Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HELENE-18
in Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom
GDACS
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
GFS
Impact all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HELENE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 185 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (18 Sep 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Portugal)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 111 km/h n.a. n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 185 km/h 1.1 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to 6.1 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Green 1 07 Sep 2018 15:00 111 200 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 2 07 Sep 2018 21:00 130 350 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 3 08 Sep 2018 03:00 120 350 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 4 08 Sep 2018 09:00 148 350 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 5 08 Sep 2018 15:00 148 50 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 6 08 Sep 2018 21:00 157 40 thousand No people Cape Verde
Green 7 09 Sep 2018 03:00 167 No people No people
Green 8 09 Sep 2018 09:00 167 No people No people
Green 9 09 Sep 2018 15:00 167 No people No people
Green 10 09 Sep 2018 21:00 167 No people No people
Green 11 10 Sep 2018 03:00 167 No people No people
Green 12 10 Sep 2018 09:00 157 No people No people
Green 13 10 Sep 2018 15:00 185 No people No people
Green 14 10 Sep 2018 21:00 185 No people No people
Green 15 11 Sep 2018 03:00 176 No people No people
Green 16 11 Sep 2018 09:00 185 No people No people
Green 17 11 Sep 2018 15:00 176 40 thousand No people Portugal
Green 18 11 Sep 2018 21:00 167 4 thousand No people Portugal
Green 19 12 Sep 2018 03:00 157 4 thousand No people Portugal
Green 20 12 Sep 2018 09:00 148 50 thousand No people Portugal
Green 21 12 Sep 2018 15:00 148 50 thousand No people Portugal
Green 22 12 Sep 2018 21:00 139 40 thousand No people Portugal
Green 23 13 Sep 2018 03:00 130 50 thousand No people Portugal
Green 24 13 Sep 2018 09:00 120 1.1 million No people Portugal, Ireland
Green 25 13 Sep 2018 15:00 111 3.6 million No people Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom
Green 26 13 Sep 2018 21:00 102 2.3 million No people Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom
Green 27 14 Sep 2018 03:00 102 31.4 million No people Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom
Green 28 14 Sep 2018 09:00 102 5 million No people Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom
Green 29 14 Sep 2018 15:00 111 20 thousand No people Portugal
Green 30 14 Sep 2018 21:00 111 4 thousand No people Portugal
Green 31 15 Sep 2018 03:00 111 6.1 million No people Portugal, Ireland, United Kingdom

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 07 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.1, -17.8
GREEN
2 07 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 13.2, -18.6
GREEN
3 08 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 13.6, -18.5
GREEN
4 08 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 13.7, -19.6
GREEN
5 08 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 13.4, -20.6
GREEN
6 08 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.6, -21.7
GREEN
7 09 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 13.2, -22.8
GREEN
8 09 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.2, -24
GREEN
9 09 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 13.2, -25
GREEN
10 09 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 13.4, -26
GREEN
11 10 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 13.9, -27.2
GREEN
12 10 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 14.3, -28.9
GREEN
13 10 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 14.6, -30
GREEN
14 10 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 14.9, -31.5
GREEN
15 11 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 15.5, -32.4
GREEN
16 11 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 16, -33.6
GREEN
17 11 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 2 176 no people no people 16.5, -34.3
GREEN
18 11 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 2 167 no people no people 17.2, -34.9
GREEN
19 12 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 2 157 no people no people 18, -35.4
GREEN
20 12 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 19.2, -35.7
GREEN
21 12 Sep 2018 15:00 Category 1 148 no people no people 20.3, -36.5
GREEN
22 12 Sep 2018 21:00 Category 1 139 no people no people 21.4, -36.7
GREEN
23 13 Sep 2018 03:00 Category 1 130 no people no people 22.4, -36.9
GREEN
24 13 Sep 2018 09:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 23.5, -37.3
GREEN
25 13 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 24.8, -37.3
GREEN
26 13 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 26.3, -37
GREEN
27 14 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 28.6, -36.5
GREEN
28 14 Sep 2018 09:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 30.6, -36
GREEN
29 14 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 32.9, -36.3
GREEN
30 14 Sep 2018 21:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 34.1, -36.8
GREEN
31 15 Sep 2018 03:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 35.8, -35.8
GREEN
31 15 Sep 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 111 4500 people no people 38, -34.5 Portugal
GREEN
31 16 Sep 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 102 25000 people no people 40.3, -31.2 Portugal
GREEN
31 16 Sep 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 42.5, -26.5
GREEN
31 17 Sep 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 6 million people no people 45, -21.5 United Kingdom
GREEN
31 18 Sep 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 51.5, -9 Ireland
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Portugal
Ireland
United Kingdom

