Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MAARUTHA-17
in Myanmar
GDACS
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
GFS
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAARUTHA-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (JTWC)
Exposed countries Myanmar
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 93 km/h
Maximum storm surge n.a.
Vulnerability High (Myanmar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 83 km/h n.a. n.a. 1.5
GDACS Overall 93 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

83 km/h Current

Up to 20.6 million people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Orange 1 15 Apr 2017 12:00 65 10.3 million No people Myanmar
Green 2 15 Apr 2017 18:00 93 2.6 million No people Myanmar
Green 3 16 Apr 2017 00:00 83 3.6 million No people Myanmar
Orange 4 16 Apr 2017 06:00 65 16 million No people Myanmar
Orange 5 16 Apr 2017 12:00 83 20.7 million No people Myanmar

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 15 Apr 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 14.3, 90.2
GREEN
2 15 Apr 2017 18:00 Tropical storm 83 <1000 people no people 15.3, 91.3
GREEN
3 16 Apr 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 83 460000 people no people 16.3, 92.3 Myanmar
GREEN
4 16 Apr 2017 06:00 Tropical storm 83 6 million people no people 16.8, 92.6 Myanmar
ORANGE
5 16 Apr 2017 12:00 Tropical storm 83 14.2 million people no people 18, 93.5 Myanmar
ORANGE
5 17 Apr 2017 00:00 Tropical storm 65 15.7 million people no people 19.9, 95.2 Myanmar
GREEN
5 17 Apr 2017 12:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 21.5, 96.8 Myanmar
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Myanmar

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Arakan State Myanmar 2.5 million people
Irrawaddy Myanmar 6.3 million people
Pegu Myanmar 4.8 million people
Magwe Myanmar 4.1 million people
Mandalay Myanmar 5.7 million people
Chin State Myanmar 460000 people
Karen State Myanmar 1 million people
Shan State Myanmar 3.8 million people
Sagaing Myanmar 4.7 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Taungup Rakhine Myanmar City -
Kyaukpyu Rakhine Myanmar City -
Ngathainggyaung Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City -
Yegyi Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City -
Bassein Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City -
Kyangin Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City -
Kangyidaung Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City -
Kyonpyaw Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City -
Shwedaung Bago Myanmar City -
Pye Bago Myanmar City -
Kyaunggon Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City -
Monyo Bago Myanmar City -
Henzada Ayeyarwaddy Myanmar City 130000 people
Paungde Bago Myanmar City 36000 people
Nattalin Bago Myanmar City -
Zigon Bago Myanmar City -
Gyobingauk Bago Myanmar City -
Thayetmyo Magway Myanmar City 96000 people
Minhla Bago Myanmar City -
Minbu Magway Myanmar City 56000 people
Yenangyaung Magway Myanmar City 100000 people
Ela Mandalay Myanmar City -
Pyinmana Mandalay Myanmar City 97000 people
Meiktila Mandalay Myanmar City 170000 people
Pakokku Magway Myanmar City 120000 people
Myingyan Mandalay Myanmar City 140000 people
Taunggyi Shan Myanmar City 150000 people
Sagang Sagaing Myanmar City -
Mandalay Mandalay Myanmar Major city 1.1 million people
Maymyo Mandalay Myanmar City 110000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Manaung MGU 6 Civ. Unpaved No 3700
Sandoway SNW 6 Civ. Paved No 4700
Gwa GWA 3 Civ. Unpaved No 3500
Kyaukpyu KYP 6 Civ. Paved No 4600
Pathein BSX 6 Civ. Paved No 4800
Ann 22 0
Prome PRU 37 Civ. Paved No 4500
Henzada HEB unknown 0
Magway MWQ 84 Civ. Unpaved No 4600
Taungoo 46 0
Lanywa 53 Civ. Paved No 4000
Nyaung U NYU 91 Civ. Paved No 5700
Pakokku PKK 46 Civ. Unpaved No 4000
Meiktila 213 Mil. Unpaved No 5400
Ste Therese Point 192 Mil. Paved No 8500
Heho HEH 1176 Civ. Paved Yes 6000
Mandalay International 91 0
Annisaton MDL 77 Civ. Paved Yes 6500
Anisakan 914 Civ. Unpaved No 4400

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Sandoway Myanmar
Kyaukpyu Myanmar
Bassein Myanmar
Prome Myanmar
Henzada Myanmar

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Taungnawin Taungnawin Creek -99
Manchaung Mann Creek -99
Salin Salin Creek -99
Sunchaung Sun Creek -99
Natmouk -99
Kinda Panlaung 1986
Sedawgyi Chaungmagyi 1989

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.