Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for KALMAEGI-19
in Philippines

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone KALMAEGI-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000630
Name KALMAEGI-19
From - To 12 Nov - 20 Nov
Exposed countries Philippines
Exposed population 2.1 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 148 km/h Category 1
Maximum storm surge 1 m (20 Nov 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 46 km/h 1 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 180 km/h 0.7 m 1296 mm 0.5
GFS 230 km/h 0.5 m 1083 mm 1.5
ECMWF 115 km/h 0.4 m 885 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Philippines - Tropical Cyclone RAMON (ECHO 13 Nov 2019)Wed, 13 Nov 2019 11:08

  • New Tropical Cyclone RAMON formed over the Philippine Sea on 12 November, moving north-west. On 13 November at 0.00 UTC, its centre was located approximately 400 km east of Samar Island (Eastern Visayas Region, central-eastern Philippines), with maximum sustained winds of 56 km/h (tropical depression).
  • RAMON will continue north-west towards northern Philippines strengthening as a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds up to 74 km/h.
  • Moderate to heavy rain with isolated thunderstorms are forecast over north and central-east parts of the country. The Philippines Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has issued a tropical storm warning for Eastern Visayas and Bicol Regions.
Philippines - Tropical Cyclone KALMAEGI (RAMON) update (ECHO 14 Nov 2019)Thu, 14 Nov 2019 11:05


  • Tropical Cyclone KALMAEGI (RAMON in the Philippines) is strengthening as it moves north-west towards the northern Philippines. On 14 November at 0.00 UTC, its centre was approximately 380 km east of Bulusan Town (south-east Luzon Island), with maximum sustained winds of 56 km/h (tropical depression).
  • KALMAEGI will continue north-west towards the northern Philippines with maximum sustained winds up to 83 km/h and is expected to make landfall between 17 and 18 November.
  • For the next 24 hours, light to moderate and intermittent heavy rain is expected across central-east and north-east regions of Luzon (Bicol, Calabarzon, and Cagayan Valley) and Samar Islands. A tropical storm warning is in effect over Eastern Visayas, Bicol, Central Luzon and Cagayan Valley.
Philippines - Tropical Cyclone KALMAEGI update (ECHO 15 Nov 2019)Fri, 15 Nov 2019 11:08

  • Tropical Cyclone KALMAEGI ( RAMON in the Philippines) continued north-west over the Philippine Sea toward north-eastern Luzon. On 15 November at 0.00 UTC, its centre was approximately 335 km south-east of Cagayan Province (Cagayan Valley Region), with maximum sustained winds of 56 km/h (tropical depression).
  • KALMAEGI is forecast to continue north-west over the sea before making landfall over the coast Cagayan Province on 17 November, with maximum sustained winds of 90-95 km/h.
  • Moderate to locally heavy rain and strong winds are forecast over north-east Luzon on 15-16 November. A tropical storm warning is in effect over the area.
Philippines - Tropical Cyclone KALMAEGI update (ECHO 18 Nov 2019)Mon, 18 Nov 2019 11:04

  • Tropical Cyclone KALMAEGI (RAMON in the Philippines) is continuing north-west over the Philippine Sea, towards the north-east of Luzon Island. On 18 November at 0.00 UTC, its centre was approximately 130 km east of Cagayan Province (Cagayan Valley Region), with maximum sustained winds of 110 km/h.
  • Heavy rain has led to several floods and landslides across The Philippines. In Romblon Province (Mimaropa region), 795 people were evacuated and more than 3,000 people were affected. Landslides and floods in Camarines Sur Province (Bicol Region) forced at least 3,300 individuals to evacuate and several houses have been damaged.
  • KALMAEGI is forecast to make landfall over northern Cagayan in the night of 18 November, with maximum sustained winds up to 120 km/h.
  • Moderate to locally heavy rain is forecast for northern Luzon Island 18-19 November.
Philippines - Tropical Cyclone KALMAEGI update (ECHO 19 Nov 2019)Tue, 19 Nov 2019 11:08

