Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone for NOUL-26
in China, Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NOUL-26 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries China, Philippines
Exposed population 11.9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 157 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.3 m (25 Jul 16:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)
Landfall between
25 Jul 2026 06:00 - 25 Jul 2026 18:00

in China

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 139 km/h 1.3 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 157 km/h 1.3 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to 17.2 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Level Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 23 Jul 2026 06:00 139 79 million 17.2 million China

Bulletin Timeline

Level Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 23 Jul 2026 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 17.4, 128.4
GREEN
1 23 Jul 2026 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 51000 people 18.6, 125.4
GREEN
1 24 Jul 2026 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 380000 people 19.7, 122.7
GREEN
1 24 Jul 2026 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 17.1 million people 20.9, 120.1
ORANGE
1 25 Jul 2026 06:00 Category 1 120 13.3 million people 34.6 million people 22.1, 117.9
ORANGE
1 25 Jul 2026 18:00 Category 1 139 16 million people 43.1 million people 23.4, 116.4 China
GREEN
1 26 Jul 2026 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 33.3 million people 24.8, 115.2 China
GREEN
1 27 Jul 2026 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 24.1 million people 27.8, 114 China
GREEN
1 28 Jul 2026 06:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people 30.8, 113.4 China
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Category 1 or higher strength
China 16.8 million people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Category 1 or higher strength
Guangdong China 16.5 million people
Jiangxi China 270000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Shantou Northeast SWA 3 0
108 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Shantou CNSWA China

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Wusongling Bwiling He 1958
Tangkeng Lian Jiang 1960
Xinxihe Trib. Rong Jiang 1958
Longjing Trib. Rong Jiang n/a
Longjing Trib. Rong Jiang 1960
Meixi n/a
Yitang Wuhua He 1984
Heshui Trib. Mei Jiang n/a
Wengong Huangpi Shui 1959
Fengshuba Dong Jiang 1975
Liheng Dong Jiang 1965

