Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for USAGI-18
in Viet Nam

Global Telecommunication Service

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Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 260000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 1829 USAGI (1829)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260000UTC 11N 106E
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 1006HPA =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 252100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1829 USAGI (1829)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 252100UTC 11.4N 106.8E GOOD
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 262100UTC 11.8N 105.3E 50NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 251800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.33 FOR TS 1829 USAGI (1829)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS USAGI IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 11.0N, 107.0E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN TWO
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE WEST ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE
OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT12. THE JMA
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 251800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1829 USAGI (1829)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251800UTC 11.0N 107.0E GOOD
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 261800UTC 11.5N 105.3E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 251800
WARNING 251800.
WARNING VALID 261800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1829 USAGI (1829) 1000 HPA
AT 11.0N 107.0E VIETNAM MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 11.5N 105.8E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 11.5N 105.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 251500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1829 USAGI (1829)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251500UTC 11.0N 107.1E GOOD
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 261500UTC 11.7N 105.4E 50NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 251500
WARNING ATCG MIL 33W NWP 181125131920
2018112512 33W USAGI 030 02 305 09 SATL 035
T000 108N 1069E 030
T012 114N 1061E 025
T024 117N 1052E 020
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W (USAGI) WARNING NR 030
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W (USAGI) WARNING NR 030
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 33W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251200Z --- NEAR 10.8N 106.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N 106.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 11.4N 106.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 11.7N 105.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
251500Z POSITION NEAR 10.9N 106.7E.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
3318110206 80N1590W 20
3318110212 80N1592W 20
3318110218 81N1597W 20
3318110300 83N1603W 20
3318110306 84N1613W 20
3318110312 84N1625W 25
3318110318 82N1637W 25
3318110400 78N1648W 25
3318110406 76N1658W 25
3318110412 74N1672W 25
3318110418 77N1689W 25
3318110500 76N1708W 25
3318110506 75N1727W 25
3318110512 73N1743W 25
3318110518 73N1756W 25
3318110600 73N1770W 25
3318110606 72N1780W 25
3318110612 69N1791W 25
3318110618 71N1799W 25
3318110700 70N1791E 20
3318110706 66N1784E 20
3318110712 63N1781E 20
3318110718 68N1779E 20
3318110800 70N1772E 20
3318110806 74N1767E 20
3318110812 77N1760E 20
3318110818 79N1752E 20
3318110900 80N1744E 20
3318110906 84N1734E 20
3318110912 86N1721E 20
3318110918 86N1708E 20
3318111000 85N1702E 20
3318111006 82N1696E 20
3318111012 81N1687E 15
3318111018 95N1672E 20
3318111100 106N1659E 20
3318111106 113N1644E 15
3318111112 116N1628E 15
3318111118 115N1617E 15
3318111200 113N1611E 15
3318111206 107N1602E 20
3318111212 101N1593E 20
3318111218 98N1581E 20
3318111300 95N1570E 20
3318111306 91N1559E 20
3318111312 90N1551E 20
3318111318 91N1544E 20
3318111400 94N1536E 20
3318111406 91N1525E 20
3318111412 87N1512E 20
3318111418 83N1501E 20
3318111500 78N1485E 20
3318111506 73N1477E 20
3318111512 72N1470E 20
3318111518 74N1463E 20
3318111600 74N1456E 20
3318111606 73N1447E 20
3318111612 73N1434E 20
3318111618 72N1421E 20
3318111700 72N1409E 20
3318111706 72N1396E 20
3318111712 71N1383E 20
3318111718 69N1368E 20
3318111800 65N1356E 20
3318111806 64N1342E 25
3318111812 66N1336E 30
3318111818 72N1330E 30
3318111900 80N1321E 30
3318111906 86N1308E 30
3318111912 91N1297E 30
3318111918 97N1290E 30
3318112000 104N1277E 30
3318112006 106N1274E 30
3318112012 112N1264E 25
3318112018 114N1252E 25
3318112100 116N1235E 25
3318112106 111N1218E 25
3318112112 107N1204E 25
3318112118 107N1187E 25
3318112200 111N1173E 30
3318112206 114N1158E 30
3318112212 112N1143E 35
3318112218 108N1135E 40
3318112300 106N1127E 45
3318112306 105N1117E 50
3318112306 105N1117E 50
3318112312 103N1109E 55
3318112312 103N1109E 55
3318112318 99N1102E 55
3318112318 99N1102E 55
3318112400 96N1096E 70
3318112400 96N1096E 70
3318112400 96N1096E 70
3318112406 97N1088E 70
3318112406 97N1088E 70
3318112406 97N1088E 70
3318112412 98N1083E 65
3318112412 98N1083E 65
3318112412 98N1083E 65
3318112418 98N1081E 65
3318112418 98N1081E 65
3318112418 98N1081E 65
3318112500 101N1078E 55
3318112500 101N1078E 55
3318112506 103N1076E 45
3318112512 108N1069E 30
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 251500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W (USAGI) WARNING NR 030
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 33W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251200Z --- NEAR 10.8N 106.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N 106.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 11.4N 106.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 11.7N 105.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
