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Orange Earthquake alert in Malawi

 

Orange Earthquake Alert in Malawi

Summary

On 12/19/2009 11:19:17 PM UTC an earthquake of magnitude 6 and depth 15.5km has struck an highly populated area in the Northern Province (population: 1.2 million) in Malawi. GDACS estimates the likelihood for need of international humanitarian intervention to be medium (Orange alert).

This earthquake can have a medium humanitarian impact since the affected region is highly populated and has medium resilience for natural disasters.

The nearest populated places are Kasguli (9km), Kopa Kopa (9km), Lupembe (20km). It is a mountainous region with a maximum altitude of 2593 m.

Humanitarian Impact impact 
Population resilience vul 
Tsunami probability tsunami 
Landslide probability slope 
Nuclear radiation probability radiation 

Caution: this information is based on risk models. Whether international humanitarian aid is needed must be decided by an expert.

This report was automatically updated by a computer on: 12/20/2009 5:08:18 AM UTC (5 hours 49 minutes after the event)

Downloads: Word report, PDF report

Explanation of alert calculation: Show

Google map Population map
poplegendPopulation Density near epicenter (people/km2). Image area: 6x4 decimal degrees (approx. 650x450km2).
population map

Earthquake epicentre: best estimate eq_logo    previous estimates: eq_icon

Earthquake Event

Geological map
geological map

Characteristics for this report

Information source World Data Centre for Seismology, Denver (NEIC)
Link to source event report (us2009qjcb)
PAGER report (2009qjcb)
Magnitude 6 M
Depth 15.5 km
Location

Geographic coordinates (latitude/longitude): -10.1101, 33.8153
Malawi , Northern Province (population: 1216759).
Seismic region: Malawi.

The earthquake happened in Malawi , Northern Province (population: 1216759). . The nearest populated places are Kasguli (9km), Kopa Kopa (9km), Lupembe (20km).

It is a mountainous region with a maximum altitude of 2593 m.

Time time 12/19/2009 11:19:17 PM (UTC, Universal Standard Time)
12/20/2009 1:34:33 AM (Estimated local solar time)
Sun, 12/20/2009 00:19 CET (Brussels, Paris, Rome)
Sat, 12/19/2009 18:19 EST (New York, Washington)
Sat, 12/19/2009 15:19 PST (San Francisco, Los Angeles)
Sun, 12/20/2009 07:19 AWST (Australian Western Standard Time)

Previous reports for this earthquake.

Earthquake reportTsunami reportEvent Date/TimeLat/LonMagnitudeDepth (km)SourcePublication Date/TimeDelay
7126612/19/2009 11:19:19 PM UTC-10.16, 33.666.222PTWC (pt09353002)12/19/2009 11:35:08 PM UTC15min
7126712/19/2009 11:19:17 PM UTC-10.09, 33.696.210PTWC (pt09353002)12/19/2009 11:42:28 PM UTC23min
7126812/19/2009 11:19:18 PM UTC-9.9102, 33.9696.210NEIC (us2009qjcb)12/19/2009 11:50:32 PM UTC31min
7127012/19/2009 11:19:18 PM UTC-9.9102, 33.969610NEIC (us2009qjcb)12/20/2009 12:32:01 AM UTC72min
7127512/19/2009 11:19:17 PM UTC-10.1101, 33.8153615.5NEIC (us2009qjcb)12/20/2009 5:08:18 AM UTC349min

Earthquake Impact Details

shakemap

Potentially affected People

The population in the area of this earthquake if 38 people/kmē. (Data source).

The earthquake occurred at 1h local time. At this time a day, more people are at home and therefore more vulnerable to collapsing residential buildings. During traffic hours, people can be affected by collapsing bridges and other road infrastructure.

Population Data
Radius (km) Population Density (people/kmē)
1 19  19 
2 264  21 
5 1711  21 
10 8175  26 
20 36019  28 
50 298754  38 
100 1181819  37 
200 4897153  38 

Damage

The affected region has low level of urban area (0%) and a high level of cultivated area (37.4%). In urban areas more damage can be expected than in cultivated or natural areas. (Data source)

Radius (km)urban areascultivated areasother
200 0% 37.44% 62.55%
100 0% 35.18% 64.8%
50 0.02% 29.56% 70.41%
10 0% 60.21% 39.78%

Resilience and Vulnerability

Resilience is the capacity of the population to cope with a hazard. Since much of investments in earthquake preparedness and available funds for quick response is related to household income, the GDP per capita can be used as a rough indicator of resilience.

Malawi has a GDP per capita of 156 PPP$ (Parity Purchasing Power Dollar, about 1 Euro) and is therefore part of the medium level income countries. Therefore, the earthquake happened in an area of medium resilience.

Based on the combination of 9 indicators, ECHO attributes Malawi a medium vulnerability.

ECHO Intervention Priority Ranking for Malawi
vulnerabilitylevel
Overall situation
Human Development hdi
Human Poverty hpi
Exposure to Major Disasters
Natural Disasters natdis
Conflicts conflicts
Humanitarian effects of population movement
Refugees refugees
Internally Displaced People idps
Health and Nutrition
Undernourishment food
Mortality rates under5
Donor contributions
Official Development assistance ODA
Source ECHO
Key: bad Bad - medium Medium - good Good - nodata No data

Exposure

Both conditions for survival and conditions for delivering aid strongly depend on the current weather and temperature. The following graphs show the current and forecast weather.

Current weather conditions and forecasts at earthquake location (lat: -10.1101 - long: 33.8153) (Data source).

Temperature chart currently not available. Try to refresh page.
Precipitation chart currently not available. Try to refresh page.
Cloud cover chart currently not available. Try to refresh page.

More detailed observations at closest weather station (Karonga): WeatherByWeb - NOAA

Probability of Secondary effects

slopelevel Landslides: The maximum slope in the area of the earthquake is 40.482% and the maximum altitude is 2593 m. Since this is a medium slope, the risk of earthquake induced landslides is medium. Note, however, that the slope data is not reliable on a local scale, while landslides depend very much on local topography, soil and meteorological conditions. More...

Critical infrastructure

The following critical infrastructure is nearby and could be affected by the earthquake:

The distance to nuclear installations is evaluated based on a 1999 UN dataset containing the location of nuclear plants in the world. If plants are near and the earthquake magnitude is above 6.5, the alert is set to orange. Note that the location of plants is approximate with errors of up to 100km.

Getting there and away

The nearest civilian airport (Karonga) is at 19km from the epicenter. Other airports are: Mzuzu (150km), Mbinga (161km), Katumbi (85km), Chelinda (49km), Chinsali (197km), Isoka (126km), Karonga (19km), Chitipa (75km), Njombe (137km), Mbeya (138km), Chunya (178km)

Ports nearby are: [None]

Disclaimer

While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.

 

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