Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for WUTIP-19
in Guam

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

Click on the messages list to visualize on the right the detailed text.




Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 282100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 039
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 18.6N 134.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N 134.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 18.9N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 18.8N 133.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 18.7N 134.5E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 523 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY
THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 281800Z IS 10 FEET.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 282100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190228193945
2019022818 02W WUTIP 039 01 335 04 SATL 040
T000 186N 1347E 020
T012 189N 1338E 020
T024 188N 1334E 020
AMP 000HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
012HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 039
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 039
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281800Z --- NEAR 18.6N 134.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N 134.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 18.9N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 18.8N 133.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
282100Z POSITION NEAR 18.7N 134.5E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 523 NM
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z
IS 10 FEET.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022712 164N1391E 60
0219022712 164N1391E 60
0219022718 167N1377E 40
0219022800 171N1367E 35
0219022806 176N1356E 30
0219022812 182N1349E 25
0219022818 186N1347E 20

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 281500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190228132833
2019022812 02W WUTIP 038 01 310 09 SATL 030
T000 182N 1349E 025
T012 188N 1339E 025
T024 189N 1331E 020
AMP
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 038
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 038
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 18.2N 134.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 134.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 18.8N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 18.9N 133.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 18.3N 134.6E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 635 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD
AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 010300Z
AND 010900Z.//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022712 164N1391E 60
0219022712 164N1391E 60
0219022718 167N1377E 40
0219022800 171N1367E 35
0219022806 176N1356E 30
0219022812 182N1349E 25

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 281500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 038//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 038
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
281200Z --- NEAR 18.2N 134.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N 134.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 18.8N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 18.9N 133.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
281500Z POSITION NEAR 18.3N 134.6E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 635 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD
AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z, 010300Z
AND 010900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 280900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190228075518
2019022806 02W WUTIP 037 01 295 12 SATL 020
T000 176N 1356E 035 R034 090 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 185N 1344E 030
T024 188N 1336E 025
T036 187N 1329E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 037
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 037
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 17.6N 135.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N 135.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 18.5N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 18.8N 133.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 18.7N 132.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
280900Z POSITION NEAR 17.8N 135.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 507 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 281500Z, 282100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022712 164N1391E 60
0219022712 164N1391E 60
0219022718 167N1377E 40
0219022800 171N1367E 35
0219022806 176N1356E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 280900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 037
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280600Z --- NEAR 17.6N 135.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N 135.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 18.5N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 18.8N 133.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 18.7N 132.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
280900Z POSITION NEAR 17.8N 135.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 507 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS
14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z, 282100Z, 010300Z AND 010900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 280600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 35
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 280600UTC 17.6N 135.6E
MOVEMENT WNW 10KT
PRES/VMAX 1004HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 280600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280600UTC 18N 135E
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 1004HPA =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 280300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280300UTC 17.2N 136.1E GOOD
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 010300UTC 18.8N 134.1E 50NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 280300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190228014355
2019022800 02W WUTIP 036 01 295 10 SATL 030
T000 171N 1367E 035 R034 115 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 181N 1351E 030
T024 190N 1343E 025
T036 190N 1335E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 036
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 036
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 17.1N 136.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N 136.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 18.1N 135.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 19.0N 134.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 19.0N 133.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
280300Z POSITION NEAR 17.4N 136.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 529 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 280900Z, 281500Z, 282100Z AND 010300Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022712 164N1391E 60
0219022712 164N1391E 60
0219022718 167N1377E 40
0219022800 171N1367E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 280300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 036//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 036
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 17.1N 136.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N 136.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 18.1N 135.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 19.0N 134.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 19.0N 133.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
280300Z POSITION NEAR 17.4N 136.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 529 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 280900Z, 281500Z, 282100Z AND 010300Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 280000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.38 FOR TS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 17.1N, 136.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER SSTS,
REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. IT HAS ALSO WEAKENED
RAPIDLY DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LOW SSTS OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM IS ONLY A VORTEX CONSISTING
OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE
SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD
BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT24. THE JMA TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND DRY
AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE JMA
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 280000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 34
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 280000UTC 17.2N 136.6E
MOVEMENT WNW 21KT
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 37KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 010000UTC 18.2N 134.8E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1006HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 280000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280000UTC 17.1N 136.6E FAIR
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
30KT 150NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 010000UTC 19.0N 134.4E 50NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 280000
WARNING 280000.
WARNING VALID 010000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1902 WUTIP (1902) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 996 HPA
AT 17.1N 136.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 18.2N 135.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 19.0N 134.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 272100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1902 WUTIP (1902) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 272100UTC 16.8N 137.3E FAIR
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 150NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 282100UTC 18.9N 134.9E 50NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 272100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190227200934
2019022718 02W WUTIP 035 01 285 14 SATL 040
T000 167N 1377E 040 R034 080 NE QD 120 SE QD 015 SW QD 070 NW QD
T012 177N 1357E 030
T024 185N 1347E 025
T036 189N 1340E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 035
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 035
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 16.7N 137.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N 137.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 17.7N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 18.5N 134.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 18.9N 134.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 17.0N 137.2E.
TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 454 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 280300Z, 280900Z, 281500Z AND 282100Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022712 164N1391E 60
0219022712 164N1391E 60
0219022718 167N1377E 40

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 272100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 035
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 16.7N 137.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N 137.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 17.7N 135.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 18.5N 134.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 18.9N 134.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 17.0N 137.2E.
TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 454 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
271800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z, 280900Z, 281500Z AND
282100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 271800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.37 FOR STS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 16.6N, 138.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER SSTS,
REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM IS ONLY A VORTEX CONSISTING OF LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
BETWEEN ACTUAL TYPHOON TRACKING AND NWP IN THE NEAR TERM.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND DRY
AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE JMA
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 271800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 33
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 271800UTC 16.6N 138.7E
MOVEMENT W 11KT
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 281800UTC 17.7N 135.2E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1004HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 271800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1902 WUTIP (1902) DOWNGRADED FROM TY
ANALYSIS
PSTN 271800UTC 16.6N 138.2E FAIR
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 150NM NORTHEAST 90NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 281800UTC 18.8N 135.2E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 271800
WARNING 271800.
WARNING VALID 281800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1902 WUTIP (1902) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 990
HPA
AT 16.6N 138.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 08
KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 17.9N 136.3E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 18.8N 135.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1008 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 271500
WARNING 271500.
WARNING VALID 281500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 975 HPA
AT 16.3N 139.5E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280300UTC AT 17.2N 137.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281500UTC AT 18.3N 136.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 271500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 271500UTC 16.3N 139.5E FAIR
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 281500UTC 18.3N 136.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 011200UTC 18.4N 132.9E 95NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 271500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190227141432
2019022712 02W WUTIP 034 01 285 08 SATL 030
T000 164N 1391E 060 R050 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 055 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 171N 1373E 040 R034 075 NE QD 060 SE QD 035 SW QD 075 NW QD
T024 178N 1358E 030
T036 186N 1347E 025
T048 189N 1339E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 034
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 034
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 16.4N 139.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N 139.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 17.1N 137.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.8N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 18.6N 134.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 18.9N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
271500Z POSITION NEAR 16.6N 138.6E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 373 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 271200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z
AND 281500Z.//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022712 164N1391E 60
0219022712 164N1391E 60
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 271500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 034//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 034
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 16.4N 139.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N 139.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 17.1N 137.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.8N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 18.6N 134.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 18.9N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
271500Z POSITION NEAR 16.6N 138.6E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 373 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 271200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z
AND 281500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 271200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.36 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 16.4N, 139.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER SSTS,
REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN TWO
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW HAVE BECOME OBSCURE. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT48. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES BETWEEN ACTUAL
TYPHOON TRACKING AND NWP IN THE NEAR TERM.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND DRY
AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE JMA
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 271200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 32
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 271200UTC 16.7N 139.8E
MOVEMENT NNW 5KT
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 281200UTC 17.3N 135.0E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 37KT
48HR
POSITION 011200UTC 18.8N 132.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1006HPA 27KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 271200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 271200UTC 16.4N 139.8E FAIR
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 281200UTC 18.1N 136.0E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 011200UTC 18.4N 132.9E 95NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 271200
WARNING 271200.
WARNING VALID 281200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 970 HPA
AT 16.4N 139.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 17.0N 137.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 18.1N 136.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 18.4N 132.9E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1010 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 270900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270900UTC 16.3N 139.8E FAIR
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 280900UTC 17.5N 135.7E 50NM 70.
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 010600UTC 18.5N 133.1E 95NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 270900
WARNING 270900.
WARNING VALID 280900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 955 HPA
AT 16.3N 139.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 272100UTC AT 16.5N 137.5E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280900UTC AT 17.5N 135.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 270900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190227074935
2019022706 02W WUTIP 033 01 340 05 SATL 020
T000 162N 1399E 080 R064 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 035 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 085 SE QD 065 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 165N 1380E 060 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 035 SW Q
D 075 NW QD
T024 172N 1361E 045 R034 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 181N 1348E 035 R034 050 NE QD 025 SE QD 015 SW QD 030 NW QD
T048 186N 1341E 030
T072 189N 1323E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 033
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 033
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 16.2N 139.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 139.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.5N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 17.2N 136.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 18.1N 134.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 18.6N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 18.9N 132.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 16.3N 139.4E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM WEST-NORTHWEST
OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 271500Z, 272100Z, 280300Z AND 280900Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022706 162N1399E 80
0219022706 162N1399E 80

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 270900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 033//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 033
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 16.2N 139.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 139.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.5N 138.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 17.2N 136.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 18.1N 134.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 18.6N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 18.9N 132.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 16.3N 139.4E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM WEST-NORTHWEST
OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 30
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z, 272100Z, 280300Z AND 280900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 270600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.35 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 16.1N, 139.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF INCREASED VWS
AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A BAND SPIRALING AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360
DEGREES. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE
SYSTEM. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN
EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN
CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH INCREASED VWS AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN
TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 270600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 31
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 270600UTC 16.2N 139.9E
MOVEMENT N 2KT
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 280600UTC 16.6N 135.4E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
48HR
POSITION 010600UTC 18.2N 132.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1006HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 270600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270600UTC 16.1N 139.9E GOOD
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 280600UTC 17.2N 135.7E 60NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 010600UTC 18.5N 133.1E 95NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 270600
WARNING 270600.
WARNING VALID 280600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 955 HPA
AT 16.1N 139.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 16.2N 137.8E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 17.2N 135.7E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 18.5N 133.1E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 270300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270300UTC 16.0N 139.9E GOOD
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 280300UTC 16.8N 135.8E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 010000UTC 18.2N 133.4E 95NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 270300
WARNING 270300.
WARNING VALID 280300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 950 HPA
AT 16.0N 139.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271500UTC AT 16.1N 138.0E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280300UTC AT 16.8N 135.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 270300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190227012231
2019022700 02W WUTIP 032 01 360 02 SATL 010
T000 157N 1401E 090 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 095 SE QD 075 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 159N 1390E 075 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 163N 1367E 055 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T036 171N 1351E 040 R034 050 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD
T048 180N 1338E 030
T072 193N 1326E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 032
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 032
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 15.7N 140.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N 140.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.9N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.3N 136.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.1N 135.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 18.0N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 19.3N 132.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
270300Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 139.8E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 303 NM WEST-NORTHWEST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 34 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND 280300Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022612 154N1400E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022618 155N1401E 95
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022700 157N1401E 90
0219022700 157N1401E 90
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 270300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 032//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 032
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 15.7N 140.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N 140.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.9N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.3N 136.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.1N 135.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 18.0N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 19.3N 132.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
270300Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 139.8E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 303 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF
ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 34 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND 280300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 270000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.34 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 16.0N, 139.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF GOOD
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A BAND SPIRALING AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360
DEGREES. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE
SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTHWEST UNTIL
FT48. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH INCREASED VWS AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN
TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 270000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 30
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 270000UTC 16.0N 139.9E
MOVEMENT NW 4KT
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 280000UTC 16.4N 135.7E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
48HR
POSITION 010000UTC 18.0N 132.8E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1004HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 270000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270000UTC 16.0N 139.9E GOOD
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 280000UTC 16.5N 135.9E 60NM 70.
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 010000UTC 18.2N 133.4E 95NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 270000
WARNING 270000.
WARNING VALID 280000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 950 HPA
AT 16.0N 139.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 16.0N 138.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 16.5N 135.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 18.2N 133.4E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 262100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 262100UTC 16.0N 139.9E GOOD
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 272100UTC 16.5N 136.3E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 281800UTC 18.1N 133.5E 95NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 262100
WARNING 262100.
WARNING VALID 272100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 950 HPA
AT 16.0N 139.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270900UTC AT 16.1N 138.3E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 272100UTC AT 16.5N 136.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 262100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190226193734
2019022618 02W WUTIP 031 01 360 02 SATL 020
T000 156N 1401E 095 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 055 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 095 NW QD
T012 159N 1393E 075 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW Q
D 010 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 161N 1374E 055 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 060 NW QD
T036 168N 1353E 035 R034 050 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD
T048 177N 1339E 030
T072 191N 1325E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 031
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 031
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z --- NEAR 15.6N 140.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 140.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 15.9N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.1N 137.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.8N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 17.7N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 19.1N 132.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
262100Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 139.9E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 301 NM WEST-NORTHWEST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z AND 272100Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022612 154N1401E 95
0219022612 154N1401E 95
0219022612 154N1401E 95
0219022618 156N1401E 95
0219022618 156N1401E 95
0219022618 156N1401E 95

