Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAUL-18


Tropical Cyclone PAUL-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 120 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability --


GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 120 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5
GDACS Overall 120 km/h 0.0 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)


120 km/h Current Max.

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Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Green 1 08 Sep 2018 15:00 120 No people No people

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
1 08 Sep 2018 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 16.1, -115.9
1 09 Sep 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 16.6, -116.8
1 09 Sep 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 17.7, -117.8
1 10 Sep 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 18.9, -118.7
1 10 Sep 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 20.1, -119.8
1 11 Sep 2018 12:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 21.5, -123
1 12 Sep 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 23, -126.5
1 13 Sep 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 24.5, -129
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places


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Populated places

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Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.


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Nuclear plants

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Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.



No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 10 of 10 Sep 2018 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)