Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MAARUTHA-17
in Myanmar
GDACS
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
GFS
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAARUTHA-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Myanmar
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability High (Myanmar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 83 km/h n.a. n.a. 1.5
GDACS Overall 93 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

83 km/h Current

Up to 20.6 million people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Orange 1 15 Apr 2017 12:00 65 10.3 million No people Myanmar
Green 2 15 Apr 2017 18:00 93 2.6 million No people Myanmar
Green 3 16 Apr 2017 00:00 83 3.6 million No people Myanmar
Orange 4 16 Apr 2017 06:00 65 16 million No people Myanmar
Orange 5 16 Apr 2017 12:00 83 20.7 million No people Myanmar

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 15 Apr 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.3, 90.2
GREEN
2 15 Apr 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 83 <1000 people no people 15.3, 91.3
GREEN
3 16 Apr 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 83 460000 people no people 16.3, 92.3 Myanmar
GREEN
4 16 Apr 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 83 6 million people no people 16.8, 92.6 Myanmar
ORANGE
5 16 Apr 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 83 14.2 million people no people 18, 93.5 Myanmar
ORANGE
5 17 Apr 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 65 15.7 million people no people 19.9, 95.2 Myanmar
GREEN
5 17 Apr 2017 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 21.5, 96.8 Myanmar
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Myanmar

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Arakan State Myanmar 2.5 million people
Irrawaddy Myanmar 6.3 million people
Pegu Myanmar 4.8 million people
Magwe Myanmar 4.1 million people
Mandalay Myanmar 5.7 million people
Chin State Myanmar 460000 people
Karen State Myanmar 1 million people
Shan State Myanmar 3.8 million people
Sagaing Myanmar 4.7 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population Distance
Taungup Rakhine Myanmar City - 123 km
Kyaukpyu Rakhine Myanmar City - 158 km
Ngathainggyaung Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City - 180 km
Yegyi Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City - 187 km
Bassein Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City - 189 km
Kyangin Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City - 189 km
Kangyidaung Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City - 190 km
Kyonpyaw Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City - 197 km
Shwedaung Bago Myanmar City - 197 km
Pye Bago Myanmar City - 203 km
Kyaunggon Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City - 205 km
Monyo Bago Myanmar City - 212 km
Henzada Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City 130000 people 213 km
Paungde Bago Myanmar City 36000 people 218 km
Nattalin Bago Myanmar City - 221 km
Zigon Bago Myanmar City - 228 km
Gyobingauk Bago Myanmar City - 228 km
Thayetmyo Magway Myanmar City 96000 people 230 km
Minhla Bago Myanmar City - 234 km
Minbu Magway Myanmar City 56000 people 281 km
Yenangyaung Magway Myanmar City 100000 people 308 km
Ela Mandalay Myanmar City - 339 km
Pyinmana Mandalay Myanmar City 97000 people 344 km
Meiktila Mandalay Myanmar City 170000 people 402 km
Pakokku Magway Myanmar City 120000 people 404 km
Myingyan Mandalay Myanmar City 140000 people 431 km
Taunggyi Shan Myanmar City 150000 people 483 km
Sagang Sagaing Myanmar City - 501 km
Mandalay Mandalay Myanmar Major city 1.1 million people 517 km
Maymyo Mandalay Myanmar City 110000 people 544 km

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft) Distance
Manaung MGU 6 Civ. Unpaved No 3700 96 km
Sandoway SNW 6 Civ. Paved No 4700 99 km
Gwa GWA 3 Civ. Unpaved No 3500 123 km
Kyaukpyu KYP 6 Civ. Paved No 4600 158 km
Pathein BSX 6 Civ. Paved No 4800 189 km
Ann 22 0 204 km
Prome PRU 37 Civ. Paved No 4500 208 km
Henzada HEB unknown 0 211 km
Magway MWQ 84 Civ. Unpaved No 4600 284 km
Taungoo 46 0 326 km
Lanywa 53 Civ. Paved No 4000 354 km
Nyaung U NYU 91 Civ. Paved No 5700 383 km
Pakokku PKK 46 Civ. Unpaved No 4000 405 km
Meiktila 213 Mil. Unpaved No 5400 406 km
Ste Therese Point 192 Mil. Paved No 8500 413 km
Heho HEH 1176 Civ. Paved Yes 6000 460 km
Mandalay International 91 0 485 km
Annisaton MDL 77 Civ. Paved Yes 6500 514 km
Anisakan 914 Civ. Unpaved No 4400 548 km

Ports

Name LOCODE Country Distance
Sandoway Myanmar 107 km
Kyaukpyu Myanmar 157 km
Bassein Myanmar 187 km
Prome Myanmar 202 km
Henzada Myanmar 214 km

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year Distance
Taungnawin Taungnawin Creek -99 243 km
Manchaung Mann Creek -99 251 km
Salin Salin Creek -99 309 km
Sunchaung Sun Creek -99 326 km
Natmouk -99 339 km
Kinda Panlaung 1986 458 km
Sedawgyi Chaungmagyi 1989 565 km

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.