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Azores Portugal 230000 people
Munster Ireland 1 million people
Connacht Ireland 420000 people
Leinster Ireland 1.8 million people
England United Kingdom 48.3 million people
Ulster Ireland 230000 people
Northern Ireland United Kingdom 1.5 million people
Wales United Kingdom 2.9 million people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Trá Lí Kerry (Ciarraí) Ireland City 19000 people
Corcaigh Cork City (Cathair Chorcaigh) Ireland Major city 150000 people
Luimneach Limerick City (Cathair Luimnigh) Ireland Major city 67000 people
Gaillimh Galway City (Cathair na Gaillimhe) Ireland City 57000 people
Caisleán an Bharraigh Mayo (Maigh Eo) Ireland City 7500 people
Cluain Meala South Tipperary (Tiobraid Árann Theas) Ireland City 15000 people
Port Láirge Waterford City (Cathair Phort Láirge) Ireland Major city 43000 people
Saint Ives Cornwall, England United Kingdom City -
Cill Chainnigh Kilkenny (Cill Chainnigh) Ireland City 8500 people
Baile Átha Luain Westmeath (An Iarmhí) Ireland City 8200 people
Portlaoise Laois Ireland City 10000 people
Sligo Sligo (Sligeach) Ireland City 18000 people
Ceatharlach Carlow (Ceatharlach) Ireland City 13000 people
Loch Garman Wexford (Loch Garman) Ireland City 13000 people
An Nás Kildare (Cill Dara) Ireland City 13000 people
Enniskillen Fermanagh, Northern Ireland United Kingdom City 14000 people
Lucan South Dublin (Áth Cliath Theas) Ireland City -
Cill Mhantáin Wicklow (Cill Mhantáin) Ireland City 6900 people
Baile Átha Cliath Dublin City (Cathair Átha Cliath) Ireland Capital 670000 people
Bré Wicklow (Cill Mhantáin) Ireland City 27000 people
Dun Laoghaire Dun Laoghaire-Rathdown (Dún Laoghaire-Ráth an Dúin) Ireland City 180000 people
Swords Fingal (Fine Gall) Ireland City 29000 people
Droichead Átha Meath (An Mhí) Ireland City 25000 people
Dun Dealgan Louth (Lú) Ireland City 29000 people
Barnstaple Devon, England United Kingdom City 27000 people
Newry Armagh, Northern Ireland United Kingdom City 27000 people
Llanelli Carmarthenshire, Wales United Kingdom City 44000 people
Kilkeel Down, Northern Ireland United Kingdom City 6300 people
Abertawe Swansea, Wales United Kingdom Major city 170000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Flores FLW 34 Civ. Paved No 4500
Corvo Island CVU unknown 0
Horta HOR 35 Civ. Paved Yes 5500
Graciosa GRW 26 Civ. Paved No 4300
Caherciveen Reenroe CHE unknown 0
Bantry BYT unknown 0
Kerry County Airport KIR 30 Civ. Paved Yes 6500
Inishmore Kilronan IOR unknown 0
Cork ORK 153 Civ. Paved Yes 6900
Inisheer INQ unknown 0
Shannon SNN 14 Civ. Paved Yes 10400
Spiddal Connemara NNR unknown 0
Isles of Scilly Tresco TSO unknown 0
Isles of Scilly St Marys ISC unknown 0
Belmullet BLY unknown 0
Carnmore GWY 27 Civ. Paved Yes 4400
Knock International NOC 203 Civ. Paved Yes 7500
Waterford WAT 37 Civ. Paved Yes 4700
Penzance PZE unknown 0
Kilkenny KKY 91 Civ. Unpaved No 3100
Predannack 90 Mil. Paved No 5900
Culdrose 81 Mil. Paved Yes 6000
Collooney SXL 6 Civ. Paved Yes 3900
Perranporth 101 Civ. Paved No 3000
Wexford Castlebrdg WEX unknown 0
St Mawgan NQY 119 Mil. Paved Yes 9000
St Angelo ENK 47 Civ. Paved No 4300
Casement IME 97 Mil. Paved Yes 6000
Brawdy 112 0
Dublin DUB 74 Civ. Paved Yes 8600
Haverfordwest HAW 47 Civ. Paved No 5000
Chivenor 8 0
Aberporth 130 0
Swansea Fairwood Common SWS 90 Civ. Paved Yes 4800

