Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LAM-15
in Australia
19 Feb 2015 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone LAM-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Australia
    Exposed population 1 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 167 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (19 Feb 03:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Australia)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 121 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 167 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 16 Feb 2015 18:00 138 No people No people Australia
        Green 2 17 Feb 2015 06:00 167 No people 4 thousand Australia
        Green 3 17 Feb 2015 18:00 158 5 thousand 3 thousand Australia
        Green 4 18 Feb 2015 06:00 158 No people 10 thousand Australia
        Green 5 18 Feb 2015 18:00 167 No people 2 thousand Australia
        Green 6 19 Feb 2015 06:00 148 No people 3 thousand Australia
        Green 7 19 Feb 2015 18:00 121 No people 1 thousand

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 16 Feb 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -11.3, 139.6
          GREEN
          		 2 17 Feb 2015 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -11.4, 138.7
          GREEN
          		 3 17 Feb 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 4600 people -11.3, 137.8 Australia
          GREEN
          		 4 18 Feb 2015 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -11.1, 136.6 Australia
          GREEN
          		 5 18 Feb 2015 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -11.2, 136.1
          GREEN
          		 6 19 Feb 2015 06:00 Category 2 167 no people no people -11.7, 135.7
          GREEN
          		 7 19 Feb 2015 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -12.6, 134.9
          GREEN
          		 7 20 Feb 2015 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -13.5, 134.1
          GREEN
          		 7 20 Feb 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -14.5, 133.1
          GREEN
          		 7 21 Feb 2015 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -15.8, 131.7
          GREEN
          		 7 21 Feb 2015 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -16.9, 130.2
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Nhulunbuy, Australia. This height is estimated for 19 Feb 2015 03:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (45 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 6 of 19 Feb 2015 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          19 Feb 2015 03:00 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.4
          19 Feb 2015 20:00 Numbulwar Australia  0.4
          19 Feb 2015 20:00 Alyangula Australia  0.4
          19 Feb 2015 10:00 Caburinga Village Australia  0.3
          19 Feb 2015 11:00 Gove Australia  0.3
          19 Feb 2015 16:00 Karumba Australia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 19:00 Kulinchin Australia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 16:00 Kowanyama Australia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 19:00 Weipa Australia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 19:00 Weipa South Australia  0.2
          18 Feb 2015 18:00 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.2
          18 Feb 2015 18:00 Yirrkala Australia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 19:00 Mapoon Australia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 20:00 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 20:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 21:00 Hammond I Australia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 19:00 Onggalie Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 16:00 Wamal Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 16:00 Gelib Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 16:00 Papisote Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 16:00 Welab Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 17:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 17:00 Okaba Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 17:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 17:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 17:00 Alatepi Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 18:00 Kotad Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 18:00 Dumande Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 19:00 Kumbe Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 19:00 Anansai Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 19:00 Wendu Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 19:00 Matara Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 19:00 Urum Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 19:00 Merauke Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 19:00 Sarire Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 16:00 Komoran Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 16:00 Kladar Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 16:00 Sabon Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 16:00 Tor Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 20:00 Seisia Australia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 16:00 Selemit Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 16:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
          19 Feb 2015 14:00 Wan Indonesia  0.1
          19 Feb 2015 15:00 Konerau Indonesia  0.1
          20 Feb 2015 01:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.1