Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for GONI-20
in Philippines

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone GONI-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000736
Name GONI-20
From - To 28 Oct - 06 Nov
Exposed countries Philippines
Exposed population 24.4 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 315 km/h Category 5
Maximum storm surge 1.6 m (01 Nov 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS JTWC 56 km/h 1.6 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 295 km/h 2 m 755 mm 2.5
GFS 364 km/h 1.7 m 582 mm 2.5
ECMWF 184 km/h 2.1 m 867 mm 2.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Philippines - Tropical Depression TWENTY TWO (ECHO 28 Oct 2020)Wed, 28 Oct 2020 11:02

  • Tropical Depression TWENTY TWO formed over the Philippine Sea and its centre was approximately 1,700 km east of Catanduanes island (Bicol Region, central Luzon) on 28 October, with maximum sustained winds of 46 km/h.
  • TWENTY TWO is forecast to strengthen, as it moves west towards central Luzon on 1 November, potentially passing through the same area as Tropical Cyclone MOLAVE on 25-26 October, where 9 people died and more than 209,000 were affected. 
  • Heavy rain and thunderstorms are forecast over Occidental Mindoro, Palawan, Western Visayas, Batanes, and Cagayan.
Philippines - Tropical Storm GONI (ECHO 29 Oct 2020)Thu, 29 Oct 2020 11:05

  • Tropical Storm GONI is moving over the Philippine Sea, its centre was located approximately 1,300 km east of Catanduanes island (Bicol Region, central Luzon) on 29 October at 0.00 UTC, with maximum sustained winds of 102 km/h.
  • GONI is forecast to further intensify, moving westwards with maximum sustained winds up to 148 km/h (typhoon) before making landfall over the east of Central Luzon early on 1 November.
Philippines, Vietnam - Typhoon GONI (ECHO 03 Nov 2020)Tue, 03 Nov 2020 11:13

  • After the passage of Typhoon GONI over Bicol and Calabarzon Regions on 31 October - 1 November, strong wind, flooding and volcanic mudflow have been reported, resulting in casualties and damage. 
  • According to the national authorities of the Philippines, 17 people died and 2 have been injured in Bicol and Calabarzon Regions. Approximately 1.6 million people have been affected and more than 333,800 residents were displaced to evacuation centers. Damage has been reported to 50 road sections and 5 bridges. 
  • A state of calamity was declared for Cavite Province (Calabarzon), while the aforementioned regions are still recovering from the effects of the recent typhoon, Molave.
  • GONI is currently moving westwards over the South China Sea and its center was located approximately 670 km east of Qui Hnon City (Binh Dinh Province). It is forecast to make landfall over central Vietnam on 5 November, as a tropical depression. Heavy to very heavy rainfall is expected from 3 November over the central areas. 
  • DG ECHO is monitoring the situation and considering the possibility of using the ALERT instrument to assist those affected.
Vietnam, Philippines - Typhoon GONI update (ECHO 04 Nov 2020)Wed, 04 Nov 2020 11:03

  • Tropical Storm GONI is moving over the South China Sea and approaching the central coast of Vietnam. It is forecast to make landfall as a tropical depression in the area north of Qui Nhon on the afternoon of 5 November.
  • Preparedness measures are ongoing, as central Vietnam has been heavily affected by rainfall, floods and landslides caused by precedent typhoons.
  • Meanwhile, in the Philippines the number of fatalities caused by the passage of GONI has increased to 20 and 74 people have been injured, 3 are missing across Calabarzon, Mimaropa and Bicol Regions. There are 24,750 damaged houses and 382,708 persons are currently displaced to evacuation centers. In total, approximately 2.08 million people have been affected. 
  • On 4-6 November, very heavy rainfall and strong wind are forecast over Quang Nam, Quang Ngai, Binh Dinh Provinces (central Vietnam).
  • The EU has allocated a financial support of EUR 1.3 million to provide emergency humanitarian assistance for those affected by Typhoon Goni in the Philippines.
GONI-20 - Copernicus EMS activation (EMSR478)Thu, 05 Nov 2020 16:44

EMSR478: Copernicus Emergency Management Service has been activated
Vietnam, Philippines - Typhoon GONI update (ECHO 06 Nov 2020)Fri, 06 Nov 2020 11:04

  • GONI made landfall as a tropical depression over southern Binh Dinh Province. On 6 November, its centre was approximately 9 km to Thon Giang Nam City (Binh Dinh Province, central Vietnam) with maximum sustained wind of 56 km/h.  This is the fifth tropical cyclone that hit Vietnam during  the last 30 days.
  • In Vietnam, more than 13,000 people have been evacuated across the Provinces of Quang Ngai, Phu Yen, Khanh Hoa and Binh Dinh.
  • In the Philippines the number of fatalities increased to 22, following the passage of GONI. 165 people have been injured and 3 are missing across Calabarzon, Mimaropa and Bicol Regions. At least 1,2 million people have been affected and more than 171,000 displaced.
  • Over the next 24 hours, GONI is forecast to weaken and dissipate as it continues west-southwest over western and central Cambodia. Moderate to heavy rain and strong winds are forecast over central and southern Vietnam, most parts of Cambodia and southern Laos.
  • Warnings for flood, flash flood and landslide have been issued for the mountainous area of central Vietnam.
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Articles: 772 | About casualties: 183 | Last hour: 0

MIL-OSI Translation: Typhoon Goni in Philippines: UN needs more than $ ... Mon, 09 Nov 2020 22:01:00 +0100.

The UN and its humanitarian partners in the Philippines on Monday appealed for $ 45.5 million to meet the needs of 260,000 of the most vulnerable people in the provinces affected by Typhoon Goni (local name Rolly). EDITOR’S NOTE: This artic
...(more)
Typhon Goni aux Philippines : l’ONU a besoin de plus de 45 millions de ... Mon, 09 Nov 2020 20:00:00 +0100.

Selon le Bureau des Nations Unies pour la coordination des affaires humanitaires ( OCHA ), l’objectif de l’appel est d’appuyer la réponse du gouvernement philipin dans 16 municipalités prioritaires des provinces de Catanduanes et d’Albay (c
...(more)
Storm Ulysses to hit Bicol, QuezonMon, 09 Nov 2020 17:34:00 +0100.

MANILA, Philippines Tropical Storm Ulysses is expected to strengthen into a typhoon before its forecast landfall over the Bicol region-Quezon area tomorrow or Thursday, the state weather bureau has warned. Ulysses was expected to further in
...(more)
Regional Updates (11/09/20)Mon, 09 Nov 2020 14:56:00 +0100.

Storm Ulysses could become typhoon before landfall in Bicol-Quezon area. TROPICAL storm Ulysses could intensify into a typhoon before making landfall on Thursday in the area of Bicol Region and Quezon province, weather bureau PAGASA said in
...(more)

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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: UNOSAT (1), EMSR (2), EC-JRC (38), (2), WMO (1), INFORM (2),