251500Z POSITION NEAR 10.9N 106.7E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W (USAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 12 NM EAST OF
HO CHI MINH CITY, VI, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE
JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON 34W (MAN-YI)
WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 251200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.32 FOR TS 1829 USAGI (1829)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS USAGI IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 10.6N, 107.1E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A THE DISAPPEARANCE OF A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT24. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL
NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE
OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE JMA
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 251345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 251200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (10.6 N) ONE ZERO
SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (106.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 4 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 251200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1829 USAGI (1829)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251200UTC 10.6N 107.1E GOOD
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 261200UTC 11.4N 105.4E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 251200
WARNING 251200.
WARNING VALID 261200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1829 USAGI (1829) 998 HPA
AT 10.6N 107.1E VIETNAM MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 11.2N 106.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 11.4N 105.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 251045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 250900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (10.4 N) ONE
ZERO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (107.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 4 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 250900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1829 USAGI (1829)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250900UTC 10.2N 106.9E GOOD
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 260900UTC 11.2N 105.4E 50NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 250600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.31 FOR TS 1829 USAGI (1829)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS USAGI IS LOCATED AT 10.1N, 107.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS
GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW TCHP AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A
CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. METOP-A/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT24. THE
JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT12 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE OVER
LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE JMA
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 250745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 250600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (10.3 N) ONE
ZERO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (107.2 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 4 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 250600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1829 USAGI (1829)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250600UTC 10.1N 107.0E GOOD
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 260600UTC 11.2N 105.5E 50NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 250600
WARNING 250600.
WARNING VALID 260600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1829 USAGI (1829) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 994 HPA
AT 10.1N 107.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 10.7N 106.3E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 11.2N 105.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 250445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 250300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (10.2 N) ONE ZERO
SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (107.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 4 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260300 UTC
ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (11.2 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (106.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 250300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1829 USAGI (1829) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250300UTC 09.9N 107.1E GOOD
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 180NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 260300UTC 11.0N 105.7E 50NM 70.
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 270000UTC 12.0N 104.5E 95NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 250000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.30 FOR STS 1829 USAGI (1829)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS USAGI IS LOCATED AT 9.9N, 107.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND ANIMATED MSI.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOW TCHP AND
LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS AND DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A
CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE
SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY FT24. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED
ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT12 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE OVER
LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE JMA
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS.
=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 250200
WARNING ATCG MIL 33W NWP 181125005542
