Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SHANSHAN-18
in Japan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SHANSHAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population 2.3 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (08 Aug 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 130 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 176 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

130 km/h Current Max.

Up to 62000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 02 Aug 2018 18:00 148 1.5 million No people Japan
Green 2 03 Aug 2018 00:00 148 90 thousand No people Japan
Green 3 03 Aug 2018 06:00 148 20 thousand No people
Green 4 03 Aug 2018 12:00 167 49 million No people Japan
Green 5 03 Aug 2018 18:00 167 58.2 million No people Japan
Green 6 04 Aug 2018 00:00 167 59 million No people Japan
Green 7 04 Aug 2018 06:00 176 54.9 million 1.3 million Japan
Green 8 04 Aug 2018 12:00 176 64.4 million 230 thousand Japan
Green 9 04 Aug 2018 18:00 176 64.6 million 5.5 million Japan
Green 10 05 Aug 2018 00:00 167 69.4 million 5.4 million Japan
Green 11 05 Aug 2018 06:00 157 51.4 million 650 thousand Japan
Green 12 05 Aug 2018 12:00 157 58.2 million 5.7 million Japan
Green 13 05 Aug 2018 18:00 157 54.4 million 940 thousand Japan
Green 14 06 Aug 2018 00:00 148 51.4 million 2.1 million Japan
Green 15 06 Aug 2018 06:00 148 55 million 430 thousand Japan
Green 16 06 Aug 2018 12:00 130 53.3 million No people Japan, Russian Federation
Green 17 06 Aug 2018 18:00 120 53.8 million No people Japan, United States
Green 18 07 Aug 2018 00:00 130 60.4 million No people Japan, Russian Federation
Green 19 07 Aug 2018 06:00 167 58 million 4.6 million Japan
Green 20 07 Aug 2018 12:00 157 58.9 million 1 million Japan
Green 21 07 Aug 2018 18:00 157 59.3 million 2.1 million Japan
Green 22 08 Aug 2018 00:00 148 56.8 million 4.6 million Japan
Green 23 08 Aug 2018 06:00 148 54.1 million 5.6 million Japan
Green 24 08 Aug 2018 12:00 130 50.7 million 60 thousand Japan

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 02 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 18.6, 150.7
GREEN
2 03 Aug 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.7, 150.4
GREEN
3 03 Aug 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18, 150.5
GREEN
4 03 Aug 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 18.5, 150
GREEN
5 03 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 19.3, 149.4
GREEN
6 04 Aug 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 20.1, 149.2
GREEN
7 04 Aug 2018 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 20.8, 148.8
GREEN
8 04 Aug 2018 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 21.8, 148.2
GREEN
9 04 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 22.5, 147.7
GREEN
10 05 Aug 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 23, 147.4
GREEN
11 05 Aug 2018 06:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 24, 147.5
GREEN
12 05 Aug 2018 12:00 Category 1 148 no people 2200 people 24.7, 147.1
GREEN
13 05 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 1 148 no people 2200 people 25.7, 146.6
GREEN
14 06 Aug 2018 00:00 Category 1 148 no people 2200 people 26.5, 146.2
GREEN
15 06 Aug 2018 06:00 Category 1 148 no people 2200 people 27.5, 146.1
GREEN
16 06 Aug 2018 12:00 Category 1 130 no people 1800 people 28.8, 145.6
GREEN
17 06 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 no people <1000 people 29.7, 145
GREEN
18 07 Aug 2018 00:00 Category 1 130 no people 8400 people 30.5, 144.3
GREEN
19 07 Aug 2018 06:00 Category 2 167 no people 2.9 million people 31.3, 143.9 Japan
GREEN
20 07 Aug 2018 12:00 Category 2 157 no people 39.9 million people 32, 143.1 Japan
GREEN
21 07 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 2 157 no people 47.5 million people 32.5, 142.3 Japan
GREEN
22 08 Aug 2018 00:00 Category 1 148 79000 people 47.2 million people 33.4, 141.8 Japan
GREEN
23 08 Aug 2018 06:00 Category 1 148 3.9 million people 47.4 million people 33.8, 141.3 Japan
GREEN
24 08 Aug 2018 12:00 Category 1 130 63000 people 45.5 million people 34.5, 141.3 Japan
GREEN
24 09 Aug 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 no people 47.4 million people 36.2, 141.5 Japan
GREEN
24 09 Aug 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 2.8 million people 38.3, 143.5 Japan
GREEN
24 10 Aug 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 40.1, 148
GREEN
24 10 Aug 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 41.5, 155.1
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan

Provinces

Region Province Country
Kanto Japan

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Choshi Chiba Japan City 84000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Choshi JPCHO Japan

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Choshi, Japan. This height is estimated for 08 Aug 2018 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (142 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 24 of 08 Aug 2018 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Choshi Japan  0.5
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Yatabe Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Okunoya Japan  0.4
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Kashima Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Kyuchu Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Koya Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Omi Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Hamatsuga Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Aotsuka Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Taiyo Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Dainigorisawa Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Muyokama Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Kyochikama Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Natsumi Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Otake Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Hokota Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Katsuori Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 21:00 Noda Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Nagasuna Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Nakaminato Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Ogushi Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Tokawacho Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Inuwaka Japan  0.3
08 Aug 2018 20:00 Kamigama Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Shirane Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Toyooka Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Kuji Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Narusawa Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Mizuki Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Moto-Kawarago Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 23:00 Hitachi Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Asahi Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 22:00 Oyagaw Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Hasunuma Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Ogitsu Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Tomobe Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Tajirihama Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Kawaziri Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Kawajiri Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Hama Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Kubota Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Ueda Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Terashita Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Hirakata Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Katakai Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Kitakubo Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Kisara Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Ono-Yasashi Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Isohara Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Shuku Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 09:00 Ohara Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Yunami Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Ohahama Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Ena Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Shimo-Takaku Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Toyoma Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 04:00 Komagamine Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 04:00 Nakumura Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 04:00 Tsurishi Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 04:00 Haragama Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Aratame Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Omori Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Onaba Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Kiyohashi Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Naraha Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Kami-Shigeoka Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Ide Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Tachiya Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Umekawa Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Isobe Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Tanebe Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Obama Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Onahama Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Arayashik Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Yotsukura Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Kami-Asamigawa Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Shimo-Kitabo Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Tomioka Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Oragahama Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 04:00 Sakamoto Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 04:00 Iso Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Takahira Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Kayahama Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 09:00 Asahi Yokaichiba Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 16:00 Ichinomiya Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Minami-Ibi Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Soeno Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Futaba Japan  0.2
10 Aug 2018 03:00 Fushiko-tobuto Japan  0.2
08 Aug 2018 13:00 Katsuura Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 04:00 Yamashita Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 04:00 Yokoyama Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 04:00 Kasano Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 04:00 Hanagama Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Odaka Japan  0.2
09 Aug 2018 04:00 Shibamachi Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Warabi Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 04:00 Kaikomba Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Arahama Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Kabasaki Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Watari Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Hayakawa Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 03:00 Kashima Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 04:00 Sangenchaya Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 04:00 Ninokura Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 23:00 Odaito Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 23:00 Tokotan Japan  0.1
10 Aug 2018 03:00 Bekkai Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 23:00 Tomoshiri Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 23:00 Svetloye Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 04:00 Shimo-Masuda Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 04:00 Ainokama Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 04:00 Kita-Kama Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 01:00 Fujitsuka Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 05:00 Ido Japan  0.1
10 Aug 2018 04:00 Nishi-wada Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Sumiyoshi Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 02:00 Namie Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 00:00 Bogoya Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 21:00 Onirusu Russia  0.1
10 Aug 2018 04:00 Nemuro Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 21:00 Ruchi Russia  0.1
09 Aug 2018 21:00 Protochnaya Russia  0.1
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Tago Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Niida Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 04:00 Fukanuma Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Shinhama Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Wada-Shinden Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Gamo Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Shobudahama Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Umenomiya-Jutaku Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Shiogama Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Uenodai Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Tsukihama Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Ono Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Takagi Japan  0.1
08 Aug 2018 07:00 Hamaichi Japan  0.1
09 Aug 2018 20:00 Golovnino Russia  0.1
09 Aug 2018 23:00 Hikiushi Japan  0.1
10 Aug 2018 01:00 Moshirikeshi Russia  0.1
10 Aug 2018 01:00 Zeikomae Russia  0.1
10 Aug 2018 01:00 Nassafu Japan  0.1