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 262100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 031
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z --- NEAR 15.6N 140.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 140.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 15.9N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.1N 137.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.8N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 17.7N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 19.1N 132.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
262100Z POSITION NEAR 15.7N 139.9E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 301 NM WEST-NORTHWEST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 35
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z AND 272100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 261800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.33 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 15.7N, 140.1E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF REDUCED TCHP,
INCREASED VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A BAND SPIRALING AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360
DEGREES. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE WEST DUE TO WEAK STEERING
FLOW UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
UNTIL FT48. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP, STRONG VWS AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE UPGRADED TO TS INTENSITY BY FT48. THE JMA INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 261800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 29
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 261800UTC 15.7N 140.2E
MOVEMENT NNE 3KT
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 271800UTC 16.2N 136.1E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
48HR
POSITION 281800UTC 17.6N 133.3E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1004HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 261800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261800UTC 15.7N 140.1E GOOD
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 271800UTC 16.1N 136.9E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 281800UTC 18.1N 133.5E 95NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 261800
WARNING 261800.
WARNING VALID 271800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 950 HPA
AT 15.7N 140.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 15.8N 138.9E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 16.1N 136.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 18.1N 133.5E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 261500
WARNING 261500.
WARNING VALID 271500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 935 HPA
AT 15.5N 140.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 120
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270300UTC AT 15.6N 139.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271500UTC AT 15.9N 137.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 261500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261500UTC 15.5N 140.1E GOOD
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 120NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 271500UTC 15.9N 137.4E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 281200UTC 17.3N 134.1E 95NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 011200UTC 18.8N 132.8E 130NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 261500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190226143659
2019022612 02W WUTIP 030 01 335 02 SATL 040
T000 154N 1398E 105 R064 015 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 095 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 156N 1390E 085 R064 010 NE QD 005 SE QD 000 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW Q
D 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T024 158N 1373E 060 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 045 SW Q
D 060 NW QD
T036 165N 1353E 045 R034 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 173N 1339E 030
T072 188N 1321E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 030
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 030
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261200Z --- NEAR 15.4N 139.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 139.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 15.6N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.8N 137.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.5N 135.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.3N 133.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 18.8N 132.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
261500Z POSITION NEAR 15.5N 139.6E.
TYPHOON (TY) 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 313 NM
WEST-NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 37 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 262100Z, 270300Z, 270900Z AND 271500Z.//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022612 154N1398E 105
0219022612 154N1398E 105
0219022612 154N1398E 105

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 261200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.32 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 15.4N, 140.1E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF REDUCED TCHP
AND INCREASED VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A CDO PATTERN. ANIMATED MSI
SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE
WESTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL
FT72. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE
IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL
WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 261200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 28
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 261200UTC 15.4N 140.1E
MOVEMENT ENE 2KT
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 271200UTC 16.0N 136.9E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
48HR
POSITION 281200UTC 17.2N 133.5E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 35KT
72HR
POSITION 011200UTC 18.5N 131.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1006HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 261200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261200UTC 15.4N 140.1E GOOD
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 271200UTC 15.7N 137.7E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 281200UTC 17.3N 134.1E 95NM 70.
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 011200UTC 18.8N 132.8E 130NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 261200
WARNING 261200.
WARNING VALID 271200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 925 HPA
AT 15.4N 140.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHEAST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 15.6N 139.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 15.7N 137.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 17.3N 134.1E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 18.8N 132.8E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 260900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260900UTC 15.3N 140.0E GOOD
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 270900UTC 15.7N 138.0E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
45HF 280600UTC 16.8N 134.2E 95NM 70.
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 010600UTC 18.5N 132.2E 130NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 260900
WARNING 260900.
WARNING VALID 270900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 915 HPA
AT 15.3N 140.0E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 262100UTC AT 15.5N 139.5E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270900UTC AT 15.7N 138.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 260900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190226081854
2019022606 02W WUTIP 029 01 360 03 SATL 020
T000 152N 1399E 115 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 155N 1395E 105 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 115 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 157N 1381E 080 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 161N 1363E 055 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 168N 1343E 040 R034 070 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 184N 1324E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 029
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 029
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 15.2N 139.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N 139.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.5N 139.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 15.7N 138.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.1N 136.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.8N 134.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 18.4N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
260900Z POSITION NEAR 15.3N 139.8E.
TYPHOON (TY) 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 304 NM
WEST-NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
260600Z IS 42 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z, 262100Z, 270300Z AND
270900Z.//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
0219022606 152N1399E 115
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 260900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 029//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 029
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 15.2N 139.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N 139.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.5N 139.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 15.7N 138.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.1N 136.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.8N 134.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 18.4N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
260900Z POSITION NEAR 15.3N 139.8E.
TYPHOON (TY) 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 304 NM
WEST-NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
260600Z IS 42 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z, 262100Z, 270300Z AND
270900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 260600 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.31 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 15.2N, 139.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND
HIGH TCHP. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND
THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F15/SSMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS
ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 260600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.31 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 15.2N, 139.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS AND
HIGH TCHP. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND
THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F15/SSMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS
ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND DRY
AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE JMA
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 260600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 27
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 260600UTC 15.3N 139.9E
MOVEMENT N 4KT
PRES/VMAX 935HPA 95KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 270600UTC 15.8N 137.8E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
48HR
POSITION 280600UTC 16.8N 134.3E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 37KT
72HR
POSITION 010600UTC 18.1N 131.8E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1004HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 260600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260600UTC 15.2N 139.9E GOOD
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 270600UTC 15.6N 138.2E 50NM 70.
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 280600UTC 16.8N 134.2E 95NM 70.
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 010600UTC 18.5N 132.2E 130NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 260600
WARNING 260600.
WARNING VALID 270600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 915 HPA
AT 15.2N 139.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 15.4N 139.5E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 15.6N 138.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 16.8N 134.2E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010600UTC AT 18.5N 132.2E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 260300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260300UTC 15.1N 139.9E GOOD
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 270300UTC 15.6N 138.7E 50NM 70.
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
45HF 280000UTC 16.3N 135.3E 95NM 70.
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 010000UTC 18.2N 132.9E 130NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 260300
WARNING 260300.
WARNING VALID 270300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 915 HPA
AT 15.1N 139.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261500UTC AT 15.5N 139.7E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270300UTC AT 15.6N 138.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 260300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190226023256
2019022600 02W WUTIP 028 01 360 03 SATL 030
T000 149N 1399E 120 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 125 SE QD 095 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 155N 1397E 105 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 157N 1389E 090 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 158N 1374E 065 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 165N 1352E 050 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 177N 1325E 030
T096 188N 1310E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 028
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 028
DOWNGRADED FROM SUPER TYPHOON 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 14.9N 139.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N 139.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 15.5N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 15.7N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.8N 137.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.5N 135.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 17.7N 132.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 18.8N 131.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 139.9E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 288 NM WEST-NORTHWEST
OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 42 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 260900Z, 261500Z, 262100Z AND 270300Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022518 146N1399E 130
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
0219022600 149N1399E 120
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 260300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 028//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 028
DOWNGRADED FROM SUPER TYPHOON 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 14.9N 139.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N 139.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 15.5N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 15.7N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.8N 137.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.5N 135.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 17.7N 132.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 18.8N 131.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 15.1N 139.9E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 288 NM WEST-NORTHWEST
OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 42 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z, 261500Z, 262100Z AND 270300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 260000 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.30 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 14.9N, 139.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER SSTS,
REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT72. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 260000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.30 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 14.9N, 139.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER SSTS,
REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT12. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT72. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE JMA INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 260000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 26
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 260000UTC 14.9N 139.9E
MOVEMENT N 3KT
PRES/VMAX 930HPA 97KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 270000UTC 15.6N 138.5E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
48HR
POSITION 280000UTC 16.3N 135.1E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 994HPA 41KT
72HR
POSITION 010000UTC 17.5N 132.2E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1002HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 260000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260000UTC 14.9N 139.9E GOOD
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 270000UTC 15.6N 139.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 280000UTC 16.3N 135.3E 95NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 010000UTC 18.2N 132.9E 130NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 260000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260000UTC 14.9N 139.9E GOOD
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 270000UTC 15.6N 139.1E 50NM 70.
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 280000UTC 16.3N 135.3E 95NM 70.
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 010000UTC 18.2N 132.9E 130NM 70. TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 260000
WARNING 260000.
WARNING VALID 270000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 915 HPA
AT 14.9N 139.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 15.4N 139.9E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 15.6N 139.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 16.3N 135.3E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 18.2N 132.9E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 252100 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 027A CORRECTED//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 027A CORRECTED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251800Z --- NEAR 14.7N 139.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N 139.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 15.2N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.4N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 15.6N 138.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 15.7N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 16.9N 132.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 17.9N 130.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 18.9N 128.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
252100Z POSITION NEAR 14.8N 139.9E.
SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 284 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 46 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 260300Z, 260900Z, 261500Z AND 262100Z.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: ADJUSTED WIND RADII FOR TAU 36 AND
TAU 48.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 252100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 252100UTC 14.7N 139.9E GOOD
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 262100UTC 15.6N 139.5E 50NM 70.
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 271800UTC 15.6N 136.4E 95NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 281800UTC 17.2N 132.6E 130NM 70.
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 252100
WARNING 252100.
WARNING VALID 262100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 915 HPA
AT 14.7N 139.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 262100UTC AT 15.6N 139.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 252100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190225192803
2019022518 02W WUTIP 027 01 340 05 SATL 020
T000 147N 1399E 130 R064 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 050 SE QD 055 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 125 SE QD 095 SW QD 140 NW QD
T012 152N 1397E 120 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 154N 1393E 110 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 156N 1382E 085 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 010 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 157N 1364E 060 R050 055 NE QD 025 SE QD 015 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 169N 1326E 045 R034 055 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 045 NW QD
T096 179N 1305E 030
T120 189N 1286E 020
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 027
1. SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 027
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251800Z --- NEAR 14.7N 139.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N 139.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 15.2N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.4N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 15.6N 138.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 15.7N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 16.9N 132.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 17.9N 130.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 18.9N 128.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
252100Z POSITION NEAR 14.8N 139.9E.
SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 297 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 46 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 260300Z, 260900Z, 261500Z AND 262100Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022518 147N1399E 130
0219022518 147N1399E 130
0219022518 147N1399E 130
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 252100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 027//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 027
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251800Z --- NEAR 14.7N 139.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N 139.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 15.2N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.4N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 15.6N 138.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 15.7N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 16.9N 132.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 17.9N 130.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 18.9N 128.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
252100Z POSITION NEAR 14.8N 139.9E.
SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 297 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
251800Z IS 46 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z, 260900Z, 261500Z AND
262100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 251800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.29 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 14.6N, 139.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK
VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW TCHP AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GPM/GMI 89
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY
DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW
THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND DRY
AIR. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 251800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251800UTC 14.6N 139.9E GOOD
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 261800UTC 15.5N 139.6E 50NM 70.
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 271800UTC 15.6N 136.4E 95NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 281800UTC 17.2N 132.6E 130NM 70.
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
96HF 011800UTC 18.6N 131.5E 240NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
120HF 021800UTC 19.6N 130.2E 375NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY =


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 251800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 25
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 251800UTC 14.6N 139.9E
MOVEMENT NNW 4KT
PRES/VMAX 930HPA 97KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 261800UTC 15.5N 139.1E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
48HR
POSITION 271800UTC 16.0N 136.0E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
72HR
POSITION 281800UTC 17.3N 132.7E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1002HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 251800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251800UTC 14.6N 139.9E GOOD
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 261800UTC 15.5N 139.6E 50NM 70.
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 271800UTC 15.6N 136.4E 95NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 281800UTC 17.2N 132.6E 130NM 70.
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 251800
WARNING 251800.
WARNING VALID 261800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 915 HPA
AT 14.6N 139.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 15.5N 139.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 15.6N 136.4E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 17.2N 132.6E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 251500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251500UTC 14.4N 140.0E GOOD
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 240NM NORTH 150NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 261500UTC 15.5N 139.9E 60NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 271200UTC 15.3N 137.6E 95NM 70.
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 281200UTC 16.8N 133.3E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 251500
WARNING 251500.
WARNING VALID 261500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 915 HPA
AT 14.4N 140.0E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261500UTC AT 15.5N 139.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 251500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190225130941
2019022512 02W WUTIP 026 01 345 04 SATL 020
T000 142N 1401E 130 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 075 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 135 SE QD 095 SW QD 115 NW QD
T012 149N 1397E 120 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 153N 1390E 110 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 156N 1377E 095 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 030 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 158N 1363E 080 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 025 SE QD 015 SW Q
D 045 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD
T072 165N 1333E 055 R050 045 NE QD 025 SE QD 010 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 055 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 040 NW QD
T096 173N 1301E 035 R034 050 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 183N 1269E 020
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 026
1. SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251200Z --- NEAR 14.2N 140.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N 140.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 14.9N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 15.3N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 15.6N 137.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.8N 136.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 16.5N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 17.3N 130.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 18.3N 126.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
251500Z POSITION NEAR 14.4N 140.0E.
SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTH OF
ULITHI, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 40 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z, 260300Z, 260900Z AND 261500Z.//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130
0219022512 142N1401E 130