2018112500 33W USAGI 028 02 305 04 SATL 025
T000 101N 1078E 055 R050 035 NE QD 015 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 105N 1071E 045 R034 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD
T024 110N 1063E 035
T036 114N 1053E 025
T048 117N 1042E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI) WARNING NR 028
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 33W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250000Z --- NEAR 10.1N 107.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.1N 107.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 10.5N 107.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 11.0N 106.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 11.4N 105.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 11.7N 104.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
250300Z POSITION NEAR 10.2N 107.6E.
TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 77 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT
04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 250900Z, 251500Z, 252100Z AND 260300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
3318110206 80N1590W 20
3318110212 80N1592W 20
3318110218 81N1597W 20
3318110300 83N1603W 20
3318110306 84N1613W 20
3318110312 84N1625W 25
3318110318 82N1637W 25
3318110400 78N1648W 25
3318110406 76N1658W 25
3318110412 74N1672W 25
3318110418 77N1689W 25
3318110500 76N1708W 25
3318110506 75N1727W 25
3318110512 73N1743W 25
3318110518 73N1756W 25
3318110600 73N1770W 25
3318110606 72N1780W 25
3318110612 69N1791W 25
3318110618 71N1799W 25
3318110700 70N1791E 20
3318110706 66N1784E 20
3318110712 63N1781E 20
3318110718 68N1779E 20
3318110800 70N1772E 20
3318110806 74N1767E 20
3318110812 77N1760E 20
3318110818 79N1752E 20
3318110900 80N1744E 20
3318110906 84N1734E 20
3318110912 86N1721E 20
3318110918 86N1708E 20
3318111000 85N1702E 20
3318111006 82N1696E 20
3318111012 81N1687E 15
3318111018 95N1672E 20
3318111100 106N1659E 20
3318111106 113N1644E 15
3318111112 116N1628E 15
3318111118 115N1617E 15
3318111200 113N1611E 15
3318111206 107N1602E 20
3318111212 101N1593E 20
3318111218 98N1581E 20
3318111300 95N1570E 20
3318111306 91N1559E 20
3318111312 90N1551E 20
3318111318 91N1544E 20
3318111400 94N1536E 20
3318111406 91N1525E 20
3318111412 87N1512E 20
3318111418 83N1501E 20
3318111500 78N1485E 20
3318111506 73N1477E 20
3318111512 72N1470E 20
3318111518 74N1463E 20
3318111600 74N1456E 20
3318111606 73N1447E 20
3318111612 73N1434E 20
3318111618 72N1421E 20
3318111700 72N1409E 20
3318111706 72N1396E 20
3318111712 71N1383E 20
3318111718 69N1368E 20
3318111800 65N1356E 20
3318111806 64N1342E 25
3318111812 66N1336E 30
3318111818 72N1330E 30
3318111900 80N1321E 30
3318111906 86N1308E 30
3318111912 91N1297E 30
3318111918 97N1290E 30
3318112000 104N1277E 30
3318112006 106N1274E 30
3318112012 112N1264E 25
3318112018 114N1252E 25
3318112100 116N1235E 25
3318112106 111N1218E 25
3318112112 107N1204E 25
3318112118 107N1187E 25
3318112200 111N1173E 30
3318112206 114N1158E 30
3318112212 112N1143E 35
3318112218 108N1135E 40
3318112300 106N1127E 45
3318112306 105N1117E 50
3318112306 105N1117E 50
3318112312 103N1109E 55
3318112312 103N1109E 55
3318112318 99N1102E 55
3318112318 99N1102E 55
3318112400 96N1096E 70
3318112400 96N1096E 70
3318112400 96N1096E 70
3318112406 97N1088E 70
3318112406 97N1088E 70
3318112406 97N1088E 70
3318112412 98N1083E 65
3318112412 98N1083E 65
3318112412 98N1083E 65
3318112418 99N1081E 65
3318112418 99N1081E 65
3318112418 99N1081E 65
3318112500 101N1078E 55
3318112500 101N1078E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 250200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI) WARNING NR 028
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 33W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250000Z --- NEAR 10.1N 107.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.1N 107.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 10.5N 107.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 11.0N 106.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 11.4N 105.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 11.7N 104.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
250300Z POSITION NEAR 10.2N 107.6E.
TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 77 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT
04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
250000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z, 251500Z, 252100Z AND
260300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 34W (MAN-YI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 250000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1829 USAGI (1829)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250000UTC 09.9N 107.3E GOOD
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 180NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 260000UTC 11.0N 106.1E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 270000UTC 12.0N 104.5E 95NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 250000
WARNING 250000.
WARNING VALID 260000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1829 USAGI (1829) 992 HPA
AT 09.9N 107.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 10.2N 106.9E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 11.0N 106.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 12.0N 104.5E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1010 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 242245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 242100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (9.9 N) ONE
ZERO SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (107.6 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 252100 UTC
ONE ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (11.0 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (106.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 262100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

