to Dauphin Island, Alabama...3 to 5 ft.
Navarre Florida to Dauphin Island, including Mobile Bay...2 to 4 ft.
Shell Beach to the Mouth of Mississippi River...2 to 4 ft.
Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border...1 to
2 ft.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 4 inches over the northwestern Bahamas, Florida Keys, and South
Florida through early Tuesday. Isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches
are possible over the southern Florida peninsula.

Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 6
inches over southern Alabama, southern and central Mississippi, and
southeastern and northeastern Louisiana, with isolated maximum
amounts of 8 inches through late Thursday.

These rainfall amounts may cause flash flooding.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue for the next few
hours in the warning area across southwestern Florida. Tropical
storm conditions are expected within portions of the central Gulf
Coast warning area by late Tuesday, with hurricane conditions
expected late Tuesday or Tuesday night in the hurricane warning
area.

TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible through tonight
across the southern and west-central Florida Peninsula.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 032038
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072018
2100 UTC MON SEP 03 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD TO DAUPHIN
ISLAND ALABAMA.

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER. THIS WARNING REPLACES THE
HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THIS AREA.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE UPPER FLORIDA KEYS AND FROM
GOLDEN BEACH TO CHOKOLOSKEE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SHELL BEACH TO DAUPHIN ISLAND

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF SHELL BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
* EAST OF DAUPHIN ISLAND TO NAVARRE

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH
* WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY...
LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
* ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...
PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING
GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING
SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL
NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW
EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 82.6W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 82.6W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 81.9W

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 27.3N 84.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 28.9N 87.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 30.6N 89.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 32.1N 91.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 34.1N 93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 35.5N 94.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 38.2N 94.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N 82.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 031747
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Intermediate Advisory Number 5A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018

...GORDON STILL PRODUCING TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE UPPER KEYS...
...STORM SURGE WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.8N 81.9W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM WSW OF MARCO ISLAND FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Shell Beach to Mississippi-Alabama border

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* West of Shell Beach to the Mouth of the Mississippi River
* East of the Mississippi-Alabama border to Navarre

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama-Florida Border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Golden Beach to Bonita Beach
* Craig Key to Ocean Reef, including Florida Bay
* Okaloosa-Walton County Line westward to east of Morgan City,
Louisiana, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located near latitude 25.8 North, longitude 81.9 West. Gordon is
moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h) and a west-
northwestward to northwestward motion is expected over the next
72 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will move
farther away from the southwestern coast of Florida this
afternoon and move across the eastern Gulf of Mexico tonight and
Tuesday. The center of Gordon will approach the coast within
the warning area along the central Gulf Coast by late Tuesday or
Tuesday night, and move inland over the lower Mississippi Valley on
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next
36 hours, and Gordon is expected to be near hurricane strength when
it makes landfall along the central Gulf Coast.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Shell Beach to the Mississippi-Alabama border...3 to 5 ft.
Navarre Florida to the Mississippi-Alabama border...2 to 4 ft.
Shell Beach to the Mouth of Mississippi River...2 to 4 ft.
Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border...1 to
2 ft.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 4 inches over the central and northwestern Bahamas, the Florida
Keys, and South Florida through early Tuesday. Isolated maximum
amounts of 8 inches are possible over the southern Florida
peninsula.

Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 6
inches over southern Alabama, southern Mississippi and Louisiana,
with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches through early Thursday.

These rainfall amounts may cause flash flooding.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue through this
afternoon in the warning areas across South Florida and the Florida
Keys. Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the
central Gulf Coast warning area by late Tuesday, with hurricane
conditions possible late Tuesday or Tuesday night in the hurricane
watch area.

TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible through tonight
across the southern and west-central Florida Peninsula.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 031455
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Gordon Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
1100 AM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018

Surface observations from the Florida Keys and southeast Florida,
along with Doppler velocity data from the Miami radar, indicate that
Gordon has continued to become organized this morning. The center
of the cyclone passed over Key Largo between 1100-1200 UTC,
producing a west wind in Islamorada and also at an observing site
in Florida Bay. Doppler velocity data and surface observations
support an intensity of 40 kt for this advisory. An Air Force
Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is currently investigating
Gordon.