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 251500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 026
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251200Z --- NEAR 14.2N 140.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N 140.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 14.9N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 15.3N 139.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 15.6N 137.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.8N 136.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 16.5N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 17.3N 130.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 18.3N 126.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
251500Z POSITION NEAR 14.4N 140.0E.
SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM NORTH OF
ULITHI, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 40 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z, 260300Z, 260900Z AND 261500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 251200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.28 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 14.2N, 140.1E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK
VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN TURN SHARPLY TO THE WEST UNTIL FT48.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT24 BUT LOW
THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND DRY
AIR. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 251200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 24
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 251200UTC 14.2N 140.1E
MOVEMENT NNW 4KT
PRES/VMAX 930HPA 97KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 261200UTC 15.4N 139.7E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
48HR
POSITION 271200UTC 15.7N 137.5E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
72HR
POSITION 281200UTC 16.8N 133.8E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 35KT
96HR
POSITION 011200UTC 18.1N 132.0E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1004HPA 25KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 251200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251200UTC 14.2N 140.1E GOOD
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 240NM NORTH 150NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 261200UTC 15.6N 140.1E 60NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 271200UTC 15.3N 137.6E 95NM 70.
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 281200UTC 16.8N 133.3E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
96HF 011200UTC 18.5N 131.5E 240NM 70.
MOVE NW 06KT
120HF 021200UTC 19.2N 130.3E 375NM 70.
MOVE WNW SLOWLY =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 251200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 251200UTC 14.2N 140.1E GOOD
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 240NM NORTH 150NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 261200UTC 15.6N 140.1E 60NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 271200UTC 15.3N 137.6E 95NM 70.
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 281200UTC 16.8N 133.3E 140NM 70.
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 251200
WARNING 251200.
WARNING VALID 261200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 915 HPA
AT 14.2N 140.1E MARIANAS MOVING NORTH SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 15.6N 140.1E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 15.3N 137.6E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 16.8N 133.3E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 250900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250900UTC 13.9N 140.2E GOOD
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 150NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 260900UTC 15.4N 140.1E 60NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
45HF 270600UTC 15.6N 138.5E 95NM 70.
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 280600UTC 16.4N 134.5E 130NM 70.
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 250900
WARNING 250900.
WARNING VALID 260900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 915 HPA
AT 13.9N 140.2E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260900UTC AT 15.4N 140.1E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 250900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190225073202
2019022506 02W WUTIP 025 01 335 04 SATL 020
T000 138N 1402E 140 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 070 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW QD 115 NW QD
T012 145N 1399E 135 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 152N 1395E 125 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 154N 1384E 105 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 030 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 156N 1370E 085 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 025 SE QD 015 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 095 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 162N 1341E 055 R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 085 SE QD 080 SW QD 095 NW QD
T096 170N 1308E 035 R034 065 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 180N 1276E 020
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 025
1. SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 025
UPGRADED FROM TYPHOON 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250600Z --- NEAR 13.8N 140.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N 140.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 14.5N 139.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 15.2N 139.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.4N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 15.6N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.2N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 17.0N 130.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 18.0N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
250900Z POSITION NEAR 14.0N 140.1E.
SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 237 NM NORTH OF
ULITHI, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 38 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z, 252100Z, 260300Z AND 260900Z.//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022500 134N1404E 120
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
0219022506 138N1402E 140
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 250900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 025
UPGRADED FROM TYPHOON 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250600Z --- NEAR 13.8N 140.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N 140.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 14.5N 139.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 15.2N 139.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.4N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 15.6N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.2N 134.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 17.0N 130.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 18.0N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
250900Z POSITION NEAR 14.0N 140.1E.
SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 237 NM NORTH OF
ULITHI, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z IS 38 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z, 252100Z, 260300Z AND 260900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 250600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.27 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 13.8N, 140.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS AND
GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE WEST UNTIL FT48.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE WESTWARD UNTIL
FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT120.
THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE
TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL
FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
STRONG VWS. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 250600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 23
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 250600UTC 13.8N 140.2E
MOVEMENT NNW 4KT
PRES/VMAX 930HPA 97KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 260600UTC 15.0N 139.6E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
48HR
POSITION 270600UTC 15.6N 138.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
72HR
POSITION 280600UTC 16.3N 135.2E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 1002HPA 35KT
96HR
POSITION 010600UTC 17.8N 132.6E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1006HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 250600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250600UTC 13.8N 140.2E GOOD
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 260600UTC 15.4N 140.0E 50NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 270600UTC 15.6N 138.5E 95NM 70.
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 280600UTC 16.4N 134.5E 130NM 70.
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
96HF 010600UTC 18.1N 132.6E 240NM 70.
MOVE WNW 08KT
120HF 020600UTC 19.3N 131.7E 375NM 70.
MOVE WNW 06KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 250600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250600UTC 13.8N 140.2E GOOD
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 915HPA
MXWD 105KT
GUST 150KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 260600UTC 15.4N 140.0E 50NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 270600UTC 15.6N 138.5E 95NM 70.
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 280600UTC 16.4N 134.5E 130NM 70.
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 250600
WARNING 250600.
WARNING VALID 260600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 915 HPA
AT 13.8N 140.2E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 105 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 15.4N 140.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 15.6N 138.5E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 16.4N 134.5E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 250300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250300UTC 13.6N 140.2E GOOD
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 260300UTC 15.1N 139.8E 50NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
45HF 270000UTC 15.6N 138.8E 95NM 70.
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 280000UTC 16.0N 135.0E 130NM 70.
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 250300
WARNING 250300.
WARNING VALID 260300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 925 HPA
AT 13.6N 140.2E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260300UTC AT 15.1N 139.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 250300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190225013058
2019022500 02W WUTIP 024 01 315 04 SATL 020
T000 134N 1404E 115 R064 050 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 065 SE QD 045 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 120 SE QD 090 SW QD 140 NW QD
T012 141N 1399E 110 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 147N 1396E 105 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 152N 1393E 090 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 135 NE QD 115 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD
T048 154N 1384E 070 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 010 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 085 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 159N 1348E 040 R034 075 NE QD 035 SE QD 040 SW QD 055 NW QD
T096 173N 1319E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 024
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250000Z --- NEAR 13.4N 140.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N 140.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 14.1N 139.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 14.7N 139.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 15.2N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 15.4N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 15.9N 134.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 17.3N 131.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
250300Z POSITION NEAR 13.6N 140.3E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM WEST OF NAVSTA
GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 250900Z, 251500Z, 252100Z AND 260300Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022500 134N1404E 115
0219022500 134N1404E 115
0219022500 134N1404E 115
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 250300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
250000Z --- NEAR 13.4N 140.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N 140.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 14.1N 139.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 14.7N 139.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 15.2N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 15.4N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 15.9N 134.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 17.3N 131.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
250300Z POSITION NEAR 13.6N 140.3E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM WEST OF NAVSTA
GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 250900Z, 251500Z, 252100Z AND 260300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 250000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.26 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 13.4N, 140.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS AND
GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP
OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK
STEERING FLOW. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN
EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE WEST UNTIL
FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT120.
THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS. JMA TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
STRONG VWS. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 250000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 22
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 250000UTC 13.4N 140.4E
MOVEMENT NW 4KT
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 260000UTC 14.9N 139.8E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
48HR
POSITION 270000UTC 15.4N 139.0E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
72HR
POSITION 280000UTC 16.1N 136.5E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 33KT
96HR
POSITION 010000UTC 17.8N 134.3E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1004HPA 33KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 250000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250000UTC 13.4N 140.4E GOOD
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 260000UTC 15.0N 139.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 270000UTC 15.6N 138.8E 95NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 280000UTC 16.0N 135.0E 130NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
96HF 010000UTC 17.5N 132.1E 200NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
120HF 020000UTC 18.4N 129.7E 290NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 250000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250000UTC 13.4N 140.4E GOOD
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 260000UTC 15.0N 139.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 270000UTC 15.6N 138.8E 95NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 280000UTC 16.0N 135.0E 130NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 250000
WARNING 250000.
WARNING VALID 260000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 925 HPA
AT 13.4N 140.4E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 15.0N 139.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 15.6N 138.8E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 16.0N 135.0E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 242100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 242100UTC 13.1N 140.6E GOOD
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 252100UTC 14.6N 139.9E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 261800UTC 15.3N 139.3E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 271800UTC 15.3N 135.8E 130NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 242100
WARNING 242100.
WARNING VALID 252100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 935 HPA
AT 13.1N 140.6E MARIANAS MOVING WEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 252100UTC AT 14.6N 139.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 242100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190224201631
2019022418 02W WUTIP 023 01 270 05 SATL 020
T000 131N 1407E 110 R064 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 075 NE QD 065 SE QD 055 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD 105 SW QD 130 NW QD
T012 136N 1401E 110 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 142N 1396E 100 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 148N 1393E 080 R064 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 110 SE QD 065 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 151N 1388E 065 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 065 NW QD
T072 155N 1361E 035 R034 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 169N 1323E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 023
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241800Z --- NEAR 13.1N 140.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N 140.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 13.6N 140.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 14.2N 139.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 14.8N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.1N 138.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 15.5N 136.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 16.9N 132.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
242100Z POSITION NEAR 13.2N 140.6E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 228 NM WEST OF NAVSTA
GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 250300Z, 250900Z, 251500Z AND 252100Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110
0219022418 131N1407E 110

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 242100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241800Z --- NEAR 13.1N 140.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N 140.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 13.6N 140.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 14.2N 139.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 14.8N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.1N 138.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 15.5N 136.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 16.9N 132.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
242100Z POSITION NEAR 13.2N 140.6E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 228 NM WEST OF NAVSTA
GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 250300Z, 250900Z, 251500Z AND 252100Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 241800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.25 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 13.1N, 140.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY
IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY
OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE EYE HAS
BECOME DISTINCT. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH WEAK VWS AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER
SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL
FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP
AND STRONG VWS.

=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 241800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 21
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 241800UTC 13.1N 140.7E
MOVEMENT W 5KT
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 251800UTC 14.8N 140.1E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
48HR
POSITION 261800UTC 15.4N 139.8E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
72HR
POSITION 271800UTC 16.1N 137.5E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 37KT
96HR
POSITION 281800UTC 17.3N 136.0E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1004HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 241800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 241800UTC 13.1N 140.7E GOOD
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 251800UTC 14.4N 139.8E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 261800UTC 15.3N 139.3E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 271800UTC 15.3N 135.8E 130NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
96HF 281800UTC 17.0N 131.7E 200NM 70.
MOVE WNW 11KT
120HF 011800UTC 17.8N 128.9E 290NM 70.
MOVE WNW 07KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 241800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 241800UTC 13.1N 140.7E GOOD
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 251800UTC 14.4N 139.8E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 261800UTC 15.3N 139.3E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 271800UTC 15.3N 135.8E 130NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 241800
WARNING 241800.
WARNING VALID 251800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 935 HPA
AT 13.1N 140.7E MARIANAS MOVING WEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 14.4N 139.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 15.3N 139.3E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 15.3N 135.8E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 241500
WARNING 241500.
WARNING VALID 251500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 935 HPA
AT 13.1N 140.9E MARIANAS MOVING WEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251500UTC AT 14.3N 139.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 241500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 241500UTC 13.1N 140.9E GOOD
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 251500UTC 14.3N 139.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 261200UTC 15.4N 139.8E 95NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 271200UTC 15.4N 137.0E 130NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 241500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190224130755
2019022412 02W WUTIP 022 01 290 05 SATL 020
T000 131N 1412E 105 R064 035 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 125 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 115 NW QD
T012 136N 1405E 105 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 142N 1400E 095 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 149N 1398E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T048 152N 1391E 050 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 070 NW QD
T072 155N 1370E 030
T096 164N 1343E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 022
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241200Z --- NEAR 13.1N 141.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N 141.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 13.6N 140.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 14.2N 140.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 14.9N 139.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 15.2N 139.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.5N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 16.4N 134.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
241500Z POSITION NEAR 13.2N 141.0E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 199 NM WEST OF NAVSTA
GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 38 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z, 250300Z, 250900Z AND 251500Z.//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105
0219022412 131N1412E 105