0000012200
63907

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 242100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1829 USAGI (1829)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 242100UTC 09.7N 107.5E GOOD
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 180NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 252100UTC 10.7N 106.3E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 261800UTC 11.6N 105.2E 95NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 242100
WARNING 242100.
WARNING VALID 252100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1829 USAGI (1829) 990 HPA
AT 09.7N 107.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250900UTC AT 10.1N 107.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 252100UTC AT 10.7N 106.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 241800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.29 FOR STS 1829 USAGI (1829)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS USAGI IS LOCATED AT 9.7N, 107.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND LAND.
THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE
CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY FT24.
THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE
TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE OVER LAND.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE JMA INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 241945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 241800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (9.8 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251800 UTC
ONE ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (11.0 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (106.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

0000013500
63163

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 241800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1829 USAGI (1829)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 241800UTC 09.7N 107.7E GOOD
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 180NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 251800UTC 10.7N 106.4E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 261800UTC 11.6N 105.2E 95NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 241800
WARNING 241800.
WARNING VALID 251800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1829 USAGI (1829) 990 HPA
AT 09.7N 107.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 10.0N 107.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 10.7N 106.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 11.6N 105.2E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1010 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 241645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 241500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (9.9 N) ONE
ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (108.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251500 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (10.9 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (106.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 241500
WARNING 241500.
WARNING VALID 251500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1829 USAGI (1829) 985 HPA
AT 09.6N 108.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250300UTC AT 09.9N 107.2E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251500UTC AT 10.5N 106.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 241500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1829 USAGI (1829)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 241500UTC 09.6N 108.1E GOOD
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 180NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 251500UTC 10.5N 106.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 261200UTC 11.6N 105.5E 95NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 241200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.28 FOR STS 1829 USAGI (1829)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS USAGI IS LOCATED AT 9.7N, 108.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER SSTS,
REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS THE SHORTENING OF A BAND WITH CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE
CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE
MOVEMENT. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING
FLOW UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY FT48. THE JMA
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE OVER LAND.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE JMA INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 241345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 241200 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (9.9 N) ONE
ZERO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (108.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251200 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (10.7 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (106.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 241200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1829 USAGI (1829) DOWNGRADED FROM TY
ANALYSIS
PSTN 241200UTC 09.7N 108.3E GOOD
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 180NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 251200UTC 10.5N 106.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 261200UTC 11.6N 105.5E 95NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 241200
WARNING 241200.
WARNING VALID 251200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1829 USAGI (1829) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 985
HPA
AT 09.7N 108.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 09.9N 107.3E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 10.5N 106.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 11.6N 105.5E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1010 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 241045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 240900 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (9.8 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250900 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (10.6 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (107.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 240900
WARNING 240900.
WARNING VALID 250900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1829 USAGI (1829) 975 HPA
AT 09.7N 108.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 242100UTC AT 10.1N 107.3E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250900UTC AT 10.4N 106.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 240900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1829 USAGI (1829)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 240900UTC 09.7N 108.4E GOOD
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 180NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 250900UTC 10.4N 106.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 260600UTC 11.1N 105.3E 95NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 270600UTC 11.6N 104.1E 130NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 240600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.27 FOR TY 1829 USAGI (1829)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY USAGI IS LOCATED AT 9.7N, 108.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, WEAK
VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A BAND SPIRALING
AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT
VIET-NAM BY FT36. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT
LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT72
DUE TO ITS CONTINUED PRESENCE OVER LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO
TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 240745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 240600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (9.8 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (108.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250600 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (10.6 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (107.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 240600
WARNING 240600.
WARNING VALID 250600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1829 USAGI (1829) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 975 HPA
AT 09.7N 108.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 180 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 10.1N 107.8E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 10.4N 107.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 11.1N 105.3E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 11.6N 104.1E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 240445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 240300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (9.8 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (108.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS SEVERE TROPICAL STORM WILL BE
ISSUED BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS IT RE-ENTERS THE
HONG KONG AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250300 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (10.3 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (107.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

