Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for HAIMA-16
in China, Philippines
GDACS
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
GFS
Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HAIMA-16 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries China, Philippines
Exposed population 3.6 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 269 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.7 m (21 Oct 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 241 km/h 1.9 m n.a. 2.5
GDACS Overall 269 km/h 1.7 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

241 km/h Current Max.

Up to 14 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 14 Oct 2016 18:00 250 No people No people Philippines
Red 2 15 Oct 2016 00:00 250 390 thousand 390 thousand Philippines
Red 3 15 Oct 2016 06:00 259 1.4 million 1.4 million Philippines
Red 4 15 Oct 2016 12:00 259 2.3 million 2.3 million Philippines
Red 5 15 Oct 2016 18:00 259 3 million 3 million Philippines
Red 6 16 Oct 2016 00:00 259 5.3 million 5.3 million Philippines
Red 7 16 Oct 2016 06:00 259 4.3 million 4.3 million Philippines
Red 8 16 Oct 2016 12:00 231 2.6 million 2.6 million Philippines, China
Red 9 16 Oct 2016 18:00 269 11.1 million 11.1 million Philippines, China
Red 10 17 Oct 2016 00:00 269 12 million 12 million Philippines, China
Red 11 17 Oct 2016 06:00 269 5.8 million 5.8 million Philippines, China
Red 12 17 Oct 2016 12:00 241 14.1 million 14.1 million Philippines, China

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 14 Oct 2016 18:00 Tropical depression 56 <1000 people no people 7.9, 144.4
GREEN
2 15 Oct 2016 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 8.3, 143.8
GREEN
3 15 Oct 2016 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 9, 142.3
GREEN
4 15 Oct 2016 12:00 Tropical storm 83 1000 people no people 9.5, 141.3
GREEN
5 15 Oct 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 93 10000 people no people 9.9, 140.3
GREEN
6 16 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 1 120 10000 people no people 10.1, 139.5
GREEN
7 16 Oct 2016 06:00 Category 1 130 10000 people no people 10.5, 138.9
GREEN
8 16 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 1 139 10000 people no people 11, 138.8
GREEN
9 16 Oct 2016 18:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 12.2, 137.8
GREEN
10 17 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 3 185 no people no people 12.9, 136.5
GREEN
11 17 Oct 2016 06:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 13.3, 135.5
GREEN
12 17 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 4 213 no people no people 13.8, 134.5
GREEN
12 18 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 4 241 no people no people 14.8, 132
GREEN
12 18 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 5 259 no people no people 15.6, 129.5
GREEN
12 19 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 4 250 110000 people no people 16.5, 126.8 Philippines
RED
12 19 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 4 241 6.7 million people 850000 people 17.4, 124.2 Philippines
RED
12 20 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 3 185 24.3 million people 6.6 million people 19.7, 119.4 China
ORANGE
12 21 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 1 130 35.7 million people 13.2 million people 23.1, 116.7 China
GREEN
12 22 Oct 2016 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 26.5, 117.2 China
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Philippines
China

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Cagayan Valley Philippines 2.3 million people
Cordillera Administrative Region Philippines 1.1 million people
Ilocos Philippines 3.5 million people
Fujian China 33.2 million people
Guangdong China 69.6 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Shenao Guangdong China City -
Houzhai Guangdong China City -
Zhaoan Guangdong China City -
Zhelin Guangdong China City -
Huanggang Guangdong China City 220000 people
Chenghai Guangdong China City 150000 people
Haimen Guangdong China City 120000 people
Daxi Fujian China City -
Shantou Guangdong China Major city 1.3 million people
Chaoyang Guangdong China City -
Anbu Guangdong China City 160000 people
Shalong Guangdong China City -
Jiufeng Fujian China City -
Sanjao Guangdong China City -
Huilai Guangdong China City -
Jieyang Guangdong China City -
Yanshi Fujian China City -
Chayang Guangdong China City -
Baisha Fujian China City -
Longyan Fujian China City 120000 people
Fengcheng Fujian China City -
Yongan Fujian China City 130000 people
Xuefeng Fujian China City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Taggat 5 0
Shantou Northeast SWA 3 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Port San Vicente Philippines
Aparri PHAPR Philippines
Abulog Philippines
Calayan Philippines
Claveria Philippines
Dirique Inlet Philippines
Huaang Kang China
Shantou CNSWA China

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Tangxi Huanggang He 1962
Wusongling Bwiling He 1958
Fenghuang 1969
Fengxi -99
Huanggang Hongfangxi 1974
Mianhuatan Trib. Ting Jiang -99
Wananxi Wananxi 1995
Guanyang Huangtan He 1991
Ansha Jiulongxi 1975
Qinyuan Qinyuanxi 1978
Chitan Jinxi 1980

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (475 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 27 of 21 Oct 2016 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

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