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Red Tropical cyclone alert in Cuba

 

Generated on 7/29/2010 2:37:36 PM

Tropical cyclone GUSTAV-08

map
Legend: areas affected by winds of 39mph (green), 58mph (orange) and 74mph (red); shaded area is uncertainty cone of forecasted cyclone path.

Current storm status

Analysis based on advisory number 35 for GUSTAV-08, published on 9/2/2008 09:00 UTC

  • The storm is: not active
  • Current postion: -93.41, 31.7
  • Basin: Atlantic
  • Current strength: Tropical Depression
  • Current maximum sustained wind speed: 15 m/s, 30 kt

Report created on 8/6/2009 11:50:24 PM.

How are impact levels calculated?
Where can I find more information?
How does a tropical cyclone impact people?

Summary impact analysis

Affected Population

Up to people can be affected by wind speeds of hurricane strength or above.

Affected Country (provinces) (population)

Haiti (Grand Anse) (-99999), Haiti (Sud) (630007), Haiti (Ouest) (2285044), Haiti (Sud-Est) (444323), United States (Louisiana) (4391734), Cuba (Isla de la Juventud) (77777), Cuba (Pinar del Rio) (725503), Cayman Is. (Cayman Is.) (31777), Cuba (Ciudad de la Habana) (2204841), Cuba (La Habana) (675306), Cuba (Matanzas) (640002).

Affected Cities

Estimated arrival time (UTC)Wind speed (km/h)Distance (km)NameProvinceCountryCity Class (1 to 6)
8/27/2008 00:0013332Petit-GoaveOuestHaiti3
8/26/2008 21:3014432JacmelSud-EstHaiti3
8/30/2008 10:4514291George Town Cayman Islands1
9/1/2008 23:1515587Baton RougeLouisianaUnited States2
8/31/2008 01:15235107ArtemisaLa HabanaCuba3
01:15235107Güira de MelenaLa HabanaCuba3
02:15239107Pinar del RíoPinar del RíoCuba3
04:45234103GuanePinar del RíoCuba3
8/30/2008 21:3020796Nueva GeronaIsla de la JuventudCuba3
9/2/2008 01:0014271KaplanLouisianaUnited States3
9/1/2008 23:4515183AbbevilleLouisianaUnited States3
22:0016487JeaneretteLouisianaUnited States3
19:00176102ThibodauxLouisianaUnited States3
17:45178106HoumaLouisianaUnited States3
9/2/2008 02:4512952Ville PlatteLouisianaUnited States3
01:4513854OpelousasLouisianaUnited States3
02:4512947EuniceLouisianaUnited States3
9/1/2008 22:0016495PlaquemineLouisianaUnited States3
9/2/2008 01:4513856RayneLouisianaUnited States3
00:3014665LafayetteLouisianaUnited States3
02:1513355CrowleyLouisianaUnited States3
9/1/2008 22:4515988New IberiaLouisianaUnited States3
19:45174104Morgan CityLouisianaUnited States3
20:15173101ConventLouisianaUnited States3
8/31/2008 06:30228110SandinoPinar del RioCuba3
9/1/2008 18:30177110WoodmereLouisianaUnited States3
19:45174104Morgan StadtLouisianaUnited States3

Affected Critical Infrastructures

No nuclear plants affected

Airports

Estimated arrival time (UTC)Wind speed (km/h)Distance (km)NameIATA CodeCountryTypeRunway
8/26/2008 21:3014433JacmelJAKHaitiLocal or privateUnpaved
8/30/2008 10:4514289Owen Roberts InternationalGCMCayman IslandsInternationalPaved
04:0012047Gerrard SmithCYBCayman IslandsInternationalPaved
8/31/2008 02:45241109Playa Baracoa CubaMilitaryPaved
02:30240106Mariel Cnas CubaLocal or private
03:30239108Jose Marti InternationalHAVCubaInternationalPaved
02:45241108San Pedro Highway Strip CubaMilitary
01:45236110San Antonio de los Banos CubaLocal or private
01:00234106Artemisa CubaLocal or private
00:30232109El Frances CubaMilitary
02:15239106Pinar del Rio Norte CubaLocal or private
02:00237105La ColomaLCLCubaLocal or privatePaved
06:30228108Mantua CubaLocal or private
05:15232108San JulianSNJCubaLocal or privatePaved
8/30/2008 21:3020791Rafael CabreraGERCubaDomesticPaved
19:0019286Cayo Largo del SurCYOCubaInternationalPaved
9/1/2008 19:45174110Louis Armstrong InternationalMSYUnited StatesInternationalPaved
18:30177108New Orleans NASNBGUnited StatesLocal or privatePaved
20:1517399Harry P Williams MemorialPTNUnited StatesMilitaryPaved
17:45178102Houma TerrebonneHUMUnited StatesMilitaryPaved
9/2/2008 01:4513858St Landry Parish Ahart FieldOPLUnited StatesLocal or privatePaved
9/1/2008 23:4515179Lafayette RegionalLFTUnited StatesDomesticPaved
23:1515577Acadiana RegionalARAUnited StatesLocal or privatePaved
8/30/2008 21:3020794SiguaneaSZJCubaLocal or privatePaved
04:0012052Little CaymanLYBCayman IslandsDomestic