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Lajes Das Flores PTLAJ Portugal
Santa Cruz Portugal
Vila Nova Portugal
Horta PTHOR Portugal
Santa Cruz Portugal
Crow Head Ireland
Valencia Harbor Ireland
Crookhaven Ireland
Ventry Ireland
Castletown Bere IECTB Ireland
Bentwaters IEBEN Ireland
Skull Ireland
Baltimore Ireland
Glengariff Ireland
Bantry IEBYT Ireland
Bantry Bay IEBYT Ireland
Kenmare Ireland
Castlemaine Harbour Ireland
Fenit IEFEN Ireland
Glandore Ireland
Tralee IETRA Ireland
Kilkee Ireland
Kilrush IEKLR Ireland
Tarbert IETAB Ireland
Kinsale IEKLN Ireland
Aran Island Ireland
Foynes Island IEFOV Ireland
Clifden IECLI Ireland
Cork IEORK Ireland
Aughinish Island IEAUG Ireland
Cobh IECOB Ireland
Lahinch Ireland
Whitegate IEWHI Ireland
Killary Harbour Ireland
Clarecastle Ireland
Limerick IELMK Ireland
Saint Agnes United Kingdom
Blacksod Point Ireland
Youghal IEYOU Ireland
Tresco Island GBTSO United Kingdom
Galway IEGWY Ireland
Westport Ireland
Belmullet Ireland
Dungarvan IEDGV Ireland
Burg Ireland
Fischerhutte Ireland
Ballina Ireland
Killala Ireland
Newlyn GBNYL United Kingdom
Waterford IEWAT Ireland
Penzance GBPEN United Kingdom
Dunmore East IEDNM Ireland
Saint Ives United Kingdom
Duncannon Ireland
Hayle United Kingdom
Porthleven United Kingdom
New Ross IENRS Ireland
Falmouth United Kingdom
Portreath United Kingdom
Coverack United Kingdom
Kilmore Quay Ireland
Falmouth GBFAL United Kingdom
Sligo IESLI Ireland
Truro GBTRU United Kingdom
Newquay United Kingdom
Wexford IEWEX Ireland
Rosslare IEROE Ireland
Rosslare Harbour IEROE Ireland
Mevagissey United Kingdom
Killybegs IEKBS Ireland
Padstow GBPAD United Kingdom
Par GBPAR United Kingdom
Port Isaac United Kingdom
Fowey GBFOY United Kingdom
Looe United Kingdom
Arklow IEARK Ireland
Milford Haven GBMLF United Kingdom
Bude United Kingdom
Saint David's Head United Kingdom
Wicklow IEWIC Ireland
Lundy Island United Kingdom
Pembroke GBPED United Kingdom
Pembroke Dock GBPED United Kingdom
Dublin IEDUB Ireland
Clovelly United Kingdom
Halle United Kingdom
Dun Laoghaire IEDLG Ireland
Fishguard GBFIS United Kingdom
Howth IEHOW Ireland
Tenby United Kingdom
Drogheda IEDRO Ireland
Appledore GBAPP United Kingdom
Bideford GBBID United Kingdom
Dundalk IEDDK Ireland
Barnstaple United Kingdom
Ilfracombe United Kingdom
Cardigan United Kingdom
Newry GBNRY United Kingdom
Warrenpoint GBWPT United Kingdom
Scalasaig Ireland

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Carrigadrohid Lee 1955
Lough Derg Parteen Weir Shannon 1927
Stithians Kennal 1965
Cliff Erne 1950
Pollaphuca Liffey 1939
Colliford Water St. Neots 1983
Roadford Wolf 1989

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.1m in Llansamlet, United Kingdom. This height is estimated for 18 Sep 2018 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (3936 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 37 of 16 Sep 2018 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

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