The initial motion estimate is 300/14 kt. The latest model
guidance has shifted slightly to the right, but this is likely due
to the more northerly initial position. Other than that, the models
remain tightly packed and agree on a general west-northwestward to
northwestward motion for the next 48 hours right up until landfall
as the strong ridge to the north of Gordon moves little. The new NHC
forecast track was adjusted a little to the right of the previous
advisory track, but not as far to the east as some of the model
guidance out of respect for the reliable ECMWF deterministic run,
which is located on the southern edge of the guidance and shows
landfall near the mouth of the Mississippi River, a solution that is
also supported by the new 0600Z short-range UKMET model run.

Gordon's appearance in both radar and satellite imagery has
continued to improve over the past several hours. The GFS- and
ECMWF-based SHIPS models indicate that westerly to northwesterly
vertical wind shear of about 10 kt is allegedly affecting Gordon,
but there are no indications of that in satellite imagery that I
can see. The cirrus outflow has continued to expand in all
quadrants, so the analyzed westerly shear is likely an artifact of
the small circulation being positioned so close to the strong trough
located its west. Since Gordon will be moving over sea-surface
temperatures near 30 deg C during the next 36-48 hours, and be near
or underneath an upper-level anticyclone, steady strengthening seems
likely. It is possible that Gordon could peak as a Category 1
hurricane after 36 hours, just before landfall occurs. For that
reason, a Hurricane Watch has been issued for portions of the
central Gulf Coast. The new intensity forecast is above the previous
advisory, and is close to a blend of the consensus models
HCCA, FSSE, and IVCN.

Key Messages:

1. Gordon will bring heavy rainfall and tropical storm conditions
to portions of South Florida and the Florida Keys today and a
Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for these areas.

2. Gordon is expected to bring life-threatening storm surge to
portions of the central Gulf Coast and a Storm Surge Warning has
been issued from the Mouth of the Pearl River to the Mississippi-
Alabama border. Residents in these areas should listen to advice
from their local officials and all preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

3. A Tropical Storm Warning and Hurricane Watch are in effect for
portions of the central Gulf Coast. Tropical storm conditions are
expected to reach those areas late Tuesday, with hurricane
conditions possible in the watch area.

4. Heavy rainfall from Gordon will affect southern Alabama, southern
Mississippi and Louisiana, where totals could reach as high as 8
inches. This rainfall could cause flash flooding.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/1500Z 25.3N 81.3W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 04/0000Z 26.5N 83.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 04/1200Z 28.1N 86.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 05/0000Z 29.9N 88.4W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 05/1200Z 31.3N 90.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
72H 06/1200Z 33.9N 93.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
96H 07/1200Z 34.8N 94.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
120H 08/1200Z 37.6N 95.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Stewart


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 031447
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
1100 AM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018

...GORDON LASHING SOUTH FLORIDA WITH TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS AND
HEAVY RAINS...
...STORM SURGE WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.3N 81.3W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM WNW OF KEY LARGO FLORIDA
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM SSE OF MARCO ISLAND FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Storm Surge Warning has been issued from Shell Beach, Louisiana,
to the Mississippi-Alabama border.

The Storm Surge Watch has been extended eastward from the
Mississippi-Alabama border to Navarre, Florida.

A Hurricane Watch has been issued from the Mouth of the Pearl River
to the Alabama-Florida Border.

The Tropical Storm Warning has been extended eastward to the
Okaloosa-Walton County Line.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Shell Beach to Mississippi-Alabama border

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* West of Shell Beach to the Mouth of the Mississippi River
* East of the Mississippi-Alabama border to Navarre

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama-Florida Border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Golden Beach to Bonita Beach
* Craig Key to Ocean Reef, including Florida Bay
* Okaloosa-Walton County Line westward to east of Morgan City,
Louisiana, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located near latitude 25.3 North, longitude 81.3 West. Gordon is
moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h) and a west-
northwestward to northwestward motion is expected over the next
72 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will emerge
over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by early afternoon, reach
the warning area along the central Gulf Coast by late Tuesday or
Tuesday night, and move inland over the lower Mississippi Valley on
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
strengthening is forecast during the next 36 to 48 hours, and
Gordon could be near hurricane strength when it makes landfall
along the central Gulf Coast.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Shell Beach to the Mississippi-Alabama border...3 to 5 ft.
Navarre Florida to the Mississippi-Alabama border...2 to 4 ft.
Shell Beach to the Mouth of Mississippi River...2 to 4 ft.
Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border...1 to
2 ft.

