Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARTY-15
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARTY-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 111 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 130 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

111 km/h Current

Up to 50000 people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 26 Sep 2015 21:00 102 50 thousand No people Mexico
Green 2 27 Sep 2015 03:00 111 No people No people
Green 3 27 Sep 2015 09:00 120 240 thousand No people Mexico
Green 4 27 Sep 2015 15:00 120 1.1 million No people Mexico
Green 5 27 Sep 2015 21:00 102 430 thousand No people Mexico
Green 6 28 Sep 2015 03:00 102 420 thousand No people Mexico
Green 7 28 Sep 2015 09:00 111 410 thousand No people Mexico
Green 8 28 Sep 2015 15:00 111 50 thousand No people Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 26 Sep 2015 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.3, -103
GREEN
2 27 Sep 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.6, -103
GREEN
3 27 Sep 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.3, -103.1
GREEN
4 27 Sep 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 14.9, -102.8
GREEN
5 27 Sep 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 15.1, -102.9
GREEN
6 28 Sep 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 15.3, -103
GREEN
7 28 Sep 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 15.6, -103
GREEN
8 28 Sep 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 16.1, -103
GREEN
8 29 Sep 2015 00:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 16.3, -102.9
GREEN
8 29 Sep 2015 12:00 Tropical storm 102 52000 people no people 16.6, -102.5 Mexico
GREEN
8 30 Sep 2015 00:00 Tropical storm 93 52000 people no people 16.8, -102.4 Mexico
GREEN
8 30 Sep 2015 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 17, -102.8
GREEN
8 01 Oct 2015 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 17.3, -105
GREEN
8 02 Oct 2015 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.5, -106.5
GREEN
8 03 Oct 2015 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 18, -108
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Provinces

Country Region Province Population
Mexico Guerrero 2.8 million people
Mexico Michoacan 3.8 million people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 14 of 30 Sep 2015 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)