Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for NORU-17 in Japan from 20 Jul 2017 18:00 UTC to 05 Aug 2017 06:00 UTC

05 Aug 2017 06 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS

Impact Single TC

HWRF

ECMWF

GFS

Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORU-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Japan
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	269 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.4 m (07 Aug 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GDACS Current	148 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
GDACS Overall	269 km/h	1.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

148 km/h Current Max.

Up to 3.6 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	20 Jul 2017 18:00	102	No people	No people
2	21 Jul 2017 00:00	120	No people	No people
3	21 Jul 2017 06:00	120	No people	No people
4	21 Jul 2017 12:00	130	No people	No people
5	21 Jul 2017 18:00	139	No people	No people
6	22 Jul 2017 00:00	148	No people	No people
7	22 Jul 2017 06:00	148	No people	No people
8	22 Jul 2017 12:00	139	No people	No people
9	22 Jul 2017 18:00	148	No people	No people
10	23 Jul 2017 00:00	120	No people	No people
11	23 Jul 2017 06:00	148	No people	No people
12	23 Jul 2017 12:00	185	No people	No people
13	23 Jul 2017 18:00	204	No people	No people
14	24 Jul 2017 00:00	204	No people	No people
15	24 Jul 2017 06:00	176	2 thousand	No people
16	24 Jul 2017 12:00	167	2 thousand	No people
17	24 Jul 2017 18:00	167	3 thousand	No people
18	25 Jul 2017 00:00	167	3 thousand	Few people
19	25 Jul 2017 06:00	157	3 thousand	2 thousand
20	25 Jul 2017 12:00	148	3 thousand	2 thousand
21	25 Jul 2017 18:00	139	3 thousand	2 thousand
22	26 Jul 2017 00:00	139	2 thousand	2 thousand
23	26 Jul 2017 06:00	148	3 thousand	2 thousand
24	26 Jul 2017 12:00	148	3 thousand	2 thousand
25	26 Jul 2017 18:00	130	3 thousand	Few people
26	27 Jul 2017 00:00	139	3 thousand	3 thousand
27	27 Jul 2017 06:00	148	3 thousand	3 thousand
28	27 Jul 2017 12:00	148	3 thousand	2 thousand
29	27 Jul 2017 18:00	139	3 thousand	3 thousand
30	28 Jul 2017 00:00	139	3 thousand	3 thousand
31	28 Jul 2017 06:00	139	3 thousand	3 thousand
32	28 Jul 2017 12:00	139	3 thousand	3 thousand
33	28 Jul 2017 18:00	139	3 thousand	1 thousand
34	29 Jul 2017 00:00	139	3 thousand	No people
35	29 Jul 2017 06:00	139	3 thousand	Few people
36	29 Jul 2017 12:00	139	3 thousand	Few people
37	29 Jul 2017 18:00	139	3 thousand	Few people
38	30 Jul 2017 00:00	139	3 thousand	Few people
39	30 Jul 2017 06:00	148	3 thousand	Few people
40	30 Jul 2017 12:00	222	3 thousand	Few people
41	30 Jul 2017 18:00	269	3 thousand	Few people
42	31 Jul 2017 00:00	241	3 thousand	Few people
43	31 Jul 2017 06:00	241	3 thousand	Few people
44	31 Jul 2017 12:00	231	3 thousand	Few people
45	31 Jul 2017 18:00	204	2.9 million	Few people	Japan
46	01 Aug 2017 00:00	194	7 million	150 thousand	Japan
47	01 Aug 2017 06:00	185	9.3 million	1.1 million	Japan
48	01 Aug 2017 12:00	194	15.6 million	1.7 million	Japan
49	01 Aug 2017 18:00	185	24.8 million	210 thousand	Japan
50	02 Aug 2017 00:00	222	32.2 million	1.4 million	Japan
51	02 Aug 2017 06:00	194	41.1 million	7 million	Japan
52	02 Aug 2017 12:00	194	39.6 million	12 million	Japan
53	02 Aug 2017 18:00	194	45.4 million	13.2 million	Japan
54	03 Aug 2017 00:00	176	21.3 million	7.8 million	Japan
55	03 Aug 2017 06:00	176	34.9 million	15.5 million	Japan
56	03 Aug 2017 12:00	157	33.8 million	13.2 million	Japan
57	03 Aug 2017 18:00	167	19.2 million	2.9 million	Japan
58	04 Aug 2017 00:00	167	21.1 million	3.2 million	Japan
59	04 Aug 2017 06:00	167	48.7 million	7.8 million	Japan
60	04 Aug 2017 12:00	167	43.9 million	9.4 million	Japan
61	04 Aug 2017 18:00	185	56.9 million	12.2 million	Japan
62	05 Aug 2017 00:00	167	47.9 million	3.9 million	Japan
63	05 Aug 2017 06:00	148	52.1 million	3.6 million	Japan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	20 Jul 2017 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	27.7, 158.1
2	21 Jul 2017 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	28.2, 157.4
3	21 Jul 2017 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	28.2, 155.7
4	21 Jul 2017 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	27.9, 155.1
5	21 Jul 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	28.5, 153.8
6	22 Jul 2017 00:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	28.7, 153.7
7	22 Jul 2017 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	28.2, 153.1
8	22 Jul 2017 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	28.1, 152.4
9	22 Jul 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	28.3, 152.2
10	23 Jul 2017 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	28.3, 151.3