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.3m in Shantou, China. This height is estimated for 25 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (314 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 23 Jul 2026 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Level Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Shantou China  1.3
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Dahao China  1.3
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Aotou China  1.3
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Daitou China  1.3
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Siwei China  1.3
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Ch'ao-yang-hsien China  1.3
25 Jul 2026 15:00 Guangao China  1.3
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Donghong China  1.3
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Huanglong China  1.2
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Huanggang China  1.2
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Jingzhou China  1.2
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Haimen China  1.1
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Houzhai China  1.1
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Raoping China  1.1
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Zhelin China  1.0
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Chelim China  1.0
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Shenao China  1.0
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Gongkou China  0.9
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Nanao China  0.8
25 Jul 2026 19:00 Chendai China  0.8
25 Jul 2026 19:00 Sidu China  0.8
25 Jul 2026 19:00 Ssu-tu China  0.8
25 Jul 2026 19:00 Dongshan China  0.8
25 Jul 2026 19:00 Hsi-pu China  0.7
25 Jul 2026 19:00 Chencheng China  0.7
25 Jul 2026 15:00 Chengguanzhen China  0.7
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Gongqiancun China  0.6
25 Jul 2026 14:00 Gangkou China  0.6
25 Jul 2026 15:00 Jinghai China  0.6
25 Jul 2026 14:00 Guleitou China  0.6
25 Jul 2026 15:00 Hsia-mei China  0.6
25 Jul 2026 15:00 Jiuzhen China  0.6
25 Jul 2026 15:00 Liu'ao China  0.6
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Shentu China  0.6
25 Jul 2026 14:00 Chihu China  0.5
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Dianqian China  0.5
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Fotan China  0.5
25 Jul 2026 15:00 Gulangyu China  0.5
25 Jul 2026 15:00 Songyu China  0.5
25 Jul 2026 15:00 Haicang China  0.5
25 Jul 2026 14:00 Fugong China  0.5
25 Jul 2026 14:00 Gangwei China  0.5
25 Jul 2026 14:00 Xucuo China  0.5
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Jiangtou China  0.4
25 Jul 2026 15:00 Xiamen China  0.4
25 Jul 2026 20:00 Huqiu China  0.4
25 Jul 2026 20:00 Wutian China  0.4
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Liuwudian China  0.4
25 Jul 2026 14:00 Chen-hai China  0.4
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Xindian China  0.4
25 Jul 2026 14:00 Daomei China  0.4
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Hecuo China  0.4
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Aotou China  0.4
25 Jul 2026 15:00 Zhenhai China  0.4
25 Jul 2026 15:00 An-ting Taiwan  0.4
25 Jul 2026 15:00 Yakou China  0.4
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Lianhe China  0.4
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Shijing China  0.4
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Tung-shih China  0.4
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Chin-men Taiwan  0.3
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Ch'ing-hsu Taiwan  0.3
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Chin-men Tao Taiwan  0.3
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Yang-chai Taiwan  0.3
25 Jul 2026 09:00 Zhangban China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 15:00 Shih-shih China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Shihu China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 09:00 Dongyuan China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 14:00 Yongning China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 15:00 Hsiang-chih China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Shenquan China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Gaoshan China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Weitou China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Chin-ching China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Hushi China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Wangchuan China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Fengwei China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 08:00 Qian'an China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Dawu China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 08:00 Chongwu China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Zhongmen China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 16:00 P'u-hsi China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Hanjiang China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Chiang-k'ou China  0.3
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Hsiao-tso China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 18:00 P'u-hsi-ch'eng China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Dongsha China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Lingchuan China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Fengting China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Dinggang China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Ancheng China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Chang-chia-li China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Hsi-hui-tsui China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Ch'ien-ni China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Chengpu China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Songxia China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Linshan China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Heng-pa-ts'un China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Tangbian China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 09:00 Daitou China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 11:00 Nakanmuan Philippines  0.2
24 Jul 2026 11:00 Sabtang Philippines  0.2
24 Jul 2026 11:00 Chavayan Philippines  0.2
24 Jul 2026 10:00 Ivana Philippines  0.2
24 Jul 2026 10:00 Itbud Philippines  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Chu-ch'iao-chen China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 15:00 Meizhou China  0.2
23 Jul 2026 20:00 Pequit Philippines  0.2
23 Jul 2026 20:00 Pabanong Philippines  0.2
23 Jul 2026 20:00 Hinabangan Philippines  0.2
23 Jul 2026 20:00 Wright Philippines  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Dingqiao China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Chaoyang China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Chiu-hsiang-chen China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Huangwan China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Hsieh-t'ang China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Jiangjing China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Ganpu China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Chou-hung-ch'iu China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Pinghai China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Shicheng China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Jiazi China  0.2
23 Jul 2026 21:00 Bangon Philippines  0.2
25 Jul 2026 19:00 Haikou China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 12:00 San Shah China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Changchuanba China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Hsiung-ting-yu China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 09:00 Baisheng China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 19:00 Changqingwei China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 19:00 Longtian China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 19:00 Gangtou China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Meycauayan Philippines  0.2
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Tanza Philippines  0.2
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Tinajeros Philippines  0.2
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Caloocan Philippines  0.2
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Chiang-t'ien China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 11:00 Mahatao Philippines  0.2
24 Jul 2026 11:00 Basco Philippines  0.2
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Cheng-chia-tai China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Hsiao-an-chieh China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Pamarauan Philippines  0.2
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Manila Philippines  0.2
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Guhuai China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Chang-chiang China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Chin-feng China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Wuhang China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Guanjing China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Qingfeng China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Pingtan China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Langqi China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Tantou China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Yunlong China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Fengwo China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Tung-tai China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Guanban China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Taipingzha China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Feng-p'u-ao China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Ch'iu-wang China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Ch'ing-shui-hu China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 08:00 Nanri China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 08:00 Fuye China  0.2