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 241500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
241200Z --- NEAR 13.1N 141.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N 141.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 13.6N 140.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 14.2N 140.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 14.9N 139.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 15.2N 139.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.5N 137.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 16.4N 134.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
241500Z POSITION NEAR 13.2N 141.0E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 199 NM WEST OF NAVSTA
GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 38 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z, 250300Z, 250900Z AND 251500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 241200 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.24 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 13.1N, 141.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY
IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND
DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EYE HAS BECOME OBSCURE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. DMSP-F15/SSMI 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL
FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE JMA
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL
NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 241200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.24 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 13.1N, 141.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY
IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND
DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EYE HAS BECOME OBSCURE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. DMSP-F15/SSMI 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL
FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE JMA
TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER
NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL
NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF STRONG VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG VWS. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 241200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 20
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 241200UTC 13.1N 141.2E
MOVEMENT WNW 5KT
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 251200UTC 14.6N 140.2E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
48HR
POSITION 261200UTC 15.3N 140.0E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
72HR
POSITION 271200UTC 15.6N 139.1E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
96HR
POSITION 281200UTC 16.0N 138.3E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1004HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 241200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 241200UTC 13.1N 141.2E GOOD
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 251200UTC 14.5N 140.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 261200UTC 15.4N 139.8E 95NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 271200UTC 15.4N 137.0E 130NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 281200UTC 16.9N 132.9E 200NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
120HF 011200UTC 18.3N 130.3E 290NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 241200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 241200UTC 13.1N 141.2E GOOD
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 251200UTC 14.5N 140.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 261200UTC 15.4N 139.8E 95NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 271200UTC 15.4N 137.0E 130NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 241200
WARNING 241200.
WARNING VALID 251200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 935 HPA
AT 13.1N 141.2E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 14.5N 140.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 15.4N 139.8E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 15.4N 137.0E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 240900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 240900UTC 13.1N 141.4E GOOD
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 930HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 250900UTC 14.3N 140.1E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 260600UTC 15.4N 140.1E 110NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 270600UTC 15.6N 138.7E 130NM 70.
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 240900
WARNING 240900.
WARNING VALID 250900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 930 HPA
AT 13.1N 141.4E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250900UTC AT 14.3N 140.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 240900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190224072318
2019022406 02W WUTIP 021 01 295 04 SATL RADR 015
T000 129N 1417E 115 R064 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 075 SE QD 060 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 135 SE QD 115 SW QD 150 NW QD
T012 135N 1411E 110 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW QD 140 NW QD
T024 141N 1407E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 110 NW QD
T036 149N 1403E 085 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 152N 1397E 065 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 100 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 156N 1382E 040 R034 070 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 050 NW QD
T096 163N 1358E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 021
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240600Z --- NEAR 12.9N 141.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N 141.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 13.5N 141.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 14.1N 140.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 14.9N 140.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 15.2N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 15.6N 138.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.3N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
240900Z POSITION NEAR 13.1N 141.6E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 172 NM WEST OF NAVSTA
GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 40 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z, 242100Z, 250300Z AND 250900Z.//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022400 127N1421E 125
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
0219022406 129N1417E 115
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 240900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240600Z --- NEAR 12.9N 141.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N 141.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 13.5N 141.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 14.1N 140.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 14.9N 140.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 15.2N 139.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 15.6N 138.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.3N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
240900Z POSITION NEAR 13.1N 141.6E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 172 NM WEST OF NAVSTA
GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 40 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z, 242100Z, 250300Z AND 250900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 240600 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.23 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 12.9N, 141.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EYE HAS BECOME OBSCURE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT36. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN REMAIN ALMOST
STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT60. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT36 BUT LOW
THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 240600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.23 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 12.9N, 141.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EYE HAS BECOME OBSCURE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGHS UNTIL FT36. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN REMAIN ALMOST
STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL FT60. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST
IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS.
JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT36 BUT LOW
THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER
SSTS, LOW TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND DRY AIR. THE JMA INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 240600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 240600UTC 12.9N 141.7E GOOD
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 930HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 250600UTC 14.1N 140.2E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 260600UTC 15.4N 140.1E 110NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 270600UTC 15.6N 138.7E 130NM 70.
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
96HF 280600UTC 16.6N 135.3E 200NM 70.
MOVE WNW 09KT
120HF 010600UTC 18.2N 132.6E 290NM 70.
MOVE WNW 08KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 240600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 240600UTC 12.9N 141.7E GOOD
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 930HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 250600UTC 14.1N 140.2E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 260600UTC 15.4N 140.1E 110NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 270600UTC 15.6N 138.7E 130NM 70.
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 240600
WARNING 240600.
WARNING VALID 250600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 930 HPA
AT 12.9N 141.7E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 14.1N 140.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 15.4N 140.1E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 15.6N 138.7E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
994 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 240600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 19
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 240600UTC 12.9N 141.7E
MOVEMENT WNW 4KT
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 250600UTC 14.3N 140.5E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
48HR
POSITION 260600UTC 15.2N 140.1E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
72HR
POSITION 270600UTC 15.4N 139.8E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
96HR
POSITION 280600UTC 15.8N 138.9E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1004HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 240300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 240300UTC 12.7N 141.9E GOOD
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 210NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 250300UTC 13.8N 140.5E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 260000UTC 15.2N 140.2E 95NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 270000UTC 15.7N 139.6E 130NM 70.
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 240300
WARNING 240300.
WARNING VALID 250300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 925 HPA
AT 12.7N 141.9E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250300UTC AT 13.8N 140.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 240300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190224021251
2019022400 02W WUTIP 020 01 315 04 SATL 020
T000 127N 1421E 135 R064 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 035 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 085 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 095 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 155 SE QD 115 SW QD 165 NW QD
T012 133N 1414E 130 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 090 SW QD 140 NW QD
T024 139N 1406E 125 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 080 SW QD 120 NW QD
T036 145N 1403E 115 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 151N 1400E 100 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 157N 1392E 070 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 045 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 085 SE QD 075 SW QD 080 NW QD
T096 164N 1364E 050 R050 040 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW Q
D 075 NW QD
T120 177N 1332E 035 R034 050 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 045 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 020
1. SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240000Z --- NEAR 12.7N 142.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N 142.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 13.3N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 13.9N 140.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 14.5N 140.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 15.1N 140.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 15.7N 139.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.4N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 17.7N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
240300Z POSITION NEAR 12.9N 141.9E.
SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 152 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 45 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 240900Z, 241500Z, 242100Z AND 250300Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 135
0219022400 127N1421E 135

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 240300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
240000Z --- NEAR 12.7N 142.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N 142.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 13.3N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 13.9N 140.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 14.5N 140.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 15.1N 140.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 15.7N 139.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.4N 136.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 17.7N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
240300Z POSITION NEAR 12.9N 141.9E.
SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 152 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 45 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 240900Z, 241500Z, 242100Z AND 250300Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 240000 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.22 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 12.7N, 142.1E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, WEAK
VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGHS UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY
UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL
FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 240000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.22 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 12.7N, 142.1E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, WEAK
VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS
OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGHS UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY
UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL
FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN
UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP
AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, INCREASED VWS AND DRY
AIR. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 240000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 18
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 240000UTC 12.7N 142.1E
MOVEMENT NW 4KT
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 250000UTC 14.0N 141.0E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
48HR
POSITION 260000UTC 15.3N 140.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
72HR
POSITION 270000UTC 15.7N 139.7E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
96HR
POSITION 280000UTC 15.8N 139.2E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1002HPA 33KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 240000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 240000UTC 12.7N 142.1E GOOD
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 250000UTC 13.8N 140.7E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 260000UTC 15.2N 140.2E 95NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 270000UTC 15.7N 139.6E 130NM 70.
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
96HF 280000UTC 16.4N 136.5E 200NM 70.
MOVE W 08KT
120HF 010000UTC 17.8N 133.5E 290NM 70.
MOVE WNW 08KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 240000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 240000UTC 12.7N 142.1E GOOD
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 250000UTC 13.8N 140.7E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 260000UTC 15.2N 140.2E 95NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 270000UTC 15.7N 139.6E 130NM 70.
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 240000
WARNING 240000.
WARNING VALID 250000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 925 HPA
AT 12.7N 142.1E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 13.8N 140.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 15.2N 140.2E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 15.7N 139.6E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 232100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 232100UTC 12.5N 142.2E GOOD
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 242100UTC 13.6N 140.8E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
45HF 251800UTC 14.9N 140.4E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
69HF 261800UTC 15.9N 140.3E 130NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 232100
WARNING 232100.
WARNING VALID 242100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 925 HPA
AT 12.5N 142.2E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 242100UTC AT 13.6N 140.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 232100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190223201400
2019022318 02W WUTIP 019 01 315 06 SATL 020
T000 124N 1424E 135 R064 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 145 SE QD 110 SW QD 150 NW QD
T012 132N 1417E 140 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 137N 1410E 130 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 144N 1405E 115 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 151N 1404E 100 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 159N 1400E 070 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD
T096 166N 1378E 050 R050 040 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD
T120 178N 1360E 035 R034 050 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 019
1. SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231800Z --- NEAR 12.4N 142.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N 142.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 13.2N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 13.7N 141.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 14.4N 140.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 15.1N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.9N 140.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.6N 137.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 17.8N 136.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
232100Z POSITION NEAR 12.6N 142.2E.
SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 142 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z IS 45 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 240300Z, 240900Z, 241500Z AND 242100Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
0219022318 124N1424E 135
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 232100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231800Z --- NEAR 12.4N 142.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N 142.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 13.2N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 13.7N 141.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 14.4N 140.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 15.1N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.9N 140.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.6N 137.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 17.8N 136.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
232100Z POSITION NEAR 12.6N 142.2E.
SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 142 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF NAVSTA GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z
IS 45 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z, 240900Z, 241500Z AND 242100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 231800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.21 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 12.4N, 142.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. INFORMATION ON
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS
AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS
THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN TURN SHARPLY TO THE WEST UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK
FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP
MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW
THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE
JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 231800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 17
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 231800UTC 12.4N 142.4E
MOVEMENT NW 5KT
PRES/VMAX 930HPA 97KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 241800UTC 13.9N 141.3E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
48HR
POSITION 251800UTC 15.3N 140.8E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
72HR
POSITION 261800UTC 16.2N 140.6E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
96HR
POSITION 271800UTC 16.6N 140.2E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
120HR
POSITION 281800UTC 16.8N 139.4E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1002HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 231800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 231800UTC 12.4N 142.4E GOOD
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 241800UTC 13.6N 140.9E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 251800UTC 14.9N 140.4E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 261800UTC 15.9N 140.3E 130NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
96HF 271800UTC 16.0N 138.7E 200NM 70.
MOVE W SLOWLY
120HF 281800UTC 17.0N 136.0E 290NM 70.
MOVE WNW 07KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 231800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 231800UTC 12.4N 142.4E GOOD
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 241800UTC 13.6N 140.9E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 251800UTC 14.9N 140.4E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 261800UTC 15.9N 140.3E 130NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 231800
WARNING 231800.
WARNING VALID 241800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 925 HPA
AT 12.4N 142.4E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 13.6N 140.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 14.9N 140.4E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 15.9N 140.3E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 231500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 231500UTC 12.2N 142.5E GOOD
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 241500UTC 13.5N 141.1E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
45HF 251200UTC 14.8N 140.8E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 261200UTC 15.9N 140.8E 170NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 231500
WARNING 231500.
WARNING VALID 241500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 925 HPA
AT 12.2N 142.5E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHWEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240300UTC AT 12.9N 141.8E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241500UTC AT 13.5N 141.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 231500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190223134310
2019022312 02W WUTIP 018 01 325 07 SATL RADR 015
T000 120N 1428E 135 R064 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 085 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 135 SE QD 135 SW QD 165 NW QD
T012 129N 1421E 140 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 170 NW QD
T024 136N 1415E 130 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 090 SW QD 150 NW QD
T036 143N 1410E 120 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 151N 1407E 110 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 110 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 161N 1408E 080 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD
T096 166N 1393E 060 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 015 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 040 SE QD 010 SW Q
D 050 NW QD
T120 177N 1371E 045 R034 080 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 018
1. SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 018
UPGRADED FROM TYPHOON 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231200Z --- NEAR 12.0N 142.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N 142.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 12.9N 142.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 13.6N 141.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 14.3N 141.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 15.1N 140.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 16.1N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 16.6N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.7N 137.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
231500Z POSITION NEAR 12.2N 142.6E.
SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTHWEST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 45 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z, 240300Z, 240900Z AND 241500Z.//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135
0219022312 120N1428E 135