0000011100
58428

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 240000 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.26 FOR STS 1829 USAGI (1829)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS USAGI IS LOCATED AT 9.7N, 109.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY FT48.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW.


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 232245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 232100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (10.1 N) ONE ZERO
NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (109.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 242100 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (10.1 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (107.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 252100 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (10.8 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (106.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 262100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 231945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 231800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (10.3 N) ONE
ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (110.2 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241800 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (10.1 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251800 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (10.9 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (106.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

0000212600
55276

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 231645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 231500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (10.5 N) ONE ONE
ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (110.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241500 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (10.4 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (108.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251500 UTC
ONE ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (11.0 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (106.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

0000010600
54464

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 231500
WARNING ATCG MIL 33W NWP 181123131322
2018112312 33W USAGI 022 02 265 09 SATL 045
T000 104N 1108E 055 R050 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 040 SE QD 065 SW QD 075 NW QD
T012 104N 1094E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 105N 1080E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 107N 1069E 045 R034 080 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 109N 1062E 035
T072 115N 1044E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI) WARNING NR 022
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231200Z --- NEAR 10.4N 110.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N 110.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 10.4N 109.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 10.5N 108.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 10.7N 106.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 10.9N 106.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 11.5N 104.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
231500Z POSITION NEAR 10.4N 110.4E.
TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 243 NM EAST OF
HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS
16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z, 240300Z, 240900Z AND 241500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
3318110206 80N1590W 20
3318110212 80N1592W 20
3318110218 81N1597W 20
3318110300 83N1603W 20
3318110306 84N1613W 20
3318110312 84N1625W 25
3318110318 82N1637W 25
3318110400 78N1648W 25
3318110406 76N1658W 25
3318110412 74N1672W 25
3318110418 77N1689W 25
3318110500 76N1708W 25
3318110506 75N1727W 25
3318110512 73N1743W 25
3318110518 73N1756W 25
3318110600 73N1770W 25
3318110606 72N1780W 25
3318110612 69N1791W 25
3318110618 71N1799W 25
3318110700 70N1791E 20
3318110706 66N1784E 20
3318110712 63N1781E 20
3318110718 68N1779E 20
3318110800 70N1772E 20
3318110806 74N1767E 20
3318110812 77N1760E 20
3318110818 79N1752E 20
3318110900 80N1744E 20
3318110906 84N1734E 20
3318110912 86N1721E 20
3318110918 86N1708E 20
3318111000 85N1702E 20
3318111006 82N1696E 20
3318111012 81N1687E 15
3318111018 95N1672E 20
3318111100 106N1659E 20
3318111106 113N1644E 15
3318111112 116N1628E 15
3318111118 115N1617E 15
3318111200 113N1611E 15
3318111206 107N1602E 20
3318111212 101N1593E 20
3318111218 98N1581E 20
3318111300 95N1570E 20
3318111306 91N1559E 20
3318111312 90N1551E 20
3318111318 91N1544E 20
3318111400 94N1536E 20
3318111406 91N1525E 20
3318111412 87N1512E 20
3318111418 83N1501E 20
3318111500 78N1485E 20
3318111506 73N1477E 20
3318111512 72N1470E 20
3318111518 74N1463E 20
3318111600 74N1456E 20
3318111606 73N1447E 20
3318111612 73N1434E 20
3318111618 72N1421E 20
3318111700 72N1409E 20
3318111706 72N1396E 20
3318111712 71N1383E 20
3318111718 69N1368E 20
3318111800 65N1356E 20
3318111806 64N1342E 25
3318111812 66N1336E 30
3318111818 72N1330E 30
3318111900 80N1321E 30
3318111906 86N1308E 30
3318111912 91N1297E 30
3318111918 97N1290E 30
3318112000 104N1277E 30
3318112006 106N1274E 30
3318112012 112N1264E 25
3318112018 114N1252E 25
3318112100 116N1235E 25
3318112106 111N1218E 25
3318112112 107N1204E 25
3318112118 107N1187E 25
3318112200 111N1173E 30
3318112206 114N1158E 30
3318112212 112N1143E 35
3318112218 108N1135E 40
3318112300 106N1127E 45
3318112306 105N1117E 50
3318112306 105N1117E 50
3318112312 104N1108E 55
3318112312 104N1108E 55
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 231500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI) WARNING NR 022
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231200Z --- NEAR 10.4N 110.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.4N 110.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 10.4N 109.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 10.5N 108.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 10.7N 106.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 10.9N 106.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 11.5N 104.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
231500Z POSITION NEAR 10.4N 110.4E.
TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 243 NM EAST OF
HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS
16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z, 240300Z, 240900Z AND 241500Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 34W (MAN-YI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 231345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 231200 UTC, TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (10.5 N) ONE ONE
ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (110.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241200 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (10.4 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251200 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (10.9 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (106.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 231045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 230900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (10.7 N) ONE
ONE ONE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (111.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240900 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (10.4 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (108.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250900 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (10.8 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (106.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

