Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for OLAF-15
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OLAF-15 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 250 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 93 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 250 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

93 km/h Current

Up to no people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 15 Oct 2015 03:00 157 No people No people
Green 2 15 Oct 2015 09:00 167 No people No people
Green 3 15 Oct 2015 15:00 176 No people No people
Green 4 15 Oct 2015 21:00 167 No people No people
Green 5 16 Oct 2015 03:00 157 No people No people
Green 6 16 Oct 2015 09:00 157 No people No people
Green 7 16 Oct 2015 15:00 157 No people No people
Green 8 16 Oct 2015 21:00 176 No people No people
Green 9 17 Oct 2015 03:00 176 No people No people
Green 10 17 Oct 2015 09:00 185 No people No people
Green 11 17 Oct 2015 15:00 185 No people No people
Green 12 17 Oct 2015 21:00 185 No people No people
Green 13 18 Oct 2015 03:00 185 No people No people
Green 14 18 Oct 2015 09:00 204 No people No people
Green 15 18 Oct 2015 15:00 204 No people No people
Green 16 18 Oct 2015 21:00 194 No people No people
Green 17 19 Oct 2015 03:00 204 No people No people
Green 18 19 Oct 2015 09:00 204 No people No people
Green 19 19 Oct 2015 15:00 231 No people No people
Green 20 19 Oct 2015 21:00 231 No people No people
Green 21 20 Oct 2015 03:00 231 No people No people
Green 22 20 Oct 2015 09:00 250 No people No people
Green 23 20 Oct 2015 15:00 250 No people No people
Green 24 20 Oct 2015 21:00 250 No people No people
Green 26 21 Oct 2015 09:00 213 No people No people
Green 27 21 Oct 2015 15:00 194 No people No people
Green 28 21 Oct 2015 21:00 194 No people No people
Green 29 22 Oct 2015 03:00 194 No people No people
Green 30 22 Oct 2015 09:00 194 No people No people
Green 31 22 Oct 2015 15:00 185 No people No people
Green 32 22 Oct 2015 21:00 176 No people No people
Green 33 23 Oct 2015 03:00 176 No people No people
Green 34 23 Oct 2015 09:00 185 No people No people
Green 35 23 Oct 2015 15:00 194 No people No people
Green 36 23 Oct 2015 21:00 194 No people No people
Green 38 24 Oct 2015 09:00 194 No people No people
Green 39 24 Oct 2015 15:00 194 No people No people
Green 40 24 Oct 2015 21:00 176 No people No people
Green 41 25 Oct 2015 03:00 157 No people No people
Green 42 25 Oct 2015 09:00 148 No people No people
Green 43 25 Oct 2015 15:00 148 No people No people
Green 44 25 Oct 2015 21:00 148 No people No people
Green 45 26 Oct 2015 03:00 130 No people No people
Green 46 26 Oct 2015 09:00 111 No people No people
Green 47 26 Oct 2015 15:00 93 No people No people
Green 48 26 Oct 2015 21:00 93 No people No people

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 15 Oct 2015 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 9.9, -117.8
GREEN
2 15 Oct 2015 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.2, -119.2
GREEN
3 15 Oct 2015 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.2, -119.5
GREEN
4 15 Oct 2015 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.1, -120.9
GREEN
5 16 Oct 2015 03:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 10.2, -122.1
GREEN
6 16 Oct 2015 09:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 10.1, -123.5
GREEN
7 16 Oct 2015 15:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 9.7, -125.2
GREEN
8 16 Oct 2015 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 9.5, -126.2
GREEN
9 17 Oct 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 9.7, -127.6
GREEN
10 17 Oct 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 9.5, -128.5
GREEN
11 17 Oct 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 9.4, -129.5
GREEN
12 17 Oct 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 9.2, -130.5
GREEN
13 18 Oct 2015 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 9.2, -131
GREEN
14 18 Oct 2015 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 9.4, -131.9
GREEN
15 18 Oct 2015 15:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 9.5, -133.2
GREEN
16 18 Oct 2015 21:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 9.7, -134.3
GREEN
17 19 Oct 2015 03:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 9.7, -135.4
GREEN
18 19 Oct 2015 09:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 10, -136.4
GREEN
19 19 Oct 2015 15:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 9.9, -137.7
GREEN
20 19 Oct 2015 21:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 10, -138.7
GREEN
21 20 Oct 2015 03:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 10.1, -139.5
GREEN
22 20 Oct 2015 09:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 10.3, -140.4
GREEN
23 20 Oct 2015 15:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 10.6, -141.3
GREEN
24 20 Oct 2015 21:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 10.8, -142.1
GREEN
26 21 Oct 2015 09:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 11.5, -143.8
GREEN
27 21 Oct 2015 15:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 11.9, -144.4
GREEN
28 21 Oct 2015 21:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 12.1, -145.1
GREEN
29 22 Oct 2015 03:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 12.6, -145.6
GREEN
30 22 Oct 2015 09:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 13.1, -146.1
GREEN
31 22 Oct 2015 15:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 13.5, -146.3
GREEN
32 22 Oct 2015 21:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 13.8, -146.4
GREEN
33 23 Oct 2015 03:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 14.5, -146.3
GREEN
34 23 Oct 2015 09:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 15.1, -146.3
GREEN
35 23 Oct 2015 15:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 15.9, -146.2
GREEN
36 23 Oct 2015 21:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 17.1, -146.3
GREEN
38 24 Oct 2015 09:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 18.7, -145.6
GREEN
39 24 Oct 2015 15:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 19.3, -145.3
GREEN
40 24 Oct 2015 21:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 19.8, -145
GREEN
41 25 Oct 2015 03:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 20.7, -144.3
GREEN
42 25 Oct 2015 09:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 21.2, -143.8
GREEN
43 25 Oct 2015 15:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 21.6, -143.6
GREEN
44 25 Oct 2015 21:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 22.5, -143.2
GREEN
45 26 Oct 2015 03:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 23.5, -142.5
GREEN
46 26 Oct 2015 09:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.1, -142
GREEN
47 26 Oct 2015 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 24.6, -141.5
GREEN
48 26 Oct 2015 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 25.7, -138.1
GREEN
48 27 Oct 2015 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 26.6, -137.1
GREEN
48 27 Oct 2015 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 27.9, -134.5
GREEN
48 28 Oct 2015 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 27.8, -133.2
GREEN
48 28 Oct 2015 18:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 26.8, -133.7
GREEN
48 29 Oct 2015 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 24.6, -138
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 51 of 27 Oct 2015 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)