11	23 Jul 2017 06:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	27.9, 151.2
12	23 Jul 2017 12:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	28, 151.4
13	23 Jul 2017 18:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	27.5, 151.5
14	24 Jul 2017 00:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	27.2, 152.3
15	24 Jul 2017 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	26.8, 153.2
16	24 Jul 2017 12:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	26.3, 154.4
17	24 Jul 2017 18:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	25.6, 155.7
18	25 Jul 2017 00:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	25.7, 156.7
19	25 Jul 2017 06:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	25.9, 157.6
20	25 Jul 2017 12:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	26.2, 158.2
21	25 Jul 2017 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	27, 158.4
22	26 Jul 2017 00:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	28.1, 157.9
23	26 Jul 2017 06:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	29, 156.9
24	26 Jul 2017 12:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	29.8, 155.6
25	26 Jul 2017 18:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	30.4, 153.9
26	27 Jul 2017 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	30.6, 152
27	27 Jul 2017 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	30.9, 150.5
28	27 Jul 2017 12:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	30.7, 148.4
29	27 Jul 2017 18:00	Category 1	120	<1000 people	no people	30.3, 146.8
30	28 Jul 2017 00:00	Category 1	120	2200 people	no people	29.5, 145.3
31	28 Jul 2017 06:00	Category 1	120	2200 people	no people	28.9, 144.5
32	28 Jul 2017 12:00	Category 1	120	2700 people	2200 people	28.3, 143.7
33	28 Jul 2017 18:00	Category 1	120	2200 people	<1000 people	27.6, 143.1
34	29 Jul 2017 00:00	Category 1	120	2700 people	no people	26.7, 142.8
35	29 Jul 2017 06:00	Category 1	120	2700 people	no people	26.1, 142.2
36	29 Jul 2017 12:00	Category 1	130	1000 people	no people	25.3, 141.9
37	29 Jul 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	111	<1000 people	no people	24.5, 141.7
38	30 Jul 2017 00:00	Tropical storm	111	<1000 people	no people	23.7, 141.6
39	30 Jul 2017 06:00	Category 1	130	<1000 people	no people	23.3, 141.5
40	30 Jul 2017 12:00	Category 2	176	<1000 people	no people	22.9, 141.4
41	30 Jul 2017 18:00	Category 5	259	<1000 people	no people	22.8, 140.9
42	31 Jul 2017 00:00	Category 4	241	<1000 people	no people	22.8, 140.5
43	31 Jul 2017 06:00	Category 4	241	no people	no people	22.9, 139.8
44	31 Jul 2017 12:00	Category 4	231	no people	no people	23, 139.2
45	31 Jul 2017 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	no people	23.3, 138.8
46	01 Aug 2017 00:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	23.6, 138.3
47	01 Aug 2017 06:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	24, 137.7
48	01 Aug 2017 12:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	24.5, 137.2
49	01 Aug 2017 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	25, 136.6
50	02 Aug 2017 00:00	Category 3	194	no people	no people	25.4, 136.3
51	02 Aug 2017 06:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	25.9, 135.9
52	02 Aug 2017 12:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	26.2, 135.7
53	02 Aug 2017 18:00	Category 2	176	no people	no people	26.7, 135.5
54	03 Aug 2017 00:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	27.5, 134.8
55	03 Aug 2017 06:00	Category 2	157	20000 people	no people	28, 134.1	Japan
56	03 Aug 2017 12:00	Category 1	139	130000 people	no people	28.3, 133.2	Japan
57	03 Aug 2017 18:00	Category 1	139	410000 people	no people	28.4, 132.4	Japan
58	04 Aug 2017 00:00	Category 1	139	740000 people	no people	28.5, 131.6	Japan
59	04 Aug 2017 06:00	Category 1	139	1.3 million people	<1000 people	28.7, 131.1	Japan
60	04 Aug 2017 12:00	Category 1	139	1.7 million people	1100 people	29, 130.6	Japan
61	04 Aug 2017 18:00	Category 1	148	2.5 million people	14000 people	29.2, 130.4	Japan
62	05 Aug 2017 00:00	Category 1	148	2.8 million people	14000 people	29.6, 130.3	Japan
63	05 Aug 2017 06:00	Category 1	148	5.3 million people	240000 people	30, 130.2	Japan
63	05 Aug 2017 18:00	Category 1	148	13.5 million people	2.5 million people	30.6, 130.3	Japan
63	06 Aug 2017 06:00	Category 1	130	20.9 million people	3.6 million people	31.5, 130.9	Japan
63	06 Aug 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	111	44.8 million people	no people	32.6, 131.9	Japan
63	07 Aug 2017 06:00	Tropical storm	102	42.3 million people	no people	34.3, 133.4	Japan
63	08 Aug 2017 06:00	Tropical storm	83	1.3 million people	no people	37.9, 136.4	Japan
63	09 Aug 2017 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	41.9, 138.4

