Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PENNY-18
in Australia, Papua New Guinea

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone PENNY-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000538
Name PENNY-18
From - To 31 Dec - 08 Jan
Exposed countries Australia, Papua New Guinea
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 120 km/h Category 1
Maximum storm surge 1.6 m (01 Jan 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Papua New Guinea)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 56 km/h 1.6 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF n.a n.a. n.a. n.a.
GFS n.a n.a. n.a. n.a.
ECMWF n.a n.a. n.a. n.a.
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Australia - Tropical cyclone PENNY update (ECHO 08 Jan 2019)Tue, 08 Jan 2019 11:03

  • Tropical cyclone PENNY continued west over the Coral Sea towards the north-east coast of Queensland with maximum sustained winds of 56 km/h (tropical depression). On 8 January at 0.00 UTC its centre was located approximately 400 km east of Townsville and 420 km south-east of Palm Island (Queensland).
  • Over the next 24 hours, it is forecast to continue south-west toward the north-east coast of Quennsland. Heavy rainfall and strong winds could affect the areas of the central and east coast, including the Whitsunday Islands.
  • A severe weather warning and flood watch are in effect for coastal regions, specifically for Burdekin, Whitsunday, Mackay and Rockhampton.
Australia - Tropical cyclone PENNY (ECHO 07 Jan 2019)Mon, 07 Jan 2019 11:05

  • Tropical cyclone PENNY is continuing west over the Coral Sea towards the north-east coast of Queensland with maximum sustained winds of 74 km/h (tropical storm). On 7 January at 0.00 UTC its centre was approximately 690 km north-east of Townsville and 770 km east of Tully village.
  • It is forecast to continue west and could approach the north-east coast of Queensland on 9 January. According to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), PENNY could bring heavy rainfall and strong winds to areas of the central and east coast of Queensland, including the Whitsunday Islands.
  • A Severe Weather Warning is in effect for the east Burdekin, Whitsunday and Mackay regions.
Australia - Tropical cyclone PENNY (ECHO 04 Jan 2019)Fri, 04 Jan 2019 11:02

  • Tropical cyclone PENNY passed over Cape York Peninsula (northern Australia) on 1 January with maximum sustained winds up to 70 km/h (tropical storm), before strengthening as it moved over the Coral Sea.
  • On 4 January, at 0.00 UTC its centre was approx. 900 km north-east of Whitsunday Coast (Queensland), 530 km south-east of Tagula Island (Papua New Guinea) and 800 km south-west of Guadalcanal Island (Solomon Islands). Over the next 72 hours it is forecast to weaken as it moves towards the Queensland coast.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (38), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),