Ports

Estimated arrival time (UTC)Wind speed (km/h)Distance (km)NameCountry
8/27/2008 01:0012726MiragoaneHaiti
00:0013331Petit GoaveHaiti
8/26/2008 21:3014431JacmelHaiti
8/27/2008 03:0011825AquinHaiti
8/31/2008 02:30240107MarielCuba
8/30/2008 21:4521090Nueva GeronaCuba
10:4514289GeorgetownCayman Islands
10:4514289Georgetown, Grand CaymanCayman Islands
9/1/2008 19:00176109AvondaleWake Island
23:1515587Baton RougeWake Island
16:45180106DavantWake Island
19:45174105Good HopeWake Island
20:15173103GramercyWake Island
19:45174105HahnvilleWake Island
16:45180110Myrtle GroveWake Island
19:45174106NorcoWake Island
15:30182108Port SulphurWake Island
19:00176110WestwegoWake Island
17:15179104AllianceWake Island
19:00176110BraithwaiteWake Island
20:15173100ConventWake Island
19:00176108Des PlainesWake Island
20:45172103DonaldsonvilleWake Island
21:3016898GeismarWake Island
14:45183107Grand IsleWake Island
19:45174110GretnaWake Island
19:00176110AmesvilleWake Island
21:3016899MarsWake Island
19:45174104Morgan CityWake Island
14:45183106OstricaWake Island
22:0016496PlaquemineWake Island
16:45180107Pointe A la HacheWake Island
20:15173104ReserveWake Island
13:00183101ShawanoWake Island
19:00176108Saint RoseWake Island
19:45174106TaftWake Island
20:15173109Saint JamesWake Island
8/31/2008 04:00236108Santa LuciaCuba
02:30240106Bahia HondaCuba
02:30240106CanabasCuba
00:45233109BatabanoCuba
8/30/2008 04:0012049Cayman BracCayman Islands
8/31/2008 03:30239110La EsperanzaCuba
9/1/2008 13:00183104Port EadsWake Island
17:45178107HoumaWake Island
20:45172103BurnsideWake Island
22:0016491Saint GabrielWake Island

No dams affected


Event time line

Event time line
Date and time
(forecasted in italic, current between red lines)
25/8
15h
26/8
3h
26/8
9h
26/8
15h
26/8
21h
27/8
3h
27/8
9h
27/8
15h
27/8
21h
28/8
3h
28/8
9h
28/8
11h
28/8
15h
28/8
21h
29/8
3h
29/8
9h
29/8
15h
29/8
21h
30/8
3h
30/8
9h
30/8
15h
30/8
18h
30/8
21h
31/8
3h
31/8
9h
31/8
15h
31/8
21h
1/9
3h
1/9
9h
1/9
15h
1/9
21h
2/9
3h
2/9
9h
2/9
18h
3/9
6h
3/9
18h
4/9
6h
5/9
6h
6/9
6h
Advisory number1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132333435
Wind speedTDTSTSTSIIITSTSTSTSTSTSTSTSTSTSTSTSIIIIIIIIVIVIVIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIITSTDTDTDTDTDTDTD
Population in cyclone Category I (thousand)172231311269364311811069148472313321529564
Population in tropical storm (million)¼344111½¼¼11222½¼¼½½3332½45761
Population vulnerable to storm surge (thousand)5311121150625381107829124
Risk of wind damagealertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcoloralertcolor
Affected citiesdowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndowndown

Impact details - Affected cities and critical infrastructure (advisory number: 35)

For each track point of the cyclone, a list of cities and critical infrastructure hit by high winds with speed bigger than hurricane strength is shown below. Click on the button to see the data. (* = Data obtained from official tropical storm advisories)

