Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THREE-19
Off-shore

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Original Message :

WTNT43 KNHC 231459
TCDAT3

Remnants Of Three Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032019
1100 AM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019

Recent surface observations and data from an Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the depression has
degenerated into a trough of low pressure. Although the plane
found a weak closed circulation near the northwestern edge of the
convection earlier this morning, the last pass through that area
has shown light southwesterly winds and no evidence of a surface
circulation. As a result, this will be the final advisory
on this system. Data from the aircraft indicate that the system is
still producing winds of around 30 kt, and this remains the initial
intensity. The system is likely to continue producing gusty winds
through tonight.

The remnants are moving northward or 360/15 kt. The remnants should
turn north-northeastward as they become embedded within
southwesterly flow ahead of a cold front near the southeastern
United States.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/1500Z 29.0N 80.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown

>

Original Message :

WTNT33 KNHC 231458
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Three Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032019
1100 AM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019

...DEPRESSION DISSIPATES...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.0N 80.0W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM ESE OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SE OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1014 MB...29.95 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Three were located near
latitude 29.0 North, longitude 80.0 West. The remnants are moving
toward the north near 17 mph (28 km/h). A turn toward the
north-northeast is expected later today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
The remnants are expected to continue producing gusty winds through
tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1014 mb (29.95 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible
across the northwest Bahamas today.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Brown

>

Original Message :

WTNT23 KNHC 231457
TCMAT3

REMNANTS OF THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032019
1500 UTC TUE JUL 23 2019

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 80.0W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1014 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 80.0W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 79.9W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N 80.0W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

>

Original Message :

WTNT43 KNHC 230836
TCDAT3

Tropical Depression Three Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032019
500 AM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019

Although deep convection has redeveloped near and to the northeast
of the low-level center, the overall convective appearance is
somewhat ragged. However, curved rain bands have been evident in
Doppler radar data from Miami and Melbourne since around 0300 UTC,
and Doppler velocity values of 35-40 kt have been detected in those
bands between 15,000-20,000 ft. In addition, three ships located
about 50 nmi northeast and east of the center have reported 28-29 kt
wind speeds. Although those wind reports were elevated at 30-60
meters above the surface, they were reported outside of the rain
bands. Based on this wind speed and radar information, the initial
intensity has been increased to 30 kt. An Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft will investigate the depression later this
morning to provide a better estimate of the cyclone's intensity.

The depression is now moving northward or 360/10 kt. There is
essentially no change to the previous track or reasoning. The 06Z
track model guidance continues to indicate that the cyclone will
continue to move around western periphery of the sprawling
Bermuda-Azores high pressure ridge. A northward motion is expected
through today, followed by a turn toward the north-northeast with
an increase in forward speed tonight. A northeastward motion is
forecast on Wednesday, which will keep the center and strongest
winds away from the coast of the southeastern United States. The new
NHC track forecast is similar to the previous advisory and lies
close to the various consensus models.

Although significant strengthening of the depression is not
expected, it is certainly possible that the cyclone could briefly
reach tropical storm status in the 12-to-24-hour period when the
system will be accelerating and the vertical wind shear decreases
to less than 5 kt. However, in the event that the cyclone should
become a tropical storm, the rapid northeastward motion will act to
keep the strongest winds to the east of the center, well offshore
of the U.S. coastal areas. By Wednesday afternoon, the combination
of strong southwesterly vertical wind shear and interaction with an
approaching cold front is expected to result in rapid weakening and
dissipation of the cyclone. The official intensity forecast is
similar to the previous advisory and shows dissipation by 36 hours.