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 231500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 018
UPGRADED FROM TYPHOON 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
231200Z --- NEAR 12.0N 142.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N 142.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 12.9N 142.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 13.6N 141.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 14.3N 141.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 15.1N 140.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 16.1N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 16.6N 139.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 17.7N 137.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
231500Z POSITION NEAR 12.2N 142.6E.
SUPER TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 160 NM SOUTHWEST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 45 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z, 240300Z, 240900Z AND 241500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 231200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.20 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 12.0N, 142.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION
ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EYE HAS BECOME DISTINCT. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING
FLOW UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE JMA
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 231200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 16
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 231200UTC 12.0N 142.8E
MOVEMENT NNW 7KT
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 241200UTC 13.5N 141.5E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
48HR
POSITION 251200UTC 14.9N 140.9E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
72HR
POSITION 261200UTC 16.0N 140.7E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
96HR
POSITION 271200UTC 16.6N 140.3E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
120HR
POSITION 281200UTC 16.8N 139.7E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 35KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 231200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 231200UTC 12.0N 142.8E GOOD
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 241200UTC 13.6N 141.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
48HF 251200UTC 14.8N 140.8E 95NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 261200UTC 15.9N 140.8E 170NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
96HF 271200UTC 16.1N 140.4E 260NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
120HF 281200UTC 16.4N 139.6E 350NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 231200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 231200UTC 12.0N 142.8E GOOD
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 241200UTC 13.6N 141.5E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
48HF 251200UTC 14.8N 140.8E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 261200UTC 15.9N 140.8E 170NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 231200
WARNING 231200.
WARNING VALID 241200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 925 HPA
AT 12.0N 142.8E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 80 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 12.9N 142.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 13.6N 141.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
925 HPA, MAX WINDS 100 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 14.8N 140.8E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 15.9N 140.8E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 230900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230900UTC 11.7N 143.0E GOOD
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 240900UTC 13.4N 141.7E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
45HF 250600UTC 14.3N 141.1E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
69HF 260600UTC 15.5N 141.1E 170NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 230900
WARNING 230900.
WARNING VALID 240900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 940 HPA
AT 11.7N 143.0E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 232100UTC AT 12.6N 142.3E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240900UTC AT 13.4N 141.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 230900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190223072926
2019022306 02W WUTIP 017 01 325 09 SATL RADR 015
T000 114N 1432E 115 R064 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 105 NE QD 090 SE QD 055 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 185 NE QD 160 SE QD 105 SW QD 145 NW QD
T012 123N 1425E 115 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 170 SE QD 110 SW QD 180 NW QD
T024 132N 1419E 110 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 180 NW QD
T036 139N 1415E 105 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 080 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 146N 1412E 100 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 070 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 157N 1407E 085 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 120 SE QD 040 SW QD 090 NW QD
T096 163N 1401E 065 R064 030 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 015 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 020 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 169N 1381E 045 R034 150 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 130 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 017
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230600Z --- NEAR 11.4N 143.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N 143.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 12.3N 142.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 13.2N 141.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 13.9N 141.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 14.6N 141.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 15.7N 140.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 16.3N 140.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.9N 138.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
230900Z POSITION NEAR 11.6N 143.0E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTHWEST OF
ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z
IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z, 232100Z, 240300Z AND
240900Z.//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022218 102N1441E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022300 107N1437E 110
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
0219022306 114N1432E 115
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 230900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230600Z --- NEAR 11.4N 143.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N 143.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 12.3N 142.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 13.2N 141.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 13.9N 141.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 14.6N 141.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 15.7N 140.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 16.3N 140.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.9N 138.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
230900Z POSITION NEAR 11.6N 143.0E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTHWEST OF
ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z
IS 40 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z, 232100Z, 240300Z AND
240900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 230600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.19 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 11.4N, 143.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY
IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EYE HAS BECOME DISTINCT. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWARD UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WESTWARD UNTIL
FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW
AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE
TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOW SSTS, LOW TCHP AND STRONG
VWS. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 230600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 15
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 230600UTC 11.4N 143.2E
MOVEMENT NNW 8KT
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 240600UTC 13.1N 141.8E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
48HR
POSITION 250600UTC 14.6N 141.0E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
72HR
POSITION 260600UTC 15.8N 140.8E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
96HR
POSITION 270600UTC 16.4N 140.5E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
120HR
POSITION 280600UTC 16.8N 139.8E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 35KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 230600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230600UTC 11.4N 143.3E GOOD
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 240600UTC 13.0N 142.1E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 250600UTC 14.3N 141.1E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 260600UTC 15.5N 141.1E 170NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
96HF 270600UTC 16.2N 141.2E 260NM 70.
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
120HF 280600UTC 16.5N 139.7E 350NM 70.
MOVE W SLOWLY =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 230600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230600UTC 11.4N 143.3E GOOD
MOVE NNW 09KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 240600UTC 13.0N 142.1E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 250600UTC 14.3N 141.1E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 260600UTC 15.5N 141.1E 170NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 230600
WARNING 230600.
WARNING VALID 240600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 950 HPA
AT 11.4N 143.3E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 12.3N 142.6E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 13.0N 142.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 14.3N 141.1E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 15.5N 141.1E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 230300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230300UTC 11.0N 143.5E GOOD
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 240300UTC 12.8N 142.4E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 250000UTC 13.6N 141.3E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
69HF 260000UTC 15.1N 141.0E 130NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 230300
WARNING 230300.
WARNING VALID 240300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 950 HPA
AT 11.0N 143.5E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231500UTC AT 11.9N 142.8E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240300UTC AT 12.8N 142.4E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 230300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230000Z --- NEAR 10.7N 143.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.7N 143.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 11.6N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 12.6N 142.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 13.3N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 14.1N 141.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 15.3N 141.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.1N 140.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 17.0N 140.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
230300Z POSITION NEAR 10.9N 143.5E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST
OF FARAULEP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 33 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z, 231500Z, 232100Z AND 240300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 230300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190223021641
2019022300 02W WUTIP 016 01 315 07 SATL 030
T000 107N 1437E 105 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 075 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 075 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 135 SE QD 120 SW QD 140 NW QD
T012 116N 1428E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 160 SE QD 110 SW QD 150 NW QD
T024 126N 1422E 095 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 140 NW QD
T036 133N 1417E 090 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW QD 130 NW QD
T048 141N 1413E 085 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 153N 1411E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T096 161N 1409E 060 R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 060 NW QD
T120 170N 1403E 040 R034 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 016
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
230000Z --- NEAR 10.7N 143.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.7N 143.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 11.6N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 12.6N 142.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 13.3N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 14.1N 141.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 15.3N 141.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.1N 140.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 17.0N 140.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
230300Z POSITION NEAR 10.9N 143.5E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 135 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST
OF FARAULEP, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 230900Z, 231500Z, 232100Z AND 240300Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 102N1442E 105
0219022218 102N1442E 105
0219022218 102N1442E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 105
0219022300 107N1437E 105

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 230000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.18 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 10.6N, 143.7E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A
CDO PATTERN. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE
DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH
UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE WESTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE
JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72
BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH WEAK VWS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW
AND DRY AIR. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 230000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 14
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 230000UTC 10.7N 143.6E
MOVEMENT NNW 7KT
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 240000UTC 12.8N 141.9E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
48HR
POSITION 250000UTC 14.5N 141.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
72HR
POSITION 260000UTC 15.8N 140.8E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
96HR
POSITION 270000UTC 16.6N 140.7E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
120HR
POSITION 280000UTC 17.5N 140.0E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 230000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230000UTC 10.6N 143.7E FAIR
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 240000UTC 12.4N 142.3E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 250000UTC 13.6N 141.3E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 260000UTC 15.1N 141.0E 130NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 270000UTC 15.5N 140.6E 260NM 70.
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
120HF 280000UTC 15.7N 139.1E 350NM 70.
MOVE W SLOWLY =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 230000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 230000UTC 10.6N 143.7E FAIR
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 240000UTC 12.4N 142.3E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 250000UTC 13.6N 141.3E 95NM 70.
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
72HF 260000UTC 15.1N 141.0E 130NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 230000
WARNING 230000.
WARNING VALID 240000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 955 HPA
AT 10.6N 143.7E MARIANAS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 11.5N 142.8E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 12.4N 142.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 13.6N 141.3E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260000UTC AT 15.1N 141.0E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 222100
WARNING 222100.
WARNING VALID 232100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 955 HPA
AT 10.4N 143.7E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230900UTC AT 11.3N 142.7E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 232100UTC AT 12.2N 142.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 222100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 222100UTC 10.4N 143.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 232100UTC 12.2N 142.2E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 241800UTC 13.7N 141.5E 95NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 251800UTC 15.3N 141.2E 130NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 222100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190222201827
2019022218 02W WUTIP 015 01 295 12 SATL 020
T000 103N 1440E 105 R064 050 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 065 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 075 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 125 SE QD 130 SW QD 135 NW QD
T012 113N 1428E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 160 SE QD 110 SW QD 150 NW QD
T024 122N 1420E 095 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 110 SW QD 150 NW QD
T036 131N 1415E 090 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 140 NW QD
T048 140N 1411E 090 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 120 NW QD
T072 152N 1408E 085 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T096 162N 1407E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD
T120 169N 1403E 040 R034 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 015
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221800Z --- NEAR 10.3N 144.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N 144.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 11.3N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 12.2N 142.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 13.1N 141.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 14.0N 141.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 15.2N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 16.2N 140.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.9N 140.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
222100Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 143.7E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 211 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 230300Z, 230900Z, 231500Z AND 232100Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022200 83N1472E 95
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022206 91N1462E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022218 103N1440E 105
0219022218 103N1440E 105
0219022218 103N1440E 105

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 222100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221800Z --- NEAR 10.3N 144.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N 144.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 11.3N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 12.2N 142.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 13.1N 141.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 14.0N 141.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 15.2N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 16.2N 140.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 16.9N 140.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
222100Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 143.7E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 211 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 33 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 230300Z, 230900Z, 231500Z AND 232100Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 221800 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 10.1N, 144.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EYE HAS BECOME OBSCURE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE
JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72
BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 221800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 10.1N, 144.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
THE SYSTEM IS IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF LOWER SSTS, REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THIS
HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EYE HAS BECOME OBSCURE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE
JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72
BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND
GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN
UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS,
REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 221800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 13
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 221800UTC 10.1N 144.0E
MOVEMENT W 10KT
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 231800UTC 12.6N 142.1E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
48HR
POSITION 241800UTC 14.4N 141.1E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
72HR
POSITION 251800UTC 15.6N 140.9E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
96HR
POSITION 261800UTC 16.7N 140.9E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
120HR
POSITION 271800UTC 17.5N 140.8E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 221800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 221800UTC 10.1N 144.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 231800UTC 12.1N 142.2E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 241800UTC 13.7N 141.5E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 251800UTC 15.3N 141.2E 130NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 261800UTC 16.3N 141.5E 260NM 70.
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
120HF 271800UTC 17.0N 141.7E 350NM 70.
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 221800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 221800UTC 10.1N 144.0E FAIR
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
24HF 231800UTC 12.1N 142.2E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 241800UTC 13.7N 141.5E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 251800UTC 15.3N 141.2E 130NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 221800
WARNING 221800.
WARNING VALID 231800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 955 HPA
AT 10.1N 144.0E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 240 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 11.1N 142.7E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 12.1N 142.2E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 13.7N 141.5E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251800UTC AT 15.3N 141.2E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 221500
WARNING 221500.
WARNING VALID 231500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 955 HPA
AT 10.1N 144.5E MARIANAS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230300UTC AT 11.2N 143.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231500UTC AT 12.2N 142.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 221500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 221500UTC 10.1N 144.5E GOOD
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 231500UTC 12.2N 142.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 241200UTC 13.4N 141.9E 95NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 251200UTC 15.3N 141.8E 170NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 221500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190222130545
2019022212 02W WUTIP 014 01 310 13 SATL 020
T000 098N 1451E 105 R064 040 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 075 SE QD 055 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 125 SW QD 145 NW QD
T012 110N 1437E 105 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 170 SE QD 110 SW QD 150 NW QD
T024 120N 1428E 100 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 160 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 129N 1422E 095 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 137N 1419E 095 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 080 SW QD 140 NW QD
T072 152N 1414E 090 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 110 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T096 166N 1416E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 030 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 175N 1416E 040 R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 060 SW QD 110 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 014
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221200Z --- NEAR 9.8N 145.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.8N 145.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 11.0N 143.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 12.0N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 12.9N 142.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 13.7N 141.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 15.2N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 16.6N 141.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 17.5N 141.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
221500Z POSITION NEAR 10.1N 144.7E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 234 NM SOUTH OF
ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 41 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 222100Z, 230300Z, 230900Z AND 231500Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 82N1471E 95
0219022200 82N1471E 95
0219022200 82N1471E 95
0219022206 90N1461E 100
0219022206 90N1461E 100
0219022206 90N1461E 100
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
0219022212 98N1451E 105
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 221500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 014//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221200Z --- NEAR 9.8N 145.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.8N 145.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 11.0N 143.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 12.0N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 12.9N 142.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 13.7N 141.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 15.2N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 16.6N 141.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 17.5N 141.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
221500Z POSITION NEAR 10.1N 144.7E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 234 NM SOUTH OF
ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z IS 41
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z, 230300Z, 230900Z AND 231500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 221200 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 9.9N, 145.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
APPEARANCE OF AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING
WESTERLIES UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY DECELERATE
AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE
PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED
ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 221200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 9.9N, 145.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
APPEARANCE OF AN EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE PREVAILING
WESTERLIES UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY DECELERATE
AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE
PREVAILING WESTERLIES UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED
ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND
GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN
UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH LOWER SSTS,
REDUCED TCHP AND INCREASED VWS. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 221200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 12
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 221200UTC 10.0N 145.0E
MOVEMENT WNW 14KT
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 231200UTC 12.1N 142.5E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
48HR
POSITION 241200UTC 13.9N 141.3E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
72HR
POSITION 251200UTC 15.3N 140.8E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
96HR
POSITION 261200UTC 16.4N 140.7E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
120HR
POSITION 271200UTC 17.2N 140.4E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 992HPA 45KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 221200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 221200UTC 09.9N 145.0E GOOD
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 231200UTC 12.1N 142.7E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 241200UTC 13.4N 141.9E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 251200UTC 15.3N 141.8E 170NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 261200UTC 16.9N 142.8E 260NM 70.
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
120HF 271200UTC 17.4N 143.3E 290NM 70.
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 221200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 221200UTC 09.9N 145.0E GOOD
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 231200UTC 12.1N 142.7E 50NM 70.
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 241200UTC 13.4N 141.9E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 251200UTC 15.3N 141.8E 170NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 221200
WARNING 221200.
WARNING VALID 231200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 955 HPA
AT 09.9N 145.0E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 11.1N 143.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 12.1N 142.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 13.4N 141.9E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 251200UTC AT 15.3N 141.8E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 220900
WARNING 220900.
WARNING VALID 230900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 965 HPA
AT 09.6N 145.6E CAROLINES MOVING NORTHWEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 222100UTC AT 10.9N 143.9E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230900UTC AT 12.0N 142.8E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 220900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220900UTC 09.6N 145.6E GOOD
MOVE NW 13KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 230900UTC 12.0N 142.8E 50NM 70%
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 240600UTC 13.5N 142.2E 95NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 250600UTC 15.0N 142.0E 130NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 220900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190222071844
2019022206 02W WUTIP 013 01 310 13 SATL 025
T000 090N 1461E 100 R064 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 025 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 095 NE QD 075 SE QD 055 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 165 NE QD 145 SE QD 115 SW QD 145 NW QD
T012 103N 1444E 105 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 170 SE QD 110 SW QD 150 NW QD
T024 114N 1433E 100 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 190 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 123N 1425E 095 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 170 SE QD 110 SW QD 170 NW QD
T048 132N 1421E 090 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 160 NW QD
T072 147N 1415E 080 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD 060 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 157N 1415E 060 R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 177N 1419E 045 R034 090 NE QD 120 SE QD 050 SW QD 100 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 013
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220600Z --- NEAR 9.0N 146.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.0N 146.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 10.3N 144.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 11.4N 143.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 12.3N 142.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 13.2N 142.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 14.7N 141.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 15.7N 141.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 17.7N 141.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
220900Z POSITION NEAR 9.3N 145.7E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 291 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 38 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 221500Z, 222100Z, 230300Z AND 230900Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 82N1471E 95
0219022200 82N1471E 95
0219022200 82N1471E 95
0219022206 90N1461E 100
0219022206 90N1461E 100
0219022206 90N1461E 100
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 220900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220600Z --- NEAR 9.0N 146.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.0N 146.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 10.3N 144.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 11.4N 143.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 12.3N 142.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 13.2N 142.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 14.7N 141.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 15.7N 141.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 17.7N 141.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
220900Z POSITION NEAR 9.3N 145.7E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 291 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 38
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z, 222100Z, 230300Z AND 230900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 220600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220600UTC 09.2N 146.2E FAIR
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 230600UTC 11.8N 143.1E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 240600UTC 13.5N 142.2E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 250600UTC 15.0N 142.0E 130NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 260600UTC 16.6N 142.5E 240NM 70.
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
120HF 270600UTC 17.8N 143.7E 350NM 70.
MOVE NE SLOWLY =