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population
Kyushu	Japan	13.2 million people
Shikoku	Japan	4.3 million people

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Makurazuki	Kagoshima	Japan	City	-
O-nejime	Kagoshima	Japan	City	-
Kanoya	Kagoshima	Japan	City	82000 people
Taniyama	Kagoshima	Japan	City	-
Kagoshima	Kagoshima	Japan	Major city	540000 people
Shibushi	Kagoshima	Japan	City	18000 people
Kajiki	Kagoshima	Japan	City	22000 people
Sueyoshi	Kagoshima	Japan	City	19000 people
Kamo	Kagoshima	Japan	City	-
Kokubu	Kagoshima	Japan	City	57000 people
Sendai	Kagoshima	Japan	City	71000 people
Miyakonojo	Miyazaki	Japan	City	120000 people
Naka-harada	Miyazaki	Japan	City	-
Jogasaki	Miyazaki	Japan	City	-
Takaoka	Miyazaki	Japan	City	-
Miyazaki	Miyazaki	Japan	Major city	300000 people
Hitoyoshi	Kumamoto	Japan	City	37000 people
Tsuma	Miyazaki	Japan	City	-
Takanabe	Miyazaki	Japan	City	22000 people
Nobeoka	Miyazaki	Japan	City	120000 people
Saiki	Oita	Japan	City	48000 people
Oita	Oita	Japan	Major city	420000 people
Beppu	Oita	Japan	City	120000 people
Tsurusaki	Oita	Japan	City	-
Saganoseki	Oita	Japan	City	-

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Yakushima	KUM	37	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Tanegashima	TNE	97	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Nishinoomote	IIN	unknown				0
Kanoya		65	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7300
Kagoshima	KOJ	276	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
Miyazaki	KMI	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200
Nyutabaru		79	Mil.	Paved	Yes	8800

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Tokara Island		Japan
Yamagawa		Japan
Makurazaki		Japan
Kiire	JPKII	Japan
Amamioshima	JPASJ	Japan
Kagoshima	JPKOJ	Japan
Shibushi	JPSBS	Japan
Kushikino		Japan
Aburatsu	JPABU	Japan
Uchiumi		Japan
Miyazaki	JPKMI	Japan
Minamata	JPMIN	Japan
Hosojima	JPHSM	Japan
Totoro		Japan
Nobeoka	JPNOB	Japan
Saiki Ko		Japan
Tsukumi	JPTMI	Japan
Usuki	JPUSK	Japan
Beppu	JPBPU	Japan
Oita	JPOIT	Japan
Tsurusaki	JPTSK	Japan
Saganoseki	JPSAG	Japan
Haha		Japan
Minami Lo		Japan

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
Saikyo	Saikyo	Matanobugawa	1984
Osumiko	Takakuma	Kushiragawa	1968
Takeyama	Takeyama	Usonokigawa	1986
Sakataniko	Nichinan	Sakatanigawa	1984
Otsuruko	Tsuruda	Sendaigawa	1965
Kogawa	Kogawa	Kogawa	1973
Oyodogawadaiichi	Oyodogawadaiichi	Oyodogawa	1961
Nojiriko	Iwase	Iwasegawa	1967
Oyodogawadaini	Oyodogawadaini	Oyodogawa	1932
Onoko	Ayaminami	Honjogawa	1958
Tachibana	Tachibana	Jarogawa	1963
Hitotsuse	Hitotsuse	Hitotsusegawa	1963
Ichifusa	Ichifusa	Kumagawa	1959
Uchitani	Uchitani	Itsukiogawa	1975
Dokawa	Dokawa	Dokawa	1955
Nyuugashiibako	Kamishiiba	Mimigawa	1955
Saigo	Saigo	Mimigawa	1983
Ouchibaru	Ouchibaru	Mimigawa	1956
Tsukabaru	Tsukabaru	Mimigawa	1938
Higomidorikawako	Midorikawa	Midorikawa	1970
Kitagawa	Kitagawa	Kitagawa	1962
Ishiba	Ishiba	Mietanigawa	1973
Serikawa	Serikawa	Serigawa	1956

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

1.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.4m in Kozakai, Japan. This height is estimated for 07 Aug 2017 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (750 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 72 of 07 Aug 2017 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

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Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.