Direct impacts from the depression are expected to be limited to
1 to 3 inches of rainfall across the Bahamas today.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/0900Z 27.0N 79.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 23/1800Z 29.6N 79.4W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 24/0600Z 34.0N 76.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
36H 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Stewart

>

Original Message :

WTNT33 KNHC 230836
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Three Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032019
500 AM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019

...DEPRESSION MOVING NORTHWARD BETWEEN SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND THE
NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.0N 79.5W
ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM ENE OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM NW OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Interests in the Northwest Bahamas and the east coast of Florida
should monitor the progress of this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
was located near latitude 27.0 North, longitude 79.5 West. The
depression is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this
general motion is forecast to continue through this afternoon. A
motion toward north-northeast with an increase in forward speed is
expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the northeast on
Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of the depression
should remain offshore the coast of the southeastern United States
through Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts. No significant increase in strength is anticipated,
and the depression is forecast to dissipate on Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1012 mb (29.89 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected across the
Bahamas through today.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

>

Original Message :

WTNT23 KNHC 230834
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032019
0900 UTC TUE JUL 23 2019

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS AND THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 79.5W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 79.5W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 79.5W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 29.6N 79.4W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 34.0N 76.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 79.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

>

Original Message :

WTNT82 EGRR 230359

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 23.07.2019

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E ANALYSED POSITION : 17.0N 117.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052019

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 23.07.2019 0 17.0N 117.0W 1006 28
1200UTC 23.07.2019 12 18.5N 117.9W 1005 29
0000UTC 24.07.2019 24 18.6N 118.9W 1005 25
1200UTC 24.07.2019 36 19.2N 120.1W 1006 24
0000UTC 25.07.2019 48 19.6N 121.4W 1006 24
1200UTC 25.07.2019 60 20.0N 122.8W 1007 25
0000UTC 26.07.2019 72 20.3N 124.2W 1008 23
1200UTC 26.07.2019 84 CEASED TRACKING

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03L ANALYSED POSITION : 25.8N 79.1W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL032019

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 23.07.2019 0 25.8N 79.1W 1015 17
1200UTC 23.07.2019 12 CEASED TRACKING

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 13.2N 117.7W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 27.07.2019 108 12.9N 118.8W 1006 26
0000UTC 28.07.2019 120 13.8N 121.6W 1005 27
1200UTC 28.07.2019 132 13.9N 124.0W 1002 33
0000UTC 29.07.2019 144 15.0N 126.3W 1001 35

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 12.1N 103.4W

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 28.07.2019 132 12.5N 105.2W 1005 33
0000UTC 29.07.2019 144 12.4N 108.0W 1002 32


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 230359

>

Original Message :

WTNT80 EGRR 230359

MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 23.07.2019

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05E ANALYSED POSITION : 17.0N 117.0W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052019

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 23.07.2019 17.0N 117.0W WEAK
12UTC 23.07.2019 18.5N 117.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 24.07.2019 18.6N 118.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 24.07.2019 19.2N 120.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 25.07.2019 19.6N 121.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 25.07.2019 20.0N 122.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 26.07.2019 20.3N 124.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 26.07.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03L ANALYSED POSITION : 25.8N 79.1W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL032019

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 23.07.2019 25.8N 79.1W WEAK
12UTC 23.07.2019 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 13.2N 117.7W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 27.07.2019 12.9N 118.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 28.07.2019 13.8N 121.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 28.07.2019 13.9N 124.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.07.2019 15.0N 126.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 12.1N 103.4W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 28.07.2019 12.5N 105.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
00UTC 29.07.2019 12.4N 108.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 230359

>

Original Message :

WTNT43 KNHC 230232
TCDAT3

Tropical Depression Three Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032019
1100 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

The depression has become less organized this evening. Much of the
deep convection seen earlier in the day has dissipated, and the
cyclone currently consists of a swirl of low-level clouds with some
shower activity. The initial intensity is held at 25 kt based on
the earlier ASCAT data.

The system is moving northwestward at 9 kt, steered by the
southwestern periphery of the Atlantic subtropical ridge. A turn to
the north and north-northeast with a notable increase in forward
speed is expected on Tuesday as the depression moves in the
flow between the subtropical ridge and an approaching deep-layer
trough moving across the eastern United States. The NHC track
forecast is similar to the previous one and keeps the center of the
cyclone offshore of the east coast of Florida. This prediction is
near the multi-model consensus TVCN.

