Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GENEVIEVE-20
in Mexico

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000698
Name GENEVIEVE-20
From - To 16 Aug - 21 Aug
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 213 km/h Category 4
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (21 Aug 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS NOAA 65 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 220 km/h 0.5 m 632 mm 1.5
GFS 180 km/h 0.7 m 562 mm 0.5
ECMWF 144 km/h 0.4 m 620 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Mexico - Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE (ECHO 18 Aug 2020)Tue, 18 Aug 2020 13:02

  • Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE located off Mexico's Pacific Coast, continues to move northwest as a Category 2 Hurricane. On 18 August at 3.00 UTC its centre was located approximately 340 km south-west of Manzanillo City (Colima State), with maximum sustained winds of 157 km/h.
  • It is forecast to strengthen rapidly as it approaches the Baja California Peninsula in the next 24 hours, with maximum sustained winds up to 220 km/h.
  • A tropical storm watch is in effect for southern Baja California Peninsula, from Los Barriles Town (Mexico) to Todos Santos Town (Mexico). Very heavy rain, thunderstorms and strong winds are expected in eastern coastal States of Mexico, including Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima and Michoacán.
Mexico - Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE update (ECHO 19 Aug 2020)Wed, 19 Aug 2020 13:04

  • Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE is continuing north-west off the coast of western Mexico, as a Category 3 Hurricane, approximately 330 km south-west of Marias Islands (Nayarit State, Mexico), and 390 km south of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, with maximum sustained winds of 195 km/h.
  • GENEVIEVE is expected to approach the eastern coast of Baja California Peninsula on morning of 20 August, with maximum sustained winds up to 167 km/h.
  • A tropical storm warning remains in effect for southern Baja California Peninsula, from Los Barriles Town (Mexico) to Puerto Cortes Town (Mexico). Very heavy rain, thunderstorms and strong winds are forecast over Baja California Sur, Colima, Jalisco, Michoacán, Nayarit, and Sinaloa states.
Mexico - Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE update (ECHO 20 Aug 2020)Thu, 20 Aug 2020 13:03

  • Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE weakened to a Category 1 Hurricane before approaching the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula on 20 August with maximum sustained winds of 139 km/h.
  • Strong winds and high waves along the southern Baja California Peninsula, resulted in the deaths of 2 people on 19 August in Cabo San Lucas.
  • GENEVIEVE is expected to weaken to a tropical storm as it continues north west, with maximum sustained winds up to 110 km/h. A hurricane warning remains in effect from Los Barriles Town (Mexico) to Todos Santos Town (Mexico), and a tropical storm warning has been issued from north of Todos Santos to Cabo San Lazaro City Municipality (Mexico). Heavy rain, high waves and strong winds are forecast in Baja California Sur, Sinaloa, Nayarit, and Jalisco States.
Mexico - Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE update (ECHO 21 Aug 2020)Fri, 21 Aug 2020 13:06

  • Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE has weakened to a tropical storm as is moves north-west along the Baja California Peninsula approximately 130 km south-west of Puerto San Carlos (southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico), with maximum sustained winds of 102 km/h.
  • GENEVIEVE is forecast to continue north-west over the East Pacific, downgrading to a tropical depression on the morning of 22 August.
  • A tropical storm warning is in effect for the south-western coast of Baja California peninsula from Cabo San Lazaro Municipality to Todos Santos Municipality (Mexico). On 21-22 August, heavy rainfall, strong winds and high waves are expected over Baja California Sur, while heavy rainfall are forecast over Sinaloa and Sonora States (north-western Mexico).
  • For next week, model rainfall forecasts suggest widespread, torrential rains along the Pacific-facing regions of Central America. This forecast, wet weather pattern increases the likelihoods for flooding over western and southern Guatemala, El Salvador, and the Gulf of Fonseca region.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Articles: 382 | About casualties: 14 | Last hour: 0

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Erratic winds and lightning may spark new fires in California after Hurricane Genevieve, residents on Grand Isle, Louisiana, are evacuating and boarding up their homes in preparation for Hurricane Marco and Tropical Storm Laura, massive flo
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Watch Now: Lightning could spark more wildfires in California, and mor ... Tue, 25 Aug 2020 00:02:00 +0200.

Erratic winds and lightning may spark new fires in California after Hurricane Genevieve, residents on Grand Isle, Louisiana, are evacuating and boarding up their homes in preparation for Hurricane Marco and Tropical Storm Laura, massive flo
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Reply (30)Mon, 24 Aug 2020 23:02:00 +0200.

CALIFORNIA — More than ten thousand firefighters battled the second and third largest fires in California history Sunday, as hundreds of fires burned a combined 1.3 million acres. More than 100,000 people have been forced to flee their home
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Les incendies de forêt, cauchemars récurrents de la CalifornieMon, 24 Aug 2020 17:19:00 +0200.

La Californie est aujourd'hui ravagée par des feux de forêt - dont les deuxième et troisième incendies les plus dévastateurs de l'histoire de la région. Le point sur une situation qui ne cesse de prendre de l'ampleur année après année. Et q
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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (38), (2), DesInventar (1), WMO (1), INFORM (2),