  • Tropical Cyclone KALMAEGI has entered the Babuyan Channel and is moving towards the northern coast of Cagayan Province. On 19 November at 0.00 UTC, its centre was approximately 100 km north-east of Aparri Municipality (Cagayan Province), with maximum sustained winds of 150 km/h.
  • As of 19 November, the number of affected people has increased to 3,479, and 1,059 people evacuated to shelters. Relief necessities such as food items and hygiene kits have been distributed.
  • TC KALMAEGI is forecast to make landfall over the northern coast of Cagayan in the morning of 19 November, with maximum sustained winds up to 140 km/h. Thereafter, it is expected to move across northern Luzon, and enter the South China Sea.
  • A warning signal level 3 (out of 5) has been issued for northern Cagayan, while floods advisory are valid for Cagayan, Batanes, Kalinga, Isablea provinces.
  • Heavy rain is forecast for Cagayan, Apayao, and Ilocos Norte provinces, including Batanes and Babuyan islands on 19-20 November.
Philippines - Tropical Cyclones KALMAEGI and FUNG-WONG update (ECHO 20 Nov 2019)Wed, 20 Nov 2019 11:07

  • Tropical Cyclone KALMAEGI (RAMON in the Philippines) made landfall in the northern coast of Luzon Island on 19 November and continued moving inland south-west. On 20 November at 00:00 UTC, its centre was located approximately 9 km north of Tabuk City, with maximum sustained winds of 100 km/h.
  • According to NDRRMC, as of 20 November, 5,058 people have been displaced, of which 4,972 evacuated in 91 evacuation centres, and 10,459 affected.
  • KALMAEGI will continue moving inland across northern Luzon Island, weakening with maximum sustained wind up to 75 km/h.
  • Meanwhile, Tropical Cyclone FUNG-WONG (SARAH in the Philippines), formed over the Philippine Sea on 17 November, is moving west-northwest towards the Batanes Island. On 20 November at 00:00 UTC, its centre was located approximately 600 km north-east of Daet Municipality with maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h.
  • FUNG-WONG will continue moving north-west towards northern Philippines with maximum sustained winds up to 100 km/h.
  • Heavy rain is forecast for northern-central Luzon, Batanes and Babuyan Islands.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Articles: 95 | About casualties: 1 | Last hour: 0

Continued rains over northern Luzon as tropical depression Sarah trail ... Sun, 24 Nov 2019 15:01:00 +0100.

TROPICAL CYCLONE Ramon (international name: Kalmaegi) has maintained its strength as it hovers off the northeastern side of Luzon, weather bureau PAGASA said in its 5 p.m. update yesterday. Landfall was predicted in the evening or Wednesday
...(more)
Signal No. 1 lifted as Sarah weakens, starts moving awayFri, 22 Nov 2019 02:39:00 +0100.

Satellite image of Severe Tropical Storm Sarah (Fung-wong) as of November 22, 2019, 7:30 am. Image from NOAA. MANILA, Philippines – Severe Tropical Storm Sarah (Fung-wong) weakened as it began moving toward Japan's Ryukyu Islands before daw
...(more)
NASA imagery indicates a dissipating KalmaegiThu, 21 Nov 2019 19:04:00 +0100.

IMAGE: On Nov. 21, 2019, the MODIS instrument that flies aboard NASA's Aqua satellite provided a visible image of Tropical Depression Kalmaegi as it was dissipating in the South China Sea.... Credit: NASA Worldview. NASA's Aqua satellite c
...(more)
Severe Tropical Storm Sarah intensifies againThu, 21 Nov 2019 11:50:00 +0100.

Satellite image of Severe Tropical Storm Sarah (Fung-wong) as of November 21, 2019, 5 pm. Image from NOAA. MANILA, Philippines – Severe Tropical Storm Sarah (Fung-wong) strengthened again as it continued moving over the Philippine Sea on Th
...(more)

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (38), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),