gdacs logo       

The Global Disaster Alert and Coordination System provides near real-time alerts about natural disasters around the world and tools to facilitate response coordination, including media monitoring, map catalogues and Virtual On-Site Operations Coordination Centre.

 
 

Red Earthquake alert in China

 

Generated on 7/29/2010 2:18:54 PM

Red Earthquake Alert in China

Summary

On 5/12/2008 6:27:05 AM UTC an earthquake of magnitude 7.8 and depth 10km has struck an very highly populated area in the Sichuan Province (population: 118.8 million) in China. GDACS estimates the likelihood for need of international humanitarian intervention to be high (Red alert).

This earthquake can have a high humanitarian impact since the affected region is very highly populated and has medium vulnerability to natural disasters.

The earthquake 94km from the city of Chengdu. The nearest populated places are Wolongguan (19km). It is a mountainous region with a maximum altitude of 5750 m.

Humanitarian Impact impact 
Population vulnerability vul 
Tsunami probability tsunami 
Landslide probability slope 
Nuclear radiation probability radiation 

Caution: this information is based on risk models. Whether international humanitarian aid is needed must be decided by an expert.

This email report was automatically created or updated by a computer on: 5/12/2008 8:47:10 AM UTC (2 hours 20 minutes after the event)

Downloads: Word report, PDF report

Explanation of alert calculation: Show

Google map Population map
poplegendPopulation Density near epicenter (people/km2). Image area: 6x4 decimal degrees (approx. 650x450km2).
population map

Earthquake epicentre: best estimate eq_logo    previous estimates: eq_icon

Earthquake Event

Geological map
geological map

Characteristics for this report

Information source European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC)
Magnitude 7.8 M
Depth 10 km
Location

Geographic coordinates (latitude/longitude): 31.12, 103.24
China , Sichuan Province (population: 118811800).
Seismic region: China.

The earthquake happened in China , Sichuan Province (population: 118811800). , 94km from the city of Chengdu. The nearest populated places are Wolongguan (19km).

It is a mountainous region with a maximum altitude of 5750 m.

Time time 5/12/2008 6:27:05 AM (UTC, Universal Standard Time)
5/12/2008 1:20:03 PM (Estimated local solar time)
Mon, 5/12/2008 07:27 CET (Brussels, Paris, Rome)
Mon, 5/12/2008 01:27 EST (New York, Washington)
Sun, 5/11/2008 22:27 PST (San Francisco, Los Angeles)
Mon, 5/12/2008 14:27 AWST (Australian Western Standard Time)

Previous reports for this earthquake.

Earthquake reportTsunami reportEvent Date/TimeLat/LonMagnitudeDepth (km)SourcePublication Date/TimeDelay
390355/12/2008 6:28:04 AM UTC31.11, 103.337.829NEIC5/12/2008 6:41:42 AM UTC13min
390365/12/2008 6:28:00 AM UTC31.0844, 103.26687.510NEIC5/12/2008 7:25:33 AM UTC57min
390375/12/2008 6:27:05 AM UTC31.12, 103.257.510EMSC5/12/2008 7:25:34 AM UTC58min
390495/12/2008 6:27:05 AM UTC31.12, 103.247.810EMSC5/12/2008 8:47:10 AM UTC140min
391285/12/2008 6:28:00 AM UTC31.0992, 103.27917.910NEIC (us2008ryan)5/12/2008 4:42:25 PM UTC614min

Earthquake Impact Details

Potentially affected People

The population in the area of this earthquake if 85 people/kmē. (Data source).

The earthquake occurred at 13h local time. At this time a day, more people are at work and therefore more vulnerable to collapsing office buildings. During traffic hours, people can be affected by collapsing bridges and other road infrastructure.

Population Data
Radius (km) Population Density (people/kmē)
1
2 469  37 
5 1405  17 
10 5742  18 
20 18339  14 
50 671979  85 
100 9749450  310 
200 30801890  245 

Damage

The affected region has low level of urban area (0%) and a high level of cultivated area (37.3%). In urban areas more damage can be expected than in cultivated or natural areas. (Data source)

Radius (km)urban areascultivated areasother
200 0.09% 37.35% 62.55%
100 0.26% 27.89% 71.84%
50 0% 10.42% 89.57%
10 0% 8.87% 91.12%

Resilience and Vulnerability

Resilience is the capacity of the population to cope with a hazard. Since much of investments in earthquake preparedness and available funds for quick response is related to household income, the GDP per capita can be used as a rough indicator of resilience.

China has a GDP per capita of 768 PPP$ (Parity Purchasing Power Dollar, about 1 Euro) and is therefore part of the low level income countries. Therefore, the earthquake happened in an area of low resilience.

Based on the combination of 9 indicators, ECHO attributes China a medium vulnerability.

ECHO Intervention Priority Ranking for China
vulnerabilitylevel
Overall situation
Human Development hdi
Human Poverty hpi
Exposure to Major Disasters
Natural Disasters natdis
Conflicts conflicts
Humanitarian effects of population movement
Refugees refugees
Internally Displaced People idps
Health and Nutrition
Undernourishment food
Mortality rates under5
Donor contributions
Official Development assistance ODA
Source ECHO
Key: bad Bad - medium Medium - good Good - nodata No data

Exposure

Both conditions for survival and conditions for delivering aid strongly depend on the current weather and temperature. The following graphs show the current and forecast weather.

Current weather conditions and forecasts at earthquake location (lat: 31.12 - long: 103.24) (Data source).

Temperature chart currently not available. Try to refresh page.
Precipitation chart currently not available. Try to refresh page.
Cloud cover chart currently not available. Try to refresh page.

More detailed observations at closest weather station (Chengdushuang Liu): WeatherByWeb - NOAA

Probability of Secondary effects

slopelevel Landslides: The maximum slope in the area of the earthquake is 99.466% and the maximum altitude is 5750 m. Since this is a high slope, the risk of earthquake induced landslides is high. Note, however, that the slope data is not reliable on a local scale, while landslides depend very much on local topography, soil and meteorological conditions. More...

Critical infrastructure

The following critical infrastructure is nearby and could be affected by the earthquake:

The distance to nuclear installations is evaluated based on a 1999 UN dataset containing the location of nuclear plants in the world. If plants are near and the earthquake magnitude is above 6.5, the alert is set to orange. Note that the location of plants is approximate with errors of up to 100km.

Getting there and away

The nearest civilian airport (Chengdushuang Liu) is at 90km from the epicenter. The airfield of Chengdu Qionglai is located at 73km from the epicenter. Other airports are: Jiajiang (158km), Chengdu Pengshan (112km), Jianyang (159km), Chengdu Xinjin (97km), Chengdu Qionglai (73km), Chengdushuang Liu (90km), Chengdu Taipingsi Af P (94km), Chengduwen Chiang (82km), Chengdufeng Huang Shan (92km), Chendukuanghan (106km), Mianyang (149km), Huanglong (197km)

Ports nearby are: [None]

Disclaimer

While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.

 

Joint Initiative of the United Nations and the European Commission -- envelope Contact us -- Disclaimer
ochaocha jrc

globesec
ipsc Information on this website is collected from scientific and media sources in participation with European Commission Joint Research Centre, UNOSAT and OCHA ReliefWeb.

© European Union, 2004-2010 Reproduction authorised provided the source is acknowledged, except for commercial purposes.

Financially
supported for 2008-2009 by EC MIC
EUROPA - ECHO - Humanitarian Aid Office of the European Commission