0000031200
52479

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 230900
WARNING ATCG MIL 33W NWP 181123072034
2018112306 33W USAGI 021 02 265 10 SATL 030
T000 105N 1117E 050 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 104N 1102E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 070 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 104N 1087E 055 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 106N 1075E 050 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 110N 1066E 040 R034 080 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD
T072 119N 1051E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI) WARNING NR 021
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230600Z --- NEAR 10.5N 111.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 111.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 10.4N 110.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 10.4N 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 10.6N 107.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 11.0N 106.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 11.9N 105.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
230900Z POSITION NEAR 10.5N 111.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 295 NM EAST OF
HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS
15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z, 232100Z, 240300Z AND 240900Z.
HOURLY UPDATES.//
3318110206 80N1590W 20
3318110212 80N1592W 20
3318110218 81N1597W 20
3318110300 83N1603W 20
3318110306 84N1613W 20
3318110312 84N1625W 25
3318110318 82N1637W 25
3318110400 78N1648W 25
3318110406 76N1658W 25
3318110412 74N1672W 25
3318110418 77N1689W 25
3318110500 76N1708W 25
3318110506 75N1727W 25
3318110512 73N1743W 25
3318110518 73N1756W 25
3318110600 73N1770W 25
3318110606 72N1780W 25
3318110612 69N1791W 25
3318110618 71N1799W 25
3318110700 70N1791E 20
3318110706 66N1784E 20
3318110712 63N1781E 20
3318110718 68N1779E 20
3318110800 70N1772E 20
3318110806 74N1767E 20
3318110812 77N1760E 20
3318110818 79N1752E 20
3318110900 80N1744E 20
3318110906 84N1734E 20
3318110912 86N1721E 20
3318110918 86N1708E 20
3318111000 85N1702E 20
3318111006 82N1696E 20
3318111012 81N1687E 15
3318111018 95N1672E 20
3318111100 106N1659E 20
3318111106 113N1644E 15
3318111112 116N1628E 15
3318111118 115N1617E 15
3318111200 113N1611E 15
3318111206 107N1602E 20
3318111212 101N1593E 20
3318111218 98N1581E 20
3318111300 95N1570E 20
3318111306 91N1559E 20
3318111312 90N1551E 20
3318111318 91N1544E 20
3318111400 94N1536E 20
3318111406 91N1525E 20
3318111412 87N1512E 20
3318111418 83N1501E 20
3318111500 78N1485E 20
3318111506 73N1477E 20
3318111512 72N1470E 20
3318111518 74N1463E 20
3318111600 74N1456E 20
3318111606 73N1447E 20
3318111612 73N1434E 20
3318111618 72N1421E 20
3318111700 72N1409E 20
3318111706 72N1396E 20
3318111712 71N1383E 20
3318111718 69N1368E 20
3318111800 65N1356E 20
3318111806 64N1342E 25
3318111812 66N1336E 30
3318111818 72N1330E 30
3318111900 80N1321E 30
3318111906 86N1308E 30
3318111912 91N1297E 30
3318111918 97N1290E 30
3318112000 104N1277E 30
3318112006 106N1274E 30
3318112012 112N1264E 25
3318112018 114N1252E 25
3318112100 116N1235E 25
3318112106 111N1218E 25
3318112112 107N1204E 25
3318112118 107N1187E 25
3318112200 111N1173E 30
3318112206 114N1158E 30
3318112212 112N1143E 35
3318112218 108N1135E 40
3318112300 106N1127E 45
3318112306 105N1117E 50
3318112306 105N1117E 50
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 230900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI) WARNING NR 021
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230600Z --- NEAR 10.5N 111.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 111.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 10.4N 110.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 10.4N 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 10.6N 107.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 11.0N 106.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 11.9N 105.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
230900Z POSITION NEAR 10.5N 111.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 295 NM EAST OF
HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS
15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z, 232100Z, 240300Z AND 240900Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 34W (MAN-YI) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 230745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 230600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (10.7 N) ONE
ONE ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (111.4 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240600 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (10.3 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (108.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250600 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (10.7 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (106.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 230445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 230300 UTC, THE TROPICAL STORM USAGI (1829) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (10.7 N) ONE
ONE TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (112.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 240300 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (10.2 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (109.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 250300 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (10.6 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (107.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

