Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MAARUTHA-17
in Myanmar
16 Apr 2017 06 UTC
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  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
  • GFS
  • HWRF
  • ECMWF
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone MAARUTHA-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Myanmar
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
    Maximum storm surge n.a.
    Vulnerability High (Myanmar)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 65 km/h n.a. n.a. 1.5
    Overall 93 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      65 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 16 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 15 Apr 2017 12:00 65 10.3 million No people Myanmar
        Green 2 15 Apr 2017 18:00 93 2.6 million No people Myanmar
        Green 3 16 Apr 2017 00:00 83 3.6 million No people Myanmar
        Orange 4 16 Apr 2017 06:00 65 16 million No people Myanmar

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 15 Apr 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.3, 90.2
          GREEN
          		 2 15 Apr 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people <1000 people 15.3, 91.3
          GREEN
          		 3 16 Apr 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 460000 people 16.3, 92.3 Myanmar
          GREEN
          		 4 16 Apr 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 6 million people 16.8, 92.6 Myanmar
          ORANGE
          		 4 16 Apr 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 14.6 million people 18.9, 94.5 Myanmar
          GREEN
          		 4 17 Apr 2017 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 21.1, 96.3 Myanmar
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Myanmar

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Irrawaddy Myanmar
          Arakan State Myanmar
          Pegu Myanmar
          Magwe Myanmar
          Mandalay Myanmar
          Karen State Myanmar
          Shan State Myanmar
          Sagaing Myanmar

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Bassein Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City -
          Kangyidaung Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City -
          Ngathainggyaung Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City -
          Yegyi Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City -
          Taungup Rakhine Myanmar City -
          Kyaukpyu Rakhine Myanmar City -
          Kyangin Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City -
          Monyo Bago Myanmar City -
          Shwedaung Bago Myanmar City -
          Pye Bago Myanmar City -
          Paungde Bago Myanmar City 36000 people
          Gyobingauk Bago Myanmar City -
          Nattalin Bago Myanmar City -
          Zigon Bago Myanmar City -
          Thayetmyo Magway Myanmar City 97000 people
          Minbu Magway Myanmar City 57000 people
          Yenangyaung Magway Myanmar City 110000 people
          Ela Mandalay Myanmar City -
          Pyinmana Mandalay Myanmar City 97000 people
          Meiktila Mandalay Myanmar City 180000 people
          Myingyan Mandalay Myanmar City 140000 people
          Taunggyi Shan Myanmar City 160000 people
          Sagang Sagaing Myanmar City -
          Mandalay Mandalay Myanmar Major city 1.2 million people
          Maymyo Mandalay Myanmar City 120000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Gwa GWA 3 Civ. Unpaved No 3500
          Pathein BSX 6 Civ. Paved No 4800
          Manaung MGU 6 Civ. Unpaved No 3700
          Sandoway SNW 6 Civ. Paved No 4700
          Kyaukpyu KYP 6 Civ. Paved No 4600
          Prome PRU 37 Civ. Paved No 4500
          Ann 22 0
          Magway MWQ 84 Civ. Unpaved No 4600
          Lanywa 53 Civ. Paved No 4000
          Meiktila 213 Mil. Unpaved No 5400
          Ste Therese Point 192 Mil. Paved No 8500
          Heho HEH 1176 Civ. Paved Yes 6000
          Mandalay International 91 0
          Annisaton MDL 77 Civ. Paved Yes 6500

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Bassein Myanmar
          Sandoway Myanmar
          Kyaukpyu Myanmar
          Prome Myanmar

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Taungnawin Taungnawin Creek n/a
          Manchaung Mann Creek n/a
          Salin Salin Creek n/a
          Sunchaung Sun Creek n/a
          Natmouk n/a
          Kinda Panlaung 1986
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.