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 4 inches over the central and northwestern Bahamas, the Florida
Keys, and South Florida through early Tuesday. Isolated maximum
amounts of 8 inches are possible over the southern Florida
peninsula.

Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 6
inches over southern Alabama, southern Mississippi and Louisiana,
with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches through early Thursday.

These rainfall amounts may cause flash flooding.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue through the
afternoon in the warning areas across South Florida and the Florida
Keys. Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the
central Gulf Coast warning area by late Tuesday, with hurricane
conditions possible late Tuesday or Tuesday night in the hurricane
watch area.

TORNADOES: A couple of tornadoes are possible through tonight
across the southern and west-central Florida Peninsula.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 031443
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072018
1500 UTC MON SEP 03 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SHELL BEACH LOUISIANA
TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER.

THE STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD FROM THE
MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO NAVARRE FLORIDA.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER
TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD TO THE
OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SHELL BEACH TO MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF SHELL BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
* EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO NAVARRE

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GOLDEN BEACH TO BONITA BEACH
* CRAIG KEY TO OCEAN REEF...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY
* OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE WESTWARD TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY...
LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS

A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING
INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE...
DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A
DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS
LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER
INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL OFFICIALS.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 81.3W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 81.3W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 80.6W

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 26.5N 83.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 28.1N 86.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 29.9N 88.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 31.3N 90.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 33.9N 93.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 34.8N 94.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 37.6N 95.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 81.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


Original Message :

WTNT42 KNHC 031236
TCDAT2

Tropical Storm Gordon Special Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
830 AM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018

Surface observations from the Florida Keys and southeast Florida,
along with Doppler velocity data from the Miami radar, indicate
that the disturbance has developed a closed surface circulation and
a well-defined center. Recent observations from a Weatherflow site
at Carys Fort Reef and radar data support increasing the maximum
winds to at least 40 kt. As a result of these data, the system has
been upgraded to Tropical Storm Gordon, the seventh named system of
the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season. An Air Force Reserve Unit
reconnaissance aircraft is enroute to investigate Gordon.

The initial motion estimate is 300/15 kt and the previous forecast
track remains unchanged. The intensity forecast was adjusted upward
in the first 24 to 36 hours to account for the initial increase in
intensity. Some additional adjustments may be required after the
reconnaissance aircraft completes its mission and provides more
detailed information on the stricture and intensity of Gordon.

Key Messages:

1. Gordon will bring heavy rainfall and tropical storm conditions to
portions of South Florida and the Florida Keys today and a Tropical
Storm Warning is in effect for these areas.

2. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for portions of the
central Gulf Coast, and tropical storm conditions are expected in
those areas beginning late Tuesday. Heavy rainfall from Gordon will
affect portions of the central Gulf Coast over the next few days,
including areas that have already received heavy rainfall from a
different weather system. Interests in these areas should monitor
products from their local National Weather Service office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/1230Z 25.1N 80.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 03/1800Z 25.7N 82.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 04/0600Z 27.2N 84.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 04/1800Z 28.8N 87.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
48H 05/0600Z 30.4N 89.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 06/0600Z 33.0N 92.7W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
96H 07/0600Z 34.0N 95.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
120H 08/0600Z 35.5N 96.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

$$
Forecaster Stewart


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 031227
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Gordon Special Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
830 AM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018

...TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORMS OVER THE UPPER FLORIDA KEYS...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA
AND THE FLORIDA KEYS WITH HEAVY RAINS LIKELY...


SUMMARY OF 830 AM EDT...1230 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.1N 80.7W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM W OF KEY LARGO FLORIDA
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SE OF MARCO ISLAND FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for portions of South
Florida from Golden Beach to Bonita Beach, and for the Florida
Keys from Craig Key to Ocean Reef, including Florida Bay.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Mississippi-Alabama border westward to the Mouth of the
Mississippi River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Golden Beach to Bonita Beach
* Craig Key to Ocean Reef, including Florida Bay
* Alabama-Florida border westward to east of Morgan City, Louisiana,
including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 830 AM EDT (1230 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gordon was
located by NOAA Doppler weather radar and surface observations
near latitude 25.1 North, longitude 80.7 West. Gordon is moving
toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h) and a west-
northwestward to northwestward motion is expected over the next
72 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Gordon will pass
over the southern tip of the Florida peninsula this morning, move
over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico this afternoon and evening, and
reach the warning area along the central Gulf Coast by late Tuesday
or Tuesday night.