Significant strengthening of the depression is not expected given
its poor initial state and because it is forecast to move into a
region of strong southwesterly flow aloft by late Tuesday. In
fact, the global and regional models all show the depression opening
into a trough within the next 24 hours, with the remnants of the
system becoming absorbed within a frontal zone off the southeast
U.S. on Wednesday. The NHC intensity forecast is a little lower
than the previous one and now shows dissipation occurring sooner, by
36 hours.

Direct impacts from the depression are expected to be limited to 1
to 3 inches of rainfall in the Bahamas and along the east coast of
Florida.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/0300Z 26.1N 79.3W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 23/1200Z 28.4N 79.8W 25 KT 30 MPH
24H 24/0000Z 31.7N 78.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
36H 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

>

Original Message :

WTNT33 KNHC 230231
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Three Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032019
1100 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

...DISORGANIZED DEPRESSION JUST EAST OF SOUTH FLORIDA...
...LITTLE OR NO STRENGTHENING EXPECTED...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.1N 79.3W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SE OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB...29.92 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Interests in the Northwest Bahamas and the east coast of Florida
should monitor the progress of this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
was located near latitude 26.1 North, longitude 79.3 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A
turn toward the north-northwest is expected overnight followed by
a turn toward the north and north-northeast on Tuesday and Tuesday
night. On the forecast track, the center of the depression should
remain just offshore of the east coast of Florida over the next day
or so.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher
gusts. No significant increase in strength is anticipated, and the
depression is forecast to dissipate by Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1013 mb (29.92 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected across the
Bahamas and the east coast of Florida through Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

>

Original Message :

WTNT23 KNHC 230231
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032019
0300 UTC TUE JUL 23 2019

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS AND THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 79.3W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N 79.3W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 79.0W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 28.4N 79.8W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 31.7N 78.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N 79.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

>

Original Message :

WTNT43 KNHC 222032
TCDAT3

Tropical Depression Three Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032019
500 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

Deep convection has increased in association with the small low
pressure area we have been monitoring near the Bahamas. Animation
of visible satellite images and scatterometer data indicate that a
closed low-level circulation formed today, and therefore advisories
are being initiated on the system. Conventional surface
observations along with the scatterometer measurements indicate that
the maximum sustained winds in the cyclone are near 25 kt. The
system is in a marginally favorable environment for strengthening,
as a special 1800 UTC sounding taken by the National Weather Service
Forecast Office here in Miami showed a layer of dry air near the 700
mb level. The global models do not intensify the system, and only a
slight increase in strength appears likely. In 36 to 48 hours, the
models indicate that this system will be absorbed by a frontal
trough near the U.S. east coast.

The initial motion estimate is northwestward or 305/11 kt. Over the
next day or so, the tropical cyclone should move around the western
periphery of a mid-level subtropical ridge, with the center of the
depression expected to remain offshore of the Florida east coast and
the southeastern United States until dissipation. The official
track forecast follows a small consensus of the only models that
were able to follow the center of the depression in the predicted
fields.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 22/2100Z 25.6N 78.6W 25 KT 30 MPH
12H 23/0600Z 27.2N 79.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 23/1800Z 30.1N 79.6W 30 KT 35 MPH
36H 24/0600Z 33.7N 77.8W 25 KT 30 MPH
48H 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch

>

Original Message :

WTNT33 KNHC 222031
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Three Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032019
500 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE BAHAMAS...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.6N 78.6W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SE OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1013 MB...29.92 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Interests in the Northwest Bahamas and the east coast of Florida
should monitor the progress of this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three
was located near latitude 25.6 North, longitude 78.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h).
A turn toward the north-northwest is expected overnight followed by
a turn toward the north and north-northeast on Tuesday and Tuesday
night. On the forecast track, the center of the depression should
remain just offshore of the east coast of Florida over the next day
or so.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
No significant increase in strength is anticipated, and the
depression is forecast to dissipate by Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1013 mb (29.92 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected across the
Bahamas and the east coast of Florida through Tuesday.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

>

Original Message :

WTNT23 KNHC 222030
TCMAT3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032019
2100 UTC MON JUL 22 2019

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS AND THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 78.6W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 78.6W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 78.3W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 27.2N 79.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.1N 79.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 33.7N 77.8W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.6N 78.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

>