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 220600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 11
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 220600UTC 9.2N 146.2E
MOVEMENT NNW 11KT
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 230600UTC 11.6N 143.0E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
48HR
POSITION 240600UTC 13.5N 141.5E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
72HR
POSITION 250600UTC 14.9N 141.0E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
96HR
POSITION 260600UTC 16.2N 140.9E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
120HR
POSITION 270600UTC 16.7N 141.0E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 220600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220600UTC 09.2N 146.2E FAIR
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 230600UTC 11.8N 143.1E 50NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 240600UTC 13.5N 142.2E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 250600UTC 15.0N 142.0E 130NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 220600
WARNING 220600.
WARNING VALID 230600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 965 HPA
AT 09.2N 146.2E CAROLINES MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 10.6N 144.3E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 11.8N 143.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 13.5N 142.2E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250600UTC AT 15.0N 142.0E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 220300
WARNING 220300.
WARNING VALID 230300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 965 HPA
AT 08.6N 146.8E CAROLINES MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221500UTC AT 09.9N 144.9E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230300UTC AT 11.2N 143.4E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 220300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190222015721
2019022200 02W WUTIP 012 01 300 12 SATL 040
T000 082N 1471E 095 R064 045 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 055 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 145 SE QD 115 SW QD 150 NW QD
T012 095N 1454E 095 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 150 SE QD 110 SW QD 150 NW QD
T024 109N 1437E 100 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 100 SW QD 150 NW QD
T036 117N 1430E 105 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 100 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 127N 1423E 100 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 160 SE QD 100 SW QD 160 NW QD
T072 142N 1416E 085 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 130 SE QD 070 SW QD 110 NW QD
T096 156N 1414E 070 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD
T120 169N 1414E 055 R050 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW Q
D 050 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 012
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220000Z --- NEAR 8.2N 147.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.2N 147.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 9.5N 145.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 10.9N 143.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 11.7N 143.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 12.7N 142.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 14.2N 141.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 15.6N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.9N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
220300Z POSITION NEAR 8.5N 146.7E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 355 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022200 82N1471E 95
0219022200 82N1471E 95
0219022200 82N1471E 95

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 220300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 012//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220000Z --- NEAR 8.2N 147.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 8.2N 147.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 9.5N 145.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 10.9N 143.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 11.7N 143.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 12.7N 142.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 14.2N 141.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 15.6N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.9N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
220300Z POSITION NEAR 8.5N 146.7E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 355 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 30
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND 230300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 220000 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.14 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 8.2N, 146.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A
CDO PATTERN. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD UNTIL FT96. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY ACCELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS.
JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW
THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT72


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 220000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 10
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 220000UTC 8.2N 146.8E
MOVEMENT WNW 15KT
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 230000UTC 11.0N 143.6E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
48HR
POSITION 240000UTC 13.1N 141.7E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
72HR
POSITION 250000UTC 14.6N 141.1E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
96HR
POSITION 260000UTC 15.9N 140.9E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
120HR
POSITION 270000UTC 16.5N 141.0E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 220000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 220000UTC 08.2N 146.8E FAIR
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 230000UTC 11.1N 143.4E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 240000UTC 13.1N 142.2E 95NM 70.
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 250000UTC 14.7N 141.9E 130NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 260000UTC 16.8N 142.8E 240NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
120HF 270000UTC 18.5N 144.4E 350NM 70.
MOVE NNE 07KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 220000
WARNING 220000.
WARNING VALID 230000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 965 HPA
AT 08.2N 146.8E CAROLINES MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 09.7N 145.0E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 11.1N 143.4E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 13.1N 142.2E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 250000UTC AT 14.7N 141.9E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 212100
WARNING 212100.
WARNING VALID 222100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 965 HPA
AT 08.0N 147.6E CAROLINES MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220900UTC AT 09.5N 145.8E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 222100UTC AT 10.9N 144.0E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 212100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190221201435
2019022118 02W WUTIP 011 01 300 09 SATL 040
T000 076N 1481E 090 R064 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 090 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 145 SE QD 115 SW QD 160 NW QD
T012 087N 1466E 095 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 100N 1450E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 160 SE QD 100 SW QD 150 NW QD
T036 113N 1435E 105 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 170 SE QD 100 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 123N 1428E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 160 SE QD 100 SW QD 150 NW QD
T072 138N 1419E 080 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 140 NW QD
T096 154N 1418E 070 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 020 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T120 166N 1418E 055 R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 080 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 011
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211800Z --- NEAR 7.6N 148.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.6N 148.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 8.7N 146.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 10.0N 145.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 11.3N 143.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 12.3N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 13.8N 141.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 15.4N 141.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 16.6N 141.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
212100Z POSITION NEAR 7.9N 147.7E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 412 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 220300Z, 220900Z, 221500Z AND 222100Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022106 67N1497E 75
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022112 71N1489E 85
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90
0219022118 76N1481E 90

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 212100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 011//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211800Z --- NEAR 7.6N 148.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.6N 148.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 8.7N 146.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 10.0N 145.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 11.3N 143.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 12.3N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 13.8N 141.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 15.4N 141.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 16.6N 141.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
212100Z POSITION NEAR 7.9N 147.7E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 412 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 30
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z, 220900Z, 221500Z AND 222100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 211800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 9
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 211800UTC 7.4N 148.0E
MOVEMENT NW 10KT
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 221800UTC 10.4N 144.3E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
48HR
POSITION 231800UTC 12.7N 142.0E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
72HR
POSITION 241800UTC 14.2N 141.2E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
96HR
POSITION 251800UTC 15.5N 140.9E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
120HR
POSITION 261800UTC 16.8N 140.9E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 211800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 211800UTC 07.4N 148.1E FAIR
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 221800UTC 10.5N 144.4E 60NM 70%
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 231800UTC 12.6N 142.6E 95NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 241800UTC 14.3N 142.3E 130NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 251800UTC 16.5N 142.8E 240NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
120HF 261800UTC 18.2N 144.1E 350NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 211800
WARNING 211800.
WARNING VALID 221800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 970 HPA
AT 07.4N 148.1E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 08.9N 146.3E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 10.5N 144.4E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 12.6N 142.6E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241800UTC AT 14.3N 142.3E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 211500
WARNING 211500.
WARNING VALID 221500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 970 HPA
AT 07.2N 148.4E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220300UTC AT 08.6N 146.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221500UTC AT 10.2N 144.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 211500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190221130127
2019022112 02W WUTIP 010 01 295 07 SATL 025
T000 071N 1487E 085 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 040 SE QD 045 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 105 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD
T012 083N 1471E 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 097N 1453E 095 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 150 SE QD 110 SW QD 170 NW QD
T036 110N 1439E 100 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 180 SE QD 100 SW QD 160 NW QD
T048 123N 1431E 105 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 170 SE QD 100 SW QD 160 NW QD
T072 139N 1424E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW QD 160 NW QD
T096 156N 1424E 090 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 050 SW QD 100 NW QD
T120 178N 1437E 070 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 010
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211200Z --- NEAR 7.1N 148.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.1N 148.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 8.3N 147.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 9.7N 145.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 11.0N 143.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 12.3N 143.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 13.9N 142.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 15.6N 142.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 17.8N 143.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
211500Z POSITION NEAR 7.4N 148.3E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 455 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 212100Z, 220300Z, 220900Z AND 221500Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 68N1493E 75
0219022106 68N1493E 75
0219022106 68N1493E 75
0219022112 71N1487E 85
0219022112 71N1487E 85
0219022112 71N1487E 85