0000012100
50655

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 230300
WARNING ATCG MIL 33W NWP 181123010850
2018112300 33W USAGI 020 02 255 07 SATL 060
T000 105N 1128E 040 R034 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD
T012 101N 1113E 045 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 055 NW QD
T024 102N 1097E 050 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 055 NW QD
T036 103N 1083E 050 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 105N 1073E 040 R034 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 117N 1057E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI) WARNING NR 020
1. TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI) WARNING NR 020
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230000Z --- NEAR 10.5N 112.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 112.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 10.1N 111.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 10.2N 109.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 10.3N 108.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 10.5N 107.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 11.7N 105.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
230300Z POSITION NEAR 10.4N 112.4E.
TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM EAST OF
HO CHI MINH CITY, VI, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 230900Z, 231500Z, 232100Z AND 240300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
3318110206 80N1590W 20
3318110212 80N1592W 20
3318110218 81N1597W 20
3318110300 83N1603W 20
3318110306 84N1613W 20
3318110312 84N1625W 25
3318110318 82N1637W 25
3318110400 78N1648W 25
3318110406 76N1658W 25
3318110412 74N1672W 25
3318110418 77N1689W 25
3318110500 76N1708W 25
3318110506 75N1727W 25
3318110512 73N1743W 25
3318110518 73N1756W 25
3318110600 73N1770W 25
3318110606 72N1780W 25
3318110612 69N1791W 25
3318110618 71N1799W 25
3318110700 70N1791E 20
3318110706 66N1784E 20
3318110712 63N1781E 20
3318110718 68N1779E 20
3318110800 70N1772E 20
3318110806 74N1767E 20
3318110812 77N1760E 20
3318110818 79N1752E 20
3318110900 80N1744E 20
3318110906 84N1734E 20
3318110912 86N1721E 20
3318110918 86N1708E 20
3318111000 85N1702E 20
3318111006 82N1696E 20
3318111012 81N1687E 15
3318111018 95N1672E 20
3318111100 106N1659E 20
3318111106 113N1644E 15
3318111112 116N1628E 15
3318111118 115N1617E 15
3318111200 113N1611E 15
3318111206 107N1602E 20
3318111212 101N1593E 20
3318111218 98N1581E 20
3318111300 95N1570E 20
3318111306 91N1559E 20
3318111312 90N1551E 20
3318111318 91N1544E 20
3318111400 94N1536E 20
3318111406 91N1525E 20
3318111412 87N1512E 20
3318111418 83N1501E 20
3318111500 78N1485E 20
3318111506 73N1477E 20
3318111512 72N1470E 20
3318111518 74N1463E 20
3318111600 74N1456E 20
3318111606 73N1447E 20
3318111612 73N1434E 20
3318111618 72N1421E 20
3318111700 72N1409E 20
3318111706 72N1396E 20
3318111712 71N1383E 20
3318111718 69N1368E 20
3318111800 65N1356E 20
3318111806 64N1342E 25
3318111812 66N1336E 30
3318111818 72N1330E 30
3318111900 80N1321E 30
3318111906 86N1308E 30
3318111912 91N1297E 30
3318111918 97N1290E 30
3318112000 104N1277E 30
3318112006 106N1274E 30
3318112012 112N1264E 25
3318112018 114N1252E 25
3318112100 116N1235E 25
3318112106 111N1218E 25
3318112112 107N1204E 25
3318112118 107N1187E 25
3318112200 111N1173E 30
3318112206 114N1158E 30
3318112212 111N1142E 35
3318112218 107N1135E 35
3318112300 105N1128E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 230300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI) WARNING NR 020
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230000Z --- NEAR 10.5N 112.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 112.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 10.1N 111.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 10.2N 109.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 10.3N 108.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 10.5N 107.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 11.7N 105.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
230300Z POSITION NEAR 10.4N 112.4E.
TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM EAST OF
HO CHI MINH CITY, VI, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
230000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z, 231500Z, 232100Z
AND 240300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 34W (MAN-YI) WARNINGS (WTPN31
