Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NOUL-15
in Japan, Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NOUL-15 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Japan, Philippines
Exposed population 430 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 259 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (10 May 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 212 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 259 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

212 km/h Current Max.

Up to 10000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 03 May 2015 00:00 148 No people No people
Green 2 03 May 2015 06:00 204 No people No people
Green 3 03 May 2015 12:00 212 No people No people
Green 4 03 May 2015 18:00 212 No people No people
Green 5 04 May 2015 00:00 204 No people No people
Green 6 04 May 2015 06:00 212 No people No people

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 03 May 2015 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 8, 141.2
GREEN
2 03 May 2015 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 8.4, 141.5
GREEN
3 03 May 2015 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 9, 141.3
GREEN
4 03 May 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 9.6, 140.7
GREEN
5 04 May 2015 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 9.7, 140.3
GREEN
6 04 May 2015 06:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 9.8, 140
GREEN
6 04 May 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 9.8, 139.4
GREEN
6 05 May 2015 06:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 9.8, 138.9
GREEN
6 05 May 2015 18:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 9.8, 138.2
GREEN
6 06 May 2015 06:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 10, 137
GREEN
6 07 May 2015 06:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 11.3, 134
GREEN
6 08 May 2015 06:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 12.7, 130.6
GREEN
6 09 May 2015 06:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 14.4, 126.7
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Yap International YAP 28 Civ. Paved Yes 6000

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Colonia Micronesia

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Buguey, Philippines. This height is estimated for 10 May 2015 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (367 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 37 of 12 May 2015 00:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

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