Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SHANSHAN-18
in Japan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SHANSHAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population 2.3 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (07 Aug 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 167 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
Overall 176 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

167 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 02 Aug 2018 18:00 148 1.5 million No people Japan
Green 2 03 Aug 2018 00:00 148 90 thousand No people Japan
Green 3 03 Aug 2018 06:00 148 20 thousand No people
Green 4 03 Aug 2018 12:00 167 49 million No people Japan
Green 5 03 Aug 2018 18:00 167 58.2 million No people Japan

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 02 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 18.6, 150.7
GREEN
2 03 Aug 2018 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 17.7, 150.4
GREEN
3 03 Aug 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 18, 150.5
GREEN
4 03 Aug 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 18.5, 150
GREEN
5 03 Aug 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 19.3, 149.4
GREEN
5 04 Aug 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 20.8, 148.3
GREEN
5 04 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 22.5, 147.2
GREEN
5 05 Aug 2018 06:00 Category 1 139 no people 2800 people 24.2, 146.4
GREEN
5 05 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 2 157 no people 2800 people 25.9, 145.8
GREEN
5 06 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 2 167 no people 5.8 million people 29.5, 144.6 Japan
GREEN
5 07 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 2 157 no people 58.2 million people 32.6, 143.4 Japan
GREEN
5 08 Aug 2018 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 36.2, 142.2
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Okunoya, Japan. This height is estimated for 07 Aug 2018 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (74 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 5 of 03 Aug 2018 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Okunoya Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Asahi Yokaichiba Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Kyuchu Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Kashima Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Koya Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Yatabe Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Choshi Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Taiyo Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Dainigorisawa Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Muyokama Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Omi Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Kyochikama Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Hamatsuga Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Aotsuka Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Natsumi Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Hokota Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Katsuori Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Otake Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Noda Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Kamigama Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Shirane Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Toyooka Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Kuji Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Mizuki Japan  0.2
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Narusawa Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Moto-Kawarago Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Nagasuna Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Nakaminato Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Ohara Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Hasunuma Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Kubota Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Ueda Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Terashita Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Hirakata Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Ogushi Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Katakai Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Asahi Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Oyagaw Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Kitakubo Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Ono-Yasashi Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Kawaziri Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Kawajiri Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Hama Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Tomobe Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Aratame Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Shimo-Takaku Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Toyoma Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Kisara Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Isohara Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Shuku Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Omori Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Tokawacho Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Inuwaka Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Hitachi Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Yunami Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Nakumura Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Tachiya Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Haragama Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Umekawa Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Isobe Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Oragahama Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Onaba Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Ogitsu Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Tajirihama Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Komagamine Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Iso Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Tsurishi Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Kami-Shigeoka Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Ide Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Sakamoto Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Ena Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Naraha Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Kami-Asamigawa Japan  0.1
07 Aug 2018 18:00 Shimo-Kitabo Japan  0.1