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 222245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 222100 UTC, THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION USAGI (1829) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (10.7
N) ONE ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (113.1 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 232100 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (10.2 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (109.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 242100 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (10.3 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (107.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 252100 UTC
ONE ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (11.5 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (106.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 262100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

0000011200
48104

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 222100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI) WARNING NR 019
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221800Z --- NEAR 10.7N 113.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.7N 113.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 10.3N 111.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 10.0N 110.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 10.0N 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 10.2N 107.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 11.0N 105.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
222100Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 113.1E.
TROPICAL STORM 33W (USAGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 401 NM EAST OF
HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 221800Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z, 230900Z,
231500Z AND 232100Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 34W (MAN-YI) WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 221945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 221800 UTC, THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION USAGI (1829) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (10.8
N) ONE ONE THREE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (113.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231800 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (10.2 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (110.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241800 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (10.2 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (107.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251800 UTC
ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (11.3 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (106.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 221645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 221500 UTC, THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION USAGI (1829) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (11.1 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (113.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231500 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (10.3 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (110.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241500 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (10.4 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (108.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251500 UTC
ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (11.3 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (106.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 221345 CCA

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 221200 UTC, THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION USAGI (1829) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (11.3
N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (114.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 231200 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (10.6 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 241200 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (10.5 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (108.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251200 UTC
ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (11.2 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (106.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>