Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for HAIMA-16 in China, Philippines from 14 Oct 2016 18:00 UTC to 15 Oct 2016 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red Tropical Cyclone for HAIMA-16

in China, Philippines

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HAIMA-16 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	China, Philippines
Exposed population	3.6 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	269 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.7 m (21 Oct 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	259 km/h	1.7 m	n.a.	2.5
Overall	269 km/h	1.7 m	n.a.	2
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	14 Oct 2016 18:00	250	---	No people	Philippines
2	15 Oct 2016 00:00	250	---	390 thousand	Philippines
3	15 Oct 2016 06:00	259	---	1.4 million	Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	14 Oct 2016 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	<1000 people	7.9, 144.4
2	15 Oct 2016 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	8.3, 143.8
3	15 Oct 2016 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	9, 142.3
3	15 Oct 2016 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	10000 people	10.2, 140.5
3	16 Oct 2016 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	7200 people	11.5, 138.7
3	16 Oct 2016 18:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	12.8, 136.9
3	17 Oct 2016 06:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	13.9, 134.9
3	18 Oct 2016 06:00	Category 4	250	no people	no people	15.8, 130.3
3	19 Oct 2016 06:00	Category 5	259	1.4 million people	6.3 million people	17.3, 125.3	Philippines
3	20 Oct 2016 06:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	18.8, 120.5	Philippines

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.