Track
alertcolordate time
UTC*
advisory
number*
coords*wind speed*wind gusts*Population in
tropical storm
Population in
hurricane
Population vulnerable
to storm surge
countryimpact report
alertcolor
8/25/2008 15:00
115.5, -70.1
TD (15 m/s)
20 m/s
Not near land
alertcolor
215.8, -70.5
TS (25 m/s)
30 m/s
Not near land
alertcolor
316.3, -71
TS (25 m/s)
30 m/s
Not near land
alertcolor
8/26/2008 03:00
416.6, -71.41
TS (30 m/s)
38 m/s
41.75 thousand
Haiti, Dominican Republic
alertcolor
09:00
517.2, -71.91
I (38 m/s)
46 m/s
3.49 million
1.73 thousand
Haiti
alertcolor
15:00
617.89, -72.41
I (41 m/s)
51 m/s
4.96 million
0.72 million
5 thousand
Haiti
alertcolor
21:00
718.39, -73.2
I (33 m/s)
41 m/s
4.44 million
0.31 million
3.7 thousand
Haiti
alertcolor
8/27/2008 03:00
818.6, -73.6
TS (30 m/s)
38 m/s
1.95 million
0.11 million
1.56 thousand
Haiti
alertcolor
09:00
918.6, -73.5
TS (25 m/s)
30 m/s
1.72 million
Haiti
alertcolor
15:00
1018.8, -74
TS (25 m/s)
30 m/s
1.19 million
Haiti
alertcolor
21:00
1119.1, -74.41
TS (23 m/s)
28 m/s
0.31 million
Haiti
alertcolor
8/28/2008 03:00
1218.8, -75.41
TS (20 m/s)
25 m/s
23.13 thousand
Jamaica
alertcolor
09:00
1317.8, -75.6
TS (23 m/s)
28 m/s
31.05 thousand
Jamaica
alertcolor
11:30
1417.8, -75.6
TS (30 m/s)
38 m/s
1.08 million
Jamaica
alertcolor
15:00
1517.89, -76.1
TS (30 m/s)
38 m/s
1.63 million
0.69 million
0.11 million
Jamaica
alertcolor
21:00
1618.1, -76.6
TS (30 m/s)
38 m/s
2.26 million
Jamaica
alertcolor
8/29/2008 03:00
1717.8, -77.3
TS (30 m/s)
38 m/s
2.54 million
Jamaica
alertcolor
09:00
1818.1, -78.1
TS (28 m/s)
33 m/s
2.54 million
Jamaica
alertcolor
15:00
1918.6, -78.8
TS (28 m/s)
33 m/s
0.88 million
Cayman Is., Jamaica
alertcolor
21:00
2019.2, -79.7
I (33 m/s)
41 m/s
43.1 thousand
6.34 thousand
1.04 thousand
Cayman Is.
alertcolor
8/30/2008 03:00
2119.5, -80.41
I (36 m/s)
43 m/s
43.1 thousand
43.1 thousand
15.18 thousand
Cayman Is.
alertcolor
09:00
2220.2, -81.3
II (48 m/s)
59 m/s
0.12 million
11.16 thousand
0.69 thousand
Cuba
alertcolor
15:00
2321.2, -82.1
III (56 m/s)
69 m/s
0.33 million
81.2 thousand
6.42 thousand
Cuba
alertcolor
18:00
2421.6, -82.5
IV (64 m/s)
77 m/s
3.48 million
1.06 million
25.67 thousand
Cuba
alertcolor
21:00
2522.1, -82.9
IV (67 m/s)
82 m/s
3.61 million
1.48 million
38.85 thousand
Cuba
alertcolor
8/31/2008 03:00
2623.1, -83.8
IV (61 m/s)
77 m/s
3.17 million
0.72 million
11.62 thousand
Cuba
alertcolor
09:00
2724.2, -85
III (56 m/s)
64 m/s
2.95 million
Cuba
alertcolor
15:00
2825.3, -86
III (54 m/s)
67 m/s
Not near land
alertcolor
21:00
2926.4, -87.3
III (51 m/s)
61 m/s
0.19 million
United States
alertcolor
9/1/2008 03:00
3027.3, -88.1
III (51 m/s)
61 m/s
4.7 million
1.96 thousand
0.71 thousand
United States
alertcolor
09:00
3128.4, -89.5
III (51 m/s)
61 m/s
5.91 million
0.33 million
78.95 thousand
United States
alertcolor
15:00
3229.2, -90.8
II (48 m/s)
59 m/s
7.75 million
1.52 million
0.29 million
United States
alertcolor
21:00
3330.4, -92
I (36 m/s)
43 m/s
6.29 million
0.56 million
24.28 thousand
United States
alertcolor
9/2/2008 03:00
3431.1, -92.7
TS (25 m/s)
30 m/s
1.7 million
United States
alertcolor
09:00
3531.7, -93.4
TD (15 m/s)
20 m/s
United StatesNot near land
Forecasted observations
alertcolor
18:00
3532.4, -94.2
TD (12 m/s)
17 m/s
United StatesNot near land
alertcolor
9/3/2008 06:00
3533, -94.8
TD (12 m/s)
17 m/s
United StatesNot near land
alertcolor
18:00
3533.5, -95.2
TD (10 m/s)
12 m/s
United StatesNot near land
alertcolor
9/4/2008 06:00
3534.1, -95.2
TD (10 m/s)
12 m/s
United StatesNot near land
alertcolor
9/5/2008 06:00
3535, -94
TD (10 m/s)
12 m/s
United StatesNot near land
alertcolor
9/6/2008 06:00
3535.5, -92.5
TD (10 m/s)
12 m/s
United StatesNot near land

