Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for HAIMA-16
in China, Philippines
GDACS
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
GFS
Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HAIMA-16 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries China, Philippines
Exposed population 3.6 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 269 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.7 m (21 Oct 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 259 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 2.5
GDACS Overall 269 km/h 1.7 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

259 km/h Current Max.

Up to 5.3 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 14 Oct 2016 18:00 250 No people No people Philippines
Red 2 15 Oct 2016 00:00 250 390 thousand 390 thousand Philippines
Red 3 15 Oct 2016 06:00 259 1.4 million 1.4 million Philippines
Red 4 15 Oct 2016 12:00 259 2.3 million 2.3 million Philippines
Red 5 15 Oct 2016 18:00 259 3 million 3 million Philippines
Red 6 16 Oct 2016 00:00 259 5.3 million 5.3 million Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 14 Oct 2016 18:00 Tropical depression 56 <1000 people no people 7.9, 144.4
GREEN
2 15 Oct 2016 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 8.3, 143.8
GREEN
3 15 Oct 2016 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 9, 142.3
GREEN
4 15 Oct 2016 12:00 Tropical storm 83 1000 people no people 9.5, 141.3
GREEN
5 15 Oct 2016 18:00 Tropical storm 93 10000 people no people 9.9, 140.3
GREEN
6 16 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 1 120 10000 people no people 10.1, 139.5
GREEN
6 16 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 1 139 10000 people no people 11.1, 137.9
GREEN
6 17 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 12.3, 136.1
GREEN
6 17 Oct 2016 12:00 Category 3 194 no people no people 13.6, 133.9
GREEN
6 18 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 4 222 380000 people no people 14.7, 131.3 Philippines
RED
6 19 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 5 259 22.4 million people 5.1 million people 16.2, 126.2 Philippines
RED
6 20 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 4 222 18.4 million people 4.8 million people 17.9, 121.4 Philippines
GREEN
6 21 Oct 2016 00:00 Category 3 204 no people no people 20.1, 117
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Philippines

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Southern Tagalog Philippines 8.2 million people
Cagayan Valley Philippines 2.3 million people
Cordillera Administrative Region Philippines 1.1 million people
Ilocos Philippines 3.5 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Cabagan Cagayan Valley Philippines City 24000 people
Tuguegarao Cagayan Valley Philippines City 110000 people
San Nicolas Ilocos Philippines City 19000 people
Laoag Ilocos Philippines City 100000 people
Bacarra Ilocos Philippines City 9600 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Palanan 50 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
Cauayan CYZ 61 Civ. Paved No 5700
Mrmp 117 0
Tuguegarao TUG 21 Civ. Paved No 5900
Taggat 5 0
Vigan 4 Civ. Paved No 3400
Laoag International LAO 6 Civ. Paved Yes 7900
Pratas Island 3 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Palanan Philippines
Port San Vicente Philippines
Aparri PHAPR Philippines
Abulog Philippines
Claveria Philippines
Port San Esteban Philippines
Pandan Philippines
Salomague Philippines
Gan Bay Philippines
Laoag PHLAO Philippines
Dirique Inlet Philippines
Pratas Island China

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Magat Magat 1983

Nuclear plants

No content available ..

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.7m in Jiesheng, China. This height is estimated for 21 Oct 2016 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (475 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 27 of 21 Oct 2016 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

No content available ..