Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for HAIMA-16
in China, Philippines
15 Oct 2016 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
GFS
Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HAIMA-16 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries China, Philippines
Exposed population 3.6 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 269 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.7 m (21 Oct 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 250 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 2.5
GDACS Overall 269 km/h 1.7 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

250 km/h Current Max.

Up to 380000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher		 Population in
Cat 1. or higher		 Countries
Green 1 14 Oct 2016 18:00 250 No people No people Philippines
Red 2 15 Oct 2016 00:00 250 390 thousand 390 thousand Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

Alert N° Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)		 Population in
Tropical Storm		 Population in
Cat.1 or higher		 Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
 1 14 Oct 2016 18:00 Tropical depression 56 <1000 people no people 7.9, 144.4
GREEN
 2 15 Oct 2016 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 8.3, 143.8
GREEN
 2 15 Oct 2016 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 9.3, 142.2
GREEN
 2 16 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 1 120 10000 people no people 10.3, 140.6
GREEN
 2 16 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 1 148 10000 people no people 11.5, 139
GREEN
 2 17 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 12.8, 137.2
GREEN
 2 18 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 4 222 no people no people 14.8, 133.1
RED
 2 19 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 4 250 16.7 million people 390000 people 16.4, 128.1 Philippines
GREEN
 2 20 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 4 231 no people no people 18.2, 122.5 Philippines
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Philippines

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Cagayan Valley Philippines 2.3 million people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Port San Vicente Philippines
Aparri PHAPR Philippines
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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

1.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.7m in Jiesheng, China. This height is estimated for 21 Oct 2016 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (475 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 27 of 21 Oct 2016 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

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