23 Jul 2026 21:00 Mualbual Philippines  0.2
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Sha-fan-chieh China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Jinxiang China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 08:00 Mabi China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Gexiang China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Hsieh-fu China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Wantang China  0.2
25 Jul 2026 20:00 Jieshi China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Zhapu China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Niu-ch'iao-shih China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Hsing-hsing-chen China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Chou-chia-peng China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Hsin-p'u China  0.2
24 Jul 2026 13:00 Houtian China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Hanjiang China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Songcheng China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Wuqu China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 I-shan China  0.1
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Ta-ch'iu China  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Chi-pei Taiwan  0.1
23 Jul 2026 23:00 Malbug Philippines  0.1
23 Jul 2026 23:00 Labigan Philippines  0.1
23 Jul 2026 23:00 Guiom Philippines  0.1
23 Jul 2026 23:00 Cavayan Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Chin-ssu-niang-ch'iao China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Jinshanwei China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Chin-shan-tsui China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Shanyang China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Caojing China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Zhenhai China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Shigaotang China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Jiangjia China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 03:00 Tanza Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 03:00 Binakayan Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 03:00 Cavite Philippines  0.1
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Ting-hai China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Anhai China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Luxia China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Sansha China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Beilong China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Dalu China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Songmen China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 13:00 Beicuo China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 13:00 Cao Yu China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Tung-ch'ung China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Ligang China  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Hua-hsu Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Wai-an Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Chu-kao-wan Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Feng-kuei-li Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Ch'ang-an Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 P'eng-hu-erh-ts'un Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Ma-kung Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Ch'eng-ch'ien Taiwan  0.1
24 Jul 2026 01:00 Carael Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 01:00 Dagupan Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 01:00 Bateng Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 01:00 Alacan Philippines  0.1
23 Jul 2026 21:00 Macalonud Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Chin-ch'ing China  0.1
23 Jul 2026 23:00 Borongan Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 08:00 Shiqiao China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 08:00 Hsu-p'u China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 09:00 Xizhoushi China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 08:00 Da'an China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 03:00 Tehero Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Imus Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Ch'ang-t'an-wo Taiwan  0.1
24 Jul 2026 08:00 Da'ao China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Changchun China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Yacheng China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Xiaguan China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Xiaoli'ao China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Nan'ao China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Ch'en-chia-lu China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 08:00 San Dionisio Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 12:00 Raile Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 12:00 Itbayat Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 12:00 Santa Lucia Philippines  0.1
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Lung-men Taiwan  0.1
23 Jul 2026 22:00 Binmale Philippines  0.1
23 Jul 2026 22:00 Canaoalan Philippines  0.1
23 Jul 2026 21:00 Catbalogan Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 San-chia-shih China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 08:00 Xiahu China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Beiqigen China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Beilungang China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Daniwan China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Ch'ai-ch'iao China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Guoju China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Chung-tse China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Naic Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 04:00 General Trias Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Huang-ch'i China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Shacheng China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Pucheng China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Touyan China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Banping China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Bei'ao China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 08:00 Xiabu China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 08:00 Zhuangyuanqiao China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 08:00 Longwan China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 08:00 Siqianjie China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 08:00 Xiaodoumen China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 08:00 Jiangtan China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Ta-ch'u China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Ganlan China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Dongsha China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 05:00 Gaoting China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Nanfeng China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Luomen China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Changtu China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 06:00 Ta-chan China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 19:00 Hudong China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 19:00 Zhelang China  0.1
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Chu-mu-shui Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Wang-kung Taiwan  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Chiao-t'ou China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Da'ao China  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Chien-chiang China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 09:00 Dituan China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 03:00 Amaya Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Chenyu China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 08:00 Huanshan China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 08:00 Kanmen China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Lingmen China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Aohuan China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Guan'ao China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 08:00 Shih-t'ang China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 09:00 Banua Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 09:00 Rarasi Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 Dinghai China  0.1
25 Jul 2026 06:00 Chung-p'ing Taiwan  0.1
24 Jul 2026 19:00 Jiesheng China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 19:00 Tianqian China  0.1
25 Jul 2026 19:00 Chiang-chun-ao Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Sha-shan Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Lu-kang Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Ching-shui Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 T'ai-hsi Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Hsin-chiang Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 17:00 Hsia-lun Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Sa-ti Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 16:00 Wu-nan Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Hai-kou Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Chung-ch'i Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 San-hsing Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Hai huang Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 19:00 Yuan-li Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Tung-hsiao Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2026 18:00 Ch'i-ting Taiwan  0.1
23 Jul 2026 21:00 Rizal Philippines  0.1
24 Jul 2026 08:00 Chumen China  0.1
24 Jul 2026 07:00 P'u-t'o China  0.1