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 211500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
211200Z --- NEAR 7.1N 148.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.1N 148.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 8.3N 147.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 9.7N 145.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 11.0N 143.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 12.3N 143.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 13.9N 142.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 15.6N 142.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 17.8N 143.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
211500Z POSITION NEAR 7.4N 148.3E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 455 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z
IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z, 220300Z, 220900Z AND 221500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 211200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 8
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 211200UTC 6.7N 148.7E
MOVEMENT WNW 10KT
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 221200UTC 10.0N 144.8E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
48HR
POSITION 231200UTC 12.3N 142.5E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
72HR
POSITION 241200UTC 13.9N 141.3E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
96HR
POSITION 251200UTC 15.4N 140.9E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
120HR
POSITION 261200UTC 16.8N 140.7E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 211200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 211200UTC 06.9N 148.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 221200UTC 09.9N 145.3E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 231200UTC 12.4N 142.6E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 241200UTC 14.1N 142.5E 170NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 251200UTC 15.8N 142.7E 240NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
120HF 261200UTC 17.6N 143.9E 350NM 70.
MOVE NNE 07KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 211200
WARNING 211200.
WARNING VALID 221200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 970 HPA
AT 06.9N 148.7E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 08.4N 147.0E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 09.9N 145.3E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 12.4N 142.6E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 241200UTC AT 14.1N 142.5E WITH 170 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 210900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 210900UTC 06.5N 149.1E FAIR
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 220900UTC 09.4N 145.6E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 230600UTC 12.1N 143.2E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 240600UTC 14.1N 142.3E 130NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 210900
WARNING 210900.
WARNING VALID 220900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 970 HPA
AT 06.5N 149.1E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 212100UTC AT 07.7N 147.3E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220900UTC AT 09.4N 145.6E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 210900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210600Z --- NEAR 6.9N 149.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N 149.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 8.1N 147.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 9.3N 145.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 10.7N 144.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 12.0N 143.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 13.9N 142.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 15.5N 142.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 17.8N 143.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
210900Z POSITION NEAR 7.2N 148.8E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 484 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z
IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z, 212100Z, 220300Z AND
220900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 210900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190221070522
2019022106 02W WUTIP 009 01 300 14 SATL 020
T000 069N 1493E 075 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 125 SE QD 145 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 081N 1475E 085 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD
T024 093N 1459E 095 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 130 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 107N 1444E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 120N 1432E 105 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD
T072 139N 1423E 100 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 150 SE QD 110 SW QD 140 NW QD
T096 155N 1420E 090 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 140 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD
T120 178N 1430E 080 R064 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 009
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210600Z --- NEAR 6.9N 149.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N 149.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 8.1N 147.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 9.3N 145.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 10.7N 144.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 12.0N 143.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 13.9N 142.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 15.5N 142.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 17.8N 143.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
210900Z POSITION NEAR 7.2N 148.8E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 484 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 211500Z, 212100Z, 220300Z AND 220900Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022106 69N1493E 75
0219022106 69N1493E 75
0219022106 69N1493E 75
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 210600 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 6.4N, 149.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EXPANSION OF A CDO PATTERN. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL
FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 210600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 6.4N, 149.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
EXPANSION OF A CDO PATTERN. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL
FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE
DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 210600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 7
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 210600UTC 6.5N 149.7E
MOVEMENT WNW 9KT
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 220600UTC 9.1N 146.1E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
48HR
POSITION 230600UTC 11.8N 143.1E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
72HR
POSITION 240600UTC 13.5N 141.5E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
96HR
POSITION 250600UTC 15.1N 141.0E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
120HR
POSITION 260600UTC 16.7N 140.8E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 210600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 210600UTC 06.4N 149.6E FAIR
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 220600UTC 08.9N 146.0E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 230600UTC 12.1N 143.2E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 240600UTC 14.1N 142.3E 130NM 70.
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 250600UTC 15.5N 142.4E 240NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
120HF 260600UTC 18.0N 143.2E 350NM 70.
MOVE NNE 07KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 210600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 210600UTC 06.4N 149.6E FAIR
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 220600UTC 08.9N 146.0E 60NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 230600UTC 12.1N 143.2E 110NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 240600UTC 14.1N 142.3E 130NM 70%
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 210600
WARNING 210600.
WARNING VALID 220600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 970 HPA
AT 06.4N 149.6E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 07.4N 147.7E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 08.9N 146.0E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 12.1N 143.2E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240600UTC AT 14.1N 142.3E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 210300
WARNING 210300.
WARNING VALID 220300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) 975 HPA
AT 06.1N 149.7E CAROLINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 210 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211500UTC AT 07.2N 147.8E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220300UTC AT 08.6N 146.0E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 210300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 210300UTC 06.1N 149.7E FAIR
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 210NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 220300UTC 08.6N 146.0E 60NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 230000UTC 11.6N 143.6E 110NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 240000UTC 13.6N 142.4E 130NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 210300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190221020938
2019022100 02W WUTIP 008 01 295 11 SATL 040
T000 062N 1505E 065 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 000 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 125 SE QD 145 SW QD 100 NW QD
T012 073N 1486E 075 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 140 NW QD
T024 085N 1469E 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD
T036 099N 1452E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 111N 1440E 105 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 170 SE QD 120 SW QD 140 NW QD
T072 127N 1426E 100 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD
T096 142N 1417E 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 140 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD
T120 156N 1412E 080 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 110 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 008
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 008
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210000Z --- NEAR 6.2N 150.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.2N 150.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 7.3N 148.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 8.5N 146.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 9.9N 145.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 11.1N 144.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 12.7N 142.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 14.2N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 15.6N 141.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
210300Z POSITION NEAR 6.5N 150.0E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 558 NM SOUTHEAST OF
ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 210900Z, 211500Z, 212100Z AND 220300Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022018 57N1515E 60
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65
0219022100 62N1505E 65

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 210300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 008
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
210000Z --- NEAR 6.2N 150.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.2N 150.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 7.3N 148.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 8.5N 146.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 9.9N 145.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 11.1N 144.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 12.7N 142.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 14.2N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 15.6N 141.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
210300Z POSITION NEAR 6.5N 150.0E.
TYPHOON 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 558 NM SOUTHEAST OF
ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 22 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z, 211500Z, 212100Z AND 220300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 210000 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 6.1N, 150.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
FORMATION OF A CDO PATTERN. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL
FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 210000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR TY 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 6.1N, 150.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
FORMATION OF A CDO PATTERN. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG THE
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL
FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE
DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 210000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 6
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 210000UTC 6.1N 150.5E
MOVEMENT WNW 11KT
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 220000UTC 8.3N 146.9E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
48HR
POSITION 230000UTC 10.9N 143.5E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
72HR
POSITION 240000UTC 12.7N 141.7E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
96HR
POSITION 250000UTC 14.3N 140.9E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
120HR
POSITION 260000UTC 16.0N 140.3E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 210000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 210000UTC 06.1N 150.5E FAIR
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 220000UTC 08.7N 146.8E 60NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 230000UTC 11.6N 143.6E 110NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 240000UTC 13.6N 142.4E 130NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 250000UTC 15.1N 142.3E 240NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
120HF 260000UTC 17.7N 143.1E 350NM 70%
MOVE NNE 07KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 210000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1902 WUTIP (1902) UPGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 210000UTC 06.1N 150.5E FAIR
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 220000UTC 08.7N 146.8E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 230000UTC 11.6N 143.6E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 240000UTC 13.6N 142.4E 130NM 70.
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 210000
WARNING 210000.
WARNING VALID 220000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1902 WUTIP (1902) UPGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 975 HPA
AT 06.1N 150.5E TRUKS MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 07.4N 148.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 08.7N 146.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 11.6N 143.6E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 240000UTC AT 13.6N 142.4E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 202100
WARNING 202100.
WARNING VALID 212100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1902 WUTIP (1902) 980 HPA
AT 05.9N 151.1E TRUKS MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210900UTC AT 07.2N 149.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 212100UTC AT 08.4N 147.3E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 202100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 202100UTC 05.9N 151.1E FAIR
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 212100UTC 08.4N 147.3E 60NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 221800UTC 10.9N 144.3E 110NM 70%
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 231800UTC 12.9N 142.4E 150NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 202100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190220200837
2019022018 02W WUTIP 007 01 280 14 SATL 060
T000 056N 1511E 060 R050 065 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 155 SW Q
D 130 NW QD
T012 066N 1492E 075 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 130 SE QD 130 SW QD 150 NW QD
T024 079N 1473E 085 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 130 SE QD 130 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 092N 1456E 095 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 160 NW QD
T048 105N 1439E 105 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 195 NE QD 175 SE QD 140 SW QD 175 NW QD
T072 123N 1423E 100 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 160 SE QD 135 SW QD 150 NW QD
T096 137N 1414E 095 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 130 NW QD
T120 151N 1408E 090 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 120 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201800Z --- NEAR 5.6N 151.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 5.6N 151.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 6.6N 149.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 7.9N 147.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 9.2N 145.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 10.5N 143.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 12.3N 142.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 13.7N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 15.1N 140.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
202100Z POSITION NEAR 5.9N 150.6E.
TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 609 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 210300Z, 210900Z, 211500Z AND 212100Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022006 50N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022018 56N1511E 60
0219022018 56N1511E 60

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 202100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201200Z --- NEAR 5.3N 152.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 5.3N 152.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 6.2N 150.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 7.2N 148.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 8.4N 146.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 9.5N 145.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 11.5N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 13.3N 141.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 14.9N 140.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
201500Z POSITION NEAR 5.5N 152.0E.
TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 675 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 201200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z, 210300Z,
210900Z AND 211500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 201800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR STS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 5.7N, 151.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF
A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE ELONGATION
OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD UNTIL FT120. THE
JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72
BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL
FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK VWS. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST
IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 201800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 5
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 201800UTC 5.7N 151.6E
MOVEMENT NW 13KT
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 211800UTC 7.7N 148.0E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
48HR
POSITION 221800UTC 10.1N 144.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
72HR
POSITION 231800UTC 12.2N 141.8E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
96HR
POSITION 241800UTC 13.8N 140.8E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
120HR
POSITION 251800UTC 15.6N 140.2E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 201800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 201800UTC 05.7N 151.6E FAIR
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 211800UTC 08.1N 147.7E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 221800UTC 10.9N 144.3E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 231800UTC 12.9N 142.4E 150NM 70.
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 241800UTC 14.3N 142.3E 240NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
120HF 251800UTC 16.3N 142.7E 350NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 201800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 201800UTC 05.7N 151.6E FAIR
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 211800UTC 08.1N 147.7E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 221800UTC 10.9N 144.3E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 231800UTC 12.9N 142.4E 150NM 70.
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 201800
WARNING 201800.
WARNING VALID 211800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1902 WUTIP (1902) 980 HPA
AT 05.7N 151.6E TRUKS MOVING NORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 50 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 06.8N 149.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 08.1N 147.7E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 10.9N 144.3E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231800UTC AT 12.9N 142.4E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 201500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 201500UTC 05.1N 152.0E FAIR
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 211500UTC 07.5N 147.9E 60NM 70.
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 221200UTC 10.0N 144.8E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 231200UTC 12.3N 142.3E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 201500
WARNING 201500.
WARNING VALID 211500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1902 WUTIP (1902) 980 HPA
AT 05.1N 152.0E TRUKS MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210300UTC AT 06.1N 149.9E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211500UTC AT 07.5N 147.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 201500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190220125159
2019022012 02W WUTIP 006 01 280 11 SATL 025
T000 053N 1525E 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 125 SE QD 160 SW Q
D 130 NW QD
T012 062N 1505E 070 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 072N 1486E 085 R064 040 NE QD 000 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 040 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 084N 1468E 095 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 170 NW QD
T048 095N 1452E 105 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 160 SE QD 110 SW QD 170 NW QD
T072 115N 1428E 110 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 170 SE QD 120 SW QD 160 NW QD
T096 133N 1413E 105 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
T120 149N 1401E 105 R064 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 080 SW QD 140 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201200Z --- NEAR 5.3N 152.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 5.3N 152.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 6.2N 150.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 7.2N 148.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 8.4N 146.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 9.5N 145.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 11.5N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 13.3N 141.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 14.9N 140.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
201500Z POSITION NEAR 5.5N 152.0E.
TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 675 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 201200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z, 210300Z,
210900Z AND 211500Z.//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 47N1546E 45
0219022006 51N1536E 50
0219022006 51N1536E 50
0219022012 53N1525E 55
0219022012 53N1525E 55

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 201500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
201200Z --- NEAR 5.3N 152.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 5.3N 152.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 6.2N 150.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 7.2N 148.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 8.4N 146.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 9.5N 145.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 11.5N 142.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 13.3N 141.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z --- 14.9N 140.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
201500Z POSITION NEAR 5.5N 152.0E.
TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 675 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 201200Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z, 210300Z,
210900Z AND 211500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 201200 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR STS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 5.0N, 152.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE ELONGATION OF
A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD UNTIL FT120. THE
JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72
BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 201200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR STS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 5.0N, 152.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE ELONGATION OF
A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD UNTIL FT120. THE
JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO
OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72
BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL
MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WEAK VWS. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 201200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 4
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 201200UTC 4.9N 152.6E
MOVEMENT W 12KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 211200UTC 7.1N 149.0E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
48HR
POSITION 221200UTC 9.5N 145.0E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
72HR
POSITION 231200UTC 11.6N 142.4E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
96HR
POSITION 241200UTC 13.3N 141.1E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
120HR
POSITION 251200UTC 15.2N 140.0E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 201200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 201200UTC 05.0N 152.6E FAIR
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 211200UTC 07.2N 148.5E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 221200UTC 10.0N 144.8E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 231200UTC 12.3N 142.3E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 241200UTC 13.8N 142.1E 200NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY
120HF 251200UTC 15.6N 142.2E 290NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 201200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 201200UTC 05.0N 152.6E FAIR
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 270NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 211200UTC 07.2N 148.5E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 221200UTC 10.0N 144.8E 110NM 70.
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 231200UTC 12.3N 142.3E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 201200
WARNING 201200.
WARNING VALID 211200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1902 WUTIP (1902) 985 HPA
AT 05.0N 152.6E TRUKS MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 05.9N 150.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211200UTC AT 07.2N 148.5E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221200UTC AT 10.0N 144.8E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 231200UTC AT 12.3N 142.3E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 200900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1902 WUTIP (1902) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200900UTC 04.6N 153.4E FAIR
MOVE WSW 07KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 210NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 210900UTC 06.9N 149.2E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
45HF 220600UTC 09.4N 145.4E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 230600UTC 11.7N 142.4E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 200900
WARNING 200900.
WARNING VALID 210900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 1902 WUTIP (1902) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM
992 HPA
AT 04.6N 153.4E TRUKS MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 202100UTC AT 05.6N 151.4E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210900UTC AT 06.9N 149.2E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 200900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190220073831
2019022006 02W WUTIP 005 01 280 10 SATL 045
T000 048N 1536E 045 R034 130 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 130 NW QD
T012 055N 1516E 060 R050 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 120 SE QD 100 SW Q
D 150 NW QD
T024 065N 1497E 075 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 150 NW QD
T036 077N 1477E 085 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
T048 088N 1460E 095 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 170 NW QD
T072 109N 1433E 105 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 160 SE QD 110 SW QD 150 NW QD
T096 128N 1417E 105 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 110 SW QD 170 NW QD
T120 144N 1405E 100 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 130 SE QD 080 SW QD 130 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
200600Z --- NEAR 4.8N 153.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 4.8N 153.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 5.5N 151.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 6.5N 149.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 7.7N 147.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 8.8N 146.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 10.9N 143.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 12.8N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 14.4N 140.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
200900Z POSITION NEAR 5.0N 153.1E.
TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 742 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 200600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z, 202100Z,
210300Z AND 210900Z.//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 46N1546E 45
0219022006 48N1536E 45