Surface observations and radar data indicate that maximum sustained
winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Destin Florida to the Mississippi-Alabama border...1 to 2 ft.
Mississippi-Alabama border to the Mouth of Mississippi River...2 to
4 ft
Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border...1 to
2 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 4 inches over the central and northwestern Bahamas, the Florida
Keys, and South Florida through early Tuesday. Isolated maximum
amounts of 8 inches are possible over the southern Florida
peninsula.

Gordon is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 4 to 6
inches over southern Alabama, southern Mississippi and Louisiana,
with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches through early Thursday.

These rainfall amounts may cause flash flooding.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the warning areas
across South Florida and the Florida Keys, and those conditions
should continue through the afternoon. Tropical storm conditions are
expected within portions of the central Gulf Coast warning area by
late Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


Original Message :

WTNT22 KNHC 031222
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM GORDON SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072018
1230 UTC MON SEP 03 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH
FLORIDA FROM GOLDEN BEACH TO BONITA BEACH...AND FOR THE FLORIDA
KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY TO OCEAN REEF...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GOLDEN BEACH TO BONITA BEACH
* CRAIG KEY TO OCEAN REEF...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY
* ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER WESTWARD TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY
LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 80.7W AT 03/1230Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 80.7W AT 03/1230Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 79.4W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 25.7N 82.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 27.2N 84.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 28.8N 87.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 30.4N 89.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 33.0N 92.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 34.0N 95.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 35.5N 96.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N 80.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


Original Message :

WTNT62 KNHC 031202
TCUAT2

Tropical Storm Gordon Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
805 AM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018

...TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORMS NEAR THE UPPER FLORIDA KEYS...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND
THE KEYS...

Surface observations from the Florida Keys and radar data indicate
that Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven has become Tropical Storm
Gordon, with maximum sustained winds of around 45 mph (75 km/h). A
Tropical Storm Warning will be issued shortly for portions of the
Florida Keys and the southern Florida peninsula in a forthcoming
special advisory to be issued by 900 AM EDT (1300 UTC).


SUMMARY OF 805 AM EDT...1205 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.1N 80.6W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM W OF KEY LARGO FLORIDA
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM E OF CAPE SABLE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.79 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brennan/Stewart


Original Message :

WTNT32 KNHC 031131
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 03 2018

...DISTURBANCE EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...
...HEAVY RAINS LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.1N 80.5W
ABOUT 5 MI...5 KM W OF KEY LARGO FLORIDA
ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM E OF CAPE SABLE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.82 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Mississippi-Alabama border westward to the Mouth of the
Mississippi River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Alabama-Florida border westward to east of Morgan City, Louisiana,
including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas

Interests in the Florida Keys and the southern Florida peninsula
should monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM EDT (1200 UTC), the disturbance was located by the Miami
NOAA Doppler weather radar near latitude 25.1 North, longitude 80.5
West. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph
(26 km/h) and a west-northwestward to northwestward motion is
expected over the next 72 hours. On the forecast track, the
disturbance will pass over Florida Keys and the southern portion of
the Florida peninsula this morning, move over the southeastern Gulf
of Mexico this afternoon and evening, and reach the central Gulf
Coast by late Tuesday or Tuesday night.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48
hours, and the disturbance is forecast to become a tropical storm
later today.

Conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and this
system is forecast to become a tropical cyclone later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.82 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Destin Florida to the Mississippi-Alabama border...1 to 2 ft.
Mississippi-Alabama border to the Mouth of Mississippi River...2 to
4 ft
Mouth of the Mississippi River to the Louisiana-Texas border...1 to
2 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the
relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary
greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area,
please see products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office.

RAINFALL: The disturbance is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the central and northwestern
Bahamas, the Florida Keys, and South Florida through early Tuesday.
Isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches are possible over the southern
Florida peninsula.

The disturbance is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over southern Alabama, southern Mississippi and
Louisiana, with isolated maximum amounts of 8 inches through early
Thursday.

These rainfall amounts may cause flash flooding.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of
the warning area by late Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force wind gusts
are possible today across portions of South Florida and the Florida
Keys.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart