Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LESLIE-18 in Portugal from 23 Sep 2018 15:00 UTC to 13 Oct 2018 15:00 UTC

13 Oct 2018 15 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LESLIE-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Portugal
Exposed population	400 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	148 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability	Low (Portugal)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	120 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	148 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

120 km/h Current Max.

Up to 4.1 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	23 Sep 2018 15:00	74	No people	No people
2	23 Sep 2018 21:00	83	No people	No people
3	24 Sep 2018 03:00	74	No people	No people
4	24 Sep 2018 09:00	83	No people	No people
5	24 Sep 2018 15:00	93	No people	No people
6	24 Sep 2018 21:00	102	No people	No people
7	25 Sep 2018 03:00	111	No people	No people
8	25 Sep 2018 09:00	111	No people	No people
9	25 Sep 2018 15:00	120	No people	No people
10	28 Sep 2018 21:00	111	No people	No people
11	29 Sep 2018 03:00	130	No people	No people
12	29 Sep 2018 09:00	130	No people	No people
13	29 Sep 2018 15:00	120	No people	No people
14	29 Sep 2018 21:00	120	No people	No people
15	30 Sep 2018 03:00	120	No people	No people
16	30 Sep 2018 09:00	120	No people	No people
17	30 Sep 2018 15:00	120	No people	No people
18	30 Sep 2018 21:00	120	No people	No people
19	01 Oct 2018 03:00	120	No people	No people
20	01 Oct 2018 09:00	130	No people	No people
21	01 Oct 2018 15:00	130	No people	No people
22	01 Oct 2018 21:00	130	No people	No people
23	02 Oct 2018 03:00	130	No people	No people
24	02 Oct 2018 09:00	130	No people	No people
25	02 Oct 2018 15:00	130	No people	No people
26	02 Oct 2018 21:00	139	No people	No people
27	03 Oct 2018 03:00	139	No people	No people
28	03 Oct 2018 09:00	139	No people	No people
29	03 Oct 2018 15:00	139	No people	No people
30	03 Oct 2018 21:00	139	No people	No people
31	04 Oct 2018 03:00	130	No people	No people
32	04 Oct 2018 09:00	130	No people	No people
33	04 Oct 2018 15:00	120	No people	No people
34	04 Oct 2018 21:00	111	No people	No people
35	05 Oct 2018 03:00	102	No people	No people
36	05 Oct 2018 09:00	102	No people	No people
37	05 Oct 2018 15:00	102	No people	No people
38	05 Oct 2018 21:00	102	No people	No people
39	06 Oct 2018 03:00	102	No people	No people
40	06 Oct 2018 09:00	93	No people	No people
41	06 Oct 2018 15:00	93	No people	No people
42	06 Oct 2018 21:00	102	No people	No people
43	07 Oct 2018 03:00	102	No people	No people
44	07 Oct 2018 09:00	102	No people	No people
45	07 Oct 2018 15:00	111	No people	No people
46	07 Oct 2018 21:00	120	No people	No people
47	08 Oct 2018 03:00	120	No people	No people
48	08 Oct 2018 09:00	130	Few people	No people	Portugal
49	08 Oct 2018 15:00	130	150 thousand	No people	Portugal
50	08 Oct 2018 21:00	139	6 thousand	No people	Portugal
51	09 Oct 2018 03:00	139	10 thousand	No people	Portugal
52	09 Oct 2018 09:00	139	270 thousand	No people	Portugal
53	09 Oct 2018 15:00	139	270 thousand	No people	Portugal
54	09 Oct 2018 21:00	139	No people	No people
55	10 Oct 2018 03:00	148	No people	No people
56	10 Oct 2018 09:00	148	No people	No people
57	10 Oct 2018 15:00	148	No people	No people
58	10 Oct 2018 21:00	139	No people	No people
59	11 Oct 2018 03:00	139	7 thousand	No people	Portugal
60	11 Oct 2018 09:00	139	360 thousand	No people	Spain, Portugal
61	11 Oct 2018 15:00	139	360 thousand	No people	Spain, Portugal
62	11 Oct 2018 21:00	139	360 thousand	6 thousand	Portugal
63	12 Oct 2018 03:00	148	360 thousand	No people	Spain, Portugal
64	12 Oct 2018 09:00	148	270 thousand	No people	Portugal
65	12 Oct 2018 15:00	139	7.6 million	No people	Portugal, Spain, Morocco, Gibraltar
66	12 Oct 2018 21:00	139	33.1 million	4.1 million	Portugal, Spain
67	13 Oct 2018 03:00	130	16.8 million	4.4 million	Portugal, Spain
68	13 Oct 2018 09:00	120	13.9 million	3.7 million	Portugal, Spain
69	13 Oct 2018 15:00	120	20.7 million	4.1 million	Portugal, Spain

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	23 Sep 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	33, -46.5
2	23 Sep 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	33.5, -47.2
3	24 Sep 2018 03:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	33.3, -48.5
4	24 Sep 2018 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	32.6, -48.6
5	24 Sep 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	32.5, -48
6	24 Sep 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	33, -47.2
7	25 Sep 2018 03:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	33.1, -47.1
8	25 Sep 2018 09:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	31.9, -46.2
9	25 Sep 2018 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	31.6, -44.4
10	28 Sep 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	36.1, -48.1
11	29 Sep 2018 03:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	35.7, -49.4
12	29 Sep 2018 09:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	35.2, -50.3
13	29 Sep 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	34.4, -50.8
14	29 Sep 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	34.1, -51.3
15	30 Sep 2018 03:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	33.9, -52
16	30 Sep 2018 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	33.8, -52.5
17	30 Sep 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	33.6, -52.6
18	30 Sep 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	33.5, -53.2
19	01 Oct 2018 03:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	33.3, -53.7
20	01 Oct 2018 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	33.4, -53.9
21	01 Oct 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	33.2, -54.3
22	01 Oct 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	32.8, -54.6
23	02 Oct 2018 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	32.4, -55
24	02 Oct 2018 09:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	31.6, -55.6
25	02 Oct 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	30.9, -56.1
26	02 Oct 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	30.1, -56.4
27	03 Oct 2018 03:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	29.7, -56.7
28	03 Oct 2018 09:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	29.6, -56.9
29	03 Oct 2018 15:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	29.5, -56.8
30	03 Oct 2018 21:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	29.9, -56.9
31	04 Oct 2018 03:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	30.6, -57
32	04 Oct 2018 09:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	31.4, -57.1
33	04 Oct 2018 15:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	32.5, -57.2
34	04 Oct 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	33.3, -57.5
35	05 Oct 2018 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	34.9, -57.6
36	05 Oct 2018 09:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	35.9, -58.3
37	05 Oct 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	36.2, -58.4
38	05 Oct 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	36.2, -58.1
39	06 Oct 2018 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	36.6, -57.2
40	06 Oct 2018 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	37.2, -56.4
41	06 Oct 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	37.7, -55.8
42	06 Oct 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	37.4, -54.5
43	07 Oct 2018 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	37.3, -52.9
44	07 Oct 2018 09:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	37.2, -52
45	07 Oct 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	36.6, -51.4
46	07 Oct 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	35.9, -49.9
47	08 Oct 2018 03:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	35.7, -49.1
48	08 Oct 2018 09:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	35.2, -47.9
49	08 Oct 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	34.6, -47
50	08 Oct 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	33.8, -45.8
51	09 Oct 2018 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	32.9, -44.6
52	09 Oct 2018 09:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	32.2, -43.9
53	09 Oct 2018 15:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	31.3, -43.5
54	09 Oct 2018 21:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	30.3, -43
55	10 Oct 2018 03:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	29.5, -42.6
56	10 Oct 2018 09:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	28.6, -42.6
57	10 Oct 2018 15:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	27.8, -42.3
58	10 Oct 2018 21:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	27.8, -41.9
59	11 Oct 2018 03:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	27.9, -41.1
60	11 Oct 2018 09:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	28.4, -40.1
61	11 Oct 2018 15:00	Category 1	130	no people	no people	29.1, -38.3
62	11 Oct 2018 21:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	29.9, -36.5
63	12 Oct 2018 03:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	30.9, -33.9
64	12 Oct 2018 09:00	Category 1	148	no people	no people	31.9, -31
65	12 Oct 2018 15:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	33, -28
66	12 Oct 2018 21:00	Category 1	139	no people	5700 people	33.9, -24.1	Portugal
67	13 Oct 2018 03:00	Category 1	130	no people	6800 people	34.7, -20.7	Portugal
68	13 Oct 2018 09:00	Category 1	120	no people	3.3 million people	36.2, -16.7	Portugal
69	13 Oct 2018 15:00	Category 1	120	4.1 million people	11.6 million people	38, -12.6	Portugal
69	14 Oct 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	20.3 million people	40, -8	Portugal
69	14 Oct 2018 12:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	41.5, -4	Spain

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Portugal
Spain

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Lisboa	Portugal
Setubal	Portugal
Leiria	Portugal
Santarem	Portugal
Portalegre	Portugal
Coimbra	Portugal
Castelo Branco	Portugal
Aveiro	Portugal
Viseu	Portugal
Extremadura	Spain
Guarda	Portugal

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Cascais	Lisboa (Lisbon)	Portugal	City	36000 people
Cacém	Lisboa (Lisbon)	Portugal	City	-
Queluz	Lisboa (Lisbon)	Portugal	City	100000 people
Amadora	Lisboa (Lisbon)	Portugal	Major city	180000 people
Lisboa	Lisboa (Lisbon)	Portugal	Capital	510000 people
Torres Vedras	Lisboa (Lisbon)	Portugal	City	24000 people
Sacavém	Lisboa (Lisbon)	Portugal	City	18000 people
Peniche	Leiria	Portugal	City	15000 people
Alverca do Ribatejo	Lisboa (Lisbon)	Portugal	City	31000 people
Caldas da Rainha	Leiria	Portugal	City	26000 people
Santarém	Santarém	Portugal	City	27000 people
Marinha Grande	Leiria	Portugal	City	29000 people
Leiria	Leiria	Portugal	City	45000 people
Entroncamento	Santarém	Portugal	City	20000 people
Vila Nova de Ourém	Santarém	Portugal	City	-
Figueira da Foz	Coimbra	Portugal	City	12000 people
Pombal	Leiria	Portugal	City	17000 people
Tomar	Santarém	Portugal	City	19000 people
Coimbra	Coimbra	Portugal	Major city	110000 people
Castelo Branco	Castelo Branco	Portugal	City	33000 people
Covilhã	Castelo Branco	Portugal	City	18000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Cascais		90	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3900
Sintra		134	Mil.	Paved	Yes	5900
Lisboa	LIS	114	Civ.	Paved	Yes	12400
Alverca		3	Mil.	Paved	No	8200
Ota		43				0
Monte Real		57	Mil.	Paved	Yes	8000
Tancos		81	Mil.	Paved	Yes	7500
Santa Margarida		165				0
Coimbra	CBP	179	Civ.	Paved	No	3000
Covilha	COV	482	Civ.	Paved	No	3100

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Cape Roca		Portugal
Cascais	PTCAS	Portugal
Lisbon	PTLIS	Portugal
Cape Carveiro		Portugal
Nazare		Portugal
Figueira Da Foz	PTFDF	Portugal

Dams

Dam Name	River	Year
Castelo do Bode	Zezere	1951
Bouqa	Zezere	1955
Cabril	Zezere	1954
Fratel	Tejo	1973
Pracana	Ocreza	1951
Raiva	Mondego	1981
Fronhas	Alva	1984
Aguieira	Mondego	1981
Santa Luzia	Unhais	1942
Cedillo	Tajo	1975
Idanha	Ponsul	1949

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (0 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 22 of 01 Oct 2018 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 6 minute resolution)

Alert

Date (UTC)

Name

Country

Storm surge height (m)