Potential Rainfall for the next 24 hr (NOAA - Operational Satellite Derived Tropical Rainfall Potential)

Potential rainfall is calculated based on rainfall observed by several microwave sensors (currently AMSU, TRMM, SSMI and AMSRE). Observations are based on an ensemble approach, which allows for the generation of probabilistic forecasts of rainfall in addition to deterministic rainfall totals. Each eTRaP is made up of forecasts using observations from potentially several microwave sensors initialized at several observation times, and possibly using several different track forecasts. The diversity among the ensemble members helps to reduce the large (unknown) errors associated with a single-sensor, single-track TRaP. The large number of perturbations leads to ensembles with many members, allowing probability forecasts to be issued with good precision and reliability.

map

See more details for GUSTAV-08 on the NOAA website.

Logistics information

Below is a list of airports that are selected according to their suitability for cargo plane landing. The criteria considered are runway paving and length (source: Aircraft Charter World). Always check runway conditions beforehand.

For details on cargo facilities and other facilities of these airports, please check http://www.azworldairports.com. Click on the IATA code for details on airlines serving an airport.

Major airports (paved runways over 8000 feet) (Source: Aircraft Charter World, Global Discovery)

Distance (km)NameIATA CodeProvinceCountryTypeCustomsRunwayIFRRunway length (ft)
108Jose Marti InternationalHAV CubaInternationalYesPavedYes13100
108San JulianSNJ CubaLocal or private PavedNo8400
91Rafael CabreraGER CubaDomestic PavedYes8200
86Cayo Largo del SurCYO CubaInternationalYesPavedYes9800
110Louis Armstrong InternationalMSYLouisianaUnited StatesInternational PavedYes10000
108New Orleans NASNBGLouisianaUnited StatesLocal or private PavedYes8000
77Acadiana RegionalARALouisianaUnited StatesLocal or private PavedYes8000

Medium airports (paved runways between 8000 and 4000 feet) (Source: Aircraft Charter World, Global Discovery)

Distance (km)NameIATA CodeProvinceCountryTypeCustomsRunwayIFRRunway length (ft)
89Owen Roberts InternationalGCM Cayman IslandsInternationalYesPavedYes7000
47Gerrard SmithCYB Cayman IslandsInternationalYesPavedYes6000
109Playa Baracoa CubaMilitary PavedYes7500
105La ColomaLCL CubaLocal or private PavedNo6500
99Harry P Williams MemorialPTNLouisianaUnited StatesMilitary PavedYes5400
102Houma TerrebonneHUMLouisianaUnited StatesMilitary PavedYes6500
58St Landry Parish Ahart FieldOPLLouisianaUnited StatesLocal or private PavedYes5900
79Lafayette RegionalLFTLouisianaUnited StatesDomesticNoPavedYes7600
94SiguaneaSZJ CubaLocal or privateNoPavedNo5900

Minor airports (paved and unpaved runways under 4000 feet) (Source: Aircraft Charter World, Global Discovery)

Distance (km)NameIATA CodeProvinceCountryTypeCustomsRunwayIFRRunway length (ft)
33JacmelJAK HaitiLocal or private UnpavedNo3900

About the data

The information on storm characteristics is taken from a web service provided by the Pacific Disaster Center, which processes the official advisory bulletins.

JRC calculates areas affected by high winds (wind buffers at 39, 58 and 74mph). This is done using the maximum reported wind radius (maximum of 4 quadrants) or, in case no wind radii are provided, through a regression analysis based on historical data. JRC also calculates the area affected by storm surge as areas below 5m within 10km from the coastline. This is based on SRTM data (for elevation) and Global Discovery (for coastline).

Sources for data on critical infrastructure are: JRC NUMAS database (nuclear plants), ESRI (hydro dams, 1996), Global Discovery (airports, ports and cities).

Population data is from LandScan 2007.

Disclaimer

While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.

PDCLogo JRCLogo Information related to the track has been collected from official bulletins distributed by regional tropical cyclones monitoring authorities by the Pacific Disaster Center. The impact analysis is performed by the Joint Research Center of the European Commission.

 

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