Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for OPHELIA-17 in Ireland, United Kingdom from 09 Oct 2017 09:00 UTC to 16 Oct 2017 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve awareness, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green Tropical Cyclone for OPHELIA-17

in Ireland, United Kingdom

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone OPHELIA-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Ireland, United Kingdom
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	185 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.3 m (16 Oct 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	-- (Ireland)

GDACS Score

GDACS score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Level), 1.5 (ORANGE Level), 2.5 (RED Level)
For more info on GDACS core click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	139 km/h	1.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	185 km/h	1.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	09 Oct 2017 09:00	93	No people	No people
2	09 Oct 2017 15:00	120	No people	No people
3	09 Oct 2017 21:00	120	No people	No people
4	10 Oct 2017 03:00	139	No people	No people
5	10 Oct 2017 09:00	139	No people	No people
6	10 Oct 2017 15:00	130	No people	No people
7	10 Oct 2017 21:00	130	No people	No people
8	11 Oct 2017 03:00	130	No people	No people
9	11 Oct 2017 09:00	139	No people	No people
10	11 Oct 2017 15:00	130	No people	No people
11	11 Oct 2017 21:00	139	790 thousand	No people	Portugal, Ireland
12	12 Oct 2017 03:00	148	2.9 million	30 thousand	Ireland
13	12 Oct 2017 09:00	148	2.7 million	10 thousand	Ireland, United Kingdom
14	12 Oct 2017 15:00	148	4.5 million	20 thousand	Ireland, United Kingdom
15	12 Oct 2017 21:00	157	10.6 million	300 thousand	Ireland, United Kingdom
16	13 Oct 2017 03:00	167	12 million	930 thousand	Ireland, United Kingdom
17	13 Oct 2017 09:00	167	10.2 million	650 thousand	Ireland, United Kingdom
18	13 Oct 2017 15:00	157	12.1 million	600 thousand	Ireland, United Kingdom
19	13 Oct 2017 21:00	157	12.7 million	240 thousand	Ireland, United Kingdom
20	14 Oct 2017 03:00	157	31.4 million	1.1 million	Ireland, United Kingdom
21	14 Oct 2017 09:00	157	26.6 million	920 thousand	Ireland, United Kingdom
22	14 Oct 2017 15:00	185	13 million	720 thousand	Ireland, United Kingdom
23	14 Oct 2017 21:00	185	15.2 million	560 thousand	Ireland
24	15 Oct 2017 03:00	185	16.6 million	2.5 million	Ireland, United Kingdom
25	15 Oct 2017 09:00	167	28.8 million	1.7 million	Ireland, United Kingdom
26	15 Oct 2017 15:00	148	42.6 million	7.9 million	Ireland, United Kingdom
27	15 Oct 2017 21:00	139	33.5 million	2.9 million	Ireland, United Kingdom
28	16 Oct 2017 03:00	139	15.4 million	1.2 million	Ireland, United Kingdom

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	09 Oct 2017 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	31.1, -39.9
2	09 Oct 2017 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	31.4, -39.9
3	09 Oct 2017 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	31.5, -39.6
4	10 Oct 2017 03:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	32.3, -39
5	10 Oct 2017 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	31.9, -38.8
6	10 Oct 2017 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	31.5, -38.3
7	10 Oct 2017 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	31.1, -38
8	11 Oct 2017 03:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	30.7, -37.6
9	11 Oct 2017 09:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	30.2, -37
10	11 Oct 2017 15:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	30, -36.5
11	11 Oct 2017 21:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	30, -36.1
12	12 Oct 2017 03:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	30, -35.7
13	12 Oct 2017 09:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	30.3, -35.6
14	12 Oct 2017 15:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	30.5, -35.6
15	12 Oct 2017 21:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	30.4, -35.5
16	13 Oct 2017 03:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	30.7, -34.7
17	13 Oct 2017 09:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	31.1, -33.9
18	13 Oct 2017 15:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	31.8, -32.9
19	13 Oct 2017 21:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	32.3, -31.8
20	14 Oct 2017 03:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	33, -30.6
21	14 Oct 2017 09:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	33.9, -28.6
22	14 Oct 2017 15:00	Category 3	185	no people	5700 people	34.8, -26.6	Portugal
23	14 Oct 2017 21:00	Category 3	185	no people	5700 people	35.9, -23.7	Portugal
24	15 Oct 2017 03:00	Category 3	185	no people	no people	37.3, -21.5
25	15 Oct 2017 09:00	Category 2	167	no people	no people	39, -18.3
26	15 Oct 2017 15:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	41.6, -16
27	15 Oct 2017 21:00	Category 1	139	no people	720000 people	44.6, -13.3	Ireland
28	16 Oct 2017 03:00	Category 1	139	400000 people	5.5 million people	49.2, -13.3	Ireland
28	16 Oct 2017 12:00	Category 1	120	1.2 million people	13.9 million people	53.2, -10.1	United Kingdom
28	17 Oct 2017 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	13.5 million people	57.4, -5.9	Ireland
28	17 Oct 2017 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	61.9, -.1

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Disclaimer - Copyright
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.