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 200900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
200600Z --- NEAR 4.8N 153.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 4.8N 153.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 5.5N 151.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 6.5N 149.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 7.7N 147.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 8.8N 146.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 10.9N 143.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 12.8N 141.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z --- 14.4N 140.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
200900Z POSITION NEAR 5.0N 153.1E.
TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 742 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 200600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z, 202100Z,
210300Z AND 210900Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 200600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 7 FOR TS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 4.9N, 153.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE WINDS
DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND. ANIMATED MSI
SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
DMSP-F15/SSMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND
WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD
UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS.
JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW
THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE
DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 200600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200600UTC 04.9N 153.9E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 210600UTC 07.0N 149.5E 60NM 70.
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 220600UTC 09.4N 145.4E 110NM 70.
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 230600UTC 11.7N 142.4E 130NM 70.
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 240600UTC 13.4N 141.6E 200NM 70.
MOVE NNW 06KT
120HF 250600UTC 15.1N 141.7E 290NM 70.
MOVE N SLOWLY =


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 200600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 3
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 200600UTC 4.9N 153.8E
MOVEMENT W 9KT
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 210600UTC 6.5N 150.0E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
48HR
POSITION 220600UTC 8.9N 146.0E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
72HR
POSITION 230600UTC 11.2N 142.9E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
96HR
POSITION 240600UTC 12.9N 141.2E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
120HR
POSITION 250600UTC 14.6N 140.0E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 200600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200600UTC 04.9N 153.9E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 210600UTC 07.0N 149.5E 60NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 220600UTC 09.4N 145.4E 110NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 230600UTC 11.7N 142.4E 130NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 200600
WARNING 200600.
WARNING VALID 210600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1902 WUTIP (1902) 994 HPA
AT 04.9N 153.9E TRUKS MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 05.8N 151.9E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210600UTC AT 07.0N 149.5E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220600UTC AT 09.4N 145.4E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230600UTC AT 11.7N 142.4E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 200300
WARNING 200300.
WARNING VALID 210300.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1902 WUTIP (1902) 994 HPA
AT 04.9N 154.3E TRUKS MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 120 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201500UTC AT 05.7N 152.4E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210300UTC AT 06.6N 150.3E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 200300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200300UTC 04.9N 154.3E FAIR
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 210NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 210300UTC 06.6N 150.3E 60NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 220000UTC 08.5N 146.6E 110NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
69HF 230000UTC 11.0N 143.3E 130NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 200300
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190220013521
2019022000 02W WUTIP 004 01 275 10 SATL 040
T000 046N 1547E 045 R034 140 NE QD 080 SE QD 120 SW QD 125 NW QD
T012 051N 1527E 060 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW Q
D 150 NW QD
T024 060N 1507E 075 R064 000 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 130 SE QD 130 SW QD 170 NW QD
T036 071N 1488E 085 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 130 SE QD 120 SW QD 160 NW QD
T048 084N 1468E 095 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 170 NW QD
T072 105N 1438E 105 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 190 NE QD 170 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
T096 124N 1421E 105 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 170 NW QD
T120 142N 1407E 100 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 130 SE QD 090 SW QD 140 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
200000Z --- NEAR 4.6N 154.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 4.6N 154.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 5.1N 152.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 6.0N 150.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 7.1N 148.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 8.4N 146.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 10.5N 143.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 12.4N 142.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 14.2N 140.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
200300Z POSITION NEAR 4.7N 154.2E.
TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 796 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 200900Z, 201500Z, 202100Z AND 210300Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
0219022000 46N1547E 45

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 200300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
200000Z --- NEAR 4.6N 154.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 4.6N 154.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 5.1N 152.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 6.0N 150.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 7.1N 148.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 8.4N 146.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 10.5N 143.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 12.4N 142.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 14.2N 140.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
200300Z POSITION NEAR 4.7N 154.2E.
TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 796 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 13
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z, 201500Z, 202100Z AND 210300Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 200000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 6 FOR TS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 4.9N, 154.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. INFORMATION ON
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND. ANIMATED MSI
SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F15/SSMI 89
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD
UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS.
JMA TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW
THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE
DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 200000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200000UTC 04.9N 154.6E FAIR
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 150NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 210000UTC 06.4N 150.6E 60NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 220000UTC 08.5N 146.6E 110NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 230000UTC 11.0N 143.3E 130NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
96HF 240000UTC 12.9N 142.1E 200NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
120HF 250000UTC 14.4N 142.0E 290NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY =


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 200000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 2
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 200000UTC 4.8N 154.7E
MOVEMENT WSW 6KT
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 210000UTC 6.2N 150.9E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
48HR
POSITION 220000UTC 8.0N 147.6E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
72HR
POSITION 230000UTC 10.0N 144.5E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
96HR
POSITION 240000UTC 12.1N 141.6E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
120HR
POSITION 250000UTC 13.7N 139.8E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 200000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200000UTC 04.9N 154.6E FAIR
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 150NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 210000UTC 06.4N 150.6E 60NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 220000UTC 08.5N 146.6E 110NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 230000UTC 11.0N 143.3E 130NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 200000
WARNING 200000.
WARNING VALID 210000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1902 WUTIP (1902) 994 HPA
AT 04.9N 154.6E TRUKS MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201200UTC AT 05.6N 152.6E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 210000UTC AT 06.4N 150.6E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 220000UTC AT 08.5N 146.6E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 230000UTC AT 11.0N 143.3E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 192100
WARNING 192100.
WARNING VALID 202100.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1902 WUTIP (1902) 1000 HPA
AT 05.0N 154.8E TRUKS MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200900UTC AT 05.4N 152.8E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 202100UTC AT 06.3N 150.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 192100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 192100UTC 05.0N 154.8E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 202100UTC 06.3N 150.8E 60NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 211800UTC 08.0N 147.3E 95NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 221800UTC 10.5N 144.1E 130NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 192100
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190219193647
2019021918 02W WUTIP 003 01 275 13 SATL 045
T000 045N 1557E 035 R034 135 NE QD 065 SE QD 085 SW QD 115 NW QD
T012 048N 1536E 050 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 130 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 055N 1517E 065 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 210 NE QD 140 SE QD 150 SW QD 190 NW QD
T036 066N 1497E 075 R064 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 180 NW QD
T048 078N 1477E 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 170 SE QD 130 SW QD 180 NW QD
T072 099N 1445E 100 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 180 SE QD 120 SW QD 180 NW QD
T096 118N 1424E 105 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 080 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 180 SE QD 120 SW QD 170 NW QD
T120 135N 1407E 100 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 170 SE QD 100 SW QD 160 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
191800Z --- NEAR 4.5N 155.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 4.5N 155.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 4.8N 153.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 5.5N 151.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 6.6N 149.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 7.8N 147.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 9.9N 144.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 11.8N 142.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 13.5N 140.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
192100Z POSITION NEAR 4.6N 155.2E.
TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 844 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 200300Z, 200900Z, 201500Z AND 202100Z.
//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30
0219021918 45N1557E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 192100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
191800Z --- NEAR 4.5N 155.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 4.5N 155.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 4.8N 153.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 5.5N 151.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
190 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 6.6N 149.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 7.8N 147.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z --- 9.9N 144.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 11.8N 142.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 13.5N 140.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
192100Z POSITION NEAR 4.6N 155.2E.
TROPICAL STORM 02W (WUTIP), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 844 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z
IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z, 200900Z, 201500Z
AND 202100Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 191800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 1
NAME 1902 WUTIP
ANALYSIS
POSITION 191800UTC 5.1N 155.2E
MOVEMENT W 10KT
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 35KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 201800UTC 6.2N 151.8E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
48HR
POSITION 211800UTC 7.7N 148.6E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
72HR
POSITION 221800UTC 9.6N 145.5E WITHIN 140NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
96HR
POSITION 231800UTC 11.4N 142.7E WITHIN 200NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
120HR
POSITION 241800UTC 13.3N 140.1E WITHIN 260NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 191800 RRA
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 5 FOR TS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 5.3N, 156.1E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
(WUTIP) STATUS. TS WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 5.1N, 155.1E. INFORMATION
ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND MICROWAVE
IMAGERY. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 191800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 5 FOR TS 1902 WUTIP (1902)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 5.3N, 156.1E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
(WUTIP) STATUS. TS WUTIP IS LOCATED AT 5.1N, 155.1E. INFORMATION
ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND MICROWAVE
IMAGERY. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
GRADUALLY DECELERATE AND MOVE NORTHWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE JMA TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. JMA
TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NUMERICAL MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE JMA INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE
DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 191800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1902 WUTIP (1902) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 191800UTC 05.1N 155.1E FAIR
MOVE W 18KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 201800UTC 06.2N 151.0E 60NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 211800UTC 08.0N 147.3E 95NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 221800UTC 10.5N 144.1E 130NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
96HF 231800UTC 12.5N 142.4E 200NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
120HF 241800UTC 14.5N 142.9E 290NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 191800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1902 WUTIP (1902) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 191800UTC 05.1N 155.1E FAIR
MOVE W 18KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 201800UTC 06.2N 151.0E 60NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 211800UTC 08.0N 147.3E 95NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 221800UTC 10.5N 144.1E 130NM 70%
MOVE NW 10KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 191800
WARNING 191800.
WARNING VALID 201800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 1902 WUTIP (1902) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION
1000 HPA
AT 05.1N 155.1E MARSHALLS MOVING WEST 18 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 90 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 200600UTC AT 05.2N 153.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 201800UTC AT 06.2N 151.0E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 211800UTC AT 08.0N 147.3E WITH 95 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 221800UTC AT 10.5N 144.1E WITH 130 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 191500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
191200Z --- NEAR 4.4N 157.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 4.4N 157.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 4.4N 154.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 5.0N 152.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 6.0N 150.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 7.2N 149.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 9.5N 145.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 11.4N 143.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 12.8N 141.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
191500Z POSITION NEAR 4.4N 156.4E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 908 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 191200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z, 200300Z,
200900Z AND 201500Z.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 191500
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190219141948
2019021912 02W TWO 002 01 270 13 SATL 045
T000 044N 1570E 030
T012 044N 1547E 040 R034 170 NE QD 100 SE QD 130 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 050N 1527E 055 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 140 SE QD 150 SW Q
D 170 NW QD
T036 060N 1509E 070 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 050 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 160 SE QD 160 SW QD 180 NW QD
T048 072N 1491E 085 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 160 SE QD 140 SW QD 170 NW QD
T072 095N 1456E 100 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 090 NW QD R034 200 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 180 NW QD
T096 114N 1430E 105 R064 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 090 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 180 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
T120 128N 1411E 100 R064 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 160 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
191200Z --- NEAR 4.4N 157.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 4.4N 157.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 4.4N 154.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 5.0N 152.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 6.0N 150.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 7.2N 149.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 9.5N 145.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 11.4N 143.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 12.8N 141.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
191500Z POSITION NEAR 4.4N 156.4E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 908 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 191200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z, 200300Z,
200900Z AND 201500Z.//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25
0219021912 44N1570E 30

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 190900
WARNING ATCG MIL 02W NWP 190219081611
2019021906 02W TWO 001 01 275 13 SATL 045
T000 044N 1583E 025
T012 045N 1557E 035 R034 170 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 047N 1535E 050 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW Q
D 140 NW QD
T036 055N 1516E 060 R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW Q
D 150 NW QD
T048 066N 1496E 070 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 060 NW QD R034 170 NE QD 140 SE QD 120 SW QD 160 NW QD
T072 089N 1460E 080 R064 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R050 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 180 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
T096 108N 1432E 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 090 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 080 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 150 NW QD
T120 123N 1410E 090 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW Q
D 070 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 130 SE QD 110 SW QD 150 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190600Z --- NEAR 4.4N 158.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 4.4N 158.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 4.5N 155.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 4.7N 153.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 5.5N 151.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 6.6N 149.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 8.9N 146.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 10.8N 143.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 12.3N 141.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
190900Z POSITION NEAR 4.4N 157.6E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 970 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z,
192100Z, 200300Z AND 200900Z.//
0219021806 42N1634E 20
0219021812 42N1621E 20
0219021818 42N1609E 20
0219021900 43N1596E 20
0219021906 44N1583E 25

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 190900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190251ZFEB2019//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190600Z --- NEAR 4.4N 158.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 4.4N 158.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 4.5N 155.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 4.7N 153.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 5.5N 151.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 6.6N 149.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z --- 8.9N 146.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 10.8N 143.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 12.3N 141.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
190900Z POSITION NEAR 4.4N 157.6E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02W (TWO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 970 NM
SOUTHEAST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z,
192100Z, 200300Z AND 200900Z.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 190300).//
NNNN

>